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Title: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 03:29:01 PM Well , I’m happy to finally introduce the Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses. Like the Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Senates, a D+1 district means that if the presidential democrat candidate gets 50%, in this house district, he would get 51%. For those who like mathematics: PVI in the House District n: [(Obama2012 score- Romney2012 score)/2 -1.95 +(Obama2008score-Mccain2008score)/2-3.6]/2 Here we go! Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 03:29:39 PM Alabama: Not available yet.
Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 03:31:04 PM Alaska :
http://www.akredistricting.org/Files/Draft%20Plans/Board%20Option1.pdf 1 REP -31 2 REP -16 3 REP -17 4 DEM -8 5 REP -4 6 REP -23 7 REP -25 8 REP -26 9 REP -28 10 REP -31 11 REP -25 12 REP -21 13 REP -8 14 DEM -3 15 DEM 1 16 DEM 6 17 DEM 13 18 DEM 12 19 DEM 0 20 REP -12 21 REP -13 22 DEM -7 23 REP -13 24 REP -8 25 REP -7 26 REP -21 27 REP -9 28 REP -25 29 REP -27 30 REP -13 31 REP 1 32 DEM 14 33 REP -13 34 DEM 5 35 REP -9 36 DEM 19 37 DEM 11 38 DEM 13 39 DEM 7 40 DEM 15 36 DEM 19 40 DEM 15 32 DEM 14 17 DEM 13 38 DEM 13 18 DEM 12 37 DEM 11 39 DEM 7 16 DEM 6 34 DEM 5 15 DEM 1 31 REP 1 19 DEM 0 14 DEM -3 5 REP -4 22 DEM -7 25 REP -7 4 DEM -8 13 REP -8 24 REP -8 * 27 REP -9 35 REP -9 20 REP -12 21 REP -13 23 REP -13 30 REP -13 33 REP -13 2 REP -16 3 REP -17 12 REP -21 26 REP -21 6 REP -23 7 REP -25 11 REP -25 28 REP -25 8 REP -26 29 REP -27 9 REP -28 1 REP -31 10 REP -31 The Alaska house of representatives will obviously stay republican after the 2014 elections. The Pubs have a solid majority, although the AK democratic party seems to perform well. They hold almost all the dem-toss up seats and manage to hold some republican friendly seats. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 03:33:12 PM Arizona :
() 1 2R -21 2 2D 6 3 2D 19 4 2D 3 5 2R -23 6 2R -9 7 2D 12 8 2R -6 9 1D1R 2 10 2D 1 11 2R -12 12 2R -19 13 2R -18 14 2R -15 15 2R -15 16 2R -16 17 2R -9 18 2R -3 19 2D 15 20 2R -8 21 2R -11 22 2R -18 23 2R -15 24 2D 12 25 2R -18 26 2D 8 27 2R 24 28 1D1R -6 29 2D 14 30 2D 10 27 2R 24 3 2D 19 19 2D 15 29 2D 14 7 2D 12 24 2D 12 30 2D 10 26 2D 8 2 2D 6 4 2D 3 9 1D1R 2 10 2D 1 18 2R -3 8 2R -6 28 1D1R -6 * 20 2R -8 6 2R -9 17 2R -9 21 2R -11 11 2R -12 14 2R -15 15 2R -15 23 2R -15 16 2R -16 13 2R -18 22 2R -18 25 2R -18 12 2R -19 1 2R -21 5 2R -23 The same map than the AZ senate map: for each senate district= 2 house districts. These PVI just show how ARIZONA is polarized. Democrats hold all but one dem leaning seats, while the republicans hold all but one rep leaning seats. Arizona is trending blue with the growing Hispanic population. Maybe they will pick up some seats in the future, but I don’t see this chamber flipping for this decade. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 03:34:59 PM Arkansas
() HD 1 REP -14 HD 2 REP -30 HD 3 DEM -15 HD 4 DEM -22 HD 5 DEM 2 HD 6 REP -24 HD 7 DEM -10 HD 8 DEM -13 HD 9 DEM -14 HD 10 DEM -25 HD 11 DEM 3 HD 12 DEM 9 HD 13 DEM -18 HD 14 DEM -13 HD 15 REP -28 HD 16 DEM 14 HD 17 DEM 35 HD 18 REP -11 HD 19 DEM -21 HD 20 REP -27 HD 21 REP -27 HD 22 REP -22 HD 23 REP -27 HD 24 REP -18 HD 25 DEM -8 HD 26 DEM -16 HD 27 REP -23 HD 28 REP -21 HD 29 DEM 26 HD 30 DEM 26 HD 31 REP -23 HD 32 REP -14 HD 33 DEM 14 HD 34 DEM 25 HD 35 DEM -3 HD 36 DEM 29 HD 37 DEM 22 HD 38 DEM -10 HD 39 REP -13 HD 40 REP -20 HD 41 DEM -13 HD 42 DEM -3 HD 43 REP -33 HD 44 REP -31 HD 45 REP -28 HD 46 REP -29 HD 47 DEM -14 HD 48 DEM 14 HD 49 DEM -12 HD 50 DEM 13 HD 51 DEM -11 HD 52 REP -19 HD 53 DEM -19 HD 54 DEM -18 HD 55 DEM 9 HD 56 DEM -15 HD 57 DEM -21 HD 58 DEM -17 HD 59 DEM -13 HD 60 DEM -18 HD 61 DEM -16 HD 62 DEM -22 HD 63 DEM -23 HD 64 REP -24 HD 65 DEM -15 HD 66 REP -27 HD 67 REP -28 HD 68 REP -28 HD 69 DEM -18 HD 70 REP -14 HD 71 REP -20 HD 72 DEM -3 HD 73 DEM -21 HD 74 REP -26 HD 75 REP -29 HD 76 REP -22 HD 77 REP -20 HD 78 DEM 4 HD 79 REP -25 HD 80 REP -22 HD 81 REP -23 HD 82 REP -22 HD 83 REP -25 HD 84 REP -9 HD 85 DEM -1 HD 86 DEM 10 HD 87 REP -27 HD 88 REP -20 HD 89 REP -13 HD 90 REP -26 HD 91 REP -27 HD 92 REP -23 HD 93 REP -21 HD 94 REP -16 HD 95 REP -22 HD 96 REP -18 HD 97 REP -14 HD 98 REP -24 HD 99 REP -22 HD 100 REP -23 HD 17 DEM 35 HD 36 DEM 29 HD 29 DEM 26 HD 30 DEM 26 HD 34 DEM 25 HD 37 DEM 22 HD 16 DEM 14 HD 33 DEM 14 HD 48 DEM 14 HD 50 DEM 13 HD 86 DEM 10 HD 12 DEM 9 HD 55 DEM 9 HD 78 DEM 4 HD 11 DEM 3 HD 5 DEM 2 HD 85 DEM -1 HD 35 DEM -3 HD 42 DEM -3 HD 72 DEM -3 HD 25 DEM -8 HD 84 REP -9 HD 7 DEM -10 HD 38 DEM -10 HD 18 REP -11 HD 51 DEM -11 HD 49 DEM -12 HD 8 DEM -13 HD 14 DEM -13 HD 39 REP -13 HD 41 DEM -13 HD 59 DEM -13 HD 89 REP -13 HD 1 REP -14 HD 9 DEM -14 HD 32 REP -14 HD 47 DEM -14 HD 70 REP -14 HD 97 REP -14 HD 3 DEM -15 HD 56 DEM -15 HD 65 DEM -15 HD 26 DEM -16 HD 61 DEM -16 HD 94 REP -16 HD 58 DEM -17 HD 13 DEM -18 HD 24 REP -18 HD 54 DEM -18 HD 60 DEM -18 * HD 69 DEM -18 HD 96 REP -18 HD 52 REP -19 HD 53 DEM -19 HD 40 REP -20 HD 71 REP -20 HD 77 REP -20 HD 88 REP -20 HD 19 DEM -21 HD 28 REP -21 HD 57 DEM -21 HD 73 DEM -21 HD 93 REP -21 HD 4 DEM -22 HD 22 REP -22 HD 62 DEM -22 HD 76 REP -22 HD 80 REP -22 HD 82 REP -22 HD 95 REP -22 HD 99 REP -22 HD 27 REP -23 HD 31 REP -23 HD 63 DEM -23 HD 81 REP -23 HD 92 REP -23 HD 100 REP -23 HD 6 REP -24 HD 64 REP -24 HD 98 REP -24 HD 10 DEM -25 HD 79 REP -25 HD 83 REP -25 HD 74 REP -26 HD 90 REP -26 HD 20 REP -27 HD 21 REP -27 HD 23 REP -27 HD 66 REP -27 HD 87 REP -27 HD 91 REP -27 HD 15 REP -28 HD 45 REP -28 HD 67 REP -28 HD 68 REP -28 HD 46 REP -29 HD 75 REP -29 HD 2 REP -30 HD 44 REP -31 HD 43 REP -33 The Arkansas Democratic Party isn’t dead yet at local level, republicans just hold a one seat majority. Blue Dogs are still alive, mostly in the East and in the South (not surprising), the 2 districts Gore carried in 2000. While Republicans will probably pick up some seats again, Arkansas democrats might retake the House, but that’s doubtful. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 03:36:57 PM California:
() AD 1 REP -11 AD 2 DEM 16 AD 3 REP -8 AD 4 DEM 13 AD 5 REP -9 AD 6 REP -11 AD 7 DEM 16 AD 8 DEM 1 AD 9 DEM 8 AD 10 DEM 24 AD 11 DEM 9 AD 12 REP -6 AD 13 DEM 11 AD 14 DEM 18 AD 15 DEM 37 AD 16 DEM 8 AD 17 DEM 37 AD 18 DEM 36 AD 19 DEM 28 AD 20 DEM 23 AD 21 DEM 4 AD 22 DEM 21 AD 23 REP -8 AD 24 DEM 22 AD 25 DEM 20 AD 26 REP -11 AD 27 DEM 23 AD 28 DEM 16 AD 29 DEM 20 AD 30 DEM 16 AD 31 DEM 9 AD 32 DEM 3 AD 33 REP -10 AD 34 REP -18 AD 35 REP -3 AD 36 DEM -3 AD 37 DEM 11 AD 38 REP -4 AD 39 DEM 22 AD 40 REP 1 AD 41 DEM 9 AD 42 REP -6 AD 43 DEM 17 AD 44 REP 2 AD 45 DEM 13 AD 46 DEM 23 AD 47 DEM 19 AD 48 DEM 12 AD 49 DEM 11 AD 50 DEM 22 AD 51 DEM 31 AD 52 DEM 13 AD 53 DEM 32 AD 54 DEM 33 AD 55 REP -5 AD 56 DEM 9 AD 57 DEM 11 AD 58 DEM 17 AD 59 DEM 41 AD 60 REP 0 AD 61 DEM 11 AD 62 DEM 30 AD 63 DEM 24 AD 64 DEM 36 AD 65 DEM 0 AD 66 DEM 3 AD 67 REP -11 AD 68 REP -8 AD 69 DEM 15 AD 70 DEM 16 AD 71 REP -13 AD 72 REP -6 AD 73 REP -10 AD 74 REP -4 AD 75 REP -11 AD 76 REP -2 AD 77 REP -2 AD 78 DEM 14 AD 79 DEM 9 AD 80 DEM 16 AD 59 DEM 41 AD 15 DEM 37 AD 17 DEM 37 AD 18 DEM 36 AD 64 DEM 36 AD 54 DEM 33 AD 53 DEM 32 AD 51 DEM 31 AD 62 DEM 30 AD 19 DEM 28 AD 10 DEM 24 AD 63 DEM 24 AD 20 DEM 23 AD 27 DEM 23 AD 46 DEM 23 AD 24 DEM 22 AD 39 DEM 22 AD 50 DEM 22 AD 22 DEM 21 AD 25 DEM 20 AD 29 DEM 20 AD 47 DEM 19 AD 14 DEM 18 AD 43 DEM 17 AD 58 DEM 17 AD 2 DEM 16 AD 7 DEM 16 AD 28 DEM 16 AD 30 DEM 16 AD 70 DEM 16 AD 80 DEM 16 AD 69 DEM 15 AD 78 DEM 14 AD 4 DEM 13 AD 45 DEM 13 AD 52 DEM 13 AD 48 DEM 12 AD 13 DEM 11 AD 37 DEM 11 AD 49 DEM 11 * AD 57 DEM 11 AD 61 DEM 11 AD 11 DEM 9 AD 31 DEM 9 AD 41 DEM 9 AD 56 DEM 9 AD 79 DEM 9 AD 9 DEM 8 AD 16 DEM 8 AD 21 DEM 4 AD 32 DEM 3 AD 66 DEM 3 AD 44 REP 2 AD 8 DEM 1 ** AD 40 REP 1 AD 60 REP 0 AD 65 DEM 0 AD 76 REP -2 AD 77 REP -2 AD 35 REP -3 AD 36 DEM -3 AD 38 REP -4 AD 74 REP -4 AD 55 REP -5 AD 12 REP -6 AD 42 REP -6 AD 72 REP -6 AD 3 REP -8 AD 23 REP -8 AD 68 REP -8 AD 5 REP -9 AD 33 REP -10 AD 73 REP -10 AD 1 REP -11 AD 6 REP -11 AD 26 REP -11 AD 67 REP -11 AD 75 REP -11 AD 71 REP -13 AD 34 REP -18 CA democrats will obviously keep the CA Assembly. What will be interesting will be if they manage to hold their supermajority too (**). This map seems to be obviously a dem gerrymander. California is the most polarized state in the country, and these results just prove that: no democrats in rep leaning seats, no republicans in dem friendly seats. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 03:38:20 PM Colorado:
() HD 1 DEM 11 HD 2 DEM 24 HD 3 DEM 2 HD 4 DEM 29 HD 5 DEM 27 HD 6 DEM 16 HD 7 DEM 31 HD 8 DEM 34 HD 9 DEM 13 HD 10 DEM 30 HD 11 DEM 8 HD 12 DEM 15 HD 13 DEM 20 HD 14 REP -22 HD 15 REP -17 HD 16 REP -13 HD 17 DEM 5 HD 18 DEM 5 HD 19 REP -27 HD 20 REP -14 HD 21 REP -8 HD 22 REP -7 HD 23 DEM 6 HD 24 DEM 6 HD 25 REP -4 HD 26 DEM 7 HD 27 REP -3 HD 28 DEM 5 HD 29 DEM 5 HD 30 DEM 7 HD 31 DEM 7 HD 32 DEM 16 HD 33 DEM 4 HD 34 DEM 7 HD 35 DEM 6 HD 36 DEM 8 HD 37 REP -4 HD 38 REP -5 HD 39 REP -17 HD 40 DEM 6 HD 41 DEM 11 HD 42 DEM 19 HD 43 REP -10 HD 44 REP -12 HD 45 REP -17 HD 46 DEM 5 HD 47 REP -4 HD 48 REP -13 HD 49 REP -8 HD 50 DEM 4 HD 51 REP -7 HD 52 DEM 6 HD 53 DEM 12 HD 54 REP -23 HD 55 REP -15 HD 56 REP -10 HD 57 REP -11 HD 58 REP -13 HD 59 DEM 1 HD 60 REP -12 HD 61 DEM 6 HD 62 DEM 7 HD 63 REP -10 HD 64 REP -20 HD 65 REP -22 HD 8 DEM 34 HD 7 DEM 31 HD 10 DEM 30 HD 4 DEM 29 HD 5 DEM 27 HD 2 DEM 24 HD 13 DEM 20 HD 42 DEM 19 HD 6 DEM 16 HD 32 DEM 16 HD 12 DEM 15 HD 9 DEM 13 HD 53 DEM 12 HD 1 DEM 11 HD 41 DEM 11 HD 11 DEM 8 HD 36 DEM 8 HD 26 DEM 7 HD 30 DEM 7 HD 31 DEM 7 HD 34 DEM 7 HD 62 DEM 7 HD 23 DEM 6 HD 24 DEM 6 HD 35 DEM 6 HD 40 DEM 6 HD 52 DEM 6 HD 61 DEM 6 HD 17 DEM 5 HD 18 DEM 5 HD 28 DEM 5 HD 29 DEM 5 HD 46 DEM 5 HD 33 DEM 4 * HD 50 DEM 4 HD 3 DEM 2 HD 59 DEM 1 HD 27 REP -3 HD 25 REP -4 HD 37 REP -4 HD 47 REP -4 HD 38 REP -5 HD 22 REP -7 HD 51 REP -7 HD 21 REP -8 HD 49 REP -8 HD 43 REP -10 HD 56 REP -10 HD 63 REP -10 HD 57 REP -11 HD 44 REP -12 HD 60 REP -12 HD 16 REP -13 HD 48 REP -13 HD 58 REP -13 HD 20 REP -14 HD 55 REP -15 HD 15 REP -17 HD 39 REP -17 HD 45 REP -17 HD 64 REP -20 HD 14 REP -22 HD 65 REP -22 HD 54 REP -23 HD 19 REP -27 The CO House of Representatives is even more a democrat gerrymander than the CO state senate. The “decisive” seat is D+4, that’s why I don’t believe Colorado republicans should be able to flip this chamber. 2014 will be an important year for Colorado Republicans. If they fail to win some important elections (senate,…), I guess CO democrats will dominate Colorado for the next decades. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 03:39:52 PM Connecticut
() 1 DEM 40 2 REP 2 3 DEM 40 4 DEM 39 5 DEM 37 6 DEM 34 7 DEM 44 8 REP 5 9 DEM 15 10 DEM 23 11 DEM 21 12 DEM 16 13 DEM 10 14 REP 7 15 DEM 30 16 DEM 1 17 REP -1 18 DEM 19 19 DEM 7 20 DEM 17 21 DEM 2 22 DEM 10 23 REP 4 24 DEM 20 25 DEM 31 26 DEM 22 27 DEM 9 28 DEM 4 29 DEM 6 30 DEM 0 31 REP 2 32 REP 5 33 DEM 17 34 REP 3 35 DEM 2 36 DEM 6 37 DEM 6 38 DEM 5 39 DEM 31 40 DEM 6 41 DEM 11 42 DEM 0 43 DEM 6 44 DEM 3 45 DEM 1 46 DEM 17 47 DEM 2 48 DEM 4 49 DEM 21 50 REP -1 51 DEM 0 52 REP -1 53 REP 4 54 DEM 24 55 REP 1 56 DEM 10 57 REP 1 58 DEM 7 59 DEM 4 60 DEM 9 61 DEM -2 62 REP -3 63 REP -4 64 DEM 9 65 DEM 0 66 REP -5 67 REP -1 68 REP -12 69 REP -3 70 REP -1 71 REP -7 72 DEM 26 73 DEM 7 74 REP 8 75 DEM 27 76 REP -7 77 DEM 7 78 REP 0 79 DEM 10 80 REP -10 81 DEM 2 82 DEM 11 83 DEM 6 84 DEM 25 85 DEM 7 86 REP 0 87 REP -1 88 DEM 12 89 REP -4 90 DEM 0 91 DEM 19 92 DEM 38 93 DEM 41 94 DEM 38 95 DEM 39 96 DEM 27 97 DEM 24 98 DEM 7 99 DEM 5 100 DEM 18 101 REP 0 102 DEM 8 103 REP 0 104 DEM 9 105 DEM -4 106 REP -3 107 REP -5 108 REP -4 109 DEM 6 110 DEM 16 111 REP -3 112 REP -7 113 REP -5 114 REP 1 115 DEM 14 116 DEM 30 117 DEM 2 118 DEM 5 119 DEM -2 120 REP 0 121 DEM 16 122 REP -7 123 REP -5 124 DEM 39 125 REP -9 126 DEM 34 127 DEM 20 128 DEM 40 129 DEM 25 130 DEM 39 131 REP -8 132 REP 1 133 DEM 5 134 REP -1 135 REP 1 136 DEM 8 137 DEM 15 138 REP 1 139 DEM 6 140 DEM 28 141 REP -9 142 REP 2 143 REP 0 144 REP 6 145 DEM 30 146 DEM 14 147 DEM 0 148 DEM 17 149 REP -5 150 REP 0 151 REP -4 7 DEM 44 93 DEM 41 1 DEM 40 3 DEM 40 128 DEM 40 4 DEM 39 95 DEM 39 124 DEM 39 130 DEM 39 92 DEM 38 94 DEM 38 5 DEM 37 6 DEM 34 126 DEM 34 25 DEM 31 39 DEM 31 15 DEM 30 116 DEM 30 145 DEM 30 140 DEM 28 75 DEM 27 96 DEM 27 72 DEM 26 84 DEM 25 129 DEM 25 54 DEM 24 97 DEM 24 10 DEM 23 26 DEM 22 11 DEM 21 49 DEM 21 24 DEM 20 127 DEM 20 18 DEM 19 91 DEM 19 100 DEM 18 20 DEM 17 33 DEM 17 46 DEM 17 148 DEM 17 12 DEM 16 110 DEM 16 121 DEM 16 9 DEM 15 137 DEM 15 115 DEM 14 146 DEM 14 88 DEM 12 41 DEM 11 82 DEM 11 13 DEM 10 22 DEM 10 56 DEM 10 79 DEM 10 27 DEM 9 60 DEM 9 64 DEM 9 104 DEM 9 74 REP 8 102 DEM 8 136 DEM 8 14 REP 7 19 DEM 7 58 DEM 7 73 DEM 7 77 DEM 7 85 DEM 7 98 DEM 7 29 DEM 6 36 DEM 6 37 DEM 6 40 DEM 6 43 DEM 6 83 DEM 6 109 DEM 6 139 DEM 6 * 144 REP 6 8 REP 5 32 REP 5 38 DEM 5 99 DEM 5 118 DEM 5 133 DEM 5 23 REP 4 28 DEM 4 48 DEM 4 53 REP 4 59 DEM 4 34 REP 3 44 DEM 3 2 REP 2 21 DEM 2 31 REP 2 35 DEM 2 47 DEM 2 81 DEM 2 117 DEM 2 142 REP 2 16 DEM 1 45 DEM 1 55 REP 1 57 REP 1 114 REP 1 132 REP 1 135 REP 1 138 REP 1 30 DEM 0 42 DEM 0 51 DEM 0 65 DEM 0 78 REP 0 86 REP 0 90 DEM 0 101 REP 0 103 REP 0 120 REP 0 143 REP 0 147 DEM 0 150 REP 0 17 REP -1 50 REP -1 52 REP -1 67 REP -1 70 REP -1 87 REP -1 134 REP -1 61 DEM -2 119 DEM -2 62 REP -3 69 REP -3 106 REP -3 111 REP -3 63 REP -4 89 REP -4 105 DEM -4 108 REP -4 151 REP -4 66 REP -5 107 REP -5 113 REP -5 123 REP -5 149 REP -5 71 REP -7 76 REP -7 112 REP -7 122 REP -7 131 REP -8 125 REP -9 141 REP -9 80 REP -10 68 REP -12 Well, a democrat gerrymander once again. Democrats will never lose their majority in this chamber. But what we can observe is that the Connecticut Republican Party is quite competitive (D+5,D+4 republicans districts). “Rockefeller” Republicans aren’t dead yet in Connecticut. I hope I will find the Governor results by house districts soon. I guess in some parts of the state, the Connecticut Republican Party overperforms. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 03:40:37 PM Delaware
() 1 DEM 36 2 DEM 41 3 DEM 35 4 DEM 10 5 DME 31 6 DEM 11 7 DEM 13 8 DEM 10 9 DEM 3 10 DEM 10 11 REP -3 12 REP -1 13 DEM 26 14 DEM -2 15 DEM 16 16 DEM 32 17 DEM 25 18 DEM 23 19 DEM 14 20 REP -3 21 REP 9 22 REP 2 23 DEM 9 24 DEM 18 25 DEM 14 26 DEM 22 27 DEM 11 28 DEM 10 29 DEM 3 30 REP -11 31 DEM 11 32 DEM 10 33 REP -5 34 REP -3 35 REP -11 36 REP -8 37 REP -5 38 REP -14 39 REP -10 40 REP -13 41 DEM -10 2 DEM 41 1 DEM 36 3 DEM 35 16 DEM 32 5 DME 31 13 DEM 26 17 DEM 25 18 DEM 23 26 DEM 22 24 DEM 18 15 DEM 16 19 DEM 14 25 DEM 14 7 DEM 13 6 DEM 11 27 DEM 11 31 DEM 11 4 DEM 10 8 DEM 10 10 DEM 10 28 DEM 10 * 32 DEM 10 21 REP 9 23 DEM 9 9 DEM 3 29 DEM 3 22 REP 2 12 REP -1 14 DEM -2 11 REP -3 20 REP -3 34 REP -3 33 REP -5 37 REP -5 36 REP -8 39 REP -10 41 DEM -10 30 REP -11 35 REP -11 40 REP -13 38 REP -14 A democrat gerrymander once again :P. I just would like to say that DE Republicans hold this chamber until Barack Obama’s election in 2008. It appears things have changed quickly. The DE Republican simply doesn’t exist anymore and isn’t competitive at all. The “moderation” of the DE democratic party is probably killing them. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 03:42:32 PM Florida:
() HD 1 REP -16 HD 2 REP -11 HD 3 REP -29 HD 4 REP -26 HD 5 REP -26 HD 6 REP -24 HD 7 REP -16 HD 8 DEM 24 HD 9 DEM 0 HD 10 REP -22 HD 11 REP -22 HD 12 REP -13 HD 13 DEM 14 HD 14 DEM 14 HD 15 REP -10 HD 16 REP -16 HD 17 REP -21 HD 18 REP -25 HD 19 REP -20 HD 20 DEM 13 HD 21 REP -3 HD 22 REP -11 HD 23 REP -13 HD 24 REP -9 HD 25 REP -7 HD 26 DEM 7 HD 27 REP -1 HD 28 REP -5 HD 29 DEM -7 HD 30 DEM -2 HD 31 REP -11 HD 32 REP -8 HD 33 REP -18 HD 34 REP -12 HD 35 REP -5 HD 36 DEM 0 HD 37 REP -9 HD 38 REP -7 HD 39 REP -9 HD 40 REP -6 HD 41 REP -3 HD 42 REP -3 HD 43 DEM 19 HD 44 REP -6 HD 45 DEM 16 HD 46 DEM 31 HD 47 DEM -2 HD 48 DEM 18 HD 49 DEM 8 HD 50 REP -5 HD 51 REP -8 HD 52 REP -12 HD 53 REP -3 HD 54 REP -11 HD 55 REP -13 HD 56 REP -10 HD 57 REP -10 HD 58 REP -6 HD 59 REP -3 HD 60 REP -5 HD 61 DEM 31 HD 62 DEM 11 HD 63 DEM 1 HD 64 REP -8 HD 65 DEM -6 HD 66 REP -4 HD 67 REP 1 HD 68 DEM 2 HD 69 REP -1 HD 70 DEM 27 HD 71 REP -6 HD 72 REP -3 HD 73 REP -13 HD 74 REP -8 HD 75 REP -8 HD 76 REP -15 HD 77 REP -10 HD 78 REP -7 HD 79 REP -6 HD 80 REP -12 HD 81 DEM 9 HD 82 REP -11 HD 83 REP -2 HD 84 DEM 3 HD 85 REP -3 HD 86 DEM 7 HD 87 DEM 15 HD 88 DEM 30 HD 89 REP -3 HD 90 DEM 11 HD 91 DEM 9 HD 92 DEM 21 HD 93 REP -4 HD 94 DEM 31 HD 95 DEM 33 HD 96 DEM 9 HD 97 DEM 14 HD 98 DEM 9 HD 99 DEM 9 HD 100 DEM 7 HD 101 DEM 26 HD 102 DEM 33 HD 103 REP 0 HD 104 DEM 6 HD 105 REP -2 HD 106 REP -19 HD 107 DEM 33 HD 108 DEM 37 HD 109 DEM 37 HD 110 REP -6 HD 111 REP -9 HD 112 DEM -1 HD 113 DEM 9 HD 114 REP -3 HD 115 REP -4 HD 116 REP -11 HD 117 DEM 28 HD 118 REP -4 HD 119 REP -5 HD 120 REP 0 HD 108 DEM 37 HD 109 DEM 37 HD 95 DEM 33 HD 102 DEM 33 HD 107 DEM 33 HD 46 DEM 31 HD 61 DEM 31 HD 94 DEM 31 HD 88 DEM 30 HD 117 DEM 28 HD 70 DEM 27 HD 101 DEM 26 HD 8 DEM 24 HD 92 DEM 21 HD 43 DEM 19 HD 48 DEM 18 HD 45 DEM 16 HD 87 DEM 15 HD 13 DEM 14 HD 14 DEM 14 HD 97 DEM 14 HD 20 DEM 13 HD 62 DEM 11 HD 90 DEM 11 HD 81 DEM 9 HD 91 DEM 9 HD 96 DEM 9 HD 98 DEM 9 HD 99 DEM 9 HD 113 DEM 9 HD 49 DEM 8 HD 26 DEM 7 HD 86 DEM 7 HD 100 DEM 7 HD 104 DEM 6 HD 84 DEM 3 HD 68 DEM 2 HD 63 DEM 1 HD 67 REP 1 HD 9 DEM 0 HD 36 DEM 0 HD 103 REP 0 HD 120 REP 0 HD 27 REP -1 HD 69 REP -1 HD 112 DEM -1 HD 30 DEM -2 HD 47 DEM -2 HD 83 REP -2 HD 105 REP -2 HD 21 REP -3 HD 41 REP -3 HD 42 REP -3 HD 53 REP -3 HD 59 REP -3 HD 72 REP -3 HD 85 REP -3 HD 89 REP -3 HD 114 REP -3 HD 66 REP -4 * HD 93 REP -4 HD 115 REP -4 HD 118 REP -4 HD 28 REP -5 HD 35 REP -5 HD 50 REP -5 HD 60 REP -5 HD 119 REP -5 HD 40 REP -6 HD 44 REP -6 HD 58 REP -6 HD 65 DEM -6 HD 71 REP -6 HD 79 REP -6 HD 110 REP -6 HD 25 REP -7 HD 29 DEM -7 HD 38 REP -7 HD 78 REP -7 HD 32 REP -8 HD 51 REP -8 HD 64 REP -8 HD 74 REP -8 HD 75 REP -8 HD 24 REP -9 HD 37 REP -9 HD 39 REP -9 HD 111 REP -9 HD 15 REP -10 HD 56 REP -10 HD 57 REP -10 HD 77 REP -10 HD 2 REP -11 HD 22 REP -11 HD 31 REP -11 HD 54 REP -11 HD 82 REP -11 HD 116 REP -11 HD 34 REP -12 HD 52 REP -12 HD 80 REP -12 HD 12 REP -13 HD 23 REP -13 HD 55 REP -13 HD 73 REP -13 HD 76 REP -15 HD 7 REP -16 HD 1 REP -16 HD 16 REP -16 HD 33 REP -18 HD 106 REP -19 HD 19 REP -20 HD 17 REP -21 HD 10 REP -22 HD 11 REP -22 HD 6 REP -24 HD 18 REP -25 HD 4 REP -26 HD 5 REP -26 HD 3 REP -29 These PVIs just show how the Florida Democrat Party is an incompetent party. Considering that Rick is clearly a conservative and was unpopular in 2012, Florida democrats should have at least been able to carry most of the toss up districts Obama carried, and they failed to do that. This map is as well a republican gerrymander, Florida democrats won’t take this chamber before a long time. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 03:45:20 PM Georgia:
