Atlas Forum

Election Archive => 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: JRP1994 on October 08, 2014, 03:09:09 pm



Title: KS-CNN/ORC: Exact Tie
Post by: JRP1994 on October 08, 2014, 03:09:09 pm
http://www.cnn.com/2014/10/08/politics/kansas-senate-poll/index.html

Brownback: 49%
Davis: 49%


Title: Re: KS-CNN/ORC: Exact Tie
Post by: Lief 🐋 on October 08, 2014, 03:10:47 pm
I doubt it, but okay.


Title: Re: KS-CNN/ORC: Exact Tie
Post by: Reluctant Berniebro on October 08, 2014, 03:22:16 pm
CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.


Title: Re: KS-CNN/ORC: Exact Tie
Post by: ElectionsGuy on October 08, 2014, 03:22:51 pm
Something different, little skeptical but certainly promotes the idea that this is a toss-up.


Title: Re: KS-CNN/ORC: Exact Tie
Post by: backtored on October 08, 2014, 03:35:59 pm
Sam the man.


Title: Re: KS-CNN/ORC: Exact Tie
Post by: King on October 08, 2014, 03:38:36 pm
>98% have made a decision


Title: Re: KS-CNN/ORC: Exact Tie
Post by: Keystone Phil on October 08, 2014, 04:27:03 pm
CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA


Title: Re: KS-CNN/ORC: Exact Tie
Post by: Reluctant Berniebro on October 08, 2014, 04:47:22 pm
CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

Sammy better start clicking his heels, because soon he won't be in Kansas anymore.


Title: Re: KS-CNN/ORC: Exact Tie
Post by: SPC on October 08, 2014, 04:56:40 pm
CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.


Title: Re: KS-CNN/ORC: Exact Tie
Post by: Keystone Phil on October 08, 2014, 05:22:56 pm
CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.


Title: Re: KS-CNN/ORC: Exact Tie
Post by: Impeachment Inquiry on October 08, 2014, 05:56:34 pm
CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Yes, read him.


Title: Re: KS-CNN/ORC: Exact Tie
Post by: Keystone Phil on October 08, 2014, 10:03:29 pm
I'm really shocked that the people complaining about someone else taking things too seriously are taking things too seriously themselves! Shocked, I tell you!


Title: Re: KS-CNN/ORC: Exact Tie
Post by: Illuminati Blood Drinker on October 09, 2014, 12:09:46 am
CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.
Keystone Phil confirmed to be 5 years old.


Title: Re: KS-CNN/ORC: Exact Tie
Post by: Joshua on October 09, 2014, 12:52:24 am
CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.
Keystone Phil confirmed to be 5 years old.

Am Phil's mom, can confirm.


Title: Re: KS-CNN/ORC: Exact Tie
Post by: Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon on October 09, 2014, 01:23:49 am
CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.
Keystone Phil confirmed to be 5 years old.

Am Phil's mom, can confirm.
Physically impossible, Phil joined in '04. I suggest getting back on topic.


Title: Re: KS-CNN/ORC: Exact Tie
Post by: Badger on October 09, 2014, 11:12:18 pm
CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.

Yeah, sometimes when one gets burned that bad, a coherent response is not readily available.


Title: Re: KS-CNN/ORC: Exact Tie
Post by: Keystone Phil on October 10, 2014, 05:37:49 am
CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.

Yeah, sometimes when one gets burned that bad, a coherent response is not readily available.

As I said in another thread, maybe the people that groan about how I have to "calm down" can possibly convince themselves that my tone in these posts aren't exactly as serious as you think...Maybe demonstrate some, hmmm, epistemic uncertainty of their own. ;)


Title: Re: KS-CNN/ORC: Exact Tie
Post by: KCDem on October 10, 2014, 09:43:18 am
CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.

Yeah, sometimes when one gets burned that bad, a coherent response is not readily available.

As I said in another thread, maybe the people that groan about how I have to "calm down" can possibly convince themselves that my tone in these posts aren't exactly as serious as you think...Maybe demonstrate some, hmmm, epistemic uncertainty of their own. ;)

When he gets called out for his childish ways, he claims to be 'joking'. He's clearly not ready for primetime.


Title: Re: KS-CNN/ORC: Exact Tie
Post by: Andrew1 on October 10, 2014, 01:26:58 pm
Davis has held a narrow lead all year, but this race does seem to be tightening. I doubt the strip club incident made much difference, the sort of very socially conservative voters who would be affected by this are likely to be solid Brownback supporters.

But Davis has had to keep a lot of moderate Republicans on his side all year, I can believe that after an intense campaign some of them are just naturally drifting back to Brownback, despite all his faults.

Polls have shown Davis getting up to 27% of the Republican vote. He may find that difficult to maintain. I suspect this race goes right down to the wire, neither candidate will win by more than 1%.


Title: Re: KS-CNN/ORC: Exact Tie
Post by: Chief Justice windjammer on October 10, 2014, 02:20:06 pm
Impossible.

You can't have only 2% undecided right now.


Title: Re: KS-CNN/ORC: Exact Tie
Post by: Keystone Phil on October 10, 2014, 04:22:36 pm
CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.

Yeah, sometimes when one gets burned that bad, a coherent response is not readily available.

As I said in another thread, maybe the people that groan about how I have to "calm down" can possibly convince themselves that my tone in these posts aren't exactly as serious as you think...Maybe demonstrate some, hmmm, epistemic uncertainty of their own. ;)

When he gets called out for his childish ways, he claims to be 'joking'. He's clearly not ready for primetime.

I pray for you.