Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Tender Branson on October 13, 2014, 04:49:51 AM



Title: High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH
Post by: Tender Branson on October 13, 2014, 04:49:51 AM
NC (done by HPU):

Thom Tillis – 40 percent
Kay Hagan – 40 percent
Sean Haugh – 7 percent
Don’t know/refuse – 13 percent

http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2014/10/32memoB.pdf

CO (done by SurveyUSA):

Cory Gardner – 46 percent
Mark Udall – 42 percent
Other – 7 percent
Undecided – 5 percent

http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2014/10/PDF-Colorado-Political.pdf

NH (done by SurveyUSA):

Jeanne Shaheen – 48 percent
Scott Brown – 46 percent
Undecided – 6 percent

http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2014/10/PDF-New-Hampshire-Political.pdf

http://www.highpoint.edu/blog/2014/10/hpu-poll-hagan-and-tillis-tied-among-nc-likely-voters


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: Tender Branson on October 13, 2014, 05:20:09 AM
Quick background check:

HPU is relatively new in the polling business. They started in 2010, but didn't release GE polls back then.

In 2012, their final US poll had Obama+3 (Obama won by 4) and Romney+1 in NC (Romney won by 2).

Quote
The poll results from registered voters across the country finds support for the candidates split as 46 percent said they would vote for President Barack Obama, while 43 percent said they would vote for Gov. Mitt Romney.

Within a special oversample of North Carolina registered voters, 46 percent of respondents said they had voted or would vote for Gov. Romney while 45 percent said they had voted or would vote for President Obama.

http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2013/10/19release.pdf


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: SPC on October 13, 2014, 08:11:42 AM
Predictions:

Hagan +3
Gardner +1
Shaheen +5


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: Maxwell on October 13, 2014, 09:42:06 AM
Predictions:

Hagan +3
Gardner +1
Shaheen +5

I'll go ahead and say Hagan +4, Gardner +3 (Denver post endorsement bump), and Shaheen +6.


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: JRP1994 on October 13, 2014, 09:58:19 AM
I'll guess...

Hagan +2
Gardner +2
Shaheen +7


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: Tender Branson on October 13, 2014, 10:04:32 AM
My guess:

NC: Hagan+2
CO: Gardner+1
NH: Shaheen+3


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: Smash255 on October 13, 2014, 10:10:02 AM
NC  Hagan +4
CO Even
NH Shaheen +6


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: The Other Castro on October 13, 2014, 10:39:24 AM

I'm thinking this


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: backtored on October 13, 2014, 10:40:20 AM
I predict

Hagan +2
Gardner +5
Shaheen +3


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: Flake on October 13, 2014, 11:35:29 AM
Hagan+3
Udall+1
Shaheen+5


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: RogueBeaver on October 13, 2014, 11:39:20 AM
40/40 in NC, 46/42 Gardner in CO, 48/46 Shaheen in NH. (http://www.highpoint.edu/blog/2014/10/hpu-poll-hagan-and-tillis-tied-among-nc-likely-voters/)

Enten says CO & NH were actually done by SUSA. (https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/521701628446244864)


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: Lief 🗽 on October 13, 2014, 11:40:54 AM
Note that the CO and NH polls appear to be done by SUSA.


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: Keystone Phil on October 13, 2014, 11:41:44 AM
40/40 in NC, 46/42 Gardner in CO, 48/46 Shaheen in NH. (http://www.highpoint.edu/blog/2014/10/hpu-poll-hagan-and-tillis-tied-among-nc-likely-voters/)

Note that the CO and NH polls appear to be done by SUSA.

They're suddenly horrible now, right?


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: Mehmentum on October 13, 2014, 11:43:07 AM
Ouch.


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: backtored on October 13, 2014, 11:44:07 AM
Maybe you all should stop doubting the GOP's COmentum.


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: krazen1211 on October 13, 2014, 11:44:40 AM
Great polls! All aboard train Tillis!


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: Maxwell on October 13, 2014, 11:51:07 AM
Udall needs a game changer and quick. Things keep getting better and better for Gardner and worse for Udall.