() HD 1 REP -27 HD 2 REP -29 HD 3 REP -28 HD 4 REP -19 HD 5 REP -30 HD 6 REP -28 HD 7 REP -31 HD 8 REP -31 HD 9 REP -35 HD 10 REP -35 HD 11 REP -32 HD 12 REP -26 HD 13 REP -15 HD 14 REP -30 HD 15 REP -24 HD 16 REP -28 HD 17 REP -27 HD 18 REP -22 HD 19 REP -22 HD 20 REP -28 HD 21 REP -31 HD 22 REP -33 HD 23 REP -30 HD 24 REP -33 HD 25 REP -30 HD 26 REP -37 HD 27 REP -37 HD 28 REP -33 HD 29 REP -19 HD 30 REP -29 HD 31 REP -34 HD 32 REP -27 HD 33 REP -20 HD 34 REP -16 HD 35 REP -14 HD 36 REP -27 HD 37 REP -7 HD 38 DEM 7 HD 39 DEM 23 HD 40 REP -6 HD 41 DEM 11 HD 42 DEM 16 HD 43 REP -12 HD 44 REP -16 HD 45 REP -18 HD 46 REP -23 HD 47 REP -22 HD 48 REP -11 HD 49 REP -15 HD 50 REP -13 HD 51 REP -8 HD 52 REP -13 HD 53 DEM 24 HD 54 REP -7 HD 55 DEM 31 HD 56 DEM 37 HD 57 DEM 32 HD 58 DEM 37 HD 59 DEM 36 HD 60 DEM 37 HD 61 DEM 28 HD 62 DEM 26 HD 63 DEM 19 HD 64 DEM 16 HD 65 DEM 25 HD 66 DEM 1 HD 67 REP -20 HD 68 REP -24 HD 69 REP -25 HD 70 REP -21 HD 71 REP -29 HD 72 REP -28 HD 73 REP -17 HD 74 DEM 34 HD 75 DEM 31 HD 76 DEM 27 HD 77 DEM 37 HD 78 DEM 21 HD 79 REP -7 HD 80 REP -5 HD 81 DEM 2 HD 82 DEM 13 HD 83 DEM 35 HD 84 DEM 34 HD 85 DEM 34 HD 86 DEM 26 HD 87 DEM 30 HD 88 DEM 27 HD 89 DEM 38 HD 90 DEM 22 HD 91 DEM 17 HD 92 DEM 28 HD 93 DEM 23 HD 94 DEM 26 HD 95 REP -9 HD 96 DEM 4 HD 97 REP -19 HD 98 REP -21 HD 99 DEM 18 HD 100 DEM 22 HD 101 REP -6 HD 102 REP -13 HD 103 REP -28 HD 104 REP -21 HD 105 REP -3 HD 106 REP -11 HD 107 REP -8 HD 108 REP -14 HD 109 REP -16 HD 110 REP -13 HD 111 REP -4 HD 112 REP -20 HD 113 DEM 17 HD 114 REP -27 HD 115 REP -27 HD 116 REP -28 HD 117 REP -7 HD 118 DEM 18 HD 119 REP -10 HD 120 REP -14 HD 121 REP -18 HD 122 REP -27 HD 123 REP -21 HD 124 DEM 18 HD 125 DEM 10 HD 126 DEM 17 HD 127 DEM 18 HD 128 DEM 6 HD 129 REP -17 HD 130 REP -10 HD 131 REP -22 HD 132 DEM -1 HD 133 REP -24 HD 134 REP -20 HD 135 DEM 22 HD 136 DEM 23 HD 137 DEM 8 HD 138 REP -3 HD 139 DEM 10 HD 140 REP -10 HD 141 REP -19 HD 142 DEM 20 HD 143 DEM 20 HD 144 REP -15 HD 145 IND -3 HD 146 REP -20 HD 147 REP -9 HD 148 REP -16 HD 149 REP -17 HD 150 REP -14 HD 151 REP 2 HD 152 REP -25 HD 153 DEM 12 HD 154 DEM 11 HD 155 REP -19 HD 156 REP -24 HD 157 REP -21 HD 158 REP -12 HD 159 REP -15 HD 160 REP -18 HD 161 REP -24 HD 162 DEM 18 HD 163 DEM 22 HD 164 REP -11 HD 165 DEM 15 HD 166 REP -22 HD 167 REP -19 HD 168 DEM 11 HD 169 REP -21 HD 170 REP -21 HD 171 REP -12 HD 172 REP -18 HD 173 REP -8 HD 174 REP -20 HD 175 REP -19 HD 176 REP -21 HD 177 DEM 14 HD 178 REP -35 HD 179 REP -10 HD 180 REP -17 HD 89 DEM 38 HD 56 DEM 37 HD 58 DEM 37 HD 60 DEM 37 HD 77 DEM 37 HD 59 DEM 36 HD 83 DEM 35 HD 74 DEM 34 HD 84 DEM 34 HD 85 DEM 34 HD 57 DEM 32 HD 55 DEM 31 HD 75 DEM 31 HD 87 DEM 30 HD 61 DEM 28 HD 92 DEM 28 HD 76 DEM 27 HD 88 DEM 27 HD 62 DEM 26 HD 86 DEM 26 HD 94 DEM 26 HD 65 DEM 25 HD 53 DEM 24 HD 39 DEM 23 HD 93 DEM 23 HD 136 DEM 23 HD 90 DEM 22 HD 100 DEM 22 HD 135 DEM 22 HD 163 DEM 22 HD 78 DEM 21 HD 142 DEM 20 HD 143 DEM 20 HD 63 DEM 19 HD 99 DEM 18 HD 118 DEM 18 HD 124 DEM 18 HD 127 DEM 18 HD 162 DEM 18 HD 91 DEM 17 HD 113 DEM 17 HD 126 DEM 17 HD 42 DEM 16 HD 64 DEM 16 HD 165 DEM 15 HD 177 DEM 14 HD 82 DEM 13 HD 153 DEM 12 HD 41 DEM 11 HD 154 DEM 11 HD 168 DEM 11 HD 125 DEM 10 HD 139 DEM 10 HD 137 DEM 8 HD 38 DEM 7 HD 128 DEM 6 HD 96 DEM 4 HD 81 DEM 2 HD 151 REP 2 HD 66 DEM 1 HD 132 DEM -1 ** HD 105 REP -3 HD 138 REP -3 HD 145 IND -3 HD 111 REP -4 HD 80 REP -5 HD 40 REP -6 HD 101 REP -6 HD 37 REP -7 HD 54 REP -7 HD 79 REP -7 HD 117 REP -7 HD 51 REP -8 HD 107 REP -8 HD 173 REP -8 HD 95 REP -9 HD 147 REP -9 HD 119 REP -10 HD 130 REP -10 HD 140 REP -10 HD 179 REP -10 HD 48 REP -11 HD 106 REP -11 HD 164 REP -11 HD 43 REP -12 HD 158 REP -12 HD 171 REP -12 HD 50 REP -13 HD 52 REP -13 HD 102 REP -13 * HD 110 REP -13 HD 35 REP -14 HD 108 REP -14 HD 120 REP -14 HD 150 REP -14 HD 13 REP -15 HD 49 REP -15 HD 144 REP -15 HD 159 REP -15 HD 34 REP -16 HD 44 REP -16 HD 109 REP -16 HD 148 REP -16 HD 73 REP -17 HD 129 REP -17 HD 149 REP -17 HD 180 REP -17 HD 45 REP -18 HD 121 REP -18 HD 160 REP -18 HD 172 REP -18 HD 4 REP -19 HD 29 REP -19 HD 97 REP -19 HD 141 REP -19 HD 155 REP -19 HD 167 REP -19 HD 175 REP -19 HD 33 REP -20 HD 67 REP -20 HD 112 REP -20 HD 134 REP -20 HD 146 REP -20 HD 174 REP -20 HD 70 REP -21 HD 98 REP -21 HD 104 REP -21 HD 123 REP -21 HD 157 REP -21 HD 169 REP -21 HD 170 REP -21 HD 176 REP -21 HD 18 REP -22 HD 19 REP -22 HD 47 REP -22 HD 131 REP -22 HD 166 REP -22 HD 46 REP -23 HD 15 REP -24 HD 68 REP -24 HD 133 REP -24 HD 156 REP -24 HD 161 REP -24 HD 69 REP -25 HD 152 REP -25 HD 12 REP -26 HD 1 REP -27 HD 17 REP -27 HD 32 REP -27 HD 36 REP -27 HD 114 REP -27 HD 115 REP -27 HD 122 REP -27 HD 3 REP -28 HD 6 REP -28 HD 16 REP -28 HD 20 REP -28 HD 72 REP -28 HD 103 REP -28 HD 116 REP -28 HD 2 REP -29 HD 30 REP -29 HD 71 REP -29 HD 5 REP -30 HD 14 REP -30 HD 23 REP -30 HD 25 REP -30 HD 7 REP -31 HD 8 REP -31 HD 21 REP -31 HD 11 REP -32 HD 22 REP -33 HD 24 REP -33 HD 28 REP -33 HD 31 REP -34 HD 9 REP -35 HD 10 REP -35 HD 178 REP -35 HD 26 REP -37 HD 27 REP -37 And now the great state of Georgia where massive FFs like Adam Griffin and Bbacon King are trying to transform Blue Georgia into Red Georgia. While GA democrats will never be able to gain this chamber for this decade and probably for the next decade, Republicans risk to lose their supermajority, so with Governor Jason Carter, that would be the represent the slowly return of power of the GA democratic party (although Carter will probably lose ). Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 03:47:18 PM Hawaii :
(I didn’t find a map) HD 31 REP 16 HD 32 DEM 20 HD 33 DEM 20 HD 34 DEM 22 HD 35 DEM 20 HD 36 REP 14 HD 37 DEM 17 HD 38 DEM 24 HD 39 DEM 15 HD 40 REP 12 HD 41 DEM 14 HD 42 DEM 11 HD 43 DEM 19 HD 44 DEM 21 HD 45 REP 15 HD 46 DEM 19 HD 47 REP 1 HD 48 DEM 17 HD 49 DEM 20 HD 50 REP 13 HD 51 DEM 19 HD 2 DEM 31 HD 9 DEM 31 HD 1 DEM 29 HD 3 DEM 29 HD 13 DEM 29 HD 4 DEM 26 HD 8 DEM 26 HD 21 DEM 25 HD 12 DEM 24 HD 14 DEM 24 HD 20 DEM 24 HD 23 DEM 24 HD 28 DEM 24 HD 38 DEM 24 HD 15 DEM 23 HD 16 DEM 23 HD 27 DEM 23 HD 30 DEM 23 HD 25 DEM 22 HD 29 DEM 22 HD 34 DEM 22 HD 24 DEM 21 HD 44 DEM 21 HD 5 DEM 20 HD 7 DEM 20 HD 32 DEM 20 HD 33 DEM 20 HD 35 DEM 20 HD 49 DEM 20 HD 26 DEM 19 HD 43 DEM 19 HD 46 DEM 19 HD 51 DEM 19 HD 19 DEM 18 HD 37 DEM 17 HD 48 DEM 17 HD 10 DEM 16 HD 31 REP 16 HD 11 DEM 15 HD 39 DEM 15 HD 45 REP 15 HD 18 DEM 14 HD 36 REP 14 HD 41 DEM 14 HD 6 DEM 13 HD 17 REP 13 HD 22 DEM 13 HD 50 REP 13 HD 40 REP 12 HD 42 DEM 11 HD 47 REP 1 Well, I have nothing to say :P, except that the HI democratic isn’t extremely progressive because republicans, knowing they would never win in most of the seats, run as democrats. That’s the problem with uncompetitive elections. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 03:48:38 PM Idaho
() LD 1 2R -15 LD 2 2R -23 LD 3 2R -21 LD 4 2R -10 LD 5 1D1R -4 LD 6 1D1R -14 LD 7 2R -20 LD 8 2R -21 LD 9 2R -25 LD 10 2R -14 LD 11 2R -27 LD 12 2R -19 LD 13 2R -21 LD 14 2R -21 LD 15 2R -10 LD 16 2D 1 LD 17 2D 5 LD 18 2D 0 LD 19 2D 13 LD 20 2R -18 LD 21 2R -17 LD 22 2R -22 LD 23 2R -24 LD 24 2R -19 LD 25 2R -28 LD 26 1D1R -4 LD 27 2R -34 LD 28 2R -18 LD 29 2D -6 LD 30 2R -31 LD 31 2R -28 LD 32 2R -32 LD 33 2R -19 LD 34 2R -43 LD 35 2R -37 LD 19 2D 13 LD 17 2D 5 LD 16 2D 1 LD 18 2D 0 LD 5 1D1R -4 LD 26 1D1R -4 LD 29 2D -6 LD 4 2R -10 LD 15 2R -10 LD 6 1D1R -14 LD 10 2R -14 LD 1 2R -15 LD 21 2R -17 LD 20 2R -18 LD 28 2R -18 LD 12 2R -19 LD 24 2R -19 * LD 33 2R -19 LD 7 2R -20 LD 3 2R -21 LD 8 2R -21 LD 13 2R -21 LD 14 2R -21 LD 22 2R -22 LD 2 2R -23 LD 23 2R -24 LD 9 2R -25 LD 11 2R -27 LD 25 2R -28 LD 31 2R -28 LD 30 2R -31 LD 32 2R -32 LD 27 2R -34 LD 35 2R -37 LD 34 2R -43 Idaho is obviously a heavily republican state. But ID democrats manage to be relatively competitive in some house districts. ID democrats often manage to find good candidates. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 03:50:07 PM Illinois
() : HD 1 DEM 31 HD 2 DEM 30 HD 3 DEM 28 HD 4 DEM 36 HD 5 DEM 36 HD 6 DEM 37 HD 7 DEM 29 HD 8 DEM 34 HD 9 DEM 37 HD 10 DEM 39 HD 11 DEM 23 HD 12 DEM 24 HD 13 DEM 33 HD 14 DEM 36 HD 15 DEM 10 HD 16 DEM 16 HD 17 DEM 12 HD 18 DEM 18 HD 19 DEM 12 HD 20 REP 2 HD 21 DEM 22 HD 22 DEM 19 HD 23 DEM 16 HD 24 DEM 25 HD 25 DEM 41 HD 26 DEM 35 HD 27 DEM 30 HD 28 DEM 28 HD 29 DEM 31 HD 30 DEM 31 HD 31 DEM 31 HD 32 DEM 35 HD 33 DEM 35 HD 34 DEM 29 HD 35 DEM 6 HD 36 DEM 5 HD 37 REP -10 HD 38 DEM 27 HD 39 DEM 32 HD 40 DEM 31 HD 41 REP -2 HD 42 REP -4 HD 43 DEM 15 HD 44 DEM 12 HD 45 REP -1 HD 46 DEM 8 HD 47 REP -6 HD 48 REP 0 HD 49 REP -1 HD 50 REP -6 HD 51 REP -6 HD 52 REP -5 HD 53 REP 0 HD 54 REP -2 HD 55 DEM 5 HD 56 DEM 6 HD 57 DEM 9 HD 58 DEM 9 HD 59 DEM 10 HD 60 DEM 24 HD 61 REP 1 HD 62 DEM 5 HD 63 DEM -3 HD 64 REP -5 HD 65 REP -5 HD 66 REP -2 HD 67 DEM 19 HD 68 REP -2 HD 69 REP -6 HD 70 REP 0 HD 71 DEM 5 HD 72 DEM 10 HD 73 REP -11 HD 74 REP 0 HD 75 REP -6 HD 76 DEM 3 HD 77 DEM 13 HD 78 DEM 29 HD 79 DEM -1 HD 80 DEM 15 HD 81 REP 1 HD 82 REP -8 HD 83 DEM 18 HD 84 DEM 10 HD 85 DEM 13 HD 86 DEM 14 HD 87 REP -11 HD 88 REP -9 HD 89 REP -4 HD 90 REP -7 HD 91 REP 2 HD 92 DEM 13 HD 93 REP 0 HD 94 REP -12 HD 95 REP -5 HD 96 DEM 8 HD 97 REP -3 HD 98 DEM 9 HD 99 REP -7 HD 100 REP -10 HD 101 REP -15 HD 102 REP -14 HD 103 DEM 19 HD 104 REP -3 HD 105 REP -7 HD 106 REP -20 HD 107 REP -14 HD 108 REP -14 HD 109 REP -19 HD 110 REP -10 HD 111 DEM 2 HD 112 REP 0 HD 113 DEM 8 HD 114 DEM 14 HD 115 REP -5 HD 116 REP -7 HD 117 REP -11 HD 118 REP -9 HD 25 DEM 41 HD 10 DEM 39 HD 6 DEM 37 HD 9 DEM 37 HD 4 DEM 36 HD 5 DEM 36 HD 14 DEM 36 HD 26 DEM 35 HD 32 DEM 35 HD 33 DEM 35 HD 8 DEM 34 HD 13 DEM 33 HD 39 DEM 32 HD 1 DEM 31 HD 29 DEM 31 HD 30 DEM 31 HD 31 DEM 31 HD 40 DEM 31 HD 2 DEM 30 HD 27 DEM 30 HD 7 DEM 29 HD 34 DEM 29 HD 78 DEM 29 HD 3 DEM 28 HD 28 DEM 28 HD 38 DEM 27 HD 24 DEM 25 HD 12 DEM 24 HD 60 DEM 24 HD 11 DEM 23 HD 21 DEM 22 HD 22 DEM 19 HD 67 DEM 19 HD 103 DEM 19 HD 18 DEM 18 HD 83 DEM 18 HD 16 DEM 16 HD 23 DEM 16 HD 43 DEM 15 HD 80 DEM 15 HD 86 DEM 14 HD 114 DEM 14 HD 77 DEM 13 HD 85 DEM 13 HD 92 DEM 13 HD 17 DEM 12 HD 19 DEM 12 HD 44 DEM 12 HD 15 DEM 10 HD 59 DEM 10 HD 72 DEM 10 HD 84 DEM 10 HD 57 DEM 9 HD 58 DEM 9 HD 98 DEM 9 HD 46 DEM 8 HD 96 DEM 8 HD 113 DEM 8 HD 35 DEM 6 * HD 56 DEM 6 HD 36 DEM 5 HD 55 DEM 5 HD 62 DEM 5 HD 71 DEM 5 HD 76 DEM 3 HD 20 REP 2 HD 91 REP 2 HD 111 DEM 2 HD 61 REP 1 HD 81 REP 1 HD 48 REP 0 HD 53 REP 0 HD 70 REP 0 HD 74 REP 0 HD 93 REP 0 HD 112 REP 0 HD 45 REP -1 HD 49 REP -1 HD 79 DEM -1 HD 41 REP -2 HD 54 REP -2 HD 66 REP -2 HD 68 REP -2 HD 63 DEM -3 HD 97 REP -3 HD 104 REP -3 HD 42 REP -4 HD 89 REP -4 HD 52 REP -5 HD 64 REP -5 HD 65 REP -5 HD 95 REP -5 HD 115 REP -5 HD 47 REP -6 HD 50 REP -6 HD 51 REP -6 HD 69 REP -6 HD 75 REP -6 HD 90 REP -7 HD 99 REP -7 HD 105 REP -7 HD 116 REP -7 HD 82 REP -8 HD 88 REP -9 HD 118 REP -9 HD 37 REP -10 HD 100 REP -10 HD 110 REP -10 HD 73 REP -11 HD 87 REP -11 HD 117 REP -11 HD 94 REP -12 HD 102 REP -14 HD 107 REP -14 HD 108 REP -14 HD 101 REP -15 HD 109 REP -19 HD 106 REP -20 Well, the IL House of representatives is even more polarized than the IL state senate. At least, in the IL state senate, there were blue dogs, not in this chamber! These PVIs show as well that IL isn’t “good” geophically for the Democratic party: their electoral base is too concentrated into Chicago. The map is obviously a dem gerrymander, but the swing district is “only” D+6. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 03:51:36 PM Indiana
() HD 1 DEM 21 HD 2 DEM 39 HD 3 DEM 33 HD 4 REP -3 HD 5 REP -4 HD 6 DEM 16 HD 7 DEM 1 HD 8 DEM 2 HD 9 DEM 10 HD 10 DEM 7 HD 11 REP -9 HD 12 DEM 2 HD 13 REP -13 HD 14 DEM 31 HD 15 REP -5 HD 16 REP -12 HD 17 REP -14 HD 18 REP -22 HD 19 DEM -3 HD 20 REP -1 HD 21 REP -8 HD 22 REP -25 HD 23 REP -12 HD 24 REP -18 HD 25 REP -11 HD 26 REP 2 HD 27 DEM 4 HD 28 REP -22 HD 29 REP -18 HD 30 REP -5 HD 31 REP -9 HD 32 REP -17 HD 33 REP -9 HD 34 DEM 12 HD 35 REP -7 HD 36 DEM 3 HD 37 REP -15 HD 38 REP -15 HD 39 REP -16 HD 40 REP -13 HD 41 REP -18 HD 42 REP -8 HD 43 DEM 7 HD 44 REP -16 HD 45 DEM -10 HD 46 REP -9 HD 47 REP -20 HD 48 REP -9 HD 49 REP -16 HD 50 REP -16 HD 51 REP -14 HD 52 REP -17 HD 53 REP -18 HD 54 REP -9 HD 55 REP -15 HD 56 REP -7 HD 57 REP -17 HD 58 REP -17 HD 59 REP -11 HD 60 REP -9 HD 61 DEM 22 HD 62 REP -8 HD 63 REP -17 HD 64 REP -16 HD 65 REP -14 HD 66 DEM -8 HD 67 REP -16 HD 68 REP -22 HD 69 REP -12 HD 70 REP -14 HD 71 DEM -1 HD 72 REP -8 HD 73 REP -14 HD 74 REP -3 HD 75 REP -11 HD 76 REP -9 HD 77 DEM 8 HD 78 REP -11 HD 79 REP -20 HD 80 DEM 27 HD 81 REP -4 HD 82 REP -17 HD 83 REP -17 HD 84 REP -15 HD 85 REP -17 HD 86 DEM 8 HD 87 DEM -1 HD 88 REP -14 HD 89 REP -2 HD 90 REP -14 HD 91 REP -11 HD 92 DEM 1 HD 93 REP -15 HD 94 DEM 30 HD 95 DEM 26 HD 96 DEM 34 HD 97 DEM 4 HD 98 DEM 30 HD 99 DEM 32 HD 100 DEM 11 HD 2 DEM 39 HD 96 DEM 34 HD 3 DEM 33 HD 99 DEM 32 HD 14 DEM 31 HD 94 DEM 30 HD 98 DEM 30 HD 80 DEM 27 HD 95 DEM 26 HD 61 DEM 22 HD 1 DEM 21 HD 6 DEM 16 HD 34 DEM 12 HD 100 DEM 11 HD 9 DEM 10 HD 77 DEM 8 HD 86 DEM 8 HD 10 DEM 7 HD 43 DEM 7 HD 27 DEM 4 HD 97 DEM 4 HD 36 DEM 3 HD 8 DEM 2 HD 12 DEM 2 HD 26 REP 2 HD 7 DEM 1 HD 92 DEM 1 HD 20 REP -1 HD 71 DEM -1 HD 87 DEM -1 HD 89 REP -2 HD 4 REP -3 HD 19 DEM -3 HD 74 REP -3 HD 5 REP -4 HD 81 REP -4 HD 15 REP -5 HD 30 REP -5 HD 35 REP -7 HD 56 REP -7 HD 21 REP -8 HD 42 REP -8 HD 62 REP -8 HD 66 DEM -8 HD 72 REP -8 HD 11 REP -9 HD 31 REP -9 HD 33 REP -9 HD 46 REP -9 HD 48 REP -9 * HD 54 REP -9 HD 60 REP -9 HD 76 REP -9 HD 45 DEM -10 HD 25 REP -11 HD 59 REP -11 HD 75 REP -11 HD 78 REP -11 HD 91 REP -11 HD 16 REP -12 HD 23 REP -12 HD 69 REP -12 HD 13 REP -13 HD 40 REP -13 HD 17 REP -14 HD 51 REP -14 HD 65 REP -14 HD 70 REP -14 HD 73 REP -14 HD 88 REP -14 HD 90 REP -14 HD 37 REP -15 HD 38 REP -15 HD 55 REP -15 HD 84 REP -15 HD 93 REP -15 HD 39 REP -16 HD 44 REP -16 HD 49 REP -16 HD 50 REP -16 HD 64 REP -16 HD 67 REP -16 HD 32 REP -17 HD 52 REP -17 HD 57 REP -17 HD 58 REP -17 HD 63 REP -17 HD 82 REP -17 HD 83 REP -17 HD 85 REP -17 HD 24 REP -18 HD 29 REP -18 HD 41 REP -18 HD 53 REP -18 HD 47 REP -20 HD 79 REP -20 HD 18 REP -22 HD 28 REP -22 HD 68 REP -22 HD 22 REP -25 The Indiana House of Representatives was controlled by Indiana democrats until 2010 (because of gerrymandering). But they lost their majority in 2010, so Indiana republicans were able to make their own gerrymandering. With the other problem of Indiana democrats: their base is too concentrated into some towns, Indiana democrats won’t be able to regain this chamber. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 03:54:22 PM Iowa
() HD 1 REP -26 HD 2 REP -7 HD 3 REP -19 HD 4 REP -36 HD 5 REP -17 HD 6 REP -8 HD 7 REP -2 HD 8 REP -7 HD 9 DEM 3 HD 10 REP -10 HD 11 REP -7 HD 12 DEM -4 HD 13 DEM 1 HD 14 DEM 6 HD 15 REP 5 HD 16 REP 0 HD 17 REP -9 HD 18 REP -7 HD 19 REP -10 HD 20 REP -3 HD 21 REP -6 HD 22 REP -14 HD 23 REP -10 HD 24 REP -11 HD 25 REP -7 HD 26 DEM -1 HD 27 REP -4 HD 28 REP -4 HD 29 DEM 4 HD 30 DEM -4 HD 31 DEM 8 HD 32 DEM 19 HD 33 DEM 14 HD 34 DEM 15 HD 35 DEM 24 HD 36 DEM 13 HD 37 REP -8 HD 38 REP -3 HD 39 REP -8 HD 40 DEM -2 HD 41 DEM 17 HD 42 REP -1 HD 43 REP -1 HD 44 REP -8 HD 45 DEM 10 HD 46 DEM 9 HD 47 REP 0 HD 48 REP -3 HD 49 REP -5 HD 50 REP -8 HD 51 REP 5 HD 52 DEM 6 HD 53 DEM 11 HD 54 REP -5 HD 55 DEM 5 HD 56 DEM 2 HD 57 DEM -1 HD 58 REP 5 HD 59 DEM 5 HD 60 REP -1 HD 61 DEM 11 HD 62 DEM 24 HD 63 REP -1 HD 64 DEM 7 HD 65 DEM 15 HD 66 DEM 6 HD 67 REP -1 HD 68 DEM 4 HD 69 DEM 15 HD 70 DEM 12 HD 71 DEM 4 HD 72 REP 0 HD 73 REP 3 HD 74 DEM 17 HD 75 REP -2 HD 76 REP 0 HD 77 DEM 8 HD 78 REP -4 HD 79 REP -16 HD 80 REP -6 HD 81 DEM 5 HD 82 DEM 0 HD 83 DEM 7 HD 84 REP -5 HD 85 DEM 22 HD 86 DEM 23 HD 87 DEM 11 HD 88 REP 0 HD 89 DEM 10 HD 90 DEM 20 HD 91 REP 6 HD 92 DEM 2 HD 93 DEM 5 HD 94 REP -6 HD 95 REP 1 HD 96 REP 1 HD 97 REP 0 HD 98 DEM 13 HD 99 DEM 9 HD 100 DEM 12 HD 35 DEM 24 HD 62 DEM 24 HD 86 DEM 23 HD 85 DEM 22 HD 90 DEM 20 HD 32 DEM 19 HD 41 DEM 17 HD 74 DEM 17 HD 34 DEM 15 HD 65 DEM 15 HD 69 DEM 15 HD 33 DEM 14 HD 36 DEM 13 HD 98 DEM 13 HD 70 DEM 12 HD 100 DEM 12 HD 53 DEM 11 HD 61 DEM 11 HD 87 DEM 11 HD 45 DEM 10 HD 89 DEM 10 HD 46 DEM 9 HD 99 DEM 9 HD 31 DEM 8 HD 77 DEM 8 HD 64 DEM 7 HD 83 DEM 7 HD 14 DEM 6 HD 52 DEM 6 HD 66 DEM 6 HD 91 REP 6 HD 15 REP 5 HD 51 REP 5 HD 55 DEM 5 HD 58 REP 5 HD 59 DEM 5 HD 81 DEM 5 HD 93 DEM 5 HD 29 DEM 4 HD 68 DEM 4 HD 71 DEM 4 HD 9 DEM 3 HD 73 REP 3 HD 56 DEM 2 HD 92 DEM 2 HD 13 DEM 1 HD 95 REP 1 HD 96 REP 1 HD 16 REP 0 HD 47 REP 0 * HD 72 REP 0 HD 76 REP 0 HD 82 DEM 0 HD 88 REP 0 HD 97 REP 0 HD 26 DEM -1 HD 42 REP -1 HD 43 REP -1 HD 57 DEM -1 HD 60 REP -1 HD 63 REP -1 HD 67 REP -1 HD 7 REP -2 HD 40 DEM -2 HD 75 REP -2 HD 20 REP -3 HD 38 REP -3 HD 48 REP -3 HD 12 DEM -4 HD 27 REP -4 HD 28 REP -4 HD 30 DEM -4 HD 78 REP -4 HD 49 REP -5 HD 54 REP -5 HD 84 REP -5 HD 21 REP -6 HD 80 REP -6 HD 94 REP -6 HD 2 REP -7 HD 8 REP -7 HD 11 REP -7 HD 18 REP -7 HD 25 REP -7 HD 6 REP -8 HD 37 REP -8 HD 39 REP -8 HD 44 REP -8 HD 50 REP -8 HD 17 REP -9 HD 10 REP -10 HD 19 REP -10 HD 23 REP -10 HD 24 REP -11 HD 22 REP -14 HD 79 REP -16 HD 5 REP -17 HD 3 REP -19 HD 1 REP -26 HD 4 REP -36 Well, a non partisan map with a slight rep advantage. Republicans should keep this chamber because Branstad is heavily popular. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 03:55:52 PM Kansas:
