Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Tender Branson on September 30, 2014, 08:47:44 AM



Title: FL-SurveyUSA/WFLA tracking poll: Crist+6
Post by: Tender Branson on September 30, 2014, 08:47:44 AM
46% Crist (+4)
40% Scott (-3)
  8% Wyllie (+4)

https://twitter.com/WFLAKeith/status/516934186696183808


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA/WFLA tracking poll: Crist+6
Post by: user12345 on September 30, 2014, 08:50:50 AM
I believe this as much as I would believe a poll showing Scott +6.


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA/WFLA tracking poll: Crist+6
Post by: eric82oslo on September 30, 2014, 08:54:34 AM
That's amazing. According to 538, SurveyUSA is like the 3rd best pollster in the US after Selzer & Company and The Field Poll, so this can only be glorious news. :D


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA/WFLA tracking poll: Crist+6
Post by: Flake on September 30, 2014, 09:05:16 AM
The poll showed Scott leading by five like a week ago.


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA/WFLA tracking poll: Crist+6
Post by: DrScholl on September 30, 2014, 09:15:18 AM
SurveyUSA can be sort of erratic, so I wouldn't be surprised to see something different next week. That said, it's good to see a clear shift toward Crist.


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA/WFLA tracking poll: Crist+6
Post by: Donerail on September 30, 2014, 09:17:28 AM
Flo's right, these tracking polls have been erratic and random and only serve to re-emphasize that the race is a tossup.


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA/WFLA tracking poll: Crist+6
Post by: Person Man on September 30, 2014, 10:18:08 AM
Isn't this like the Colorado poll that used to show Dems with a small but solid lead but now shows that opposite with no apparent causal stimulus?


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA/WFLA tracking poll: Crist+6
Post by: Paleobrazilian on September 30, 2014, 10:29:30 AM
Tracking polls are usually unreliable and have very high margins of error.


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA/WFLA tracking poll: Crist+6
Post by: sg0508 on September 30, 2014, 10:34:09 AM
Bottom line, it's a deadheat of a race and we know that.  This one probably doesn't get called until the next morning. 

Living in south FL though, many Democrats are very concerned and Charlie Crist (as a Democrat) isn't exactly inspiring Democrats to go to the polls to knockout Rick Scott of all people.

The FL Democratic Party (to reiterate a broken record)...what a mess!


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA/WFLA tracking poll: Crist+6
Post by: windjammer on September 30, 2014, 10:37:41 AM
SurveyUSA isn't really,good for polling Florida.


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA/WFLA tracking poll: Crist+6
Post by: Tender Branson on September 30, 2014, 10:58:12 AM
Tracking polls are usually unreliable and have very high margins of error.

Nope, 4% MoE.

SurveyUSA isn't really,good for polling Florida.

What ?

SUSA-FL 2012: Tie (Actual: Obama+1)
SUSA-FL 2008: O+3 (Actual: Obama+3)


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA/WFLA tracking poll: Crist+6
Post by: windjammer on September 30, 2014, 11:12:37 AM
Tracking polls are usually unreliable and have very high margins of error.

Nope, 4% MoE.

SurveyUSA isn't really,good for polling Florida.

What ?

SUSA-FL 2012: Tie (Actual: Obama+1)
SUSA-FL 2008: O+3 (Actual: Obama+3)



Oooops, sorry. That's Quinnipac.


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA/WFLA tracking poll: Crist+6
Post by: Eraserhead on September 30, 2014, 11:14:19 AM
Florida actually realized their governor is a criminal?


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA/WFLA tracking poll: Crist+6
Post by: Free Bird on September 30, 2014, 01:16:35 PM
Florida actually realized their governor is a criminal?

Which one?


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA/WFLA tracking poll: Crist+6
Post by: Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort on September 30, 2014, 01:35:01 PM
WTF is this...???

Well, at least I'd rather have Crist win.


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA/WFLA tracking poll: Crist+6
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on September 30, 2014, 04:12:05 PM
To the benefit of Crist, FL doesnt have statue taxes, and cant be tied down to raising taxes. But, then again was the QU poll accurate, the only one showing GOP doing reasonably well.


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA/WFLA tracking poll: Crist+6
Post by: IceSpear on September 30, 2014, 06:07:23 PM
The criminal still hasn't learned. He better get his villainous record expunged if he ever wants to make it through Checkpoint Charlie.


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA/WFLA tracking poll: Crist+6
Post by: Lief 🗽 on September 30, 2014, 06:11:48 PM
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Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA/WFLA tracking poll: Crist+6
Post by: IceSpear on October 01, 2014, 01:27:23 PM
RCP now has Democrats gaining a net of 2 governor seats.

The Dem wave is building.