SUSA only showing Shaheen up by 2 is shocking to me, but I still suspect that Shaheen pulls out of this just fine. If Scott Brown actually managed to win in New Hampshire, I think I should be struck by lightening.


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: krazen1211 on October 13, 2014, 11:55:54 AM
Udall needs a game changer and quick. Things keep getting better and better for Gardner and worse for Udall.

SUSA only showing Shaheen up by 2 is shocking to me, but I still suspect that Shaheen pulls out of this just fine. If Scott Brown actually managed to win in New Hampshire, I think I should be struck by lightening.

It was recently discovered that Udall has a history of littering. (http://coloradopeakpolitics.com/2014/10/13/exclusive-udalls-enviromental-record-littered/)


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: SPC on October 13, 2014, 11:58:53 AM
Predictions:

Hagan +3
Gardner +1
Shaheen +5

I was off on each by exactly three points.


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: RogueBeaver on October 13, 2014, 12:01:11 PM
Udall's at 39/52 disapproval, Hagan 35/54, Shaheen 47/48.


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: DrScholl on October 13, 2014, 12:02:51 PM
A note to krazen and his little family here, the Colorado poll only has a 6% sample of Hispanics, which is below the actually number that will vote. That makes a big difference.


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: Devils30 on October 13, 2014, 12:04:08 PM
The Colorado sample is too white, was 81% white in 2010 and will not be 84% this year.


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: SPC on October 13, 2014, 12:05:48 PM
Its usually a good sign when the other side starts unskewing the polls.


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: Devils30 on October 13, 2014, 12:06:26 PM
22% in 2010 were 65 and older, the 34% 65 and up figure here is absurd.


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: krazen1211 on October 13, 2014, 12:07:07 PM
A note to krazen and his little family here, the Colorado poll only has a 6% sample of Hispanics, which is below the actually number that will vote. That makes a big difference.

Gardner will do much better with whites than a mere +6. That makes a big difference.


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: DrScholl on October 13, 2014, 12:07:46 PM
Its usually a good sign when the other side starts unskewing the polls.

It's not unskewing like you and your people did in 2012. The demographic samples actually matter, that's why Gallup flubbed up so badly last cycle.

Try again.


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: DrScholl on October 13, 2014, 12:08:51 PM
A note to krazen and his little family here, the Colorado poll only has a 6% sample of Hispanics, which is below the actually number that will vote. That makes a big difference.

Gardner will do much better with whites than a mere +6. That makes a big difference.

He's not going to win 90% of whites. You have to realize that whites in Colorado don't vote the same as they do in the south.


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: krazen1211 on October 13, 2014, 12:10:10 PM
A note to krazen and his little family here, the Colorado poll only has a 6% sample of Hispanics, which is below the actually number that will vote. That makes a big difference.

Gardner will do much better with whites than a mere +6. That makes a big difference.

He's not going to win 90% of whites. You have to realize that whites in Colorado don't vote the same as they do in the south.

Holy mathematical strawman!


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: Lief 🗽 on October 13, 2014, 12:10:24 PM
Bennett only lost whites by 3% in 2010. I don't know why Gardner would do "much better" than a 6% margin.


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: Devils30 on October 13, 2014, 12:11:19 PM
Given CO demographics, a figure of around 79% white is probably realistic here. I don't see why that should even be disputed.


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: DrScholl on October 13, 2014, 12:11:49 PM
A note to krazen and his little family here, the Colorado poll only has a 6% sample of Hispanics, which is below the actually number that will vote. That makes a big difference.

Gardner will do much better with whites than a mere +6. That makes a big difference.

He's not going to win 90% of whites. You have to realize that whites in Colorado don't vote the same as they do in the south.

Holy mathematical strawman!

Judging from who I was responding to, I figured that was what you believed.


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: Devils30 on October 13, 2014, 12:14:47 PM
If Udall loses the white vote by single digits he is winning this thing without a doubt. CO whites went 54-44 for Romney and Obama won it by over 5.5. The fact that the 18-39 group is Gardner's best raises questions about the sample too. Missing younger voters who use cell phones only is probably a big reason some Dems have outperformed polls recently.