() HD 1 REP -16 HD 2 DEM -9 HD 3 DEM -4 HD 4 REP -20 HD 5 REP -18 HD 6 REP -20 HD 7 REP -13 HD 8 REP -20 HD 9 REP -16 HD 10 DEM 8 HD 11 REP -20 HD 12 REP -28 HD 13 REP -27 HD 14 REP -15 HD 15 REP -8 HD 16 REP -8 HD 17 REP -9 HD 18 REP -7 HD 19 REP -6 HD 20 REP -12 HD 21 REP 0 HD 22 DEM 2 HD 23 REP -1 HD 24 DEM 3 HD 25 REP 1 HD 26 REP -17 HD 27 REP -20 HD 28 REP -17 HD 29 REP -6 HD 30 REP -6 HD 31 DEM 18 HD 32 DEM 21 HD 33 DEM 4 HD 34 DEM 35 HD 35 DEM 33 HD 36 DEM 6 HD 37 DEM 9 HD 38 REP -15 HD 39 REP -15 HD 40 REP -9 HD 41 DEM -3 HD 42 REP -13 HD 43 REP -16 HD 44 DEM 13 HD 45 REP 5 HD 46 DEM 27 HD 47 REP -13 HD 48 REP -14 HD 49 REP -12 HD 50 REP -14 HD 51 REP -23 HD 52 REP -13 HD 53 DEM -3 HD 54 REP -15 HD 55 DEM 7 HD 56 DEM -1 HD 57 DEM 8 HD 58 DEM 16 HD 59 REP -15 HD 60 REP -5 HD 61 REP -22 HD 62 REP -26 HD 63 DEM -14 HD 64 REP -25 HD 65 REP -8 HD 66 DEM 0 HD 67 REP -11 HD 68 REP -17 HD 69 REP -15 HD 70 REP -27 HD 71 REP -18 HD 72 REP -10 HD 73 REP -24 HD 74 REP -20 HD 75 REP -19 HD 76 REP -20 HD 77 REP -22 HD 78 REP -15 HD 79 DEM -18 HD 80 REP -16 HD 81 REP -16 HD 82 REP -20 HD 83 DEM 3 HD 84 DEM 21 HD 85 REP -16 HD 86 DEM 1 HD 87 REP -13 HD 88 DEM -1 HD 89 DEM 11 HD 90 REP -26 HD 91 REP -19 HD 92 DEM -1 HD 93 REP -23 HD 94 REP -21 HD 95 DEM -4 HD 96 DEM -4 HD 97 REP -14 HD 98 REP -9 HD 99 REP -24 HD 100 REP -19 HD 101 REP -27 HD 102 DEM -5 HD 103 DEM 13 HD 104 REP -19 HD 105 REP -12 HD 106 REP -26 HD 107 REP -29 HD 108 REP -22 HD 109 REP -32 HD 110 REP -32 HD 111 REP -22 HD 112 REP -27 HD 113 REP -26 HD 114 REP -24 HD 115 REP -31 HD 116 REP -26 HD 117 REP -30 HD 118 REP -36 HD 119 REP -15 HD 120 REP -33 HD 121 REP -15 HD 122 REP -30 HD 123 REP -19 HD 124 REP -35 HD 125 REP -24 HD 34 DEM 35 HD 35 DEM 33 HD 46 DEM 27 HD 32 DEM 21 HD 84 DEM 21 HD 31 DEM 18 HD 58 DEM 16 HD 44 DEM 13 HD 103 DEM 13 HD 89 DEM 11 HD 37 DEM 9 HD 10 DEM 8 HD 57 DEM 8 HD 55 DEM 7 HD 36 DEM 6 HD 45 REP 5 HD 33 DEM 4 HD 24 DEM 3 HD 83 DEM 3 HD 22 DEM 2 HD 25 REP 1 HD 86 DEM 1 HD 21 REP 0 HD 66 DEM 0 HD 23 REP -1 HD 56 DEM -1 HD 88 DEM -1 HD 92 DEM -1 HD 41 DEM -3 HD 53 DEM -3 HD 3 DEM -4 HD 95 DEM -4 HD 96 DEM -4 HD 60 REP -5 HD 102 DEM -5 HD 19 REP -6 HD 29 REP -6 HD 30 REP -6 HD 18 REP -7 HD 15 REP -8 HD 16 REP -8 HD 65 REP -8 ** HD 2 DEM -9 HD 17 REP -9 HD 40 REP -9 HD 98 REP -9 HD 72 REP -10 HD 67 REP -11 HD 20 REP -12 HD 49 REP -12 HD 105 REP -12 HD 7 REP -13 HD 42 REP -13 HD 47 REP -13 HD 52 REP -13 HD 87 REP -13 HD 48 REP -14 HD 50 REP -14 HD 63 DEM -14 HD 97 REP -14 HD 14 REP -15 HD 38 REP -15 HD 39 REP -15 * HD 54 REP -15 HD 59 REP -15 HD 69 REP -15 HD 78 REP -15 HD 119 REP -15 HD 121 REP -15 HD 1 REP -16 HD 9 REP -16 HD 43 REP -16 HD 80 REP -16 HD 81 REP -16 HD 85 REP -16 HD 26 REP -17 HD 28 REP -17 HD 68 REP -17 HD 5 REP -18 HD 71 REP -18 HD 79 DEM -18 HD 75 REP -19 HD 91 REP -19 HD 100 REP -19 HD 104 REP -19 HD 123 REP -19 HD 4 REP -20 HD 6 REP -20 HD 8 REP -20 HD 11 REP -20 HD 27 REP -20 HD 74 REP -20 HD 76 REP -20 HD 82 REP -20 HD 94 REP -21 HD 61 REP -22 HD 77 REP -22 HD 108 REP -22 HD 111 REP -22 HD 51 REP -23 HD 93 REP -23 HD 73 REP -24 HD 99 REP -24 HD 114 REP -24 HD 125 REP -24 HD 64 REP -25 HD 62 REP -26 HD 90 REP -26 HD 106 REP -26 HD 113 REP -26 HD 116 REP -26 HD 13 REP -27 HD 70 REP -27 HD 101 REP -27 HD 112 REP -27 HD 12 REP -28 HD 107 REP -29 HD 117 REP -30 HD 122 REP -30 HD 115 REP -31 HD 109 REP -32 HD 110 REP -32 HD 120 REP -33 HD 124 REP -35 HD 118 REP -36 Well, I guess there was a RINO hunt for this chamber too? Even with a Davis victory, KS democrats won’t be able to gain this chamber, they might end the GOP supermajority though. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 03:57:24 PM Kentucky
() HD 1 REP -22 HD 2 REP -21 HD 3 DEM -9 HD 4 REP -22 HD 5 DEM -16 HD 6 DEM -18 HD 7 REP -14 HD 8 DEM -6 HD 9 REP -20 HD 10 REP -11 HD 11 DEM -5 HD 12 DEM -17 HD 13 DEM -3 HD 14 DEM -16 HD 15 DEM -12 HD 16 DEM -20 HD 17 REP -22 HD 18 REP -21 HD 19 REP -15 HD 20 DEM -4 HD 21 REP -22 HD 22 DEM -21 HD 23 DEM -20 HD 24 DEM -17 HD 25 DEM -16 HD 26 REP -19 HD 27 DEM -10 HD 28 DEM -8 HD 29 REP -13 HD 30 DEM 19 HD 31 DEM -1 HD 32 REP -8 HD 33 REP -11 HD 34 DEM 9 HD 35 DEM 4 HD 36 REP -18 HD 37 DEM -2 HD 38 DEM 0 HD 39 DEM -21 HD 40 DEM 14 HD 41 DEM 28 HD 42 DEM 34 HD 43 DEM 22 HD 44 DEM 7 HD 45 REP -13 HD 46 DEM 2 HD 47 DEM -12 HD 48 REP -9 HD 49 REP -19 HD 50 REP -10 HD 51 REP -26 HD 52 REP -28 HD 53 REP -21 HD 54 REP -21 HD 55 REP -21 HD 56 DEM -9 HD 57 DEM -2 HD 58 REP -16 HD 59 REP -20 HD 60 REP -24 HD 61 REP -20 HD 62 REP -14 HD 63 REP -20 HD 64 REP -20 HD 65 DEM 4 HD 66 REP -23 HD 67 DEM -4 HD 68 REP -20 HD 69 REP -12 HD 70 DEM -15 HD 71 DEM -28 HD 72 DEM -10 HD 73 REP -18 HD 74 DEM -12 HD 75 DEM 7 HD 76 DEM 3 HD 77 DEM 20 HD 78 DEM -15 HD 79 DEM 2 HD 80 REP -26 HD 81 DEM -8 HD 82 REP -30 HD 83 REP -33 HD 84 DEM -28 HD 85 REP -34 HD 86 REP -29 HD 87 DEM -27 HD 88 REP -13 HD 89 REP -30 HD 90 REP -36 HD 91 REP -23 HD 92 DEM -17 HD 93 DEM -21 HD 94 DEM -24 HD 95 DEM -13 HD 96 REP -14 HD 97 DEM -21 HD 98 DEM -11 HD 99 DEM -9 HD 100 DEM -10 HD 42 DEM 34 HD 41 DEM 28 HD 43 DEM 22 HD 77 DEM 20 HD 30 DEM 19 HD 40 DEM 14 HD 34 DEM 9 HD 44 DEM 7 HD 75 DEM 7 HD 35 DEM 4 HD 65 DEM 4 HD 76 DEM 3 HD 46 DEM 2 HD 79 DEM 2 HD 38 DEM 0 HD 31 DEM -1 HD 37 DEM -2 HD 57 DEM -2 HD 13 DEM -3 HD 20 DEM -4 HD 67 DEM -4 HD 11 DEM -5 HD 8 DEM -6 HD 28 DEM -8 HD 32 REP -8 HD 81 DEM -8 HD 3 DEM -9 HD 48 REP -9 HD 56 DEM -9 HD 99 DEM -9 HD 27 DEM -10 HD 50 REP -10 HD 72 DEM -10 HD 100 DEM -10 HD 10 REP -11 HD 33 REP -11 HD 98 DEM -11 HD 15 DEM -12 HD 47 DEM -12 HD 69 REP -12 HD 74 DEM -12 HD 29 REP -13 HD 45 REP -13 HD 88 REP -13 HD 95 DEM -13 HD 7 REP -14 HD 62 REP -14 HD 96 REP -14 HD 19 REP -15 HD 70 DEM -15 * HD 78 DEM -15 HD 5 DEM -16 HD 14 DEM -16 HD 25 DEM -16 HD 58 REP -16 HD 12 DEM -17 HD 24 DEM -17 HD 92 DEM -17 HD 6 DEM -18 HD 36 REP -18 HD 73 REP -18 HD 26 REP -19 HD 49 REP -19 HD 9 REP -20 HD 16 DEM -20 HD 23 DEM -20 HD 59 REP -20 HD 61 REP -20 HD 63 REP -20 HD 64 REP -20 HD 68 REP -20 HD 2 REP -21 HD 18 REP -21 HD 22 DEM -21 HD 39 DEM -21 HD 53 REP -21 HD 54 REP -21 HD 55 REP -21 HD 93 DEM -21 HD 97 DEM -21 HD 1 REP -22 HD 4 REP -22 HD 17 REP -22 HD 21 REP -22 HD 66 REP -23 HD 91 REP -23 HD 60 REP -24 HD 94 DEM -24 HD 51 REP -26 HD 80 REP -26 HD 87 DEM -27 HD 52 REP -28 HD 71 DEM -28 HD 84 DEM -28 HD 86 REP -29 HD 82 REP -30 HD 89 REP -30 HD 83 REP -33 HD 85 REP -34 HD 90 REP -36 Well, KY Democrats are still competitive, mostly in Appalachia. It appears they’re slightly favored to keep this chamber. Wait and see. I will make PVI with KY local elections results later, in order to identify which part of Kentucky is still extremely “blue dogish”. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 03:58:50 PM Louisiana
() HD 1 REP -25 HD 2 DEM 29 HD 3 DEM 40 HD 4 DEM 22 HD 5 REP -22 HD 6 REP -28 HD 7 REP -25 HD 8 REP -28 HD 9 REP -28 HD 10 DEM -17 HD 11 DEM 10 HD 12 REP -29 HD 13 REP -21 HD 14 REP -31 HD 15 REP -43 HD 16 DEM 13 HD 17 DEM 23 HD 18 DEM -9 HD 19 REP -23 HD 20 REP -26 HD 21 DEM 5 HD 22 IND -34 HD 23 DEM 11 HD 24 REP -35 HD 25 REP -28 HD 26 DEM 20 HD 27 REP -37 HD 28 DEM -16 HD 29 DEM 29 HD 30 DEM -17 HD 31 REP -35 HD 32 DEM -29 HD 33 DEM -31 HD 34 DEM 28 HD 35 REP -33 HD 36 REP -30 HD 37 REP -25 HD 38 DEM -18 HD 39 DEM -20 HD 40 DEM 11 HD 41 DEM -26 HD 42 DEM -22 HD 43 REP -36 HD 44 DEM 21 HD 45 REP -26 HD 46 REP -23 HD 47 REP -27 HD 48 REP -32 HD 49 REP -23 HD 50 DEM -9 HD 51 REP -20 HD 52 REP -32 HD 53 REP -22 HD 54 DEM -34 HD 55 IND -20 HD 56 REP -24 HD 57 DEM 14 HD 58 DEM 20 HD 59 REP -30 HD 60 DEM -4 HD 61 DEM 32 HD 62 REP -10 HD 63 DEM 26 HD 64 REP -33 HD 65 REP -28 HD 66 REP -30 HD 67 DEM 28 HD 68 REP -15 HD 69 REP -24 HD 70 REP -13 HD 71 REP -38 HD 72 DEM 11 HD 73 REP -28 HD 74 REP -34 HD 75 DEM -17 HD 76 REP -24 HD 77 REP -32 HD 78 REP -32 HD 79 REP -29 HD 80 REP -27 HD 81 REP -24 HD 82 REP -26 HD 83 DEM 15 HD 84 REP -23 HD 85 REP -6 HD 86 REP -28 HD 87 DEM 20 HD 88 REP -30 HD 89 REP -35 HD 90 REP -25 HD 91 DEM 34 HD 92 REP -3 HD 93 DEM 34 HD 94 REP -18 HD 95 REP -40 HD 96 DEM 12 HD 97 DEM 38 HD 98 DEM 17 HD 99 DEM 43 HD 100 DEM 42 HD 101 DEM 20 HD 102 DEM 24 HD 103 REP -16 HD 104 REP -26 HD 105 REP -8 HD 99 DEM 43 HD 100 DEM 42 HD 3 DEM 40 HD 97 DEM 38 HD 91 DEM 34 HD 93 DEM 34 HD 61 DEM 32 HD 2 DEM 29 HD 29 DEM 29 HD 34 DEM 28 HD 67 DEM 28 HD 63 DEM 26 HD 102 DEM 24 HD 17 DEM 23 HD 4 DEM 22 HD 44 DEM 21 HD 26 DEM 20 HD 58 DEM 20 HD 87 DEM 20 HD 101 DEM 20 HD 98 DEM 17 HD 83 DEM 15 HD 57 DEM 14 HD 16 DEM 13 HD 96 DEM 12 HD 23 DEM 11 HD 40 DEM 11 HD 72 DEM 11 HD 11 DEM 10 HD 21 DEM 5 HD 92 REP -3 HD 60 DEM -4 HD 85 REP -6 HD 105 REP -8 HD 18 DEM -9 HD 50 DEM -9 HD 62 REP -10 HD 70 REP -13 HD 68 REP -15 HD 28 DEM -16 HD 103 REP -16 HD 10 DEM -17 HD 30 DEM -17 HD 75 DEM -17 HD 38 DEM -18 HD 94 REP -18 HD 39 DEM -20 HD 51 REP -20 HD 55 IND -20 HD 13 REP -21 HD 5 REP -22 HD 42 DEM -22 HD 53 REP -22 * HD 19 REP -23 HD 46 REP -23 HD 49 REP -23 HD 84 REP -23 HD 56 REP -24 HD 69 REP -24 HD 76 REP -24 HD 81 REP -24 HD 1 REP -25 HD 7 REP -25 HD 37 REP -25 HD 90 REP -25 HD 20 REP -26 HD 41 DEM -26 HD 45 REP -26 HD 82 REP -26 HD 104 REP -26 HD 47 REP -27 HD 80 REP -27 HD 6 REP -28 HD 8 REP -28 HD 9 REP -28 HD 25 REP -28 HD 65 REP -28 HD 73 REP -28 HD 86 REP -28 HD 12 REP -29 HD 32 DEM -29 HD 79 REP -29 HD 36 REP -30 HD 59 REP -30 HD 66 REP -30 HD 88 REP -30 HD 14 REP -31 HD 33 DEM -31 HD 48 REP -32 HD 52 REP -32 HD 77 REP -32 HD 78 REP -32 HD 35 REP -33 HD 64 REP -33 HD 22 IND -34 HD 54 DEM -34 HD 74 REP -34 HD 24 REP -35 HD 31 REP -35 HD 89 REP -35 HD 43 REP -36 HD 27 REP -37 HD 71 REP -38 HD 95 REP -40 HD 15 REP -43 Well, Louisiana is the ONLY state I have found with democrats being able to hold R+30 districts. That’s quite impressive and that explains why the Louisiana Democratic Party is (one of) the most conservative democratic parties in the US. I wonder how much Landrieu will overperform in these R+30 house districts. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:00:38 PM Maine :
http://www.maine.gov/sos/cec/elec/apport/statewidehouse.pdf that explains why the Louisiana Democratic Party is (one of) the most conservative democratic parties HD 1 14 HD 2 6 HD 3 6 HD 4 6 HD 5 -2 HD 6 4 HD 7 3 HD 8 7 HD 9 8 HD 10 4 HD 11 16 HD 12 19 HD 13 12 HD 14 13 HD 15 10 HD 16 2 HD 17 2 HD 18 11 HD 19 7 HD 20 -4 HD 21 2 HD 22 0 HD 23 0 HD 24 1 HD 25 2 HD 26 7 HD 27 4 HD 28 3 HD 29 3 HD 30 12 HD 31 22 HD 32 16 HD 33 17 HD 34 12 HD 35 13 HD 36 19 HD 37 25 HD 38 37 HD 39 35 HD 40 35 HD 41 25 HD 42 23 HD 43 10 HD 44 4 HD 45 2 HD 46 3 HD 47 10 HD 48 13 HD 49 16 HD 50 16 HD 51 8 HD 52 14 HD 53 5 HD 54 6 HD 55 2 HD 56 0 HD 57 -1 HD 58 6 HD 59 9 HD 60 20 HD 61 10 HD 62 8 HD 63 6 HD 64 4 HD 65 0 HD 66 2 HD 67 0 HD 68 0 HD 69 3 HD 70 4 HD 71 4 HD 72 1 HD 73 4 HD 74 12 HD 75 -2 HD 76 4 HD 77 0 HD 78 3 HD 79 -3 HD 80 2 HD 81 4 HD 82 -2 HD 83 7 HD 84 6 HD 85 9 HD 86 9 HD 87 2 HD 88 1 HD 89 4 HD 90 9 HD 91 0 HD 92 9 HD 93 13 HD 94 15 HD 95 2 HD 96 3 HD 97 11 HD 98 0 HD 99 0 HD 100 -9 HD 101 -3 HD 102 -8 HD 103 -10 HD 104 -9 HD 105 -8 HD 106 -1 HD 107 7 HD 108 3 HD 109 17 HD 110 14 HD 111 0 HD 112 4 HD 113 11 HD 114 5 HD 115 9 HD 116 11 HD 117 5 HD 118 -5 HD 119 -5 HD 120 -4 HD 121 -6 HD 122 14 HD 123 23 HD 124 9 HD 125 8 HD 126 8 HD 127 8 HD 128 -3 HD 129 -5 HD 130 0 HD 131 3 HD 132 0 HD 133 12 HD 134 15 HD 135 16 HD 136 -1 HD 137 -6 HD 138 -5 HD 139 2 HD 140 4 HD 141 -11 HD 142 -6 HD 143 2 HD 144 -9 HD 145 -12 HD 146 -8 HD 147 2 HD 148 4 HD 149 2 HD 150 22 HD 151 12 HD 38 37 HD 39 35 HD 40 35 HD 37 25 HD 41 25 HD 42 23 HD 123 23 HD 31 22 HD 150 22 HD 60 20 HD 12 19 HD 36 19 HD 33 17 HD 109 17 HD 11 16 HD 32 16 HD 49 16 HD 50 16 HD 135 16 HD 94 15 HD 134 15 HD 1 14 HD 52 14 HD 110 14 HD 122 14 HD 14 13 HD 35 13 HD 48 13 HD 93 13 HD 13 12 HD 30 12 HD 34 12 HD 74 12 HD 133 12 HD 151 12 HD 18 11 HD 97 11 HD 113 11 HD 116 11 HD 15 10 HD 43 10 HD 47 10 HD 61 10 HD 59 9 HD 85 9 HD 86 9 HD 90 9 HD 92 9 HD 115 9 HD 124 9 HD 9 8 HD 51 8 HD 62 8 HD 125 8 HD 126 8 HD 127 8 HD 8 7 HD 19 7 HD 26 7 HD 83 7 HD 107 7 HD 2 6 HD 3 6 HD 4 6 HD 54 6 HD 58 6 HD 63 6 HD 84 6 HD 53 5 HD 114 5 HD 117 5 HD 6 4 HD 10 4 HD 27 4 HD 44 4 HD 64 4 * HD 70 4 HD 71 4 HD 73 4 HD 76 4 HD 81 4 HD 89 4 HD 112 4 HD 140 4 HD 148 4 HD 7 3 HD 28 3 HD 29 3 HD 46 3 HD 69 3 HD 78 3 HD 96 3 HD 108 3 HD 131 3 HD 16 2 HD 17 2 HD 21 2 HD 25 2 HD 45 2 HD 55 2 HD 66 2 HD 80 2 HD 87 2 HD 95 2 HD 139 2 HD 143 2 HD 147 2 HD 149 2 HD 24 1 HD 72 1 HD 88 1 HD 22 0 HD 23 0 HD 56 0 HD 65 0 HD 67 0 HD 68 0 HD 77 0 HD 91 0 HD 98 0 HD 99 0 HD 111 0 HD 130 0 HD 132 0 HD 57 -1 HD 106 -1 HD 136 -1 HD 5 -2 HD 75 -2 HD 82 -2 HD 79 -3 HD 101 -3 HD 128 -3 HD 20 -4 HD 120 -4 HD 118 -5 HD 119 -5 HD 129 -5 HD 138 -5 HD 121 -6 HD 137 -6 HD 142 -6 HD 102 -8 HD 105 -8 HD 146 -8 HD 100 -9 HD 104 -9 HD 144 -9 HD 103 -10 HD 141 -11 HD 145 -12 Nothing to say, Republicans might retake this chamber but that’s unlikely. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:01:15 PM Maryland: Not available yet.
Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:02:31 PM Massachussets:
1 DEM 2 2 DEM 1 3 REP 1 4 DEM 9 5 REP -4 6 DEM 16 7 DEM 24 8 DEM 21 9 DEM 26 10 DEM 22 11 REP -1 12 DEM 3 13 REP 6 14 REP 0 15 DEM 8 16 DEM 17 17 DEM 25 18 DEM 11 19 DEM 12 20 DEM 7 21 DEM 16 22 REP -3 23 DEM 27 24 REP -2 25 DEM 8 26 REP -2 27 DEM 7 28 REP 0 29 DEM 11 30 DEM 7 31 DEM 17 32 DEM 9 33 REP 0 34 DEM 20 35 DEM 19 36 DEM 7 37 DEM -1 38 DEM 4 39 DEM -1 40 DEM 32 41 DEM 18 42 REP -3 43 DEM 22 44 DEM 7 45 REP 0 46 DEM -1 47 REP -2 48 REP 1 49 DEM 23 50 DEM 6 51 DEM 8 52 DEM 11 53 DEM 20 54 DEM 35 55 DEM 34 56 DEM 5 57 DEM 25 58 DEM 15 59 DEM 30 60 REP -3 61 DEM 1 62 DEM 6 63 DEM 6 64 DEM 10 65 DEM 13 66 DEM 13 67 DEM 2 68 DEM 11 69 DEM 16 70 DEM 23 71 DEM 22 72 DEM 10 73 DEM 12 74 DEM 15 75 DEM 6 76 DEM 12 77 DEM 19 78 DEM -4 79 REP -6 80 DEM 3 81 REP -2 82 DEM 19 83 DEM 21 84 DEM 38 85 DEM 33 86 DEM 33 87 DEM 17 88 DEM 27 89 DEM 3 90 DEM 4 91 DEM 7 92 DEM 18 93 DEM 25 94 DEM 14 95 DEM -5 96 DEM 7 97 DEM 10 98 DEM 8 99 DEM 5 100 DEM 2 101 DEM 1 102 DEM 3 103 DEM 12 104 DEM 7 105 REP -5 106 DEM 0 107 DEM 1 108 DEM 1 109 DEM 7 110 DEM 8 111 DEM 30 112 REP 0 113 REP 0 114 DEM 1 115 DEM -3 116 DEM -6 117 DEM -5 118 REP -3 119 REP -4 120 DEM 27 121 DEM 9 122 DEM 6 123 DEM -4 124 DEM 19 125 DEM 19 126 DEM 22 127 DEM 9 128 DEM 42 129 DEM 43 130 DEM 41 131 DEM 25 132 DEM 33 133 DEM 12 134 DEM 41 135 DEM 36 136 DEM 21 137 DEM 25 138 DEM 35 139 DEM 9 140 DEM 28 141 DEM 25 142 DEM 10 143 REP -3 144 DEM 3 145 DEM 8 146 DEM 2 147 DEM -2 148 REP 2 149 REP -1 150 REP -2 151 REP -2 152 DEM 2 153 REP 3 154 DEM 0 155 DEM 13 156 DEM 12 157 DEM 22 158 DEM 17 159 DEM 12 160 REP -5 129 DEM 43 128 DEM 42 130 DEM 41 134 DEM 41 84 DEM 38 135 DEM 36 54 DEM 35 138 DEM 35 55 DEM 34 85 DEM 33 86 DEM 33 132 DEM 33 40 DEM 32 59 DEM 30 111 DEM 30 140 DEM 28 23 DEM 27 88 DEM 27 120 DEM 27 9 DEM 26 17 DEM 25 57 DEM 25 93 DEM 25 131 DEM 25 137 DEM 25 141 DEM 25 7 DEM 24 49 DEM 23 70 DEM 23 10 DEM 22 43 DEM 22 71 DEM 22 126 DEM 22 157 DEM 22 8 DEM 21 83 DEM 21 136 DEM 21 34 DEM 20 53 DEM 20 35 DEM 19 77 DEM 19 82 DEM 19 124 DEM 19 125 DEM 19 41 DEM 18 92 DEM 18 16 DEM 17 31 DEM 17 87 DEM 17 158 DEM 17 6 DEM 16 21 DEM 16 69 DEM 16 58 DEM 15 74 DEM 15 94 DEM 14 65 DEM 13 66 DEM 13 155 DEM 13 19 DEM 12 73 DEM 12 76 DEM 12 103 DEM 12 133 DEM 12 156 DEM 12 159 DEM 12 18 DEM 11 29 DEM 11 52 DEM 11 68 DEM 11 64 DEM 10 72 DEM 10 97 DEM 10 142 DEM 10 4 DEM 9 32 DEM 9 121 DEM 9 127 DEM 9 139 DEM 9 15 DEM 8 * 25 DEM 8 51 DEM 8 98 DEM 8 110 DEM 8 145 DEM 8 20 DEM 7 27 DEM 7 30 DEM 7 36 DEM 7 44 DEM 7 91 DEM 7 96 DEM 7 104 DEM 7 109 DEM 7 13 REP 6 50 DEM 6 62 DEM 6 63 DEM 6 75 DEM 6 122 DEM 6 56 DEM 5 99 DEM 5 38 DEM 4 90 DEM 4 12 DEM 3 80 DEM 3 89 DEM 3 * 102 DEM 3 144 DEM 3 153 REP 3 1 DEM 2 67 DEM 2 100 DEM 2 146 DEM 2 148 REP 2 152 DEM 2 2 DEM 1 3 REP 1 48 REP 1 61 DEM 1 101 DEM 1 107 DEM 1 108 DEM 1 114 DEM 1 14 REP 0 28 REP 0 33 REP 0 45 REP 0 106 DEM 0 112 REP 0 113 REP 0 154 DEM 0 11 REP -1 37 DEM -1 39 DEM -1 46 DEM -1 149 REP -1 24 REP -2 26 REP -2 47 REP -2 81 REP -2 147 DEM -2 150 REP -2 151 REP -2 22 REP -3 42 REP -3 60 REP -3 115 DEM -3 118 REP -3 143 REP -3 5 REP -4 78 DEM -4 119 REP -4 123 DEM -4 95 DEM -5 105 REP -5 117 DEM -5 160 REP -5 79 REP -6 116 DEM -6 The MA Democratic Party is stronger than I expected. I indeed thought there were still a lot of RINOS but really few dem leaning seats are currently held by republicans, while democrats still manage to hold some republican seats. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:03:50 PM Michigan:
() HD 1 DEM 24 HD 2 DEM 23 HD 3 IND 46 HD 4 DEM 43 HD 5 DEM 44 HD 6 DEM 41 HD 7 DEM 46 HD 8 DEM 45 HD 9 DEM 44 HD 10 DEM 29 HD 11 DEM 18 HD 12 DEM 17 HD 13 DEM 7 HD 14 DEM 12 HD 15 DEM 13 HD 16 DEM 14 HD 17 DEM 2 HD 18 DEM 6 HD 19 REP -4 HD 20 REP -3 HD 21 DEM 5 HD 22 DEM 10 HD 23 REP 1 HD 24 REP -3 HD 25 DEM 0 HD 26 DEM 8 HD 27 DEM 22 HD 28 DEM 10 HD 29 DEM 24 HD 30 REP -3 HD 31 DEM 6 HD 32 REP -5 HD 33 REP -7 HD 34 DEM 38 HD 35 DEM 30 HD 36 REP -12 HD 37 DEM 7 HD 38 REP -5 HD 39 REP -2 HD 40 REP -3 HD 41 REP -3 HD 42 REP -11 HD 43 REP -6 HD 44 REP -10 HD 45 REP -7 HD 46 REP -11 HD 47 REP -13 HD 48 DEM 8 HD 49 DEM 18 HD 50 DEM 5 HD 51 REP -5 HD 52 DEM 1 HD 53 DEM 29 HD 54 DEM 23 HD 55 DEM 16 HD 56 REP -3 HD 57 REP -2 HD 58 REP -11 HD 59 REP -5 HD 60 DEM 21 HD 61 REP 0 HD 62 DEM 5 HD 63 REP -6 HD 64 REP -2 HD 65 REP -5 HD 66 REP -1 HD 67 DEM 3 HD 68 DEM 23 HD 69 DEM 13 HD 70 REP -4 HD 71 DEM 1 HD 72 REP -8 HD 73 REP -12 HD 74 REP -11 HD 75 DEM 24 HD 76 DEM 4 HD 77 REP -10 HD 78 REP -6 HD 79 REP -2 HD 80 REP -9 HD 81 REP -6 HD 82 REP -7 HD 83 REP -3 HD 84 DEM -6 HD 85 REP -1 HD 86 REP -14 HD 87 REP -10 HD 88 REP -23 HD 89 REP -12 HD 90 REP -18 HD 91 DEM 1 HD 92 DEM 18 HD 93 REP -4 HD 94 REP -7 HD 95 DEM 22 HD 96 DEM 4 HD 97 REP -4 HD 98 REP -6 HD 99 REP 1 HD 100 REP -6 HD 101 REP -2 HD 102 REP -7 HD 103 REP -7 HD 104 REP -7 HD 105 REP -9 HD 106 REP -4 HD 107 REP -7 HD 108 REP -5 HD 109 DEM 3 HD 110 DEM -3 HD 3 IND 46 HD 7 DEM 46 HD 8 DEM 45 HD 5 DEM 44 HD 9 DEM 44 HD 4 DEM 43 HD 6 DEM 41 HD 34 DEM 38 HD 35 DEM 30 HD 10 DEM 29 HD 53 DEM 29 HD 1 DEM 24 HD 29 DEM 24 HD 75 DEM 24 HD 2 DEM 23 HD 54 DEM 23 HD 68 DEM 23 HD 27 DEM 22 HD 95 DEM 22 HD 60 DEM 21 HD 11 DEM 18 HD 49 DEM 18 HD 92 DEM 18 HD 12 DEM 17 HD 55 DEM 16 HD 16 DEM 14 HD 15 DEM 13 HD 69 DEM 13 HD 14 DEM 12 HD 22 DEM 10 HD 28 DEM 10 HD 26 DEM 8 HD 48 DEM 8 HD 13 DEM 7 HD 37 DEM 7 HD 18 DEM 6 HD 31 DEM 6 HD 21 DEM 5 HD 50 DEM 5 HD 62 DEM 5 HD 76 DEM 4 HD 96 DEM 4 HD 67 DEM 3 HD 109 DEM 3 HD 17 DEM 2 HD 23 REP 1 HD 52 DEM 1 HD 71 DEM 1 HD 91 DEM 1 HD 99 REP 1 HD 25 DEM 0 HD 61 REP 0 HD 66 REP -1 HD 85 REP -1 HD 39 REP -2 * HD 57 REP -2 HD 64 REP -2 HD 79 REP -2 HD 101 REP -2 HD 20 REP -3 HD 24 REP -3 HD 30 REP -3 HD 40 REP -3 HD 41 REP -3 HD 56 REP -3 HD 83 REP -3 HD 110 DEM -3 HD 19 REP -4 HD 70 REP -4 HD 93 REP -4 HD 97 REP -4 HD 106 REP -4 HD 32 REP -5 HD 38 REP -5 HD 51 REP -5 HD 59 REP -5 HD 65 REP -5 HD 108 REP -5 HD 43 REP -6 HD 63 REP -6 HD 78 REP -6 HD 81 REP -6 HD 84 DEM -6 HD 98 REP -6 HD 100 REP -6 HD 33 REP -7 HD 45 REP -7 HD 82 REP -7 HD 94 REP -7 HD 102 REP -7 HD 103 REP -7 HD 104 REP -7 HD 107 REP -7 HD 72 REP -8 HD 80 REP -9 HD 105 REP -9 HD 44 REP -10 HD 77 REP -10 HD 87 REP -10 HD 42 REP -11 HD 46 REP -11 HD 58 REP -11 HD 74 REP -11 HD 36 REP -12 HD 73 REP -12 HD 89 REP -12 HD 47 REP -13 HD 86 REP -14 HD 90 REP -18 HD 88 REP -23 Michigan is one of the few states where flipping the state house will be less difficult than flipping the state senate for the democrats. They have a shot, but unfortunately, I don’t believe that will happen. Michigan is quite polarized! Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:04:58 PM Minnesota
