Talk Elections

Link coming.

Gardner (R)- 48%
Udall (D)- 47%

Not as worried here as in Iowa.

a GOP up 1 in a Rasmussen CO poll is not a good thing.

For who?

Public Policy Polling had Gardner up by 2. Next.

Either way, Udall being down at all is embarrassing for him.

So roughly Udall +1

No, it is a great thing. Rassy's last poll here three weeks ago had Udall up two. Virtually every pollster is showing the race moving away from Udall. Besides, the rassy GOP house effect has been largely absent this year.

Rasmussen has Iowa tied.

This will come down to how the debates go vs. how the turnouts go.

Udall will win.

And he is scraping fifty percent with few undecideds. Quinnipiac consistently shows Gardner's ceiling with favorable numbers while rassy has been showing his floor. Either way, there simply are no more polls showing Udall up. I don't think that this will be easy, but I am glad I'm a Colorado Republican and not a Democrat today.

By the way, ballots drop in 13 days. Not much time for Udall to swing the race the other way.

Maybe you should tell the senator that his whole "shun the screen" strategy isn't going to get it done.

Yup, Udall's got Gardner right where he wants him.

Udall has the funding and ground advantage going into the election but are people's minds already made up?

OMG LIKELY DEMOCRAT GUYZ!!!!!!11!1!

Gardner has an ever-so-slight advantage, but characterizing this race - on October 1 - as anything but a tossup isn't appropriate.

Let me get this straight. Democrats are going with "Udall leading in the polls? Great!  Gardner leading? Even better!"?

Not really the kind of strategy I would go with, to be honest.

Udall will win this. He can bring out enough of his voters to close this out.

Best news for Democrats is this shows that the Quinnipiac poll (Gardner +8) was an obvious outlier. Everyone else has narrow Gardner leads.

Also, without leaners, this poll shows a 45/45 tie.

I wonder what the next SUSA poll will show ...

I'd give that one the biggest weighting.

There's also the chance that the jobs report out on Friday will be rather good and the Dems could use it over the next weeks in their closing ads.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/adp-reports-sixth-month-of-job-gains-above-200000-2014-10-01

It will be interesting if it turns out that Rasmussen had the most accurate polling of this race when it's all said and done.

(which is not to say I'm not worried)

Chuck Todd says that Hickenlooper may be a big drag on the Democratic ticket.

I tend to think that the Democratic ticket is a big drag on the Democratic ticket.

New Poll: Colorado Senator by Rasmussen on 2014-09-30 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=8220140930016)

Summary: D: 47%, R: 48%, I: 2%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/colorado/election_2014_colorado_senate)

Thanks to the new mail-in system and the strongest Democratic turnout operation in a midterm ever (in Colorado and at least in a handful of other states), Colorado turnout (which already ranks in the top 5 in the country) will reach its highest midterm level ever recorded, and that can only be a very big plus for the Democratic candidates. It is extremely unlikely that the main Democratic candidates will do worse than the polls show this year.

If the polling is tied going into Election Day, Udall will win. That's how Colorado works.