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: krazen1211 on October 13, 2014, 12:19:11 PM
Given CO demographics, a figure of around 79% white is probably realistic here. I don't see why that should even be disputed.


Ah, if you are referring to polls like this Quinnipiac poll (http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/co/co09172014_demos_czm75h.pdf) that are 80% white, well, have at it.


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: SPC on October 13, 2014, 12:20:46 PM
Its usually a good sign when the other side starts unskewing the polls.

It's not unskewing like you and your people did in 2012. The demographic samples actually matter, that's why Gallup flubbed up so badly last cycle.

Try again.

I did not unskew in 2012. I admit to doing so in 2010, and having seen the results of that election, learned my lesson not to do so in 2012 or this election.

As others have mentioned before, SurveyUSA has had a tendency to give accurate top-line results despite weird crosstabs. How exactly is unskewing based on racial breakdowns that you happen to disagree with somehow better than unskewing based on partisan breakdowns that you happen to disagree with?


Title: Re: High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH
Post by: Tender Branson on October 13, 2014, 12:23:24 PM
Updated the original post with the actual numbers.

Definitely not good numbers for the Dems, especially because SUSA did CO and NH.


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: Devils30 on October 13, 2014, 12:26:53 PM
Given CO demographics, a figure of around 79% white is probably realistic here. I don't see why that should even be disputed.


Ah, if you are referring to polls like this Quinnipiac poll (http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/co/co09172014_demos_czm75h.pdf) that are 80% white, well, have at it.

Dems have a history of outperforming polls in this state. Wouldn't shock me one bit if Gardner leads everything by a few points like Buck did and then loses on election night. But you can take it to the bank that the electorate will not be 84% white.


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: backtored on October 13, 2014, 12:27:11 PM
If Udall loses the white vote by single digits he is winning this thing without a doubt. CO whites went 54-44 for Romney and Obama won it by over 5.5. The fact that the 18-39 group is Gardner's best raises questions about the sample too. Missing younger voters who use cell phones only is probably a big reason some Dems have outperformed polls recently.

Or maybe Gardner is actually winning.


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: krazen1211 on October 13, 2014, 12:29:50 PM
Given CO demographics, a figure of around 79% white is probably realistic here. I don't see why that should even be disputed.


Ah, if you are referring to polls like this Quinnipiac poll (http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/co/co09172014_demos_czm75h.pdf) that are 80% white, well, have at it.

Dems have a history of outperforming polls in this state. Wouldn't shock me one bit if Gardner leads everything by a few points like Buck did and then loses on election night. But you can take it to the bank that the electorate will not be 84% white.

Of course, to say that, you'd simply have to ignore situations where it wasn't true, such as Udall's first victory in 2008. The final RCP polling average was Udall +12 and he won by 10.


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: krazen1211 on October 13, 2014, 12:30:20 PM
Bennett only lost whites by 3% in 2010. I don't know why Gardner would do "much better" than a 6% margin.

CNN exit polls actually had Buck up 7 (http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2010/results/polls/#COS01p1)

Of course, there are 2 reasons. Mr. Udall and Barry's standing with Colorado whites has deteriorated since that time, and the legislature of Colorado went on a rampage.


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: SPC on October 13, 2014, 12:31:36 PM
Dems have a history of outperforming polls in this state.

This again? (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=199354.msg4315274#msg4315274)


Title: Re: High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH
Post by: Keystone Phil on October 13, 2014, 12:34:18 PM
The panic is starting to settle in...


Title: Re: High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH
Post by: Devils30 on October 13, 2014, 12:38:11 PM
Maybe the final results will be accurate but even CNN, Survey USA and NBC Marist were off by a few points in Colorado in 2012. Weighting by party ID is problematic like Ramussen does it. However, it's weird how all these pre-election polls have Rs in the plurality but Ds had a +5 edge in both 2010 and 2012. These polls might be missing Hispanic and young voters. Curious if any of these pollsters have adjusted their methodology after missing in this state.