() HD 1A REP -7 HD 2A DEM -3 HD 3A DEM 4 HD 4A DEM 5 HD 5A DEM 0 HD 6A DEM 13 HD 7A DEM 16 HD 8A REP -11 HD 9A REP -13 HD 10A DEM -8 HD 11A DEM 11 HD 12A DEM -4 HD 13A REP -9 HD 14A REP -4 HD 15A REP -9 HD 16A REP -4 HD 17A DEM -3 HD 18A REP -11 HD 19A DEM 2 HD 20A REP -11 HD 21A REP 0 HD 22A REP -9 HD 23A REP -11 HD 24A REP -6 HD 25A REP -6 HD 26A DEM 6 HD 27A DEM 5 HD 28A DEM 7 HD 29A REP -13 HD 30A REP -12 HD 31A REP -16 HD 32A REP -10 HD 33A REP -14 HD 34A REP -11 HD 35A REP -6 HD 36A REP -3 HD 37A DEM 2 HD 38A REP -7 HD 39A REP -6 HD 40A DEM 17 HD 41A DEM 7 HD 42A DEM 0 HD 43A DEM 5 HD 44A REP -3 HD 45A DEM 7 HD 46A DEM 14 HD 47A REP -16 HD 48A DEM 1 HD 49A DEM 2 HD 50A DEM 9 HD 51A DEM 4 HD 52A DEM 8 HD 53A DEM 5 HD 54A DEM 4 HD 55A REP -4 HD 56A REP -4 HD 57A REP 0 HD 58A REP -9 HD 59A DEM 32 HD 60A DEM 27 HD 61A DEM 29 HD 62A DEM 37 HD 63A DEM 32 HD 64A DEM 27 HD 65A DEM 32 HD 66A DEM 14 HD 67A DEM 23 HD 1B REP -3 HD 2B REP -8 HD 3B DEM 9 HD 4B DEM -2 HD 5B DEM -1 HD 6B DEM 12 HD 7B DEM 19 HD 8B REP -10 HD 9B REP -13 HD 10B DEM -6 HD 11B DEM -5 HD 12B REP -14 HD 13B REP -10 HD 14B DEM 3 HD 15B REP -16 HD 16B REP -10 HD 17B DEM -5 HD 18B REP -14 HD 19B DEM 6 HD 20B DEM 4 HD 21B REP -7 HD 22B REP -6 HD 23B REP -4 HD 24B DEM -4 HD 25B DEM 2 HD 26B REP -7 HD 27B DEM 9 HD 28B REP 1 HD 29B REP -10 HD 30B REP -15 HD 31B REP -13 HD 32B REP -9 HD 33B REP -6 HD 34B REP -4 HD 35B REP -11 HD 36B DEM 1 HD 37B REP -3 HD 38B REP -4 HD 39B REP -3 HD 40B DEM 15 HD 41B DEM 10 HD 42B DEM 5 HD 43B DEM 6 HD 44B DEM 3 HD 45B DEM 12 HD 46B DEM 15 HD 47B REP -9 HD 48B REP -3 HD 49B DEM 1 HD 50B DEM 8 HD 51B DEM 0 HD 52B DEM 2 HD 53B REP -4 HD 54B REP -2 HD 55B REP -13 HD 56B DEM -2 HD 57B REP -3 HD 58B REP -8 HD 59B DEM 30 HD 60B DEM 28 HD 61B DEM 27 HD 62B DEM 37 HD 63B DEM 22 HD 64B DEM 19 HD 65B DEM 26 HD 66B DEM 26 HD 67B DEM 22 HD 62A DEM 37 HD 62B DEM 37 HD 59A DEM 32 HD 63A DEM 32 HD 65A DEM 32 HD 59B DEM 30 HD 61A DEM 29 HD 60B DEM 28 HD 60A DEM 27 HD 64A DEM 27 HD 61B DEM 27 HD 65B DEM 26 HD 66B DEM 26 HD 67A DEM 23 HD 63B DEM 22 HD 67B DEM 22 HD 7B DEM 19 HD 64B DEM 19 HD 40A DEM 17 HD 7A DEM 16 HD 40B DEM 15 HD 46B DEM 15 HD 46A DEM 14 HD 66A DEM 14 HD 6A DEM 13 HD 6B DEM 12 HD 45B DEM 12 HD 11A DEM 11 HD 41B DEM 10 HD 50A DEM 9 HD 3B DEM 9 HD 27B DEM 9 HD 52A DEM 8 HD 50B DEM 8 HD 28A DEM 7 HD 41A DEM 7 HD 45A DEM 7 HD 26A DEM 6 HD 19B DEM 6 HD 43B DEM 6 HD 4A DEM 5 HD 27A DEM 5 HD 43A DEM 5 HD 53A DEM 5 HD 42B DEM 5 HD 3A DEM 4 HD 51A DEM 4 HD 54A DEM 4 HD 20B DEM 4 HD 14B DEM 3 HD 44B DEM 3 HD 19A DEM 2 HD 37A DEM 2 HD 49A DEM 2 HD 25B DEM 2 HD 52B DEM 2 HD 48A DEM 1 HD 28B REP 1 HD 36B DEM 1 HD 49B DEM 1 HD 5A DEM 0 HD 21A REP 0 HD 42A DEM 0 HD 57A REP 0 HD 51B DEM 0 HD 5B DEM -1 HD 4B DEM -2 * HD 54B REP -2 HD 56B DEM -2 HD 2A DEM -3 HD 17A DEM -3 HD 36A REP -3 HD 44A REP -3 HD 1B REP -3 HD 37B REP -3 HD 39B REP -3 HD 48B REP -3 HD 57B REP -3 HD 12A DEM -4 HD 14A REP -4 HD 16A REP -4 HD 55A REP -4 HD 56A REP -4 HD 23B REP -4 HD 24B DEM -4 HD 34B REP -4 HD 38B REP -4 HD 53B REP -4 HD 11B DEM -5 HD 17B DEM -5 HD 24A REP -6 HD 25A REP -6 HD 35A REP -6 HD 39A REP -6 HD 10B DEM -6 HD 22B REP -6 HD 33B REP -6 HD 1A REP -7 HD 38A REP -7 HD 21B REP -7 HD 26B REP -7 HD 10A DEM -8 HD 2B REP -8 HD 58B REP -8 HD 13A REP -9 HD 15A REP -9 HD 22A REP -9 HD 58A REP -9 HD 32B REP -9 HD 47B REP -9 HD 32A REP -10 HD 8B REP -10 HD 13B REP -10 HD 16B REP -10 HD 29B REP -10 HD 8A REP -11 HD 18A REP -11 HD 20A REP -11 HD 23A REP -11 HD 34A REP -11 HD 35B REP -11 HD 30A REP -12 HD 9A REP -13 HD 29A REP -13 HD 9B REP -13 HD 31B REP -13 HD 55B REP -13 HD 33A REP -14 HD 12B REP -14 HD 18B REP -14 HD 30B REP -15 HD 31A REP -16 HD 47A REP -16 HD 15B REP -16 While this map obviously favors MN republicans considering that the “decisive” seat is R+2, MN democrats manage to hold quite a lot of republican leaning seats, I guess most of them are in the blue dog district currently held by Colleen Peterson. This chamber might flip, but I don’t believe that will happen. Dayton is popular and MN democrats will probably benefit from that. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:08:10 PM Mississippi
http://www.maris.state.ms.us/pdf/MS2010HouseDist/House_May2_2012.pdf HD 1 REP -31 HD 2 DEM -22 HD 3 REP -28 HD 4 DEM -26 HD 5 DEM 19 HD 6 REP -23 HD 7 REP -26 HD 8 REP -18 HD 9 DEM 16 HD 10 REP -20 HD 11 DEM 12 HD 12 REP -6 HD 13 REP -16 HD 14 REP -27 HD 15 REP -34 HD 16 DEM 12 HD 17 REP -24 HD 18 REP -27 HD 19 REP -36 HD 20 REP -27 HD 21 REP -30 HD 22 DEM -6 HD 23 REP -23 HD 24 DEM -27 HD 25 REP -21 HD 26 DEM 17 HD 27 DEM 15 HD 28 REP -31 HD 29 DEM 20 HD 30 DEM 13 HD 31 DEM 16 HD 32 DEM 35 HD 33 DEM -7 HD 34 DEM 9 HD 35 REP -21 HD 36 DEM 15 HD 37 REP -21 HD 38 DEM 15 HD 39 REP -28 HD 40 REP -6 HD 41 DEM 20 HD 42 DEM 19 HD 43 DEM -15 HD 44 REP -36 HD 45 DEM 6 HD 46 REP -20 HD 47 DEM 15 HD 48 DEM -19 HD 49 DEM 13 HD 50 DEM 15 HD 51 DEM 20 HD 52 REP -15 HD 53 DEM -17 HD 54 REP -26 HD 55 DEM 14 HD 56 REP -20 HD 57 DEM 24 HD 58 REP -36 HD 59 REP -34 HD 60 REP -29 HD 61 REP -28 HD 62 REP -31 HD 63 DEM 11 HD 64 REP -18 HD 65 DEM 31 HD 66 DEM 13 HD 67 DEM 37 HD 68 DEM 21 HD 69 DEM 29 HD 70 DEM 35 HD 71 DEM 16 HD 72 DEM 19 HD 73 DEM -27 HD 74 REP -34 HD 75 DEM -16 HD 76 DEM 4 HD 77 REP -18 HD 78 REP -16 HD 79 DEM -22 HD 80 DEM 23 HD 81 REP -30 HD 82 DEM 27 HD 83 REP -29 HD 84 REP -18 HD 85 DEM 13 HD 86 DEM -16 HD 87 DEM -27 HD 88 REP -37 HD 89 REP -32 HD 90 DEM -15 HD 91 DEM 4 HD 92 REP -30 HD 93 REP -31 HD 94 DEM 19 HD 95 REP -36 HD 96 DEM 8 HD 97 REP -25 HD 98 DEM 14 HD 99 REP -18 HD 100 REP -26 HD 101 REP -38 HD 102 REP -9 HD 103 DEM 27 HD 104 REP -38 HD 105 REP -31 HD 106 REP -33 HD 107 REP -35 HD 108 REP -29 HD 109 REP -43 HD 110 DEM 22 HD 111 REP -33 HD 112 REP -20 HD 113 REP -27 HD 114 REP -30 HD 115 DEM -12 HD 116 REP -33 HD 117 REP -16 HD 118 REP -23 HD 119 DEM 22 HD 120 REP -27 HD 121 REP -23 HD 122 DEM -24 HD 67 DEM 37 HD 32 DEM 35 HD 70 DEM 35 HD 65 DEM 31 HD 69 DEM 29 HD 82 DEM 27 HD 103 DEM 27 HD 57 DEM 24 HD 80 DEM 23 HD 110 DEM 22 HD 119 DEM 22 HD 68 DEM 21 HD 29 DEM 20 HD 41 DEM 20 HD 51 DEM 20 HD 5 DEM 19 HD 42 DEM 19 HD 72 DEM 19 HD 94 DEM 19 HD 26 DEM 17 HD 9 DEM 16 HD 31 DEM 16 HD 71 DEM 16 HD 27 DEM 15 HD 36 DEM 15 HD 38 DEM 15 HD 47 DEM 15 HD 50 DEM 15 HD 55 DEM 14 HD 98 DEM 14 HD 30 DEM 13 HD 49 DEM 13 HD 66 DEM 13 HD 85 DEM 13 HD 11 DEM 12 HD 16 DEM 12 HD 63 DEM 11 HD 34 DEM 9 HD 96 DEM 8 HD 45 DEM 6 HD 76 DEM 4 HD 91 DEM 4 HD 12 REP -6 HD 22 DEM -6 HD 40 REP -6 HD 33 DEM -7 HD 102 REP -9 HD 115 DEM -12 HD 43 DEM -15 HD 52 REP -15 HD 90 DEM -15 HD 13 REP -16 HD 75 DEM -16 HD 78 REP -16 HD 86 DEM -16 HD 117 REP -16 HD 53 DEM -17 HD 8 REP -18 HD 64 REP -18 HD 77 REP -18 HD 84 REP -18 * HD 99 REP -18 HD 48 DEM -19 HD 10 REP -20 HD 46 REP -20 HD 56 REP -20 HD 112 REP -20 HD 25 REP -21 HD 35 REP -21 HD 37 REP -21 HD 2 DEM -22 HD 79 DEM -22 HD 6 REP -23 HD 23 REP -23 HD 118 REP -23 HD 121 REP -23 HD 17 REP -24 HD 122 DEM -24 HD 97 REP -25 HD 4 DEM -26 HD 7 REP -26 HD 54 REP -26 HD 100 REP -26 HD 14 REP -27 HD 18 REP -27 HD 20 REP -27 HD 24 DEM -27 HD 73 DEM -27 HD 87 DEM -27 HD 113 REP -27 HD 120 REP -27 HD 3 REP -28 HD 39 REP -28 HD 61 REP -28 HD 60 REP -29 HD 83 REP -29 HD 108 REP -29 HD 21 REP -30 HD 81 REP -30 HD 92 REP -30 HD 114 REP -30 HD 1 REP -31 HD 28 REP -31 HD 62 REP -31 HD 93 REP -31 HD 105 REP -31 HD 89 REP -32 HD 106 REP -33 HD 111 REP -33 HD 116 REP -33 HD 15 REP -34 HD 59 REP -34 HD 74 REP -34 HD 107 REP -35 HD 19 REP -36 HD 44 REP -36 HD 58 REP -36 HD 95 REP -36 HD 88 REP -37 HD 101 REP -38 HD 104 REP -38 HD 109 REP -43 Just based on the 2008 results, so the real PVIs should be slightly more democratic, considering Obama improved his performance in MS in 2012. Well, MS democrats hold this chamber until the 2011 elections. They currently hold a lot of republican leaning districts, I guess most of them are part of the North of Mississippi, former Travis Childers’ district where Blue Dogs are still alive here. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:09:04 PM Missouri
() HD 1 REP -16 HD 2 REP -19 HD 3 REP -11 HD 4 REP -14 HD 5 REP -17 HD 6 REP -17 HD 7 REP -17 HD 8 REP -13 HD 9 REP -14 HD 10 DEM 0 HD 11 REP -5 HD 12 REP -12 HD 13 REP -11 HD 14 REP -3 HD 15 DEM 0 HD 16 REP -9 HD 17 REP -2 HD 18 DEM 3 HD 19 DEM 16 HD 20 DEM -5 HD 21 DEM -2 HD 22 DEM 35 HD 23 DEM 41 HD 24 DEM 30 HD 25 DEM 14 HD 26 DEM 38 HD 27 DEM 31 HD 28 DEM 8 HD 29 REP -1 HD 30 REP -9 HD 31 RPE -8 HD 32 REP -13 HD 33 REP -16 HD 34 REP -11 HD 35 REP -5 HD 36 REP 13 HD 37 DEM 6 HD 38 REP -9 HD 39 REP -12 HD 40 REP -14 HD 41 DEM -13 HD 42 REP -15 HD 43 REP -15 HD 44 REP -6 HD 45 DEM 13 HD 46 DEM 6 HD 47 DEM -5 HD 48 REP -16 HD 49 REP -15 HD 50 REP -12 HD 51 REP -10 HD 52 REP -12 HD 53 REP -14 HD 54 REP -15 HD 55 REP -17 HD 56 REP -12 HD 57 REP -16 HD 58 REP -19 HD 59 REP -25 HD 60 REP -11 HD 61 REP -19 HD 62 REP -23 HD 63 REP -12 HD 64 REP -12 HD 65 REP -5 HD 66 DEM 37 HD 67 DEM 29 HD 68 DEM 15 HD 69 DEM 9 HD 70 DEM -2 HD 71 DEM 6 HD 72 DEM 7 HD 73 DEM 31 HD 74 DEM 29 HD 75 DEM 41 HD 76 DEM 46 HD 77 DEM 39 HD 78 DEM 36 HD 79 DEM 36 HD 80 DEM 29 HD 81 DEM 23 HD 82 DEM 10 HD 83 DEM 15 HD 84 DEM 36 HD 85 DEM 32 HD 86 DEM 36 HD 87 DEM 8 HD 88 DEM 2 HD 89 REP -16 HD 90 REP 0 HD 91 DEM 3 HD 92 DEM 0 HD 93 DEM 5 HD 94 DEM -3 HD 95 REP -12 HD 96 REP -14 HD 97 REP -5 HD 98 REP -13 HD 99 REP -6 HD 100 REP -14 HD 101 REP -21 HD 102 REP -15 HD 103 REP -14 HD 104 REP -8 HD 105 REP -9 HD 106 REP -5 HD 107 REP -8 HD 108 REP -15 HD 109 REP -14 HD 110 REP -16 HD 111 DEM -8 HD 112 REP -7 HD 113 DEM -5 HD 114 DEM -4 HD 115 REP -3 HD 116 REP -9 HD 117 DEM -7 HD 118 DEM -5 HD 119 REP -10 HD 120 REP -18 HD 121 REP -18 HD 122 REP -15 HD 123 REP -22 HD 124 REP -21 HD 125 REP -16 HD 126 REP -17 HD 127 REP -28 HD 128 REP -22 HD 129 REP -22 HD 130 REP -21 HD 131 REP -15 HD 132 DEM 5 HD 133 REP -16 HD 134 REP -11 HD 135 REP -4 HD 136 REP -18 HD 137 REP -20 HD 138 REP -24 HD 139 REP -23 HD 140 REP -24 HD 141 REP -24 HD 142 REP -22 HD 143 REP -19 HD 144 REP -12 HD 145 REP -22 HD 146 REP -29 HD 147 REP -15 HD 148 REP -22 HD 149 DEM -7 HD 150 REP -16 HD 151 REP -25 HD 152 REP -20 HD 153 REP -24 HD 154 REP -22 HD 155 REP -22 HD 156 REP -25 HD 157 REP -24 HD 158 REP -23 HD 159 REP -26 HD 160 REP -24 HD 161 REP -17 HD 162 REP -20 HD 163 REP -25 HD 76 DEM 46 HD 23 DEM 41 HD 75 DEM 41 HD 77 DEM 39 HD 26 DEM 38 HD 66 DEM 37 HD 78 DEM 36 HD 79 DEM 36 HD 84 DEM 36 HD 86 DEM 36 HD 22 DEM 35 HD 85 DEM 32 HD 27 DEM 31 HD 73 DEM 31 HD 24 DEM 30 HD 67 DEM 29 HD 74 DEM 29 HD 80 DEM 29 HD 81 DEM 23 HD 19 DEM 16 HD 68 DEM 15 HD 83 DEM 15 HD 25 DEM 14 HD 36 REP 13 HD 45 DEM 13 HD 82 DEM 10 HD 69 DEM 9 HD 28 DEM 8 HD 87 DEM 8 HD 72 DEM 7 HD 37 DEM 6 HD 46 DEM 6 HD 71 DEM 6 HD 93 DEM 5 HD 132 DEM 5 HD 18 DEM 3 HD 91 DEM 3 HD 88 DEM 2 HD 10 DEM 0 HD 15 DEM 0 HD 90 REP 0 HD 92 DEM 0 HD 29 REP -1 HD 17 REP -2 HD 21 DEM -2 HD 70 DEM -2 HD 14 REP -3 HD 94 DEM -3 HD 115 REP -3 HD 114 DEM -4 HD 135 REP -4 HD 11 REP -5 HD 20 DEM -5 HD 35 REP -5 HD 47 DEM -5 HD 65 REP -5 HD 97 REP -5 HD 106 REP -5 HD 113 DEM -5 HD 118 DEM -5 HD 44 REP -6 HD 99 REP -6 HD 112 REP -7 HD 117 DEM -7 HD 149 DEM -7 HD 31 RPE -8 HD 104 REP -8 HD 107 REP -8 HD 111 DEM -8 HD 16 REP -9 HD 30 REP -9 HD 38 REP -9 HD 105 REP -9 HD 116 REP -9 HD 51 REP -10 HD 119 REP -10 HD 3 REP -11 HD 13 REP -11 HD 34 REP -11 HD 60 REP -11 HD 134 REP -11 HD 12 REP -12 HD 39 REP -12 HD 50 REP -12 HD 52 REP -12 HD 56 REP -12 HD 63 REP -12 HD 64 REP -12 HD 95 REP -12 HD 144 REP -12 HD 8 REP -13 HD 32 REP -13 HD 41 DEM -13 HD 98 REP -13 HD 4 REP -14 HD 9 REP -14 HD 40 REP -14 HD 53 REP -14 HD 96 REP -14 HD 100 REP -14 HD 103 REP -14 HD 109 REP -14 HD 42 REP -15 HD 43 REP -15 HD 49 REP -15 HD 54 REP -15 HD 102 REP -15 HD 108 REP -15 HD 122 REP -15 HD 131 REP -15 HD 147 REP -15 HD 1 REP -16 HD 33 REP -16 HD 48 REP -16 HD 57 REP -16 HD 89 REP -16 HD 110 REP -16 HD 125 REP -16 HD 133 REP -16 HD 150 REP -16 HD 5 REP -17 HD 6 REP -17 HD 7 REP -17 HD 55 REP -17 HD 126 REP -17 HD 161 REP -17 HD 120 REP -18 HD 121 REP -18 HD 136 REP -18 HD 2 REP -19 HD 58 REP -19 HD 61 REP -19 HD 143 REP -19 HD 137 REP -20 HD 152 REP -20 HD 162 REP -20 HD 101 REP -21 HD 124 REP -21 HD 130 REP -21 HD 123 REP -22 HD 128 REP -22 HD 129 REP -22 HD 142 REP -22 HD 145 REP -22 HD 148 REP -22 HD 154 REP -22 HD 155 REP -22 HD 62 REP -23 HD 139 REP -23 HD 158 REP -23 HD 138 REP -24 HD 140 REP -24 HD 141 REP -24 HD 153 REP -24 HD 157 REP -24 HD 160 REP -24 HD 59 REP -25 HD 151 REP -25 HD 156 REP -25 HD 163 REP -25 HD 159 REP -26 HD 127 REP -28 HD 146 REP -29 Well: - A big republican gerrymander - MO democrats are too concentrated in Saint Louis That’s why MO democrats will never be able to regain the chamber. And MO black democrats sided with MO republicans, because they wanted black districts. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:15:31 PM Montana:
() HD 1 REP -19 HD 2 REP -25 HD 3 REP -15 HD 4 DEM -26 HD 5 REP -1 HD 6 REP -21 HD 7 REP -10 HD 8 REP -22 HD 9 REP -23 HD 10 REP -23 HD 11 REP -26 HD 12 REP -9 HD 13 REP -25 HD 14 REP -18 HD 15 DEM 8 HD 16 DEM 21 HD 17 REP -20 HD 18 REP -21 HD 19 REP -17 HD 20 REP -15 HD 21 DEM -4 HD 22 DEM -3 HD 23 DEM -1 HD 24 REP -3 HD 25 DEM 0 HD 26 DEM -3 HD 27 REP -19 HD 28 REP -2 HD 29 REP -24 HD 30 REP -25 HD 31 DEM 12 HD 32 DEM 12 HD 33 REP -19 HD 34 REP -21 HD 35 REP -30 HD 36 REP -24 HD 37 REP -34 HD 38 REP -14 HD 39 REP -24 HD 40 DEM -28 HD 41 DEM 4 HD 42 DEM 8 HD 43 REP -16 HD 44 REP -13 HD 45 REP -18 HD 46 REP -16 HD 47 REP -2 HD 48 REP -4 HD 49 DEM 2 HD 50 REP -3 HD 51 DEM -7 HD 52 DEM -4 HD 53 REP -25 HD 54 DEM -17 HD 55 REP -12 HD 56 REP -14 HD 57 REP -25 HD 58 REP -14 HD 59 REP -19 HD 60 REP -1 HD 61 REP 2 HD 62 DEM 7 HD 63 DEM 6 HD 64 DEM -11 HD 65 DEM 2 HD 66 DEM 9 HD 67 REP -15 HD 68 REP -21 HD 69 REP -24 HD 70 REP -21 HD 71 REP -21 HD 72 REP -21 HD 73 DEM 18 HD 74 DEM 18 HD 75 DEM -15 HD 76 DEM 12 HD 77 REP 5 HD 78 REP 0 HD 79 DEM 2 HD 80 REP -21 HD 81 DEM 3 HD 82 DEM 0 HD 83 REP 1 HD 84 REP -3 HD 85 DEM -23 HD 86 DEM -12 HD 87 REP -23 HD 88 REP -14 HD 89 REP 5 HD 90 REP 12 HD 91 REP 24 HD 92 DEM -5 HD 93 DEM -5 HD 94 DEM 2 HD 95 DEM 18 HD 96 DEM -5 HD 97 DEM -8 HD 98 DEM 6 HD 99 DEM 3 HD 100 REP 25 HD 100 REP 25 HD 91 REP 24 HD 16 DEM 21 HD 73 DEM 18 HD 74 DEM 18 HD 95 DEM 18 HD 31 DEM 12 HD 32 DEM 12 HD 76 DEM 12 HD 90 REP 12 HD 66 DEM 9 HD 15 DEM 8 HD 42 DEM 8 HD 62 DEM 7 HD 63 DEM 6 HD 98 DEM 6 HD 77 REP 5 HD 89 REP 5 HD 41 DEM 4 HD 81 DEM 3 HD 99 DEM 3 HD 49 DEM 2 HD 61 REP 2 HD 65 DEM 2 HD 79 DEM 2 HD 94 DEM 2 HD 83 REP 1 HD 25 DEM 0 HD 78 REP 0 HD 82 DEM 0 HD 5 REP -1 HD 23 DEM -1 HD 60 REP -1 HD 28 REP -2 HD 47 REP -2 HD 22 DEM -3 HD 24 REP -3 HD 26 DEM -3 HD 50 REP -3 HD 84 REP -3 HD 21 DEM -4 HD 48 REP -4 HD 52 DEM -4 HD 92 DEM -5 HD 93 DEM -5 HD 96 DEM -5 HD 51 DEM -7 HD 97 DEM -8 HD 12 REP -9 HD 7 REP -10 * HD 64 DEM -11 HD 55 REP -12 HD 86 DEM -12 HD 44 REP -13 HD 38 REP -14 HD 56 REP -14 HD 58 REP -14 HD 88 REP -14 HD 3 REP -15 HD 20 REP -15 HD 67 REP -15 HD 75 DEM -15 HD 43 REP -16 HD 46 REP -16 HD 19 REP -17 HD 54 DEM -17 HD 14 REP -18 HD 45 REP -18 HD 1 REP -19 HD 27 REP -19 HD 33 REP -19 HD 59 REP -19 HD 17 REP -20 HD 6 REP -21 HD 18 REP -21 HD 34 REP -21 HD 68 REP -21 HD 70 REP -21 HD 71 REP -21 HD 72 REP -21 HD 80 REP -21 HD 8 REP -22 HD 9 REP -23 HD 10 REP -23 HD 85 DEM -23 HD 87 REP -23 HD 29 REP -24 HD 36 REP -24 HD 39 REP -24 HD 69 REP -24 HD 2 REP -25 HD 13 REP -25 HD 30 REP -25 HD 53 REP -25 HD 57 REP -25 HD 4 DEM -26 HD 11 REP -26 HD 40 DEM -28 HD 35 REP -30 HD 37 REP -34 The map obviously favors MT Republicans, the MT democratic party is still competitive at local level. I will try to make a more local PVI (based on Tester victory, etc). The MT PVI is only based on the 2012 results. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:18:13 PM Nebraska: http://nebraskalegislature.gov/about/leg_map.php (the site doesn’t want to work, I hope it will soon) SD INC PVI 1 REP -15 2 REP -17 3 REP -11 4 REP -14 5 DEM 4 6 REP -7 7 DEM 9 8 DEM 9 9 DEM 6 10 REP -5 11 IND 37 12 DEM -8 13 DEM 15 14 REP -13 15 REP -11 16 REP -18 17 REP -10 18 REP -3 19 REP -25 20 DEM -9 21 DEM -5 22 REP -26 23 REP -19 24 RPE -24 25 REP -12 26 DEM 1 27 REP 2 28 DEM 8 29 DEM -2 30 DEM -12 31 DEM -15 32 DEM -12 33 REP -19 34 DEM -23 35 REP -13 36 REP -28 37 REP -23 38 REP -27 39 REP -20 40 REP -27 41 DEM -25 42 REP -23 43 REP -27 44 REP -31 45 DEM -12 46 DEM 1 47 REP -30 48 REP -22 49 REP -12 SD INC PVI 11 IND 37 13 DEM 15 7 DEM 9 8 DEM 9 28 DEM 8 9 DEM 6 5 DEM 4 27 REP 2 26 DEM 1 46 DEM 1 29 DEM -2 18 REP -3 10 REP -5 21 DEM -5 6 REP -7 12 DEM -8 20 DEM -9 17 REP -10 3 REP -11 15 REP -11 25 REP -12 30 DEM -12 32 DEM -12 45 DEM -12 49 REP -12 14 REP -13 35 REP -13 4 REP -14 1 REP -15 31 DEM -15 2 REP -17 16 REP -18 23 REP -19 33 REP -19 39 REP -20 48 REP -22 34 DEM -23 37 REP -23 42 REP -23 24 RPE -24 19 REP -25 41 DEM -25 22 REP -26 38 REP -27 40 REP -27 43 REP -27 36 REP -28 47 REP -30 44 REP -31 I’m really happy with the NE democrats! They can successfully hold some extremely conservative districts. I’m sure they could be able to have some success in the future, notably in NE-03, especially with the current Independent-turned democrat currently running for this office. NE democrats have a big advantage: LINCOLN. This town leans dem (but not so much). So if they elect an extremely popular mayor (a la Landrieu), they could definitely use him for higher offices! And the NE democratic seems to run good candidates, a bit like the Idaho democrats Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:21:02 PM Nevada:
() AD 1 DEM 7 AD 2 REP -3 AD 3 DEM 14 AD 4 REP -2 AD 5 DEM 1 AD 6 DEM 38 AD 7 DEM 21 AD 8 DEM 8 AD 9 DEM 5 AD 10 DEM 11 AD 11 DEM 28 AD 12 DEM 5 AD 13 REP -5 AD 14 DEM 18 AD 15 DEM 15 AD 16 DEM 18 AD 17 DEM 15 AD 18 DEM 14 AD 19 REP -6 AD 20 DEM 9 AD 21 DEM 4 AD 22 REP -5 AD 23 REP -10 AD 24 DEM 18 AD 25 REP -3 AD 26 REP -6 AD 27 DEM 8 AD 28 DEM 26 AD 29 DEM 0 AD 30 DEM 9 AD 31 DEM -1 AD 32 REP -14 AD 33 REP -26 AD 34 DEM 7 AD 35 DEM 4 AD 36 REP -13 AD 37 REP -3 AD 38 REP -18 AD 39 REP -13 AD 40 REP -6 AD 41 DEM 4 AD 42 DEM 12 AD 6 DEM 38 AD 11 DEM 28 AD 28 DEM 26 AD 7 DEM 21 AD 14 DEM 18 AD 16 DEM 18 AD 24 DEM 18 AD 15 DEM 15 AD 17 DEM 15 AD 3 DEM 14 AD 18 DEM 14 AD 42 DEM 12 AD 10 DEM 11 AD 20 DEM 9 AD 30 DEM 9 AD 8 DEM 8 AD 27 DEM 8 AD 34 DEM 7 AD 21 DEM 7 AD 1 DEM 7 AD 9 DEM 5 * AD 12 DEM 5 AD 35 DEM 4 AD 41 DEM 4 AD 5 DEM 1 AD 29 DEM 0 AD 31 DEM -1 AD 4 REP -2 ** AD 2 REP -3 AD 25 REP -3 AD 37 REP -3 AD 13 REP -5 AD 22 REP -5 AD 19 REP -6 AD 26 REP -6 AD 40 REP -6 AD 23 REP -10 AD 36 REP -13 AD 39 REP -13 AD 32 REP -14 AD 38 REP -18 AD 33 REP -26 Well, while the NV senate remains competitive, that’s not the case for the NV House Assembly. I don’t see how republicans could take this chamber. NV democrats will probably be able to have a supermajority with the growing Hispanic population. I expect Nevada to be the first state in the next decades that will repeal Right-to-Work (For Michigan, that would be by a ballot measure). Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:28:30 PM New Hampshire
