Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Miles on October 14, 2014, 10:20:06 AM



Title: AK: Rasmussen: Sullivan +3
Post by: Miles on October 14, 2014, 10:20:06 AM
Link coming.

Sullivan (R)- 48%
Begich (D)- 45%

With those certain to vote:

Sullivan- 50%
Begich- 45%


Title: Re: AK: Rasmussen: Sullivan +3
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on October 14, 2014, 10:21:27 AM
Within margin, not dead yet.


Title: Re: AK: Rasmussen: Sullivan +3
Post by: SPQR on October 14, 2014, 01:45:09 PM
Only a GOTV miracle can save this.


Title: Re: AK: Rasmussen: Sullivan +3
Post by: Franzl on October 15, 2014, 05:18:26 AM
Polls in Alaska are worth absolutely nothing. Begich could win or lose by 15%.


Title: Re: AK: Rasmussen: Sullivan +3
Post by: Mehmentum on October 15, 2014, 06:57:09 AM
In line with pretty much everything else.  Begich is losing, but not by so much that he can't pull it out (assuming the polls are accurate).


Title: Re: AK: Rasmussen: Sullivan +3
Post by: Fuzzybigfoot on October 15, 2014, 07:47:28 AM
Polls in Alaska are worth absolutely nothing. Begich could win or lose by 15%.


Title: Re: AK: Rasmussen: Sullivan +3
Post by: Recalcuate on October 15, 2014, 08:25:35 AM
Polls in Alaska are worth absolutely nothing. Begich could win or lose by 15%.

So every poll that has Sullivan ahead is wrong? Every single poll? Begich hasn't lead in a single non-partisan poll since the end of July.

(I hardly count the Hays Research poll for the left-leaning AFL-CIO as anything other than a partisan poll).


Title: Re: AK: Rasmussen: Sullivan +3
Post by: Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort on October 15, 2014, 11:31:26 AM

If only a Clark County or Cook County existed in Alaska...


Title: Re: AK: Rasmussen: Sullivan +3
Post by: tpfkaw on October 15, 2014, 11:37:41 AM

If only a Clark County or Cook County existed in Alaska...

The native areas, which amongst other things recorded 95% of the vote on 90% turnout for write-in candidate Murkowski in 2010, despite having the nation's highest rates of illiteracy.


Title: Re: AK: Rasmussen: Sullivan +3
Post by: Lief 🗽 on October 15, 2014, 11:41:26 AM

If only a Clark County or Cook County existed in Alaska...

The native areas, which amongst other things recorded 95% of the vote on 90% turnout for write-in candidate Murkowski in 2010, despite having the nation's highest rates of illiteracy.

Yes, yes. I think that Begich's unparalleled ground game in the Native areas can push that turnout up to at least 110, maybe 115% this year, insha'Allah.


Title: Re: AK: Rasmussen: Sullivan +3
Post by: DrScholl on October 15, 2014, 11:49:12 AM
The bush areas are definitely a place that could run up great numbers for Begich and win this race for him.


Title: Re: AK: Rasmussen: Sullivan +3
Post by: krazen1211 on October 15, 2014, 11:52:38 AM
Begichcare will certainly GOTV for Sullivan.


Title: Re: AK: Rasmussen: Sullivan +3
Post by: Chance92 on October 15, 2014, 02:42:46 PM
As a rule, the only poll I trust coming out of Alaska is the one I see on Election Day.