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: DrScholl on October 13, 2014, 12:38:40 PM
Its usually a good sign when the other side starts unskewing the polls.

It's not unskewing like you and your people did in 2012. The demographic samples actually matter, that's why Gallup flubbed up so badly last cycle.

Try again.

I did not unskew in 2012. I admit to doing so in 2010, and having seen the results of that election, learned my lesson not to do so in 2012 or this election.

As others have mentioned before, SurveyUSA has had a tendency to give accurate top-line results despite weird crosstabs. How exactly is unskewing based on racial breakdowns that you happen to disagree with somehow better than unskewing based on partisan breakdowns that you happen to disagree with?

It's not unskewing, it's based on how previous polls have worked. PPP was able to get accurate results in 2012, because they used a demographic sample that included more minorities, when other pollsters expected those groups not to show up. Party ID is fluid, unlike demographics. This has been discussed before.


Title: Re: High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH
Post by: Devils30 on October 13, 2014, 12:39:37 PM

You have a history that has proven yourself to be a true moron. I'm sure you're getting ready for Corbett's second term!


Title: Re: High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH
Post by: Keystone Phil on October 13, 2014, 12:43:55 PM

You have a history that has proven yourself to be a true moron. I'm sure you're getting ready for Corbett's second term!

Further proof that the rodents are scattering in fear...

By the way, find where I said in the past two years that Corbett is set to win re-election and I'll leave the Forum for good.


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: Maxwell on October 13, 2014, 12:47:00 PM
Udall needs a game changer and quick. Things keep getting better and better for Gardner and worse for Udall.

SUSA only showing Shaheen up by 2 is shocking to me, but I still suspect that Shaheen pulls out of this just fine. If Scott Brown actually managed to win in New Hampshire, I think I should be struck by lightening.

It was recently discovered that Udall has a history of littering. (http://coloradopeakpolitics.com/2014/10/13/exclusive-udalls-enviromental-record-littered/)

Maybe that's why Udall is the last person Obama wants to see on his front lawn :P


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: Free Bird on October 13, 2014, 12:49:29 PM
Its usually a good sign when the other side starts unskewing the polls.


Title: Re: High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH
Post by: IceSpear on October 13, 2014, 12:50:24 PM
To be honest, Udall has run a pretty horrible campaign. It's one thing to hammer Gardner for his extremist positions on personhood and women's health, it's quite another to make it basically the foundation of your entire campaign. If he loses, he only has himself to blame.

The NC and NH polls seem like outliers,  but we'll see.


Title: Re: High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH
Post by: Devils30 on October 13, 2014, 12:50:56 PM
A lot of these polls have shown Hispanics going Democratic like 55-40 and then on election day the figure is closer to 70-30.


Title: Re: High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH
Post by: Devils30 on October 13, 2014, 12:51:59 PM
NC just has too many undecideds, they should have pushed leaners more. NH is a close race but its like Ohio in 2012 where one side leads every poll. Not a huge fan of YouGov because they survey the same people again but their 2012 and latest results make more sense with the age breakdown.


Title: Re: High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH
Post by: Free Bird on October 13, 2014, 12:53:28 PM
Okay, really, the "Dems outperform polls" thing is starting to piss me off. Buck. That's all that was. You're using a Tea Party loon as your saving grace. I love the smell of desperation.


Title: Re: High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH
Post by: Chancellor Tanterterg on October 13, 2014, 12:59:03 PM
New Hampshire makes sense, the state has always been hyper-receptive to the national mood.  In any event, we're likely screwed at this point.  Props to Talleyrand for calling it before most left-leaning posters here, btw.


Title: Re: High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH
Post by: Smash255 on October 13, 2014, 01:07:49 PM
Okay, really, the "Dems outperform polls" thing is starting to piss me off. Buck. That's all that was. You're using a Tea Party loon as your saving grace. I love the smell of desperation.

Not saying the Dems outperform polls thing isn't a bit overused. but there is a bit of truth to that beyond Buck

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/co/colorado_romney_vs_obama-2023.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/co/colorado_mccain_vs_obama-546.html



Title: Re: High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH
Post by: Tender Branson on October 13, 2014, 01:14:18 PM
New Hampshire makes sense, the state has always been hyper-receptive to the national mood.  In any event, we're likely screwed at this point.  Props to Talleyrand for calling it before most left-leaning posters here, btw.