() Belknap 01 1D -2 Belknap 02 1D3R -4 Belknap 03 1D3R -1 Belknap 04 1D1R 0 Belknap 05 2R -10 Belknap 06 2R -3 Belknap 07 1R -4 Belknap 08 1R -8 Belknap 09 1D -2 Carroll 01 1R 7 Carroll 02 2D1R 6 Carroll 03 1D1R 3 Carroll 04 2R -7 Carroll 05 1D2R -7 Carroll 06 2R -7 Carroll 07 1D 5 Carroll 0 8 1R -7 Cheshire 01 4D 11 Cheshire 02 1D 8 Cheshire 03 1D 5 Cheshire 04 1D 26 Cheshire 05 1D 23 Cheshire 06 1D 16 Cheshire 07 1D 15 Cheshire 08 1D 14 Cheshire 09 2D 7 Cheshire 10 1D 11 Cheshire 11 2R -2 Cheshire 12 1D1R 6 Cheshire 13 1D 11 Cheshire 14 1D 2 Cheshire 15 1D 8 Cheshire 16 1D/1VAC 19 Coos 01 1D1R -4 Coos 02 1D 7 Coos 03 3D 16 Coos 04 1R 0 Coos 05 1D 2 Coos 06 1D 11 Coos 07 1R 3 Grafton 01 1D1R 5 Grafton 02 1D 4 Grafton 03 1D 5 Grafton 04 1R -2 Grafton 05 1R 6 Grafton 06 VAC 0 Grafton 07 1D 6 Grafton 08 3D 12 Grafton 09 2R -1 Grafton 10 1D 13 Grafton 11 1D 5 Grafton 12 4D 26 Grafton 13 4D 17 Grafton 14 1R 5 Grafton 15 VAC 2 Grafton 16 1D 2 Grafton 17 1D 3 Hillsborough 01 2D 2 Hillsborough 02 1D2R -7 Hillsborough 03 1D 5 Hillsborough 04 2D 1 Hillsborough 05 1D1R -6 Hillsborough 06 1D/3R/1VAC -6 Hillsborough 07 6R -14 Hillsborough 08 2D 0 Hillsborough 09 2D 3 Hillsborough 10 2D 13 Hillsborough 11 1D/1VAC 8 Hillsborough 12 2D 12 Hillsborough 13 2R -3 Hillsborough 14 1D/1VAC 3 Hillsborough 15 1D1R -4 Hillsborough 16 2D 3 Hillsborough 17 1D/1VAC 2 Hillsborough 18 1D1R 5 Hillsborough 19 1D1R 1 Hillsborough 20 2R -10 Hillsborough 21 1D7R -5 Hillsborough 22 1D2R -3 Hillsborough 23 1D3R -1 Hillsborough 24 2D 13 Hillsborough 25 2R -12 Hillsborough 26 1D1R -9 Hillsborough 27 2R -5 Hillsborough 28 3D 1 Hillsborough 29 2D1R 2 Hillsborough 30 3D 6 Hillsborough 31 3D 17 Hillsborough 32 1D2R -1 Hillsborough 33 3D 7 Hillsborough 34 3D 6 Hillsborough 35 3D 5 Hillsborough 36 3D 2 Hillsborough 37 1D10R -8 Hillsborough 38 2D 2 Hillsborough 39 1R -6 Hillsborough 40 1R -3 Hillsborough 41 R -10 Hillsborough 42 2D 4 Hillsborough 43 2D1R 4 Hillsborough 44 2R -4 Hillsborough 45 2D 2 Merrimack 01 D 1 Merrimack 02 1D1R 2 Merrimack 03 1D/1VAC 3 Merrimack 04 1D 5 Merrimack 05 1D1R 3 Merrimack 06 2D 6 Merrimack 07 1D 4 Merrimack 08 1D 4 Merrimack 09 1D1R 0 Merrimack 10 3D 12 Merrimack 11 1D 13 Merrimack 12 1D 11 Merrimack 13 1D 14 Merrimack 14 1D 20 Merrimack 15 1D 20 Merrimack 16 1D 15 Merrimack 17 1D 10 Merrimack 18 1D 9 Merrimack 19 1D 6 Merrimack 20 3D 0 Merrimack 21 1D1R -5 Merrimack 22 1D 1 Merrimack 23 2D1R -2 Merrimack 24 4R -7 Merrimack 25 1D 3 Merrimack 26 1D 2 Merrimack 27 2D 15 Merrimack 28 1D 8 Merrimack 29 1R -3 Rockingham 01 1R -2 Rockingham 02 3R -7 Rockingham 03 3R -5 Rockingham 04 1D4R -12 Rockingham 05 1D6R -7 Rockingham 06 2D6R1VAC -5 Rockingham 07 4R -14 Rockingham 08 8R/1VAC -9 Rockingham 09 1D1R 0 Rockingham 10 1R -9 Rockingham 11 1R -6 Rockingham 12 1R -9 Rockingham 13 4R -10 Rockingham 14 4R -11 Rockingham 15 1R -7 Rockingham 16 1R -8 Rockingham 17 2D1R 9 Rockingham 18 4D 7 Rockingham 19 2R -1 Rockingham 20 2R/1VAC -6 Rockingham 21 2D2R -1 Rockingham 22 1R -3 Rockingham 23 1R 1 Rockingham 24 2D 0 Rockingham 25 1D 19 Rockingham 26 1D 23 Rockingham 27 1D 13 Rockingham 28 1D 9 Rockingham 29 1D 15 Rockingham 30 1D 18 Rockingham 31 1D 2 Rockingham 32 1D -6 Rockingham 33 1R -8 Rockingham 34 1R -11 Rockingham 35 1R -7 Rockingham 36 1D 6 Rockingham 37 1D -3 Strafford 01 2R -2 Strafford 02 1D1R 0 Strafford 03 1D1R -3 Strafford 04 2D 1 Strafford 05 1D 11 Strafford 06 5D 18 Strafford 07 1D 0 Strafford 08 1R 6 Strafford 09 1R -2 Strafford 10 1R -1 Strafford 11 1D 4 Strafford 12 1D 0 Strafford 13 1D 19 Strafford 14 1D 17 Strafford 15 1D 4 Strafford 16 1D 8 Strafford 17 2D1VAC 7 Strafford 18 3D 7 Strafford 19 1D 18 Strafford 20 1D 6 Strafford 21 1D 7 Strafford 22 1D 2 Strafford 23 1D -1 Strafford 24 1R 2 Strafford 25 1D 5 Sullivan 01 2D 9 Sullivan 02 1D -4 Sullivan 03 1D 10 Sullivan 04 1R 7 Sullivan 05 1D 8 Sullivan 06 1D1R 2 Sullivan 07 1R 1 Sullivan 08 1D 10 Sullivan 09 1D 4 Sullivan 10 1D 8 Sullivan 11 1R 5 Cheshire 04 1D 26 Grafton 12 4D 26 Cheshire 05 1D 23 Rockingham 26 1D 23 Merrimack 14 1D 20 Merrimack 15 1D 20 Cheshire 16 1D/1VAC 19 Rockingham 25 1D 19 Strafford 13 1D 19 Rockingham 30 1D 18 Strafford 06 5D 18 Strafford 19 1D 18 Grafton 13 4D 17 Hillsborough 31 3D 17 Strafford 14 1D 17 Cheshire 06 1D 16 Coos 03 3D 16 Cheshire 07 1D 15 Merrimack 16 1D 15 Merrimack 27 2D 15 Rockingham 29 1D 15 Cheshire 08 1D 14 Merrimack 13 1D 14 Grafton 10 1D 13 Hillsborough 10 2D 13 Hillsborough 24 2D 13 Merrimack 11 1D 13 Rockingham 27 1D 13 Grafton 08 3D 12 Hillsborough 12 2D 12 Merrimack 10 3D 12 Cheshire 01 4D 11 Cheshire 10 1D 11 Cheshire 13 1D 11 Coos 06 1D 11 Merrimack 12 1D 11 Strafford 05 1D 11 Merrimack 17 1D 10 Sullivan 03 1D 10 Sullivan 08 1D 10 Merrimack 18 1D 9 Rockingham 17 2D1R 9 Rockingham 28 1D 9 Sullivan 01 2D 9 Cheshire 02 1D 8 Cheshire 15 1D 8 Hillsborough 11 1D/1VAC 8 Merrimack 28 1D 8 Strafford 16 1D 8 Sullivan 05 1D 8 Sullivan 10 1D 8 Carroll 01 1R 7 Cheshire 09 2D 7 Coos 02 1D 7 Hillsborough 33 3D 7 Rockingham 18 4D 7 Strafford 17 2D1VAC 7 Strafford 18 3D 7 Strafford 21 1D 7 Sullivan 0 1R 7 Carroll 02 2D1R 6 Cheshire 12 1D1R 6 Grafton 05 1R 6 Grafton 07 1D 6 Hillsborough 30 3D 6 Hillsborough 34 3D 6 Merrimack 06 2D 6 Merrimack 19 1D 6 Rockingham 36 1D 6 Strafford 08 1R 6 Strafford 20 1D 6 Carroll 07 1D 5 Cheshire 03 1D 5 Grafton 01 1D1R 5 Grafton 03 1D 5 Grafton 11 1D 5 Grafton 14 1R 5 Hillsborough 03 1D 5 Hillsborough 18 1D1R 5 Hillsborough 35 3D 5 Merrimack 04 1D 5 Strafford 25 1D 5 Sullivan 11 1R 5 Grafton 02 1D 4 Hillsborough 42 2D 4 Hillsborough 43 2D1R 4 Merrimack 07 1D 4 Merrimack 08 1D 4 Strafford 11 1D 4 Strafford 15 1D 4 Sullivan 09 1D 4 Carroll 03 1D1R 3 Coos 07 1R 3 Grafton 17 1D 3 Hillsborough 09 2D 3 Hillsborough 14 1D/1VAC 3 Hillsborough 16 2D 3 Merrimack 03 1D/1VAC 3 Merrimack 05 1D1R 3 Merrimack 25 1D 3 Cheshire 14 1D 2 Coos 05 1D 2 Grafton 15 VAC 2 Grafton 16 1D 2 Hillsborough 01 2D 2 Hillsborough 17 1D/1VAC 2 Hillsborough 29 2D1R 2 Hillsborough 36 3D 2 Hillsborough 38 2D 2 Hillsborough 45 2D 2 Merrimack 02 1D1R 2 Merrimack 26 1D 2 Rockingham 31 1D 2 Strafford 22 1D 2 Strafford 24 1R 2 Sullivan 06 1D1R 2 Hillsborough 04 2D 1 Hillsborough 19 1D1R 1 Hillsborough 28 3D 1 Merrimack 01 1D 1 Merrimack 22 1D 1 Rockingham 23 1R 1 Strafford 04 2D 1 Sullivan 07 1R 1 * Belknap 04 1D1R 0 Coos 04 1R 0 Grafton 06 VAC 0 Hillsborough 08 2D 0 Merrimack 09 1D1R 0 Merrimack 20 3D 0 Rockingham 09 1D1R 0 Rockingham 24 2D 0 Strafford 02 1D1R 0 Strafford 07 1D 0 Strafford 12 1D 0 Belknap 03 1D3R -1 Grafton 09 2R -1 Hillsborough 23 1D3R -1 Hillsborough 32 1D2R -1 Rockingham 19 2R -1 Rockingham 21 2D2R -1 Strafford 10 1R -1 Strafford 23 1D -1 Belknap 01 1D -2 Belknap 09 1D -2 Cheshire 11 2R -2 Grafton 04 1R -2 Merrimack 23 2D1R -2 Rockingham 01 1R -2 Strafford 01 2R -2 Strafford 09 1R -2 Belknap 06 2R -3 Hillsborough 13 2R -3 Hillsborough 22 1D2R -3 Hillsborough 40 1R -3 Merrimack 29 1R -3 Rockingham 22 1R -3 Rockingham 37 1D -3 Strafford 03 1D1R -3 Belknap 02 1D3R -4 Belknap 07 1R -4 Coos 01 1D1R -4 Hillsborough 15 1D1R -4 Hillsborough 44 2R -4 Sullivan 02 1D -4 Hillsborough 21 1D7R -5 Hillsborough 27 2R -5 Merrimack 21 1D1R -5 Rockingham 03 3R -5 Rockingham 06 2D6R1VAC -5 Hillsborough 05 1D1R -6 Hillsborough 06 1D/3R/1VAC -6 Hillsborough 39 1R -6 Rockingham 11 1R -6 Rockingham 20 2R/1VAC -6 Rockingham 32 1D -6 Carroll 04 2R -7 Carroll 05 1D2R -7 Carroll 06 2R -7 Carroll 08 1R -7 Hillsborough 02 1D2R -7 Merrimack 24 4R -7 Rockingham 02 3R -7 Rockingham 05 1D6R -7 Rockingham 15 1R -7 Rockingham 35 1R -7 Belknap 08 1R -8 Hillsborough 37 1D10R -8 Rockingham 16 1R -8 Rockingham 33 1R -8 Hillsborough 26 1D1R -9 Rockingham 08 8R/1VAC -9 Rockingham 10 1R -9 Rockingham 12 1R -9 Belknap 05 2R -10 Hillsborough 20 2R -10 Hillsborough 41 R -10 Rockingham 13 4R -10 Rockingham 14 4R -11 Rockingham 34 1R -11 Hillsborough 25 2R -12 Rockingham 04 1D4R -12 Hillsborough 07 6R -14 Rockingham 07 4R -14 Well, Lol? This chamber is really an utterly joke. MORE THAN 400 REPRESENTATIVES!!!! (Republicans might retake this chamber) Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:30:11 PM New Jersey
() 1 1D1R 0 2 1D1R 7 3 2D 3 4 2D 9 5 2D 17 6 2D 12 7 2D 11 8 2R 1 9 2R -9 10 2R -11 11 2R 3 12 2R -6 13 2R -8 14 2D 5 15 2D 20 16 2R 1 17 2D 19 18 2D 7 19 2D 12 20 2D 24 21 2R -5 22 2D 14 23 2R -9 24 2R -13 25 2R -6 26 2R -8 27 2D 5 28 2D 29 29 2D 33 30 2R -14 31 2D 26 32 2D 18 33 2D 23 34 2D 28 35 2D 27 36 2D 8 37 2D 15 38 2D 1 39 2R -7 40 2R -9 29 2D 33 28 2D 29 34 2D 28 35 2D 27 31 2D 26 20 2D 24 33 2D 23 15 2D 20 17 2D 19 32 2D 18 5 2D 17 37 2D 15 22 2D 14 6 2D 12 19 2D 12 7 2D 11 4 2D 9 36 2D 8 2 1D1R 7 18 2D 7 * 14 2D 5 27 2D 5 3 2D 3 11 2R 3 8 2R 1 16 2R 1 38 2D 1 1 1D1R 0 21 2R -5 12 2R -6 25 2R -6 39 2R -7 13 2R -8 26 2R -8 9 2R -9 23 2R -9 40 2R -9 10 2R -11 24 2R -13 30 2R -14 NJ democrats kept their majority even with Christie winning in a landslide. So, no chance this chamber flips? NJ Republicans are really competitive locally, they hold many dem leaning seats. But with a dem gerrymander, they won’t be able to take this chamber this decade. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:33:11 PM New Mexico:
http://www.nmlegis.gov/Sessions/11Redistricting/188999/HD_188999_1_Packet.pdf HD 1 REP -28 HD 2 REP -22 HD 3 REP -26 HD 4 REP 1 HD 5 DEM 19 HD 6 DEM 19 HD 7 REP 2 HD 8 REP -3 HD 9 DEM 19 HD 10 DEM 16 HD 11 DEM 26 HD 12 DEM 19 HD 13 DEM 19 HD 14 DEM 26 HD 15 DEM 1 HD 16 DEM 11 HD 17 DEM 14 HD 18 DEM 29 HD 19 DEM 17 HD 20 REP -3 HD 21 DEM 13 HD 22 REP -6 HD 23 REP 2 HD 24 DEM 3 HD 25 DEM 17 HD 26 DEM 14 HD 27 REP -6 HD 28 REP -5 HD 29 REP -1 HD 30 REP 1 HD 31 REP -10 HD 32 DEM -1 HD 33 DEM 8 HD 34 DEM 17 HD 35 DEM 8 HD 36 DEM 2 HD 37 REP 0 HD 38 REP -3 HD 39 DEM 4 HD 40 DEM 20 HD 41 DEM 24 HD 42 DEM 29 HD 43 DEM 3 HD 44 REP -6 HD 45 DEM 26 HD 46 DEM 27 HD 47 DEM 27 HD 48 DEM 30 HD 49 REP 0 HD 50 DEM 6 HD 51 REP -14 HD 52 DEM 11 HD 53 DEM -3 HD 54 REP -17 HD 55 REP -20 HD 56 REP -15 HD 57 REP -3 HD 58 REP -6 HD 59 REP -21 HD 60 REP -6 HD 61 REP -18 HD 62 REP -31 HD 63 DEM -1 HD 64 REP -26 HD 65 DEM 30 HD 66 REP -25 HD 67 REP -13 HD 68 REP -3 HD 69 DEM 19 HD 70 DEM 21 HD 48 DEM 30 HD 65 DEM 30 HD 18 DEM 29 HD 42 DEM 29 HD 46 DEM 27 HD 47 DEM 27 HD 11 DEM 26 HD 14 DEM 26 HD 45 DEM 26 HD 41 DEM 24 HD 70 DEM 21 HD 40 DEM 20 HD 5 DEM 19 HD 6 DEM 19 HD 9 DEM 19 HD 12 DEM 19 HD 13 DEM 19 HD 69 DEM 19 HD 19 DEM 17 HD 25 DEM 17 HD 34 DEM 17 HD 10 DEM 16 HD 17 DEM 14 HD 26 DEM 14 HD 21 DEM 13 HD 16 DEM 11 HD 52 DEM 11 HD 33 DEM 8 HD 35 DEM 8 HD 50 DEM 6 HD 39 DEM 4 HD 24 DEM 3 HD 43 DEM 3 HD 7 REP 2 HD 23 REP 2 * HD 36 DEM 2 HD 4 REP 1 HD 15 DEM 1 HD 30 REP 1 HD 37 REP 0 HD 49 REP 0 HD 29 REP -1 HD 32 DEM -1 HD 63 DEM -1 HD 8 REP -3 HD 20 REP -3 HD 38 REP -3 HD 53 DEM -3 HD 57 REP -3 HD 68 REP -3 HD 28 REP -5 HD 22 REP -6 HD 27 REP -6 HD 44 REP -6 HD 58 REP -6 HD 60 REP -6 HD 31 REP -10 HD 67 REP -13 HD 51 REP -14 HD 56 REP -15 HD 54 REP -17 HD 61 REP -18 HD 55 REP -20 HD 59 REP -21 HD 2 REP -22 HD 66 REP -25 HD 3 REP -26 HD 64 REP -26 HD 1 REP -28 HD 62 REP -31 It appears this chamber might flip. Indeed that’s the case. NM republicans are favored with this map, and with Martinez at the top of the ticket, indeed, they can flip this chamber. That will be interesting to watch. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:35:01 PM New York
() AD 1 IND 3 AD 2 REP -5 AD 3 DEM 3 AD 4 DEM 2 AD 5 REP -5 AD 6 DEM 25 AD 7 REP -5 AD 8 REP -11 AD 9 REP -9 AD 10 REP 1 AD 11 DEM 12 AD 12 REP -4 AD 13 DEM 8 AD 14 REP -6 AD 15 REP -6 AD 16 DEM 2 AD 17 REP -6 AD 18 DEM 38 AD 19 REP -9 AD 20 DEM -3 AD 21 REP 1 AD 22 DEM 11 AD 23 DEM 7 AD 24 DEM 24 AD 25 DEM 14 AD 26 DEM 8 AD 27 DEM 13 AD 28 DEM 11 AD 29 DEM 43 AD 30 DEM 14 AD 31 DEM 40 AD 32 DEM 45 AD 33 DEM 37 AD 34 DEM 29 AD 35 DEM 34 AD 36 DEM 27 AD 37 DEM 30 AD 38 DEM 25 AD 39 DEM 29 AD 40 DEM 17 AD 41 DEM 11 AD 42 DEM 36 AD 43 DEM 40 AD 44 DEM 24 AD 45 DEM -13 AD 46 DEM 4 AD 47 DEM 2 AD 48 DEM -30 AD 49 DEM 8 AD 50 DEM 26 AD 51 DEM 32 AD 52 DEM 39 AD 53 DEM 42 AD 54 VAC 43 AD 55 VAC 46 AD 56 DEM 46 AD 57 DEM 45 AD 58 DEM 45 AD 59 VAC 24 AD 60 VAC 22 AD 61 DEM 19 AD 62 REP -20 AD 63 DEM -1 AD 64 REP -6 AD 65 DEM 28 AD 66 DEM 34 AD 67 DEM 30 AD 68 DEM 41 AD 69 DEM 40 AD 70 DEM 45 AD 71 DEM 42 AD 72 IND 40 AD 73 DEM 18 AD 74 DEM 32 AD 75 DEM 32 AD 76 DEM 21 AD 77 IND 44 AD 78 DEM 40 AD 79 IND 44 AD 80 DEM 30 AD 81 DEM 27 AD 82 DEM 23 AD 83 DEM 44 AD 84 DEM 45 AD 85 DEM 43 AD 86 DEM 45 AD 87 DEM 42 AD 88 DEM 8 AD 89 DEM 31 AD 90 DEM 7 AD 91 DEM 10 AD 92 DEM 12 AD 93 DEM 6 AD 94 REP -7 AD 95 DEM 9 AD 96 DEM 3 AD 97 DEM 4 AD 98 VAC -11 AD 99 DEM -4 AD 100 DEM 6 AD 101 REP -5 AD 102 REP -6 AD 103 DEM 13 AD 104 DEM 11 AD 105 REP -7 AD 106 DEM 3 AD 107 REP 1 AD 108 DEM 18 AD 109 DEM 15 AD 110 DEM 7 AD 111 DEM -1 AD 112 REP -3 AD 113 VAC 1 AD 114 REP -1 AD 115 REP 9 AD 116 DEM 2 AD 117 REP -7 AD 118 REP -8 AD 119 DEM -1 AD 120 REP -1 AD 121 DEM -2 AD 122 REP -5 AD 123 DEM 5 AD 124 REP -5 AD 125 DEM 15 AD 126 REP 0 AD 127 DEM 2 AD 128 DEM 15 AD 129 DEM 15 AD 130 REP -5 AD 131 REP -2 AD 132 REP -8 AD 133 REP -6 AD 134 VAC -5 AD 135 REP -2 AD 136 DEM 13 AD 137 DEM 29 AD 138 DEM 12 AD 139 REP -12 AD 140 DEM 5 AD 141 DEM 38 AD 142 DEM 2 AD 143 VAC 1 AD 144 REP -10 AD 145 REP 0 AD 146 REP 0 AD 147 REP -11 AD 148 REP -11 AD 149 DEM 13 AD 150 REP -5 AD 55 VAC 46 AD 56 DEM 46 AD 32 DEM 45 AD 57 DEM 45 AD 58 DEM 45 AD 70 DEM 45 AD 84 DEM 45 AD 86 DEM 45 AD 77 IND 44 AD 79 IND 44 AD 83 DEM 44 AD 29 DEM 43 AD 54 VAC 43 AD 85 DEM 43 AD 53 DEM 42 AD 71 DEM 42 AD 87 DEM 42 AD 68 DEM 41 AD 31 DEM 40 AD 43 DEM 40 AD 69 DEM 40 AD 72 IND 40 AD 78 DEM 40 AD 52 DEM 39 AD 18 DEM 38 AD 141 DEM 38 AD 33 DEM 37 AD 42 DEM 36 AD 35 DEM 34 AD 66 DEM 34 AD 51 DEM 32 AD 74 DEM 32 AD 75 DEM 32 AD 89 DEM 31 AD 37 DEM 30 AD 67 DEM 30 AD 80 DEM 30 AD 34 DEM 29 AD 39 DEM 29 AD 137 DEM 29 AD 65 DEM 28 AD 36 DEM 27 AD 81 DEM 27 AD 50 DEM 26 AD 6 DEM 25 AD 38 DEM 25 AD 24 DEM 24 AD 44 DEM 24 AD 59 VAC 24 AD 82 DEM 23 AD 60 VAC 22 AD 76 DEM 21 AD 61 DEM 19 AD 73 DEM 18 AD 108 DEM 18 AD 40 DEM 17 AD 109 DEM 15 AD 125 DEM 15 AD 128 DEM 15 AD 129 DEM 15 AD 25 DEM 14 AD 30 DEM 14 AD 27 DEM 13 AD 103 DEM 13 AD 136 DEM 13 AD 149 DEM 13 AD 11 DEM 12 AD 92 DEM 12 AD 138 DEM 12 AD 22 DEM 11 AD 28 DEM 11 AD 41 DEM 11 AD 104 DEM 11 AD 91 DEM 10 AD 95 DEM 9 * AD 115 REP 9 AD 13 DEM 8 AD 26 DEM 8 AD 49 DEM 8 AD 88 DEM 8 AD 23 DEM 7 AD 90 DEM 7 AD 110 DEM 7 AD 93 DEM 6 AD 100 DEM 6 AD 123 DEM 5 AD 140 DEM 5 AD 46 DEM 4 AD 97 DEM 4 AD 1 IND 3 AD 3 DEM 3 AD 96 DEM 3 AD 106 DEM 3 AD 4 DEM 2 AD 16 DEM 2 AD 47 DEM 2 AD 116 DEM 2 AD 127 DEM 2 AD 142 DEM 2 AD 10 REP 1 AD 21 REP 1 AD 107 REP 1 AD 113 VAC 1 AD 143 VAC 1 AD 126 REP 0 AD 145 REP 0 AD 146 REP 0 AD 63 DEM -1 AD 111 DEM -1 AD 114 REP -1 AD 119 DEM -1 AD 120 REP -1 AD 121 DEM -2 AD 131 REP -2 AD 135 REP -2 AD 20 DEM -3 AD 112 REP -3 AD 12 REP -4 AD 99 DEM -4 AD 2 REP -5 AD 5 REP -5 AD 7 REP -5 AD 101 REP -5 AD 122 REP -5 AD 124 REP -5 AD 130 REP -5 AD 134 VAC -5 AD 150 REP -5 AD 14 REP -6 AD 15 REP -6 AD 17 REP -6 AD 64 REP -6 AD 102 REP -6 AD 133 REP -6 AD 94 REP -7 AD 105 REP -7 AD 117 REP -7 AD 118 REP -8 AD 132 REP -8 AD 9 REP -9 AD 19 REP -9 AD 144 REP -10 AD REP -11 AD 98 VAC -11 AD 147 REP -11 AD 148 REP -11 AD 139 REP -12 AD 45 DEM -13 AD 62 REP -20 AD 48 DEM -30 I have nothing to say. This is a dem gerrymander, and NY democrats have a big majority, so no way some rogues could caucus with NY republicans. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:36:24 PM North Carolina
() HD 1 REP -13 HD 2 DEM -6 HD 3 REP -12 HD 4 REP -18 HD 5 DEM 13 HD 6 DEM -10 HD 7 DEM 8 HD 8 REP -8 HD 9 REP -8 HD 10 REP -19 HD 11 DEM 11 HD 12 DEM 5 HD 13 REP -20 HD 14 REP -12 HD 15 REP -16 HD 16 REP -15 HD 17 REP -15 HD 18 DEM 11 HD 19 REP -11 HD 20 REP -11 HD 21 DEM 12 HD 22 DEM -8 HD 23 DEM 10 HD 24 DEM 21 HD 25 REP -14 HD 26 REP -12 HD 27 DEM 13 HD 28 REP -19 HD 29 DEM 34 HD 30 DEM 19 HD 31 DEM 29 HD 32 DEM 12 HD 33 DEM 30 HD 34 DEM 12 HD 35 REP -7 HD 36 REP -6 HD 37 REP -8 HD 38 DEM 26 HD 39 DEM 5 HD 40 REP -5 HD 41 REP -1 HD 42 DEM 20 HD 43 DEM 15 HD 44 DEM -1 HD 45 REP -8 HD 46 DEM -10 HD 47 DEM 6 HD 48 DEM 15 HD 49 REP -4 HD 50 DEM 5 HD 51 REP -11 HD 52 REP -15 HD 53 REP -11 HD 54 DEM 1 HD 55 REP -12 HD 56 DEM 25 HD 57 DEM 21 HD 58 DEM 26 HD 59 REP -10 HD 60 DEM 26 HD 61 REP -11 HD 62 REP -8 HD 63 REP -8 HD 64 REP -10 HD 65 REP -12 HD 66 DEM -3 HD 67 REP -20 HD 68 REP -15 HD 69 REP -15 HD 70 REP -25 HD 71 DEM 21 HD 72 DEM 19 HD 73 REP -26 HD 74 REP -12 HD 75 REP -9 HD 76 REP -19 HD 77 REP -14 HD 78 REP -26 HD 79 REP -17 HD 80 REP -24 HD 81 REP -19 HD 82 REP -10 HD 83 REP -12 HD 84 REP -17 HD 85 REP -22 HD 86 REP -13 HD 87 REP -19 HD 88 REP -4 HD 89 REP -18 HD 90 REP -20 HD 91 REP -16 HD 92 REP 0 HD 93 REP -7 HD 94 REP -22 HD 95 REP -17 HD 96 REP -15 HD 97 REP -21 HD 98 REP -8 HD 99 DEM 29 HD 100 DEM 21 HD 101 DEM 22 HD 102 DEM 31 HD 103 REP -7 HD 104 REP -7 HD 105 REP -9 HD 106 DEM 33 HD 107 DEM 27 HD 108 REP -14 HD 109 REP -12 HD 110 REP -17 HD 111 REP -16 HD 112 REP -19 HD 113 REP -13 HD 114 DEM 21 HD 115 REP -4 HD 116 REP -8 HD 117 REP -14 HD 118 REP -9 HD 119 DEM -3 HD 120 REP -20 HD 29 DEM 34 HD 106 DEM 33 HD 102 DEM 31 HD 33 DEM 30 HD 31 DEM 29 HD 99 DEM 29 HD 107 DEM 27 HD 38 DEM 26 HD 58 DEM 26 HD 60 DEM 26 HD 56 DEM 25 HD 101 DEM 22 HD 24 DEM 21 HD 57 DEM 21 HD 71 DEM 21 HD 100 DEM 21 HD 114 DEM 21 HD 42 DEM 20 HD 30 DEM 19 HD 72 DEM 19 HD 43 DEM 15 HD 48 DEM 15 HD 5 DEM 13 HD 27 DEM 13 HD 21 DEM 12 HD 32 DEM 12 HD 34 DEM 12 HD 11 DEM 11 HD 18 DEM 11 HD 23 DEM 10 HD 7 DEM 8 HD 47 DEM 6 HD 12 DEM 5 HD 39 DEM 5 HD 50 DEM 5 HD 54 DEM 1 HD 92 REP 0 HD 41 REP -1 HD 44 DEM -1 HD 66 DEM -3 HD 119 DEM -3 HD 49 REP -4 HD 88 REP -4 HD 115 REP -4 HD 40 REP -5 HD 2 DEM -6 HD 36 REP -6 HD 35 REP -7 HD 93 REP -7 HD 103 REP -7 HD 104 REP -7 HD 8 REP -8 HD 9 REP -8 HD 22 DEM -8 HD 37 REP -8 HD 45 REP -8 HD 62 REP -8 HD 63 REP -8 HD 98 REP -8 HD 116 REP -8 * HD 75 REP -9 HD 105 REP -9 HD 118 REP -9 HD 6 DEM -10 HD 46 DEM -10 HD 59 REP -10 HD 64 REP -10 HD 82 REP -10 HD 19 REP -11 HD 20 REP -11 HD 51 REP -11 HD 53 REP -11 HD 61 REP -11 HD 3 REP -12 HD 14 REP -12 HD 26 REP -12 HD 55 REP -12 HD 65 REP -12 HD 74 REP -12 HD 83 REP -12 HD 109 REP -12 HD 1 REP -13 HD 86 REP -13 HD 113 REP -13 HD 25 REP -14 HD 77 REP -14 HD 108 REP -14 HD 117 REP -14 HD 16 REP -15 HD 17 REP -15 HD 52 REP -15 HD 68 REP -15 HD 69 REP -15 HD 96 REP -15 HD 15 REP -16 HD 91 REP -16 HD 111 REP -16 HD 79 REP -17 HD 84 REP -17 HD 95 REP -17 HD 110 REP -17 HD 4 REP -18 HD 89 REP -18 HD 10 REP -19 HD 28 REP -19 HD 76 REP -19 HD 81 REP -19 HD 87 REP -19 HD 112 REP -19 HD 13 REP -20 HD 67 REP -20 HD 90 REP -20 HD 120 REP -20 HD 97 REP -21 HD 85 REP -22 HD 94 REP -22 HD 80 REP -24 HD 70 REP -25 HD 73 REP -26 HD 78 REP -26 A massive republican gerrymander. Considering the NC Governor can’t veto redistricting bill, this chamber will stay republican for a long time. Democrats manage to hold many conservative districts though. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:38:45 PM North Dakota:
() 1 2R -23 2 2R -24 3 2R -16 4 1D1R -5 5 2R -13 6 1D1R -15 7 2R -22 8 2R -12 9 2D 23 10 2R -8 11 2D 5 12 1D1R -10 13 2R -4 14 2R -17 15 2R -5 16 1D1R 0 17 2R -4 18 2D 3 19 2R -10 20 2D -7 21 2D 10 22 2R -7 23 2R 1 24 1D1R -4 25 1D1R -8 26 2D -2 27 2R -5 28 2R -22 29 2R -15 30 2R -16 31 2R -10 32 2R -12 33 2R -21 34 2R -12 35 2R -15 36 2R -27 37 2R -20 38 2R -19 39 2R -26 40 2R -14 41 2R -6 42 2D 1 43 1D1R -1 44 1D1R 2 45 1D1R -5 46 2R -4 47 2R -22 9 2D 23 21 2D 10 11 2D 5 18 2D 3 44 1D1R 2 23 2R 1 42 2D 1 16 1D1R 0 43 1D1R -1 26 2D -2 13 2R -4 17 2R -4 24 1D1R -4 46 2R -4 4 1D1R -5 15 2R -5 27 2R -5 45 1D1R -5 41 2R -6 20 2D -7 22 2R -7 10 2R -8 25 1D1R -8 12 1D1R -10 * 19 2R -10 31 2R -10 8 2R -12 32 2R -12 34 2R -12 5 2R -13 40 2R -14 6 1D1R -15 29 2R -15 35 2R -15 3 2R -16 30 2R -16 14 2R -17 38 2R -19 37 2R -20 33 2R -21 7 2R -22 28 2R -22 47 2R -22 1 2R -23 2 2R -24 39 2R -26 36 2R -27 This chamber will stay republican, but democrats locally are doing a good job. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:40:29 PM Ohio