Don't know about that yet, but at least the field is expanding (now incl. SD !!!) and we'll get an exciting election night.

;)


Title: Re: High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH
Post by: Maxwell on October 13, 2014, 01:33:45 PM
If we're going to be honest, within the margin of error basically means anything goes. And so the Buck case was pretty easy to see that a Bennett win was probably. That's less the case when Gardner is leading by as much as 4 in the latest SUSA poll, and the momentum continues to be on his side.


Title: Re: High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH
Post by: Devils30 on October 13, 2014, 01:51:54 PM
Nate Cohn is already bashing the sample


Title: Re: High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH
Post by: tmthforu94 on October 13, 2014, 02:06:12 PM
I don't think Buck had any momentum - he was a flawed candidate and Bennett was better organized. Gardner has the momentum and the polling edge - if the election were today I think he would win.

The Republican wave continues to build!


Title: Re: High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on October 13, 2014, 02:16:13 PM
Results are within margins, no GOP wave yet.


Title: NH: Survey USA: Close Race for New Hampshire Senate
Post by: ElectionAtlas on October 13, 2014, 03:01:22 PM
New Poll: New Hampshire Senator by Survey USA on 2014-10-09 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=33220141009019)

Summary: D: 48%, R: 46%, I: 0%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2014/10/32memoB.pdf)


Title: Re: High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH
Post by: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on October 13, 2014, 03:18:57 PM
Ahhhh 2012 wasn't that long ago... but it seems much has not been learned.

'unskewed' polls was based in a GOP fantasy and a misunderstanding of party ID... that's it. But these cross-samples look genuinely screwy. But considering how quickly the blue mist descended ... they clearly need this, so I'll leave them to it.


Title: Re: High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH
Post by: backtored on October 13, 2014, 03:42:51 PM
Gardner by two in the Denver Post SUSA poll today.


Title: Re: High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH
Post by: IceSpear on October 13, 2014, 03:44:04 PM
New Hampshire makes sense, the state has always been hyper-receptive to the national mood.  In any event, we're likely screwed at this point.  Props to Talleyrand for calling it before most left-leaning posters here, btw.

Don't know about that yet, but at least the field is expanding (now incl. SD !!!) and we'll get an exciting election night.

;)

It's pretty funny how many Democrats here have two modes: the "everything is all right, we've got this!" mode and the "OMG IT'S OVER WE'RE DOOOMMMEDDDDDD!!!!!!" mode.

Yes, these polls are good news for the GOP. Democrats have gotten plenty of good news in the past few days. It's not like 2010 where every day was basically being pummelled with pro-GOP results in nearly every race.

Talleyrand has the Republicans gaining a NET of 4 governorships. I'm sure he'll be vindicated...lol


Title: Re: High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH
Post by: Devils30 on October 13, 2014, 03:56:22 PM
Gardner by two in the Denver Post SUSA poll today.

What are the demographics of this one?


Title: Re: 3 Senate polls from High Point University out later today (NC, CO, NH)
Post by: New_Conservative on October 13, 2014, 04:54:05 PM
Great polls! All aboard train Tillis!

The Libertarian in that race guarantees a victory for Hagan if the polls are right.


Title: Re: High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH
Post by: Panda Express on October 13, 2014, 07:30:37 PM
well i can see why they are called high point cuz they must have been STONED when they made this poll  LOL


Title: Re: High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH
Post by: KCDem on October 13, 2014, 10:36:14 PM
The racial subsamples in the Colorado poll are downright laughable.


Title: CO: Survey USA: Gardner with Slight Lead in Colorado
Post by: ElectionAtlas on October 14, 2014, 05:01:27 AM
New Poll: Colorado Senator by Survey USA on 2014-10-08 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=8220141008019)

Summary: D: 42%, R: 46%, I: 7%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2014/10/32memoB.pdf)