() HD 1 REP -12 HD 2 REP -11 HD 3 REP 0 HD 4 REP -14 HD 5 DEM -8 HD 6 REP -4 HD 7 REP -3 HD 8 DEM 28 HD 9 DEM 33 HD 10 DEM 37 HD 11 DEM 35 HD 12 DEM 31 HD 13 DEM 23 HD 14 DEM 10 HD 15 DEM 7 HD 16 REP -2 HD 17 DEM 8 HD 18 DEM 20 HD 19 REP -4 HD 20 DEM 3 HD 21 REP -4 HD 22 DEM 13 HD 23 REP -4 HD 24 REP -4 HD 25 DEM 32 HD 26 DEM 29 HD 27 REP -13 HD 28 REP -5 HD 29 REP -16 HD 30 REP -23 HD 31 DEM 18 HD 32 DEM 25 HD 33 DEM 22 HD 34 DEM 26 HD 35 DEM 13 HD 36 DEM 0 HD 37 REP -3 HD 38 REP -6 HD 39 DEM 31 HD 40 REP -10 HD 41 REP -9 HD 42 REP -14 HD 43 DEM 0 HD 44 DEM 33 HD 45 DEM 15 HD 46 DEM 9 HD 47 REP -7 HD 48 REP -5 HD 49 DEM 13 HD 50 REP -8 HD 51 REP -13 HD 52 REP -20 HD 53 REP -13 HD 54 REP -18 HD 55 DEM 3 HD 56 DEM 15 HD 57 REP -6 HD 58 DEM 25 HD 59 DEM -1 HD 60 DEM 2 HD 61 REP -7 HD 62 REP -23 HD 63 DEM 9 HD 64 DEM 8 HD 65 REP -20 HD 66 REP -18 HD 67 REP -13 HD 68 REP -14 HD 69 REP -10 HD 70 REP -11 HD 71 REP -8 HD 72 REP -10 HD 73 REP -13 HD 74 REP -13 HD 75 DEM 4 HD 76 REP -10 HD 77 REP -10 HD 78 REP -9 HD 79 DEM -2 HD 80 REP -20 HD 81 REP -14 HD 82 REP -15 HD 83 REP -16 HD 84 REP -27 HD 85 REP -16 HD 86 REP -12 HD 87 REP -14 HD 88 REP -3 HD 89 DEM 2 HD 90 REP -7 HD 91 REP -14 HD 92 REP -9 HD 93 REP -13 HD 94 DEM 2 HD 95 REP -10 HD 96 REP -2 HD 97 REP -7 HD 98 REP -8 HD 99 DEM 1 HD 10 DEM 37 HD 11 DEM 35 HD 9 DEM 33 HD 44 DEM 33 HD 25 DEM 32 HD 12 DEM 31 HD 39 DEM 31 HD 26 DEM 29 HD 8 DEM 28 HD 34 DEM 26 HD 32 DEM 25 HD 58 DEM 25 HD 13 DEM 23 HD 33 DEM 22 HD 18 DEM 20 HD 31 DEM 18 HD 45 DEM 15 HD 56 DEM 15 HD 22 DEM 13 HD 35 DEM 13 HD 49 DEM 13 HD 14 DEM 10 HD 46 DEM 9 HD 63 DEM 9 HD 17 DEM 8 HD 64 DEM 8 HD 15 DEM 7 HD 75 DEM 4 HD 20 DEM 3 HD 55 DEM 3 HD 60 DEM 2 HD 89 DEM 2 HD 94 DEM 2 HD 99 DEM 1 HD 3 REP 0 HD 36 DEM 0 HD 43 DEM 0 HD 59 DEM -1 HD 16 REP -2 HD 79 DEM -2 HD 96 REP -2 HD 7 REP -3 HD 37 REP -3 HD 88 REP -3 HD 6 REP -4 * HD 19 REP -4 HD 21 REP -4 HD 23 REP -4 HD 24 REP -4 HD 28 REP -5 HD 48 REP -5 HD 38 REP -6 HD 57 REP -6 HD 47 REP -7 HD 61 REP -7 HD 90 REP -7 HD 97 REP -7 HD 5 DEM -8 HD 50 REP -8 HD 71 REP -8 HD 98 REP -8 HD 41 REP -9 HD 78 REP -9 HD 92 REP -9 HD 40 REP -10 HD 69 REP -10 HD 72 REP -10 HD 76 REP -10 HD 77 REP -10 HD 95 REP -10 HD 2 REP -11 HD 70 REP -11 HD 1 REP -12 HD 86 REP -12 HD 27 REP -13 HD 51 REP -13 HD 53 REP -13 HD 67 REP -13 HD 73 REP -13 HD 74 REP -13 HD 93 REP -13 HD 4 REP -14 HD 42 REP -14 HD 68 REP -14 HD 81 REP -14 HD 87 REP -14 HD 91 REP -14 HD 82 REP -15 HD 29 REP -16 HD 83 REP -16 HD 85 REP -16 HD 54 REP -18 HD 66 REP -18 HD 52 REP -20 HD 65 REP -20 HD 80 REP -20 HD 30 REP -23 HD 62 REP -23 HD 84 REP -27 Well, a rep gerrymander + a democrat party that literally sucks (Fitzy)= Republicans will keep this chamber. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:42:02 PM Oklahoma
() HD 1 DEM -27 HD 2 REP -23 HD 3 DEM -23 HD 4 DEM -9 HD 5 REP -19 HD 6 DEM -22 HD 7 DEM -17 HD 8 DEM -22 HD 9 REP -25 HD 10 REP -25 HD 11 REP -26 HD 12 DEM -21 HD 13 DEM -7 HD 14 REP -14 HD 15 DEM -19 HD 16 DEM -13 HD 17 DEM -21 HD 18 DEM -21 HD 19 DEM -24 HD 20 REP -26 HD 21 REP -23 HD 22 REP -23 HD 23 REP -15 HD 24 DEM -17 HD 25 REP -22 HD 26 REP -20 HD 27 REP -25 HD 28 REP -21 HD 29 REP -24 HD 30 REP -24 HD 31 REP -28 HD 32 REP -22 HD 33 REP -22 HD 34 DEM -9 HD 35 REP -25 HD 36 REP -24 HD 37 REP -22 HD 38 REP -30 HD 39 REP -24 HD 40 REP -25 HD 41 REP -32 HD 42 REP -27 HD 43 REP -29 HD 44 DEM 7 HD 45 REP -6 HD 46 REP -12 HD 47 REP -32 HD 48 REP -21 HD 49 REP -26 HD 50 REP -27 HD 51 REP -30 HD 52 REP -26 HD 53 REP -23 HD 54 REP -22 HD 55 REP -31 HD 56 DEM -18 HD 57 REP -29 HD 58 REP -35 HD 59 REP -35 HD 60 REP -25 HD 61 REP -39 HD 62 REP -5 HD 63 REP -17 HD 64 REP -8 HD 65 DEM -25 HD 66 REP -16 HD 67 REP -27 HD 68 REP -21 HD 69 REP -28 HD 70 REP -14 HD 71 REP -6 HD 72 DEM 10 HD 73 DEM 37 HD 74 REP -28 HD 75 REP -14 HD 76 REP -23 HD 77 DEM -7 HD 78 DEM -7 HD 79 REP -17 HD 80 REP -29 HD 81 REP -21 HD 82 REP -24 HD 83 REP -15 HD 84 REP -18 HD 85 REP -13 HD 86 DEM -19 HD 87 REP -9 HD 88 DEM 8 HD 89 DEM 2 HD 90 REP -13 HD 91 REP -26 HD 92 DEM 5 HD 93 REP -13 HD 94 DEM -6 HD 95 REP -11 HD 96 REP -28 HD 97 DEM 21 HD 98 REP -27 HD 99 DEM 28 HD 100 REP -16 HD 101 REP -21 HD 73 DEM 37 HD 99 DEM 28 HD 97 DEM 21 HD 72 DEM 10 HD 88 DEM 8 HD 44 DEM 7 HD 92 DEM 5 HD 89 DEM 2 HD 62 REP -5 HD 45 REP -6 HD 71 REP -6 HD 94 DEM -6 HD 13 DEM -7 HD 77 DEM -7 HD 78 DEM -7 HD 64 REP -8 HD 4 DEM -9 HD 34 DEM -9 HD 87 REP -9 HD 95 REP -11 HD 46 REP -12 HD 16 DEM -13 HD 85 REP -13 HD 90 REP -13 HD 93 REP -13 HD 14 REP -14 HD 70 REP -14 HD 75 REP -14 HD 23 REP -15 HD 83 REP -15 HD 66 REP -16 HD 100 REP -16 HD 7 DEM -17 HD 24 DEM -17 HD 63 REP -17 HD 79 REP -17 HD 56 DEM -18 HD 84 REP -18 HD 5 REP -19 HD 15 DEM -19 HD 86 DEM -19 HD 26 REP -20 HD 12 DEM -21 HD 17 DEM -21 HD 18 DEM -21 HD 28 REP -21 HD 48 REP -21 HD 68 REP -21 HD 81 REP -21 HD 101 REP -21 HD 6 DEM -22 * HD 8 DEM -22 HD 25 REP -22 HD 32 REP -22 HD 33 REP -22 HD 37 REP -22 HD 54 REP -22 HD 2 REP -23 HD 3 DEM -23 HD 21 REP -23 HD 22 REP -23 HD 53 REP -23 HD 76 REP -23 HD 19 DEM -24 HD 29 REP -24 HD 30 REP -24 HD 36 REP -24 HD 39 REP -24 HD 82 REP -24 HD 9 REP -25 HD 10 REP -25 HD 27 REP -25 HD 35 REP -25 HD 40 REP -25 HD 60 REP -25 HD 65 DEM -25 HD 11 REP -26 HD 20 REP -26 HD 49 REP -26 HD 52 REP -26 HD 91 REP -26 HD 1 DEM -27 HD 42 REP -27 HD 50 REP -27 HD 67 REP -27 HD 98 REP -27 HD 31 REP -28 HD 69 REP -28 HD 74 REP -28 HD 96 REP -28 HD 43 REP -29 HD 57 REP -29 HD 80 REP -29 HD 38 REP -30 HD 51 REP -30 HD 55 REP -31 HD 41 REP -32 HD 47 REP -32 HD 58 REP -35 HD 59 REP -35 HD 61 REP -39 Well, Oklahoma has been “republicanized”, except in the former Dan Boren’s district where blue dogs currently hold many seats. Joe Dorman, the democrat candidate for the office of Governor of Oklahoma, currently holds a R+25 seat, a seat that is even more republican than Oklahoma. I guess OK democrats will constantly lose seats because of term limits. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:43:23 PM Oregon
() HD 1 REP -14 HD 2 REP -15 HD 3 REP -12 HD 4 REP -17 HD 5 DEM 11 HD 6 REP -7 HD 7 REP -10 HD 8 DEM 19 HD 9 DEM -1 HD 10 DEM 6 HD 11 DEM 5 HD 12 DEM 7 HD 13 DEM 14 HD 14 DEM 7 HD 15 REP -6 HD 16 DEM 20 HD 17 REP -15 HD 18 REP -13 HD 19 REP -6 HD 20 REP 0 HD 21 DEM 8 HD 22 DEM 4 HD 23 REP -8 HD 24 REP -3 HD 25 REP -8 HD 26 REP -2 HD 27 DEM 13 HD 28 DEM 10 HD 29 DEM 4 HD 30 DEM 7 HD 31 DEM 2 HD 32 DEM 3 HD 33 DEM 15 HD 34 DEM 14 HD 35 DEM 10 HD 36 DEM 30 HD 37 REP 2 HD 38 DEM 15 HD 39 REP -8 HD 40 DEM 3 HD 41 DEM 21 HD 42 DEM 40 HD 43 DEM 41 HD 44 DEM 34 HD 45 DEM 30 HD 46 DEM 31 HD 47 DEM 16 HD 48 DEM 11 HD 49 DEM 7 HD 50 DEM 4 HD 51 DEM 2 HD 52 REP 1 HD 53 REP -10 HD 54 REP 4 HD 55 REP -19 HD 56 REP -23 HD 57 REP -18 HD 58 REP -17 HD 59 REP -9 HD 60 REP -25 HD 43 DEM 41 HD 42 DEM 40 HD 44 DEM 34 HD 46 DEM 31 HD 36 DEM 30 HD 45 DEM 30 HD 41 DEM 21 HD 16 DEM 20 HD 8 DEM 19 HD 47 DEM 16 HD 33 DEM 15 HD 38 DEM 15 HD 13 DEM 14 HD 34 DEM 14 HD 27 DEM 13 HD 5 DEM 11 HD 48 DEM 11 HD 28 DEM 10 HD 35 DEM 10 HD 21 DEM 8 HD 12 DEM 7 HD 14 DEM 7 HD 30 DEM 7 HD 49 DEM 7 HD 10 DEM 6 HD 11 DEM 5 HD 22 DEM 4 HD 29 DEM 4 HD 50 DEM 4 HD 54 REP 4 * HD 32 DEM 3 HD 40 DEM 3 HD 31 DEM 2 HD 37 REP 2 HD 51 DEM 2 HD 52 REP 1 HD 20 REP 0 HD 9 DEM -1 HD 26 REP -2 HD 24 REP -3 HD 15 REP -6 HD 19 REP -6 HD 6 REP -7 HD 23 REP -8 HD 25 REP -8 HD 39 REP -8 HD 59 REP -9 HD 7 REP -10 HD 53 REP -10 HD 3 REP -12 HD 18 REP -13 HD 1 REP -14 HD 2 REP -15 HD 17 REP -15 HD 4 REP -17 HD 58 REP -17 HD 57 REP -18 HD 55 REP -19 HD 56 REP -23 HD 60 REP -25 Oregon republicans are relatively competent. They manage to have half of the OR house of Representatives after 2010 (and until 2012). If there is a republican wave, I expect them to gain a lot of seats, and maybe the majority, but considering the election won’t probably be a republican wave (more a light republican wave), OR democrats should keep this chamber. Results based only on the 2012 presidential results. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:45:29 PM Pennsylvania
() HD 1 DEM 22 HD 2 DEM 13 HD 3 DEM 2 HD 4 REP -3 HD 5 REP -10 HD 6 REP -8 HD 7 DEM 7 HD 8 REP -19 HD 9 DEM -4 HD 10 DEM -5 HD 11 REP -16 HD 12 REP -21 HD 13 REP -6 HD 14 REP -13 HD 15 REP -14 HD 16 DEM 2 HD 17 REP -9 HD 18 REP 6 HD 19 DEM 34 HD 20 DEM 8 HD 21 DEM 5 HD 22 DEM 24 HD 23 DEM 24 HD 24 DEM 39 HD 25 DEM -1 HD 26 REP -4 HD 27 DEM 10 HD 28 REP -15 HD 29 REP -4 HD 30 REP -11 HD 31 DEM 0 HD 32 DEM 7 HD 33 DEM -2 HD 34 DEM 15 HD 35 DEM 11 HD 36 DEM 8 HD 37 REP -21 HD 38 DEM -2 HD 39 REP -11 HD 40 REP -14 HD 41 REP -8 HD 42 DEM 3 HD 43 REP -14 HD 44 REP -10 HD 45 DEM 0 HD 46 DEM -6 HD 47 REP -10 HD 48 DEM -5 HD 49 DEM 1 HD 50 DEM -2 HD 51 DEM -8 HD 52 DEM -10 HD 53 REP -2 HD 54 REP -15 HD 55 DEM -10 HD 56 REP -17 HD 57 REP -14 HD 58 DEM -7 HD 59 REP -18 HD 60 REP -18 HD 61 REP 1 HD 62 REP -6 HD 63 REP -19 HD 64 REP -15 HD 65 REP -10 HD 66 REP -21 HD 67 REP -17 HD 68 REP -19 HD 69 REP -23 HD 70 DEM 12 HD 71 DEM -5 HD 72 DEM -10 HD 73 DEM -9 HD 74 REP 12 HD 75 REP -11 HD 76 DEM -10 HD 77 DEM 11 HD 78 REP -27 HD 79 REP -11 HD 80 REP -23 HD 81 REP -15 HD 82 REP -23 HD 83 DEM -12 HD 84 REP -23 HD 85 REP -15 HD 86 REP -18 HD 87 REP -10 HD 88 REP -10 HD 89 REP -17 HD 90 REP -22 HD 91 REP -13 HD 92 REP -19 HD 93 REP -16 HD 94 REP -14 HD 95 DEM 14 HD 96 DEM 23 HD 97 REP -10 HD 98 REP -13 HD 99 REP -21 HD 100 REP -16 HD 101 REP -10 HD 102 REP -18 HD 103 DEM 29 HD 104 REP -5 HD 105 REP -6 HD 106 REP -7 HD 107 REP -8 HD 108 REP -16 HD 109 REP -7 HD 110 REP -12 HD 111 REP -10 HD 112 DEM 16 HD 113 DEM 15 HD 114 DEM 7 HD 115 DEM 12 HD 116 REP -10 HD 117 REP -9 HD 118 DEM 4 HD 119 DEM 1 HD 120 DEM 2 HD 121 DEM 9 HD 122 REP -5 HD 123 DEM 0 HD 124 REP -12 HD 125 REP -14 HD 126 DEM 13 HD 127 DEM 29 HD 128 REP -8 HD 129 REP -8 HD 130 REP -6 HD 131 REP -5 HD 132 DEM 14 HD 133 DEM 9 HD 134 REP -6 HD 135 DEM 14 HD 136 DEM 9 HD 137 REP -4 HD 138 REP -6 HD 139 REP -11 HD 140 DEM 12 HD 141 DEM 12 HD 142 REP -2 HD 143 REP -4 HD 144 REP -5 HD 145 REP -5 HD 146 DEM 1 HD 147 REP -6 HD 148 DEM 10 HD 149 DEM 10 HD 150 REP -1 HD 151 REP 1 HD 152 REP 1 HD 153 DEM 12 HD 154 DEM 22 HD 155 REP -2 HD 156 REP -1 HD 157 REP 2 HD 158 REP -1 HD 159 DEM 30 HD 160 REP -4 HD 161 REP 4 HD 162 REP 4 HD 163 REP 2 HD 164 DEM 28 HD 165 REP -2 HD 166 DEM 10 HD 167 REP -1 HD 168 REP -3 HD 169 DEM -16 HD 170 DEM 4 HD 171 REP -9 HD 172 DEM 5 HD 173 DEM 10 HD 174 DEM 8 HD 175 DEM 28 HD 176 REP 0 HD 177 REP 9 HD 178 REP -7 HD 179 DEM 37 HD 180 DEM 37 HD 181 DEM 43 HD 182 DEM 30 HD 183 REP -3 HD 184 DEM 18 HD 185 DEM 27 HD 186 DEM 40 HD 187 REP -7 HD 188 DEM 41 HD 189 REP 2 HD 190 DEM 45 HD 191 DEM 44 HD 192 DEM 44 HD 193 REP -18 HD 194 DEM 18 HD 195 DEM 41 HD 196 REP -15 HD 197 DEM 43 HD 198 DEM 45 HD 199 REP -11 HD 200 DEM 43 HD 201 DEM 46 HD 202 DEM 26 HD 203 DEM 42 HD 201 DEM 46 HD 190 DEM 45 HD 198 DEM 45 HD 191 DEM 44 HD 192 DEM 44 HD 181 DEM 43 HD 197 DEM 43 HD 200 DEM 43 HD 203 DEM 42 HD 188 DEM 41 HD 195 DEM 41 HD 186 DEM 40 HD 24 DEM 39 HD 179 DEM 37 HD 180 DEM 37 HD 19 DEM 34 HD 159 DEM 30 HD 182 DEM 30 HD 103 DEM 29 HD 127 DEM 29 HD 164 DEM 28 HD 175 DEM 28 HD 185 DEM 27 HD 202 DEM 26 HD 22 DEM 24 HD 23 DEM 24 HD 96 DEM 23 HD 1 DEM 22 HD 154 DEM 22 HD 184 DEM 18 HD 194 DEM 18 HD 112 DEM 16 HD 34 DEM 15 HD 113 DEM 15 HD 95 DEM 14 HD 132 DEM 14 HD 135 DEM 14 HD 2 DEM 13 HD 126 DEM 13 HD 70 DEM 12 HD 74 REP 12 HD 115 DEM 12 HD 140 DEM 12 HD 141 DEM 12 HD 153 DEM 12 HD 35 DEM 11 HD 77 DEM 11 HD 27 DEM 10 HD 148 DEM 10 HD 149 DEM 10 HD 166 DEM 10 HD 173 DEM 10 HD 121 DEM 9 HD 133 DEM 9 HD 136 DEM 9 HD 177 REP 9 HD 20 DEM 8 HD 36 DEM 8 HD 174 DEM 8 HD 7 DEM 7 HD 32 DEM 7 HD 114 DEM 7 HD 18 REP 6 HD 21 DEM 5 HD 172 DEM 5 HD 118 DEM 4 HD 161 REP 4 HD 162 REP 4 HD 170 DEM 4 HD 42 DEM 3 HD 3 DEM 2 HD 16 DEM 2 HD 120 DEM 2 HD 157 REP 2 HD 163 REP 2 HD 189 REP 2 HD 49 DEM 1 HD 61 REP 1 HD 119 DEM 1 HD 146 DEM 1 HD 151 REP 1 HD 152 REP 1 HD 31 DEM 0 HD 45 DEM 0 HD 123 DEM 0 HD 176 REP 0 HD 25 DEM -1 HD 150 REP -1 HD 156 REP -1 HD 158 REP -1 HD 167 REP -1 HD 33 DEM -2 HD 38 DEM -2 HD 50 DEM -2 HD 53 REP -2 HD 142 REP -2 HD 155 REP -2 HD 165 REP -2 HD 4 REP -3 HD 168 REP -3 HD 183 REP -3 HD 9 DEM -4 * HD 26 REP -4 HD 29 REP -4 HD 137 REP -4 HD 143 REP -4 HD 160 REP -4 HD 10 DEM -5 HD 48 DEM -5 HD 71 DEM -5 HD 104 REP -5 HD 122 REP -5 HD 131 REP -5 HD 144 REP -5 HD 145 REP -5 HD 13 REP -6 HD 46 DEM -6 HD 62 REP -6 HD 105 REP -6 HD 130 REP -6 HD 134 REP -6 HD 138 REP -6 HD 147 REP -6 HD 58 DEM -7 HD 106 REP -7 HD 109 REP -7 HD 178 REP -7 HD 187 REP -7 HD 6 REP -8 HD 41 REP -8 HD 51 DEM -8 HD 107 REP -8 HD 128 REP -8 HD 129 REP -8 HD 17 REP -9 HD 73 DEM -9 HD 117 REP -9 HD 171 REP -9 HD 5 REP -10 HD 44 REP -10 HD 47 REP -10 HD 52 DEM -10 HD 55 DEM -10 HD 65 REP -10 HD 72 DEM -10 HD 76 DEM -10 HD 87 REP -10 HD 88 REP -10 HD 97 REP -10 HD 101 REP -10 HD 111 REP -10 HD 116 REP -10 HD 30 REP -11 HD 39 REP -11 HD 75 REP -11 HD 79 REP -11 HD 139 REP -11 HD 199 REP -11 HD 83 DEM -12 HD 110 REP -12 HD 124 REP -12 HD 14 REP -13 HD 91 REP -13 HD 98 REP -13 HD 15 REP -14 HD 40 REP -14 HD 43 REP -14 HD 57 REP -14 HD 94 REP -14 HD 125 REP -14 HD 28 REP -15 HD 54 REP -15 HD 64 REP -15 HD 81 REP -15 HD 85 REP -15 HD 196 REP -15 HD 11 REP -16 HD 93 REP -16 HD 100 REP -16 HD 108 REP -16 HD 169 DEM -16 HD 56 REP -17 HD 67 REP -17 HD 89 REP -17 HD 59 REP -18 HD 60 REP -18 HD 86 REP -18 HD 102 REP -18 HD 193 REP -18 HD 8 REP -19 HD 63 REP -19 HD 68 REP -19 HD 92 REP -19 HD 12 REP -21 HD 37 REP -21 HD 66 REP -21 HD 99 REP -21 HD 90 REP -22 HD 69 REP -23 HD 80 REP -23 HD 82 REP -23 HD 84 REP -23 HD 78 REP -27 We have a lot of DINOS and RINOS. The Casey democrats and the Specter republicans. Republicans are still alive in the suburbs of Philadelphia, while Blue Dogs hold a lot of republican seats in West Pennsylvania. I don’t see PA republicans lose this chamber. I wonder how many seats Wolf would win though. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:47:02 PM Rhode Island
() HD 1 DEM 30 HD 2 DEM 33 HD 3 DEM 33 HD 4 DEM 32 HD 5 DEM 23 HD 6 DEM 19 HD 7 DEM 25 HD 8 DEM 33 HD 9 DEM 39 HD 10 DEM 38 HD 11 DEM 42 HD 12 DEM 43 HD 13 DEM 21 HD 14 DEM 18 HD 15 DEM 0 HD 16 DEM 7 HD 17 DEM 10 HD 18 DEM 22 HD 19 DEM 12 HD 20 DEM 10 HD 21 DEM 10 HD 22 DEM 8 HD 23 DEM 9 HD 24 REP 4 HD 25 DEM 10 HD 26 REP 7 HD 27 DEM 8 HD 28 DEM 4 HD 29 DEM 2 HD 30 REP -2 HD 31 REP 3 HD 32 DEM 4 HD 33 DEM 9 HD 34 DEM 11 HD 35 DEM 12 HD 36 DEM 9 HD 37 DEM 5 HD 38 DEM 6 HD 39 DEM 3 HD 40 REP -1 HD 41 DEM -6 HD 42 DEM 5 HD 43 DEM 6 HD 44 DEM -1 HD 45 DEM 6 HD 46 DEM 6 HD 47 DEM 3 HD 48 REP -1 HD 49 DEM 18 HD 50 DEM 12 HD 51 DEM 10 HD 52 DEM 1 HD 53 DEM 0 HD 54 DEM 11 HD 55 DEM 10 HD 56 DEM 34 HD 57 DEM 17 HD 58 DEM 28 HD 59 DEM 30 HD 60 DEM 24 HD 61 DEM 17 HD 62 DEM 21 HD 63 DEM 17 HD 64 DEM 26 HD 65 DEM 16 HD 66 DEM 10 HD 67 DEM 9 HD 68 DEM 10 HD 69 DEM 12 HD 70 DEM 9 HD 71 DEM 4 HD 72 DEM 2 HD 73 DEM 17 HD 74 DEM 10 HD 75 DEM 13 HD 12 DEM 43 HD 11 DEM 42 HD 9 DEM 39 HD 10 DEM 38 HD 56 DEM 34 HD 2 DEM 33 HD 3 DEM 33 HD 8 DEM 33 HD 4 DEM 32 HD 1 DEM 30 HD 59 DEM 30 HD 58 DEM 28 HD 64 DEM 26 HD 7 DEM 25 HD 60 DEM 24 HD 5 DEM 23 HD 18 DEM 22 HD 13 DEM 21 HD 62 DEM 21 HD 6 DEM 19 HD 14 DEM 18 HD 49 DEM 18 HD 57 DEM 17 HD 61 DEM 17 HD 63 DEM 17 HD 73 DEM 17 HD 65 DEM 16 HD 75 DEM 13 HD 19 DEM 12 HD 35 DEM 12 HD 50 DEM 12 HD 69 DEM 12 HD 34 DEM 11 HD 54 DEM 11 HD 17 DEM 10 HD 20 DEM 10 HD 21 DEM 10 HD 25 DEM 10 * HD 51 DEM 10 HD 55 DEM 10 HD 66 DEM 10 HD 68 DEM 10 HD 74 DEM 10 HD 23 DEM 9 HD 33 DEM 9 HD 36 DEM 9 HD 67 DEM 9 HD 70 DEM 9 HD 22 DEM 8 HD 27 DEM 8 HD 16 DEM 7 HD 26 REP 7 HD 38 DEM 6 HD 43 DEM 6 HD 45 DEM 6 HD 46 DEM 6 HD 37 DEM 5 HD 42 DEM 5 HD 24 REP 4 HD 28 DEM 4 HD 32 DEM 4 HD 71 DEM 4 HD 31 REP 3 HD 39 DEM 3 HD 47 DEM 3 HD 29 DEM 2 HD 72 DEM 2 HD 52 DEM 1 HD 15 DEM 0 HD 53 DEM 0 HD 40 REP -1 HD 44 DEM -1 HD 48 REP -1 HD 30 REP -2 HD 41 DEM -6 Rhode Island is so heavily democratic that basically republicans, in order to be elected, run in the RI democratic primaries. That’s why the RI democratic party is one of the most rightwing democratic party in the USA (38 or 39th), and THE MOST RIGHTWING DEMOCRATIC PARTY FOR A HEAVILY DEMOCRATIC STATE. Economically, the RI democratic party wanted to pass a budget with a clause forbidding towns to have their own minimum wage. I don’t know if they managed to do that, but that was the same project that Mary Fallin passed in Oklahoma. Socially, gay marriage passed with many difficulties and basically the Hhouse Speaker, the House Majority Leader and the House Majority Whip got an A by the NRA. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:48:27 PM South Carolina
() HD 1 REP -28 HD 2 REP -20 HD 3 REP -15 HD 4 REP -34 HD 5 REP -28 HD 6 REP -20 HD 7 REP -19 HD 8 REP -18 HD 9 REP -16 HD 10 REP -30 HD 11 REP -10 HD 12 DEM 8 HD 13 REP -19 HD 14 REP -15 HD 15 REP -2 HD 16 REP -10 HD 17 REP -30 HD 18 REP -26 HD 19 REP -16 HD 20 REP -24 HD 21 REP -26 HD 22 REP -18 HD 23 DEM 14 HD 24 REP -15 HD 25 DEM 20 HD 26 REP -16 HD 27 REP -15 HD 28 REP -17 HD 29 REP -18 HD 30 REP -17 HD 31 DEM 28 HD 32 REP -16 HD 33 REP -21 HD 34 REP -9 HD 35 REP -24 HD 36 REP -13 HD 37 REP -18 HD 38 REP -28 HD 39 REP -19 HD 40 DEM -9 HD 41 DEM 12 HD 42 DEM -7 HD 43 REP -7 HD 44 DEM -5 HD 45 REP -16 HD 46 REP -9 HD 47 REP -20 HD 48 REP -16 HD 49 DEM 15 HD 50 DEM 12 HD 51 DEM 22 HD 52 DEM -10 HD 53 DEM -4 HD 54 DEM 7 HD 55 DEM 4 HD 56 REP -10 HD 57 DEM 11 HD 58 REP -19 HD 59 DEM 19 HD 60 REP -13 HD 61 DEM 0 HD 62 DEM 14 HD 63 REP -17 HD 64 DEM 7 HD 65 REP -20 HD 66 DEM 21 HD 67 REP -14 HD 68 REP -18 HD 69 REP -20 HD 70 DEM 23 HD 71 REP -17 HD 72 DEM 18 HD 73 DEM 29 HD 74 DEM 31 HD 75 REP -9 HD 76 DEM 26 HD 77 DEM 18 HD 78 DEM -1 HD 79 DEM 21 HD 80 DEM 9 HD 81 REP -22 HD 82 DEM 8 HD 83 REP -23 HD 84 REP -17 HD 85 REP -21 HD 86 REP -13 HD 87 REP -31 HD 88 REP -24 HD 89 REP -13 HD 90 DEM 1 HD 91 DEM 12 HD 92 REP -15 HD 93 DEM 8 HD 94 REP -15 HD 95 DEM 20 HD 96 REP -22 HD 97 DEM -9 HD 98 REP -11 HD 99 REP -19 HD 100 REP -18 HD 101 DEM 15 HD 102 DEM 9 HD 103 DEM 11 HD 104 REP -18 HD 105 REP -19 HD 106 REP -20 HD 107 REP -14 HD 108 REP -17 HD 109 DEM 20 HD 110 REP -14 HD 111 DEM 28 HD 112 REP -16 HD 113 DEM 22 HD 114 REP -13 HD 115 REP -10 HD 116 DEM 2 HD 117 REP -3 HD 118 REP -9 HD 119 DEM -3 HD 120 REP -15 HD 121 DEM 13 HD 122 DEM 11 HD 123 REP -17 HD 124 REP -14 HD 74 DEM 31 HD 73 DEM 29 HD 31 DEM 28 HD 111 DEM 28 HD 76 DEM 26 HD 70 DEM 23 HD 51 DEM 22 HD 113 DEM 22 HD 66 DEM 21 HD 79 DEM 21 HD 25 DEM 20 HD 95 DEM 20 HD 109 DEM 20 HD 59 DEM 19 HD 72 DEM 18 HD 77 DEM 18 HD 49 DEM 15 HD 101 DEM 15 HD 23 DEM 14 HD 62 DEM 14 HD 121 DEM 13 HD 41 DEM 12 HD 50 DEM 12 HD 91 DEM 12 HD 57 DEM 11 HD 103 DEM 11 HD 122 DEM 11 HD 80 DEM 9 HD 102 DEM 9 HD 12 DEM 8 HD 82 DEM 8 HD 93 DEM 8 HD 54 DEM 7 HD 64 DEM 7 HD 55 DEM 4 HD 116 DEM 2 HD 90 DEM 1 HD 61 DEM 0 HD 78 DEM -1 HD 15 REP -2 HD 117 REP -3 HD 119 DEM -3 HD 53 DEM -4 HD 44 DEM -5 HD 42 DEM -7 HD 43 REP -7 HD 34 REP -9 HD 40 DEM -9 HD 46 REP -9 HD 75 REP -9 HD 97 DEM -9 HD 118 REP -9 HD 11 REP -10 HD 16 REP -10 HD 52 DEM -10 HD 56 REP -10 HD 115 REP -10 HD 98 REP -11 HD 36 REP -13 HD 60 REP -13 HD 86 REP -13 HD 89 REP -13 * HD 114 REP -13 HD 67 REP -14 HD 107 REP -14 HD 110 REP -14 HD 124 REP -14 HD 3 REP -15 HD 14 REP -15 HD 24 REP -15 HD 27 REP -15 HD 92 REP -15 HD 94 REP -15 HD 120 REP -15 HD 9 REP -16 HD 19 REP -16 HD 26 REP -16 HD 32 REP -16 HD 45 REP -16 HD 48 REP -16 HD 112 REP -16 HD 28 REP -17 HD 30 REP -17 HD 63 REP -17 HD 71 REP -17 HD 84 REP -17 HD 108 REP -17 HD 123 REP -17 HD 8 REP -18 HD 22 REP -18 HD 29 REP -18 HD 37 REP -18 HD 68 REP -18 HD 100 REP -18 HD 104 REP -18 HD 7 REP -19 HD 13 REP -19 HD 39 REP -19 HD 58 REP -19 HD 99 REP -19 HD 105 REP -19 HD 2 REP -20 HD 6 REP -20 HD 47 REP -20 HD 65 REP -20 HD 69 REP -20 HD 106 REP -20 HD 33 REP -21 HD 85 REP -21 HD 81 REP -22 HD 96 REP -22 HD 83 REP -23 HD 20 REP -24 HD 35 REP -24 HD 88 REP -24 HD 18 REP -26 HD 21 REP -26 HD 1 REP -28 HD 5 REP -28 HD 38 REP -28 HD 10 REP -30 HD 17 REP -30 HD 87 REP -31 HD 4 REP -34 Don’t have a lot of things to say except that the SC Democratic Party manages to hold a lot of rep friendly seats. (Just based on the 2012 results). Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:49:48 PM South Dakota
() HD 1 2D 2 HD 2 1D1R -7 HD 3 2R -4 HD 4 2D -8 HD 5 2R -9 HD 6 2R -11 HD 7 1D1R 1 HD 8 1D1R -5 HD 9 1D1R -5 HD 10 2R -7 HD 11 2R -7 HD 12 2R -6 HD 13 2R -7 HD 14 1D1R -5 HD 15 2D 11 HD 16 2R -12 HD 17 1D1R -3 HD 18 1D1R -7 HD 19 2R -18 HD 20 2R -11 HD 21 1D1R -17 HD 22 1D1R -9 HD 23 2R -21 HD 24 2R -19 HD 25 2R -10 HD 26A 1D 20 HD 27 1D1R 8 HD 28A 1D 10 HD 29 2R -23 HD 30 2R -22 HD 31 2R -14 HD 32 2R -12 HD 33 2R -18 HD 34 2R -16 HD 35 2R -14 HD 26B 1R -11 HD 28B 1R -27 HD 26A 1D 20 HD 15 2D 11 HD 28A 1D 10 HD 27 1D1R 8 HD 1 2D 2 HD 7 1D1R 1 HD 17 1D1R -3 HD 3 2R -4 HD 8 1D1R -5 HD 9 1D1R -5 HD 14 1D1R -5 HD 12 2R -6 HD 2 1D1R -7 HD 10 2R -7 HD 11 2R -7 HD 13 2R -7 HD 18 1D1R -7 HD 4 2D -8 HD 5 2R -9 HD 22 1D1R -9 HD 25 2R -10 HD 6 2R -11 HD 20 2R -11 HD 26B 1R -11 HD 16 2R -12 HD 32 2R -12 HD 31 2R -14 HD 35 2R -14 HD 34 2R -16 HD 21 1D1R -17 HD 19 2R -18 HD 33 2R -18 HD 24 2R -19 HD 23 2R -21 HD 30 2R -22 HD 29 2R -23 HD 28B 1R -27 Democrats are still present at local level and hold quite a lot of republican friendly districts. I would love to see the 2014 senate results by house districts. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:50:55 PM Tennessee:
http://www.capitol.tn.gov/districtmaps/HouseState.html HD 1 REP -24 HD 2 REP -26 HD 3 REP -27 HD 4 IND -26 HD 5 REP -25 HD 6 REP -23 HD 7 REP -18 HD 8 REP -25 HD 9 REP -26 HD 10 REP -24 HD 11 REP -27 HD 12 REP -29 HD 13 DEM -5 HD 14 REP -23 HD 15 DEM 14 HD 16 REP -25 HD 17 REP -27 HD 18 REP -14 HD 19 REP -26 HD 20 REP -24 HD 21 REP -25 HD 22 REP -27 HD 23 REP -25 HD 24 REP -27 HD 25 REP -23 HD 26 REP -18 HD 27 REP -16 HD 28 DEM 29 HD 29 REP -18 HD 30 REP -15 HD 31 REP -24 HD 32 REP -24 HD 33 REP -16 HD 34 REP -18 HD 35 REP -26 HD 36 REP -24 HD 37 REP -12 HD 38 REP -25 HD 39 REP -17 HD 40 REP -18 HD 41 DEM -17 HD 42 REP -19 HD 43 REP -15 HD 44 REP -19 HD 45 REP -24 HD 46 REP -19 HD 47 REP -19 HD 48 REP -13 HD 49 REP -12 HD 50 DEM -10 HD 51 DEM 15 HD 52 DEM 14 HD 53 DEM 0 HD 54 DEM 32 HD 55 DEM 7 HD 56 REP -13 HD 57 REP -24 HD 58 DEM 36 HD 59 DEM 18 HD 60 DEM -9 HD 61 REP -26 HD 62 REP -21 HD 63 REP -26 HD 64 REP -19 HD 65 REP -21 HD 66 REP -20 HD 67 DEM 3 HD 68 REP -16 HD 69 DEM -9 HD 70 REP -19 HD 71 REP -25 HD 72 REP -23 HD 73 REP -20 HD 74 DEM -6 HD 75 REP -14 HD 76 REP -19 HD 77 REP -23 HD 78 REP -19 HD 79 REP -19 HD 80 DEM 13 HD 81 REP -22 HD 82 DEM -5 HD 83 REP -16 HD 84 DEM 34 HD 85 DEM 33 HD 86 DEM 24 HD 87 DEM 34 HD 88 DEM 21 HD 89 REP -22 HD 90 DEM 31 HD 91 REP 37 HD 92 REP -18 HD 93 DEM 28 HD 94 REP -20 HD 95 REP -28 HD 96 REP -11 HD 97 REP -16 HD 98 DEM 28 HD 99 REP -24 HD 91 REP 37 HD 58 DEM 36 HD 84 DEM 34 HD 87 DEM 34 HD 85 DEM 33 HD 54 DEM 32 HD 90 DEM 31 HD 28 DEM 29 HD 93 DEM 28 HD 98 DEM 28 HD 86 DEM 24 HD 88 DEM 21 HD 59 DEM 18 HD 51 DEM 15 HD 15 DEM 14 HD 52 DEM 14 HD 80 DEM 13 HD 55 DEM 7 HD 67 DEM 3 HD 53 DEM 0 HD 13 DEM -5 HD 82 DEM -5 HD 74 DEM -6 HD 60 DEM -9 HD 69 DEM -9 HD 50 DEM -10 HD 96 REP -11 HD 37 REP -12 HD 49 REP -12 HD 48 REP -13 HD 56 REP -13 HD 18 REP -14 HD 75 REP -14 HD 30 REP -15 HD 43 REP -15 HD 27 REP -16 HD 33 REP -16 HD 68 REP -16 HD 83 REP -16 HD 97 REP -16 HD 39 REP -17 HD 41 DEM -17 HD 7 REP -18 HD 26 REP -18 HD 29 REP -18 HD 34 REP -18 HD 40 REP -18 HD 92 REP -18 HD 42 REP -19 HD 44 REP -19 * HD 46 REP -19 HD 47 REP -19 HD 64 REP -19 HD 70 REP -19 HD 76 REP -19 HD 78 REP -19 HD 79 REP -19 HD 66 REP -20 HD 73 REP -20 HD 94 REP -20 HD 62 REP -21 HD 65 REP -21 HD 81 REP -22 HD 89 REP -22 HD 6 REP -23 HD 14 REP -23 HD 25 REP -23 HD 72 REP -23 HD 77 REP -23 HD 1 REP -24 HD 10 REP -24 HD 20 REP -24 HD 31 REP -24 HD 32 REP -24 HD 36 REP -24 HD 45 REP -24 HD 57 REP -24 HD 99 REP -24 HD 5 REP -25 HD 8 REP -25 HD 16 REP -25 HD 21 REP -25 HD 23 REP -25 HD 38 REP -25 HD 71 REP -25 HD 2 REP -26 HD 4 IND -26 HD 9 REP -26 HD 19 REP -26 HD 35 REP -26 HD 61 REP -26 HD 63 REP -26 HD 3 REP -27 HD 11 REP -27 HD 17 REP -27 HD 22 REP -27 HD 24 REP -27 HD 95 REP -28 HD 12 REP -29 RIP TENNESSEE DEMOCRATS :’(. Although their situation in the lower house is slightly better than in the upper house. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:52:20 PM Texas
() HD 1 REP -24 HD 2 REP -29 HD 3 REP -28 HD 4 REP -25 HD 5 REP -26 HD 6 REP -23 HD 7 REP -24 HD 8 REP -25 HD 9 REP -24 HD 10 REP -25 HD 11 REP -24 HD 12 REP -15 HD 13 REP -27 HD 14 REP -16 HD 15 REP -29 HD 16 REP -32 HD 17 REP -12 HD 18 REP -23 HD 19 REP -28 HD 20 REP -23 HD 21 REP -27 HD 22 DEM 13 HD 23 DEM -6 HD 24 REP -25 HD 25 REP -21 HD 26 REP -16 HD 27 DEM 17 HD 28 REP -16 HD 29 REP -16 HD 30 REP -21 HD 31 DEM 10 HD 32 REP -10 HD 33 REP -24 HD 34 DEM 1 HD 35 DEM 13 HD 36 DEM 22 HD 37 DEM 16 HD 38 DEM 13 HD 39 DEM 21 HD 40 DEM 23 HD 41 DEM 5 HD 42 DEM 21 HD 43 REP -5 HD 44 REP -20 HD 45 REP -7 HD 46 DEM 26 HD 47 REP -10 HD 48 DEM 8 HD 49 DEM 22 HD 50 DEM 8 HD 51 DEM 29 HD 52 REP -7 HD 53 REP -28 HD 54 REP -5 HD 55 REP -17 HD 56 REP -21 HD 57 REP -24 HD 58 REP -29 HD 59 REP -28 HD 60 REP -34 HD 61 REP -34 HD 62 REP -25 HD 63 REP -24 HD 64 REP -13 HD 65 REP -10 HD 66 REP -13 HD 67 REP -14 HD 68 REP -33 HD 69 REP -27 HD 70 REP -21 HD 71 REP -28 HD 72 REP -27 HD 73 REP -30 HD 74 DEM 5 HD 75 DEM 21 HD 76 DEM 24 HD 77 DEM 12 HD 78 DEM 3 HD 79 DEM 13 HD 80 DEM 15 HD 81 REP -28 HD 82 REP -32 HD 83 REP -30 HD 84 REP -17 HD 85 REP -13 HD 86 REP -35 HD 87 REP -29 HD 88 REP -32 HD 89 REP -19 HD 90 DEM 21 HD 91 REP -20 HD 92 REP -14 HD 93 REP -12 HD 94 REP -14 HD 95 DEM 24 HD 96 REP -12 HD 97 REP -12 HD 98 REP -27 HD 99 REP -19 HD 100 DEM 25 HD 101 DEM 11 HD 102 REP -6 HD 103 DEM 17 HD 104 DEM 19 HD 105 REP -6 HD 106 REP -19 HD 107 REP -5 HD 108 REP -10 HD 109 DEM 28 HD 110 DEM 36 HD 111 DEM 24 HD 112 REP -8 HD 113 REP -6 HD 114 REP -7 HD 115 REP -9 HD 116 DEM 8 HD 117 DEM 0 HD 118 DEM 3 HD 119 DEM 7 HD 120 DEM 12 HD 121 REP -13 HD 122 REP -20 HD 123 DEM 9 HD 124 DEM 8 HD 125 DEM 7 HD 126 REP -15 HD 127 REP -22 HD 128 REP -25 HD 129 REP -17 HD 130 REP -28 HD 131 DEM 30 HD 132 REP -13 HD 133 REP -20 HD 134 REP -8 HD 135 REP -13 HD 136 REP -8 HD 137 DEM 11 HD 138 REP -13 HD 139 DEM 23 HD 140 DEM 16 HD 141 DEM 34 HD 142 DEM 25 HD 143 DEM 13 HD 144 DEM -3 HD 145 DEM 7 HD 146 DEM 26 HD 147 DEM 27 HD 148 DEM 5 HD 149 DEM 5 HD 150 DEM -22 HD 110 DEM 36 HD 141 DEM 34 HD 131 DEM 30 HD 51 DEM 29 HD 109 DEM 28 HD 147 DEM 27 HD 46 DEM 26 HD 146 DEM 26 HD 100 DEM 25 HD 142 DEM 25 HD 76 DEM 24 HD 95 DEM 24 HD 111 DEM 24 HD 40 DEM 23 HD 139 DEM 23 HD 36 DEM 22 HD 49 DEM 22 HD 39 DEM 21 HD 42 DEM 21 HD 75 DEM 21 HD 90 DEM 21 HD 104 DEM 19 HD 27 DEM 17 HD 103 DEM 17 HD 37 DEM 16 HD 140 DEM 16 HD 80 DEM 15 HD 22 DEM 13 HD 35 DEM 13 HD 38 DEM 13 HD 79 DEM 13 HD 143 DEM 13 HD 77 DEM 12 HD 120 DEM 12 HD 101 DEM 11 HD 137 DEM 11 HD 31 DEM 10 HD 123 DEM 9 HD 48 DEM 8 HD 50 DEM 8 HD 116 DEM 8 HD 124 DEM 8 HD 119 DEM 7 HD 125 DEM 7 HD 145 DEM 7 HD 41 DEM 5 HD 74 DEM 5 HD 148 DEM 5 HD 149 DEM 5 HD 78 DEM 3 HD 118 DEM 3 ** HD 34 DEM 1 HD 117 DEM 0 HD 144 DEM -3 HD 43 REP -5 HD 54 REP -5 HD 107 REP -5 HD 23 DEM -6 HD 102 REP -6 HD 105 REP -6 HD 113 REP -6 HD 45 REP -7 HD 52 REP -7 HD 114 REP -7 HD 112 REP -8 HD 134 REP -8 HD 136 REP -8 HD 115 REP -9 HD 32 REP -10 HD 47 REP -10 HD 65 REP -10 HD 108 REP -10 HD 17 REP -12 HD 93 REP -12 HD 96 REP -12 * HD 97 REP -12 HD 64 REP -13 HD 66 REP -13 HD 85 REP -13 HD 121 REP -13 HD 132 REP -13 HD 135 REP -13 HD 138 REP -13 HD 67 REP -14 HD 92 REP -14 HD 94 REP -14 HD 12 REP -15 HD 126 REP -15 HD 14 REP -16 HD 26 REP -16 HD 28 REP -16 HD 29 REP -16 HD 55 REP -17 HD 84 REP -17 HD 129 REP -17 HD 89 REP -19 HD 99 REP -19 HD 106 REP -19 HD 44 REP -20 HD 91 REP -20 HD 122 REP -20 HD 133 REP -20 HD 25 REP -21 HD 30 REP -21 HD 56 REP -21 HD 70 REP -21 HD 127 REP -22 HD 150 DEM -22 HD 6 REP -23 HD 18 REP -23 HD 20 REP -23 HD 1 REP -24 HD 7 REP -24 HD 9 REP -24 HD 11 REP -24 HD 33 REP -24 HD 57 REP -24 HD 63 REP -24 HD 4 REP -25 HD 8 REP -25 HD 10 REP -25 HD 24 REP -25 HD 62 REP -25 HD 128 REP -25 HD 5 REP -26 HD 13 REP -27 HD 21 REP -27 HD 69 REP -27 HD 72 REP -27 HD 98 REP -27 HD 3 REP -28 HD 19 REP -28 HD 53 REP -28 HD 59 REP -28 HD 71 REP -28 HD 81 REP -28 HD 130 REP -28 HD 2 REP -29 HD 15 REP -29 HD 58 REP -29 HD 87 REP -29 HD 73 REP -30 HD 83 REP -30 HD 16 REP -32 HD 82 REP -32 HD 88 REP -32 HD 68 REP -33 HD 60 REP -34 HD 61 REP -34 HD 86 REP -35 The Texas Democratic Party will take time to rebuild. Most of the blue dogs have been decimated except really few seats. It should become more and more blue with time because of the growing Hispanic population. I don’t see Texas becoming democrat before a long time though. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:54:11 PM Utah:
() HD 1 REP -37 HD 2 REP -35 HD 3 REP -31 HD 4 REP -18 HD 5 REP -33 HD 6 REP -34 HD 7 REP -22 HD 8 REP -11 HD 9 REP -12 HD 10 REP -9 HD 11 REP -20 HD 12 REP -23 HD 13 REP -25 HD 14 REP -23 HD 15 REP -31 HD 16 REP -21 HD 17 REP -28 HD 18 REP -28 HD 19 REP -24 HD 20 REP -21 HD 21 REP -16 HD 22 DEM -4 HD 23 DEM 10 HD 24 DEM 19 HD 25 DEM 26 HD 26 DEM 16 HD 27 REP -39 HD 28 DEM 12 HD 29 REP -32 HD 30 DEM -5 HD 31 DEM 0 HD 32 REP -16 HD 33 REP 0 HD 34 REP -3 HD 35 DEM 8 HD 36 DEM -1 HD 37 DEM -2 HD 38 REP -6 HD 39 REP -6 HD 40 DEM 7 HD 41 REP -26 HD 42 REP -19 HD 43 REP -12 HD 44 DEM -4 HD 45 REP -8 HD 46 DEM -1 HD 47 REP -14 HD 48 REP -35 HD 49 REP -9 HD 50 REP -24 HD 51 REP -20 HD 52 REP -24 HD 53 REP -18 HD 54 REP -4 HD 55 REP -39 HD 56 REP -37 HD 57 REP -36 HD 58 REP -34 HD 59 REP -34 HD 60 REP -33 HD 61 REP -30 HD 62 REP -33 HD 63 REP -29 HD 64 REP -27 HD 65 REP -33 HD 66 REP -36 HD 67 REP -35 HD 68 REP -29 HD 69 REP -15 HD 70 REP -29 HD 71 REP -32 HD 72 REP -33 HD 73 REP -23 HD 74 REP -29 HD 75 REP -33 HD 25 DEM 26 HD 24 DEM 19 HD 26 DEM 16 HD 28 DEM 12 HD 23 DEM 10 HD 35 DEM 8 HD 40 DEM 7 HD 31 DEM 0 HD 33 REP 0 HD 36 DEM -1 HD 46 DEM -1 HD 37 DEM -2 HD 34 REP -3 HD 22 DEM -4 HD 44 DEM -4 HD 54 REP -4 HD 30 DEM -5 HD 38 REP -6 HD 39 REP -6 HD 45 REP -8 HD 10 REP -9 HD 49 REP -9 HD 8 REP -11 HD 9 REP -12 HD 43 REP -12 HD 47 REP -14 ** HD 69 REP -15 HD 21 REP -16 HD 32 REP -16 HD 4 REP -18 HD 53 REP -18 HD 42 REP -19 HD 11 REP -20 HD 51 REP -20 HD 16 REP -21 HD 20 REP -21 HD 7 REP -22 HD 12 REP -23 HD 14 REP -23 HD 73 REP -23 HD 19 REP -24 HD 50 REP -24 HD 52 REP -24 HD 13 REP -25 HD 41 REP -26 HD 64 REP -27 HD 17 REP -28 HD 18 REP -28 HD 63 REP -29 HD 68 REP -29 HD 70 REP -29 HD 74 REP -29 HD 61 REP -30 HD 3 REP -31 HD 15 REP -31 HD 29 REP -32 HD 71 REP -32 HD 5 REP -33 HD 60 REP -33 HD 62 REP -33 HD 65 REP -33 HD 72 REP -33 HD 75 REP -33 HD 6 REP -34 HD 58 REP -34 HD 59 REP -34 HD 2 REP -35 HD 48 REP -35 HD 67 REP -35 HD 57 REP -36 HD 66 REP -36 HD 1 REP -37 HD 56 REP -37 HD 27 REP -39 HD 55 REP -39 Based on the 2008 results, ior the 2008/2012. Blue Dogs simply don’t exist anymore :(. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:56:21 PM Vermont
() Addison 1 2D 27 Addison 2 1D 18 Addison 3 1D1R 11 Addison 4 2D 19 Addison 5 1R 14 Addison-Rutland IND 11 Bennington 1 1D 15 Bennington 2-1 2D 20 Bennington 2-2 1D1R 17 Bennington 3 1D 12 Bennington 4 2D 11 Bennington-Rutland 1R 13 Caledonia-1 1R 6 Caledonia-2 1D 16 Caledonia-3 2D 9 Caledonia-4 2R 6 Caledonia-Washington 1D 13 Chittenden 1 1D 20 Chittenden 2 2D 14 Chittenden 3 2D 16 Chittenden 4-1 1D 21 Chittenden 4-2 1D 20 Chittenden 5-1 1D 21 Chittenden 5-2 1D 15 Chittenden 6-1 1D1R 22 Chittenden 6-2 1D 27 Chittenden 6-3 2D 38 Chittenden 6-4 1D1P 38 Chittenden 6-5 2D 33 Chittenden 6-6 1D 35 Chittenden 6-7 2D 24 Chittenden 7-1 1D 19 Chittenden 7-2 1D 15 Chittenden 7-3 1D 23 Chittenden 7-4 1D 16 Chittenden 8-1 1D1R 12 Chittenden 8-2 2D 13 Chittenden 8-3 1D 13 Chittenden 9-1 1D1R 15 Chittenden 9-2 1D1R 10 Chittenden 10 2R 5 Essex-Caledonia 1R 5 Essex-Caledonia-Orleans 1R 6 Franklin 1 1R 5 Franklin 2 1R 8 Franklin 3-1 2D 14 Franklin 3-2 1R 7 Franklin 4 1D1R 9 Franklin 5 2R 6 Franklin 6 1D 14 Franklin 7 1P 14 Grand Isle-Chittenden 2D 10 Lamoille 1 1R 18 Lamoille 2 2D 19 Lamoille 3 1R 18 Lamoille-Washington 2D 20 Orange 1 1R1P 7 Orange 2 1D 14 Orange-Caledonia 1D 5 Orange-Washington-Addison 2D 16 Orleans 1 2R 7 Orleans 2 2R 9 Orleans-Caledonia 1D1R 15 Orleans-Lamoille 1R 12 Rutland 1 1R 12 Rutland 2 1D1R 7 Rutland 3 2R 8 Rutland 4 1R 3 Rutland 5-1 1R 8 Rutland 5-2 1R 11 Rutland 5-3 1D 14 Rutland 5-4 1R 14 Rutland 6 1D1R 13 Rutland-Bennington 1D 8 Rutland-Windsor 1 1D 8 Rutland-Windsor 2 1R 8 Washington 1 2R 12 Washington 2 2R 3 Washington 3 1D1IND 12 Washington 4 2D 31 Washington 5 1D 22 Washington 6 1D 23 Washington 7 1D1IND 23 Washington-Chittenden 2D 23 Windham 1 1R 12 Windham 2-1 1D 25 Windham 2-2 1P 32 Windham 2-3 1D 34 Windham 3 2D 20 Windham 4 2D 27 Windham 5 1D 25 Windham 6 1D 14 Windham-Bennington 1D 9 Windham-Bennington-Windsor 1IND 13 Windsor 1 2D 19 Windsor 2 1D 10 Windsor 3-1 1D 13 Windsor 3-2 2D 12 Windsor 4-1 1D 14 Windsor 4-2 2D 19 Windsor 5 1D 18 Windsor-Orange 1 1D 17 Windsor-Orange 2 2D 29 Windsor-Rutland 1P 17 Chittenden 6-3 2D 38 Chittenden 6-4 1D1P 38 Chittenden 6-6 1D 35 Windham 2-3 1D 34 Chittenden 6-5 2D 33 Windham 2-2 1P 32 Washington 4 2D 31 Windsor-Orange 2 2D 29 Addison 1 2D 27 Chittenden 6-2 1D 27 Windham 4 2D 27 Windham 2-1 1D 25 Windham 5 1D 25 Chittenden 6-7 2D 24 Chittenden 7-3 1D 23 Washington 6 1D 23 Washington 7 1D1IND 23 Washington-Chittenden 2D 23 Chittenden 6-1 1D1R 22 Washington 5 1D 22 Chittenden 4-1 1D 21 Chittenden 5-1 1D 21 Bennington 2-1 2D 20 Chittenden 1 1D 20 Chittenden 4-2 1D 20 Lamoille-Washington 2D 20 Windham 3 2D 20 Addison 4 2D 19 Chittenden 7-1 1D 19 Lamoille 2 2D 19 Windsor 1 2D 19 Windsor 4-2 2D 19 Addison 2 1D 18 Lamoille 1 1R 18 Lamoille 3 1R 18 Windsor 5 1D 18 Bennington 2-2 1D1R 17 Windsor-Orange 1 1D 17 Windsor-Rutland 1P 17 Caledonia-2 1D 16 Chittenden 3 2D 16 Chittenden 7-4 1D 16 Orange-Washington-Addison 2D 16 Bennington 1 1D 15 Chittenden 5-2 1D 15 Chittenden 7-2 1D 15 Chittenden 9-1 1D1R 15 Orleans-Caledonia 1D1R 15 Addison 5 1R 14 Chittenden 2 2D 14 Franklin 3-1 2D 14 Franklin 6 1D 14 Franklin 7 1P 14 Orange 2 1D 14 Rutland 5-3 1D 14 Rutland 5-4 1R 14 Windham 6 1D 14 Windsor 4-1 1D 14 Bennington-Rutland 1R 13 Caledonia-Washington 1D 13 Chittenden 8-2 2D 13 Chittenden 8-3 1D 13 Rutland 6 1D1R 13 Windham-Bennington-Windsor 1IND 13 Windsor 3-1 1D 13 Bennington 3 1D 12 Chittenden 8-1 1D1R 12 Orleans-Lamoille 1R 12 Rutland 1 1R 12 Washington 1 2R 12 Washington 3 1D1IND 12 Windham 1 1R 12 Windsor 3-2 2D 12 Addison 3 1D1R 11 Addison-Rutland IND 11 Bennington 4 2D 11 Rutland 5-2 1R 11 Chittenden 9-2 1D1R 10 Grand Isle-Chittenden 2D 10 Windsor 2 1D 10 Caledonia-3 2D 9 Franklin 4 1D1R 9 Orleans 2 2R 9 Windham-Bennington 1D 9 Franklin 2 1R 8 Rutland 3 2R 8 Rutland 5-1 1R 8 Rutland-Bennington 1D 8 Rutland-Windsor 1 1D 8 Rutland-Windsor 2 1R 8 Franklin 3-2 1R 7 Orange 1 1R1P 7 Orleans 1 2R 7 Rutland 2 1D1R 7 Caledonia-1 1R 6 Caledonia-4 2R 6 Essex-Caledonia-Orleans 1R 6 Franklin 5 2R 6 Chittenden 10 2R 5 Essex-Caledonia 1R 5 Franklin 1 1R 5 Orange-Caledonia 1D 5 Rutland 4 1R 3 Washington 2 2R 3 Vermont is like this forum: many true leftists, many “average” democrats, and people who consider themselves as republicans are basically for most of them really moderate. Vermont is the only state where republicans are still able to hold D+20 seats. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:57:18 PM Virginia
() 1 REP -23 2 REP 6 3 REP -22 4 DEM -18 5 REP -21 6 REP -19 7 REP -13 8 REP -14 9 REP -16 10 REP -3 11 DEM 13 12 REP 1 13 REP 3 14 REP -3 15 REP -17 16 REP -9 17 REP -13 18 REP -10 19 IND -16 20 REP -11 21 REP -1 22 REP -14 23 REP -17 24 REP -14 25 REP -14 26 REP -8 27 REP -7 28 REP -4 29 REP -12 30 REP -9 31 REP 1 32 REP 1 33 REP -9 34 REP -2 35 DEM 7 36 DEM 12 37 DEM 7 38 DEM 12 39 DEM 8 40 REP -4 41 DEM 5 42 REP 0 43 DEM 12 44 DEM 12 45 DEM 16 46 DEM 21 47 DEM 16 48 DEM 11 49 DEM 22 50 REP 1 51 REP -2 52 DEM 19 53 DEM 13 54 REP -5 55 REP -12 56 REP -14 57 DEM 19 58 REP -10 59 REP -12 60 REP -5 61 REP -7 62 REP -7 63 DEM 19 64 REP -11 65 REP -17 66 REP -16 67 REP 1 68 REP -8 69 DEM 33 70 DEM 26 71 DEM 34 72 REP -7 73 REP -6 74 DEM 22 75 DEM 10 76 REP -9 77 DEM 24 78 REP -14 79 DEM 8 80 DEM 22 81 REP -10 82 REP -11 83 REP -6 84 REP -3 85 REP -3 86 REP 8 87 REP 3 88 REP -8 89 DEM 29 90 DEM 26 91 REP -9 92 DEM 26 93 REP 4 94 REP -1 95 DEM 25 96 REP -11 97 REP -22 98 REP -13 99 REP -7 100 DEM 2 71 DEM 34 69 DEM 33 89 DEM 29 70 DEM 26 90 DEM 26 92 DEM 26 95 DEM 25 77 DEM 24 49 DEM 22 74 DEM 22 80 DEM 22 46 DEM 21 52 DEM 19 57 DEM 19 63 DEM 19 45 DEM 16 47 DEM 16 11 DEM 13 53 DEM 13 36 DEM 12 38 DEM 12 43 DEM 12 44 DEM 12 48 DEM 11 75 DEM 10 39 DEM 8 79 DEM 8 86 REP 8 35 DEM 7 37 DEM 7 2 REP 6 41 DEM 5 93 REP 4 13 REP 3 87 REP 3 100 DEM 2 12 REP 1 31 REP 1 32 REP 1 50 REP 1 67 REP 1 42 REP 0 21 REP -1 94 REP -1 34 REP -2 51 REP -2 10 REP -3 14 REP -3 84 REP -3 85 REP -3 * 28 REP -4 40 REP -4 54 REP -5 60 REP -5 73 REP -6 83 REP -6 27 REP -7 61 REP -7 62 REP -7 72 REP -7 99 REP -7 26 REP -8 68 REP -8 88 REP -8 16 REP -9 30 REP -9 33 REP -9 76 REP -9 91 REP -9 18 REP -10 58 REP -10 81 REP -10 20 REP -11 64 REP -11 82 REP -11 96 REP -11 29 REP -12 55 REP -12 59 REP -12 7 REP -13 17 REP -13 98 REP -13 8 REP -14 22 REP -14 24 REP -14 25 REP -14 56 REP -14 78 REP -14 9 REP -16 19 IND -16 66 REP -16 15 REP -17 23 REP -17 65 REP -17 4 DEM -18 6 REP -19 5 REP -21 3 REP -22 97 REP -22 1 REP -23 I will make an analysis later. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 04:58:38 PM Washington
() LD 1 2D 9 LD 2 2R -4 LD 3 2D 8 LD 4 2R -10 LD 5 2R 3 LD 6 2R -4 LD 7 2R -14 LD 8 2R -16 LD 9 2R -13 LD 10 2R -1 LD 11 2D 16 LD 12 2R -10 LD 13 2R -15 LD 14 2R -8 LD 15 2R -6 LD 16 2R -13 LD 17 1D1R -2 LD 18 2R -6 LD 19 2D 3 LD 20 2R -9 LD 21 2D 11 LD 22 2D 13 LD 23 2D 7 LD 24 2D 4 LD 25 1D1R 0 LD 26 1D1R -1 LD 27 2D 16 LD 28 1D1R 3 LD 29 2D 10 LD 30 1D1R 7 LD 31 1D1R -3 LD 32 2D 19 LD 33 2D 14 LD 34 2D 26 LD 35 1D1R 1 LD 36 2D 32 LD 37 2D 35 LD 38 2D 9 LD 39 2R -1 LD 40 2D 12 LD 41 2D 10 LD 42 2R -1 LD 43 2D 37 LD 44 1D1R 3 LD 45 2D 8 LD 46 2D 28 LD 47 1D1R 4 LD 48 2D 11 LD 49 2D 7 LD 43 2D 37 LD 37 2D 35 LD 36 2D 32 LD 46 2D 28 LD 34 2D 26 LD 32 2D 19 LD 11 2D 16 LD 27 2D 16 LD 33 2D 14 LD 22 2D 13 LD 40 2D 12 LD 21 2D 11 LD 48 2D 11 LD 29 2D 10 LD 41 2D 10 LD 1 2D 9 LD 38 2D 9 LD 3 2D 8 LD 45 2D 8 LD 23 2D 7 LD 30 1D1R 7 LD 49 2D 7 LD 24 2D 4 LD 47 1D1R 4 LD 5 2R 3 * LD 19 2D 3 LD 28 1D1R 3 LD 44 1D1R 3 LD 35 1D1R 1 LD 25 1D1R 0 LD 10 2R -1 LD 26 1D1R -1 LD 39 2R -1 LD 42 2R -1 LD 17 1D1R -2 LD 31 1D1R -3 LD 2 2R -4 LD 6 2R -4 LD 15 2R -6 LD 18 2R -6 LD 14 2R -8 LD 20 2R -9 LD 4 2R -10 LD 12 2R -10 LD 9 2R -13 LD 16 2R -13 LD 7 2R -14 LD 13 2R -15 LD 8 2R -16 While WA republicans are strong and should keep the senate, I don’t expect them to take this chamber. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 05:00:01 PM West Virginia
() HD 1 -12 HD 2 -6 HD 3 -11 HD 4 -13 HD 5 -10 HD 6 -25 HD 7 -24 HD 8 -20 HD 9 -22 HD 10 -16 HD 11 -13 HD 12 -16 HD 13 -12 HD 14 -12 HD 15 -21 HD 16 -5 HD 17 -10 HD 18 -17 HD 19 -14 HD 20 -17 HD 21 -18 HD 22 -16 HD 23 -7 HD 24 -16 HD 25 -23 HD 26 -8 HD 27 -22 HD 28 -21 HD 29 -22 HD 30 -10 HD 31 -24 HD 32 -11 HD 33 -15 HD 34 -6 HD 35 -5 HD 36 -5 HD 37 20 HD 38 -16 HD 39 -19 HD 40 -20 HD 41 -16 HD 42 -13 HD 43 -13 HD 44 -11 HD 45 -22 HD 46 -23 HD 47 -18 HD 48 -12 HD 49 -15 HD 50 -6 HD 51 -4 HD 52 -19 HD 53 -21 HD 54 -31 HD 55 -17 HD 56 -20 HD 57 -20 HD 58 -19 HD 59 -16 HD 60 -18 HD 61 0 HD 62 -15 HD 63 -7 HD 64 -15 HD 65 -1 HD 66 -9 HD 67 2 HD 37 20 HD 67 2 HD 61 0 HD 65 -1 HD 51 -4 HD 16 -5 HD 35 -5 HD 36 -5 HD 2 -6 HD 34 -6 HD 50 -6 HD 23 -7 HD 63 -7 HD 26 -8 HD 66 -9 HD 5 -10 HD 17 -10 HD 30 -10 HD 3 -11 HD 32 -11 HD 44 -11 HD 1 -12 HD 13 -12 HD 14 -12 HD 48 -12 HD 4 -13 HD 11 -13 HD 42 -13 HD 43 -13 HD 19 -14 HD 33 -15 HD 49 -15 HD 62 -15 HD 64 -15 HD 10 -16 HD 12 -16 HD 22 -16 HD 24 -16 HD 38 -16 HD 41 -16 HD 59 -16 HD 18 -17 HD 20 -17 HD 55 -17 HD 21 -18 HD 47 -18 HD 60 -18 HD 39 -19 HD 52 -19 HD 58 -19 HD 8 -20 HD 40 -20 HD 56 -20 HD 57 -20 HD 15 -21 HD 28 -21 HD 53 -21 HD 9 -22 HD 27 -22 HD 29 -22 HD 45 -22 HD 25 -23 HD 46 -23 HD 7 -24 HD 31 -24 HD 6 -25 HD 54 -31 I will update that later (I have a problem with the incumbents). Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 05:01:05 PM Wisconsin
http://maps.legis.wisconsin.gov/?single=y AD 10 DEM 38 AD 16 DEM 38 AD 18 DEM 36 AD 11 DEM 34 AD 17 DEM 33 AD 76 DEM 32 AD 77 DEM 31 AD 8 DEM 28 AD 12 DEM 26 AD 48 DEM 25 AD 9 DEM 23 AD 66 DEM 23 AD 78 DEM 21 AD 19 DEM 20 AD 47 DEM 19 AD 65 DEM 15 AD 95 DEM 14 AD 44 DEM 13 AD 45 DEM 13 AD 80 DEM 13 AD 90 DEM 13 AD 46 DEM 12 AD 91 DEM 11 AD 73 DEM 10 AD 79 DEM 10 AD 81 DEM 10 AD 51 REP 9 AD 57 DEM 9 AD 71 DEM 9 AD 43 DEM 8 AD 64 DEM 8 AD 49 REP 7 AD 54 DEM 7 AD 74 DEM 7 AD 92 DEM 6 AD 96 REP 6 AD 7 DEM 5 AD 20 DEM 5 AD 50 REP 3 AD 85 DEM 3 AD 1 REP 1 AD 68 REP 1 AD 94 DEM 1 AD 70 DEM 0 AD 72 REP 0 AD 29 REP -1 AD 42 REP -1 AD 88 REP -1 AD 4 REP -2 AD 5 REP -2 * AD 35 REP -2 AD 36 REP -2 AD 41 REP -2 AD 55 REP -2 AD 67 REP -2 AD 75 DEM -2 AD 2 REP -3 AD 3 REP -3 AD 21 REP -3 AD 25 REP -3 AD 30 REP -3 AD 89 REP -3 AD 93 REP -3 AD 27 REP -4 AD 31 REP -4 AD 37 REP -4 AD 40 REP -4 AD 69 REP -4 AD 87 REP -4 AD 6 REP -5 AD 26 REP -5 AD 34 REP -5 AD 62 REP -5 AD 86 REP -5 AD 15 REP -6 AD 52 REP -6 AD 56 REP -6 AD 61 REP -6 AD 28 REP -7 AD 24 REP -8 AD 32 REP -8 AD 53 REP -8 AD 63 REP -8 AD 82 REP -8 AD 13 REP -9 AD 14 REP -9 AD 38 REP -9 AD 39 REP -9 AD 84 REP -9 AD 33 REP -10 AD 97 REP -10 AD 22 REP -12 AD 23 REP -12 AD 98 REP -17 AD 59 REP -18 AD 60 REP -18 AD 58 REP -19 AD 83 REP -19 AD 99 REP -23 An obvious republican gerrymander. I don’t see WI democrats flipping this chamber in 2014, even with a Burke win :(. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 05:02:08 PM Wyoming
No map found. HD 1 REP -40 HD 2 REP -34 HD 3 REP -41 HD 4 REP -25 HD 5 REP -25 HD 6 REP -35 HD 7 REP -23 HD 8 REP -11 HD 9 REP -13 HD 10 REP -30 HD 11 DEM -6 HD 12 DEM -9 HD 13 DEM 4 HD 14 REP -8 HD 15 REP -10 HD 16 REP 13 HD 17 REP -17 HD 18 REP -32 HD 19 REP -35 HD 20 REP -34 HD 21 REP -45 HD 22 REP -16 HD 23 REP -2 HD 24 REP -29 HD 25 REP -29 HD 26 REP -35 HD 27 REP -32 HD 28 REP -33 HD 29 REP -22 HD 30 REP -27 HD 31 REP -40 HD 32 REP -37 HD 33 DEM 5 HD 34 REP -35 HD 35 REP -29 HD 36 REP -19 HD 37 REP -26 HD 38 REP -29 HD 39 DEM -22 HD 40 REP -34 HD 41 DEM -9 HD 42 REP -21 HD 43 REP -12 HD 44 DEM 2 HD 45 REP 2 HD 46 REP -9 HD 47 REP -30 HD 48 REP -21 HD 49 REP -29 HD 50 REP -35 HD 51 REP -27 HD 52 REP -41 HD 53 REP -35 HD 54 REP -14 HD 55 REP -26 HD 56 REP -16 HD 57 REP -18 HD 58 REP -28 HD 59 REP -16 HD 60 DEM -21 HD 16 REP 13 HD 33 DEM 5 HD 13 DEM 4 HD 44 DEM 2 HD 45 REP 2 HD 23 REP -2 HD 11 DEM -6 HD 14 REP -8 HD 12 DEM -9 HD 41 DEM -9 HD 46 REP -9 HD 15 REP -10 HD 8 REP -11 HD 43 REP -12 HD 9 REP -13 HD 54 REP -14 HD 22 REP -16 HD 56 REP -16 HD 59 REP -16 HD 17 REP -17 HD 57 REP -18 HD 36 REP -19 HD 42 REP -21 HD 48 REP -21 HD 60 DEM -21 HD 29 REP -22 HD 39 DEM -22 HD 7 REP -23 HD 4 REP -25 HD 5 REP -25 HD 37 REP -26 HD 55 REP -26 HD 30 REP -27 HD 51 REP -27 HD 58 REP -28 HD 24 REP -29 HD 25 REP -29 HD 35 REP -29 HD 38 REP -29 HD 49 REP -29 HD 10 REP -30 HD 47 REP -30 HD 18 REP -32 HD 27 REP -32 HD 28 REP -33 HD 2 REP -34 HD 20 REP -34 HD 40 REP -34 HD 6 REP -35 HD 19 REP -35 HD 26 REP -35 HD 34 REP -35 HD 50 REP -35 HD 53 REP -35 HD 32 REP -37 HD 1 REP -40 HD 31 REP -40 HD 3 REP -41 HD 52 REP -41 HD 21 REP -45 WY is just a heavily republican state, but strangely, the local WY republican party is relatively social liberal. Wyoming never passed a constitutional amendment banning same sex marriage for example. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 05:02:50 PM Well,
If you have any request, I'm available. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: nclib on September 29, 2014, 05:53:47 PM Great job as usual, Windjammer.
I was looking at the most Democratic HDs in Republican states (and visa versa) and found this: West Virginia () HD 37 20 HD 67 2 HD 61 0 HD 65 -1 The bold must be a typo (esp. after looking at the map), and I also don't see districts over 60 on the map. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 05:57:04 PM Great job as usual, Windjammer. I was looking at the most Democratic HDs in Republican states (and visa versa) and found this: West Virginia () HD 37 20 HD 67 2 HD 61 0 HD 65 -1 The bold must be a typo (esp. after looking at the map), and I also don't see districts over 60 on the map. Thank you nclib. Indeed haha, I think there is a problem! Thanks for having pointed out that. I will fix that tomorrow or during the week. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: muon2 on September 29, 2014, 06:58:30 PM Well , I’m happy to finally introduce the Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses. Like the Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Senates, a D+1 district means that if the presidential democrat candidate gets 50%, in this house district, he would get 51%. For those who like mathematics: PVI in the House District n: [(Obama2012 score- Romney2012 score)/2 -1.95 +(Obama2008score-Mccain2008score)/2-3.6]/2 Here we go! Great work, but the math is a little off. You didn't divide to get the two party vote, which makes the gap smaller than it would be with the correct weighting. Using differences, the formula is PVI(D+) = 50%*[(D2012-R2012)/2*(D2012+R2012) - 0.0197 + (D2008-R2008)/2*(D2008+R2008) - 0.0369] Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 29, 2014, 07:26:07 PM Well , I’m happy to finally introduce the Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses. Like the Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Senates, a D+1 district means that if the presidential democrat candidate gets 50%, in this house district, he would get 51%. For those who like mathematics: PVI in the House District n: [(Obama2012 score- Romney2012 score)/2 -1.95 +(Obama2008score-Mccain2008score)/2-3.6]/2 Here we go! Great work, but the math is a little off. You didn't divide to get the two party vote, which makes the gap smaller than it would be with the correct weighting. Using differences, the formula is PVI(D+) = 50%*[(D2012-R2012)/2*(D2012+R2012) - 0.0197 + (D2008-R2008)/2*(D2008+R2008) - 0.0369] Thanks for pointing out. Well, I understand the formula. I guess the problem with my formula is that it doesn't take into account third parties? Does that change a lot of things in the end considering third parties in the US<3%? Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: muon2 on September 30, 2014, 09:45:13 AM Well , I’m happy to finally introduce the Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses. Like the Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Senates, a D+1 district means that if the presidential democrat candidate gets 50%, in this house district, he would get 51%. For those who like mathematics: PVI in the House District n: [(Obama2012 score- Romney2012 score)/2 -1.95 +(Obama2008score-Mccain2008score)/2-3.6]/2 Here we go! Great work, but the math is a little off. You didn't divide to get the two party vote, which makes the gap smaller than it would be with the correct weighting. Using differences, the formula is PVI(D+) = 50%*[(D2012-R2012)/2*(D2012+R2012) - 0.0197 + (D2008-R2008)/2*(D2008+R2008) - 0.0369] Thanks for pointing out. Well, I understand the formula. I guess the problem with my formula is that it doesn't take into account third parties? Does that change a lot of things in the end considering third parties in the US<3%? It would typically change the results by 0.1 or 0.2. BTW I corrected my formula, since I forgot the extra factor of two due to the fact you used the difference between the two major candidates instead of the share of the two-party vote. However, I was looking at your IL results, and some districts seemed a bit off so I dug into the data for one district to check. I have all the PVIs for the new 2012 districts calculated with the 04-08 numbers, which were derived when the new maps were announced. Yours were a bit different, so I thought I should crosscheck one district with 08-12 numbers to confirm the discrepancy. You list IL HD49 as PVI -1, and my 2004-2008 PVI of that district with the new boundaries was PVI -3.1. The 2012 result in that district was Obama 22.0K - Romney 23.5K or a difference of -3.3% which if I divide by 2 and subtract 1.97% gives a 2012 factor of D-3.6. Using the 2012 precincts for the new district (which has almost nothing in common with the old HD49) the 2008 vote in HD49 was Obama 23.7K - McCain 20.0K or a difference of +8.5% which gives a 2008 factor of D+0.5. When I average these two I got a net PVI(D)-1.6. It's close to yours, but it would round off to D-2. Is it just that you have a number of HDs that are slightly more Dem than mine and rounding shifts them consistently up a point or so? If you could share your details for that HD I can confirm my suspicion. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 30, 2014, 10:33:08 AM Well , I’m happy to finally introduce the Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses. Like the Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Senates, a D+1 district means that if the presidential democrat candidate gets 50%, in this house district, he would get 51%. For those who like mathematics: PVI in the House District n: [(Obama2012 score- Romney2012 score)/2 -1.95 +(Obama2008score-Mccain2008score)/2-3.6]/2 Here we go! Great work, but the math is a little off. You didn't divide to get the two party vote, which makes the gap smaller than it would be with the correct weighting. Using differences, the formula is PVI(D+) = 50%*[(D2012-R2012)/2*(D2012+R2012) - 0.0197 + (D2008-R2008)/2*(D2008+R2008) - 0.0369] Thanks for pointing out. Well, I understand the formula. I guess the problem with my formula is that it doesn't take into account third parties? Does that change a lot of things in the end considering third parties in the US<3%? It would typically change the results by 0.1 or 0.2. BTW I corrected my formula, since I forgot the extra factor of two due to the fact you used the difference between the two major candidates instead of the share of the two-party vote. However, I was looking at your IL results, and some districts seemed a bit off so I dug into the data for one district to check. I have all the PVIs for the new 2012 districts calculated with the 04-08 numbers, which were derived when the new maps were announced. Yours were a bit different, so I thought I should crosscheck one district with 08-12 numbers to confirm the discrepancy. You list IL HD49 as PVI -1, and my 2004-2008 PVI of that district with the new boundaries was PVI -3.1. The 2012 result in that district was Obama 22.0K - Romney 23.5K or a difference of -3.3% which if I divide by 2 and subtract 1.97% gives a 2012 factor of D-3.6. Using the 2012 precincts for the new district (which has almost nothing in common with the old HD49) the 2008 vote in HD49 was Obama 23.7K - McCain 20.0K or a difference of +8.5% which gives a 2008 factor of D+0.5. When I average these two I got a net PVI(D)-1.6. It's close to yours, but it would round off to D-2. Is it just that you have a number of HDs that are slightly more Dem than mine and rounding shifts them consistently up a point or so? If you could share your details for that HD I can confirm my suspicion. 1) By 0.1 or 0.2: do you mean for a PVI like D+3, that could be D+4 or D+2? I'm not sure to understand. 2) Of course! This time, I was really cautious with Illinois. I made the calculus on both the 2008 results and the 2012 results. https://drive.google.com/folderview?id=0Bz_uFI8VY7xLUzlwSXBjbkJjZU0&usp=sharing I used this database. (You have to go on the Illinois page, and then HD detail). If I understand correctly, you used the 2004 results? I didn't use them, I just used the 2008 and 2012 results. Ii guess the reason is because my formula doesn't take into account the thid parties (I indeed forgot to divide by the total of Dem and Rep vote). Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 30, 2014, 10:40:56 AM EDIT:
I just realized that the date I used was already using only the democratic score and the republican score= no third party, so Romneyvote+Oobamavote= 100%. So, I guess my formula is accurate with DKE??? Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: muon2 on September 30, 2014, 01:17:56 PM Thanks, my suspicion was correct. The vote totals on your sheet are slightly different than on mine. So in the aforementioned HD49, their totals give a PVI of -1.25 and I had -1.55. As I surmised we rounded in different directions. Since they only have the two party totals the other correction I mentioned would not come into play.
In IL many precincts are split between different districts, but there is only one total for the presidential vote in that precinct. Votes from those precincts have to to split between districts based on some estimate division. My guess is that their split was different than mine. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 30, 2014, 01:25:12 PM Thanks!
Well, muon speaking about Illinois, The district you mention, HD49, that's not strange it seems to be relatively moderate for the PVI? I mean, I just made some search about the current representative, and he won fairly easily in 2006 (60-40), and he wasn't even challenged in 2012. I just saw his record and he seems to be pro life, pro gun and anti civil union. That's quite conservative for a "moderate" district, so that's strange democrats didn't even compete in this district. I guess this is because of Obama overperforming a lot in Illinois in 2008? This district should be safely republican I guess? Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: muon2 on September 30, 2014, 02:00:53 PM Obama's 2008 performance pushed most suburban Chicago districts about 3 points more Dem in the PVI. The raw annual numbers for PVI (my values) in 04-12 were R+6.7, D+0.5, and R+3.6. The average of the first two is R+3.1 and for the second two is R+1.6. If one skips over '08 the PVI would be R+5.2. In off years the lack of D turnout runs the number in excess of R+10. 2016 will be very interesting in IL without Obama at the top of the ticket.
Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on September 30, 2014, 02:04:33 PM Thank you!
Well, I guess that will be a democratic state like Connecticut? Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: Joe Republic on September 30, 2014, 07:09:44 PM The district you mention, HD49, that's not strange it seems to be relatively moderate for the PVI? I mean, I just made some search about the current representative, and he won fairly easily in 2006 (60-40), and he wasn't even challenged in 2012. I just saw his record and he seems to be pro life, pro gun and anti civil union. That's quite conservative for a "moderate" district, so that's strange democrats didn't even compete in this district. I'm sure muon2 will be very grateful for this information. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: Bacon King on September 30, 2014, 10:44:27 PM omg this is great
Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: moderatevoter on September 30, 2014, 10:51:54 PM Windjammer, you deserve a lot of credit and praise for working on this. I'm sure it took forever.
Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: smoltchanov on October 01, 2014, 12:13:46 AM Very good job. It would be even more interesting in the summer though, because now DKE has similar tables (President by state legislative district) for 47 (if i remember correctly) states, and, naturally, there is a great overlap between data here and there. There are some minor errors (D instead of R and vice versa) in some cases. Nevertheless - a great job! For me - a sorted lists (showing where we have a "maverick representation" like those R+30 and above districts represented by Democrats in Louisiana, and D+20 districts, represented by Republicans in Vermont) are most useful. It would be interesting to add one more (ideological) dimension for such cases, because usually these mavericks have to be fairly different in their voting records from "party norm" to hold them.
Thanks! Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on October 01, 2014, 11:42:25 AM Well, I wasn't aware of that, but, this is hilarious hahahaha.
Thank you ModerateVAVoter. Smoltchanov and nclib, don't worry, I will do your stuff. If you have other requests, I'm available. Title: Re: Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses Post by: windjammer on October 01, 2014, 11:46:35 AM omg this is great Thank you BK :D |