Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Panda Express on October 19, 2014, 07:35:08 AM



Title: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: Panda Express on October 19, 2014, 07:35:08 AM
Foley: 50%
Malloy: 43%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/connecticut/election_2014_connecticut_governor (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/connecticut/election_2014_connecticut_governor)


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: Vega on October 19, 2014, 07:36:38 AM
Seems like both Connecticut and Illinois came back home to their respective Governors.


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: tpfkaw on October 19, 2014, 07:50:20 AM
Seems like both Connecticut and Illinois came back home to their respective Governors.

Foley is the Republican challenger?


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: Vega on October 19, 2014, 07:51:48 AM
Seems like both Connecticut and Illinois came back home to their respective Governors.

Foley is the Republican challenger?

Seems like both Connecticut and Illinois came back home to their respective Governors.


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: tpfkaw on October 19, 2014, 08:05:29 AM
Seems like both Connecticut and Illinois came back home to their respective Governors.

Foley is the Republican challenger?

Seems like both Connecticut and Illinois came back home to their respective Governors.

Foley is the Republican challenger and is leading the Democratic incumbent governor, Malloy, by 7 in this poll, which is the same as the last Rasmussen poll from August. It's also the best poll for Foley since that previous Rasmussen, or a Quinnipiac from September if you adjust for the FiveThirtyEight house effect.

In what sense do you think that this poll is showing voters "coming home" for Malloy?


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: Vega on October 19, 2014, 08:41:13 AM
Seems like both Connecticut and Illinois came back home to their respective Governors.

Foley is the Republican challenger?

Seems like both Connecticut and Illinois came back home to their respective Governors.

Foley is the Republican challenger and is leading the Democratic incumbent governor, Malloy, by 7 in this poll, which is the same as the last Rasmussen poll from August. It's also the best poll for Foley since that previous Rasmussen, or a Quinnipiac from September if you adjust for the FiveThirtyEight house effect.

In what sense do you think that this poll is showing voters "coming home" for Malloy?

Woah, I see. For some reason I got Malloy and Foley mixed up. Sorry about that.

Not good news for Malloy then.


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: tpfkaw on October 19, 2014, 08:44:05 AM
Woah, I see. For some reason I got Malloy and Foley mixed up. Sorry about that.

Not good news for Malloy then.

It's all good; I always have to double-check when I see a poll of this race because their names are so similar.


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: Vega on October 19, 2014, 08:47:49 AM
Woah, I see. For some reason I got Malloy and Foley mixed up. Sorry about that.

Not good news for Malloy then.

It's all good; I always have to double-check when I see a poll of this race because their names are so similar.

Yeah, they are both pretty bread and butter American names.


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: Free Bird on October 19, 2014, 09:24:20 AM
>Rass, though considering Rass has a Democratic bias this time, I am optimistic. The polls are crazy, we can all agree on that


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: KCDem on October 19, 2014, 09:29:46 AM
Hahaha this is a joke and doesn't pass the smell test.


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: Free Bird on October 19, 2014, 09:34:55 AM
Hahaha this is a joke and doesn't pass the smell test.

Well at least the goblin of Kansas City is getting original


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: Grumpier Than Thou on October 19, 2014, 10:01:49 AM
>Rass but this still seems pretty bad.


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: cbannon5 on October 19, 2014, 10:15:15 AM
This race still appears to be a tossup. 


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: Free Bird on October 19, 2014, 10:19:31 AM
>Rass but this still seems pretty bad.

No pretty good. Malloy is an abject failure as I've said


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: Niemeyerite on October 19, 2014, 11:09:41 AM
>Rass, though considering Rass has a Democratic bias this time, I am optimistic. The polls are crazy, we can all agree on that

Proof?


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: njwes on October 19, 2014, 11:09:53 AM
Hope it's true but I'd like to see another poll.

If Republicans can pick up this governorship plus 1 or 2 New England House seats, I'll be pretty happy.


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: Free Bird on October 19, 2014, 01:25:42 PM
>Rass, though considering Rass has a Democratic bias this time, I am optimistic. The polls are crazy, we can all agree on that

Proof?

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/jan/31/weighting-game-rasmussen-predicts-democratic


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: IceSpear on October 19, 2014, 01:34:47 PM
Meh, not buying it. Both PPP and Quinnipiac had Malloy improving since summer (and YouGov as well if you want to count them). Ras is the only one to show the race completely unchanged.


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: Free Bird on October 19, 2014, 01:36:50 PM
Meh, not buying it. Both PPP and Quinnipiac had Malloy improving since summer (and YouGov as well if you want to count them). Ras is the only one to show the race completely unchanged.

Quin had it tied which was an improvement to be fair, and I thought it was agreed that the PPP poll was to be taken lightly


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: ElectionsGuy on October 19, 2014, 01:44:11 PM
What is going on here? Foley up by high single digits, then Malloy up by low double digits, and then the former again?


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: IceSpear on October 19, 2014, 01:50:15 PM
What is going on here? Foley up by high single digits, then Malloy up by low double digits, and then the former again?

I guess we'll see in two weeks.


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: Niemeyerite on October 19, 2014, 02:05:00 PM
>Rass, though considering Rass has a Democratic bias this time, I am optimistic. The polls are crazy, we can all agree on that

Proof?

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/jan/31/weighting-game-rasmussen-predicts-democratic

LoL.


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: Rockefeller GOP on October 19, 2014, 03:37:38 PM
Hahaha this is a joke and doesn't pass the smell test.

I have to feel it gets old being you.


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: morgieb on October 19, 2014, 04:48:31 PM
15 point gap between PPP and Rassy? Colour me skeptical.


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: KCDem on October 19, 2014, 07:26:08 PM
Are we seriously going to start trusting Rasmussen polls now?


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: Free Bird on October 19, 2014, 09:24:31 PM
Are we seriously going to start trusting Rasmussen polls now?

I've said this before when it shows a Dem lead and nobody bats an eye. How DARE Rass show a Republican lead, but they ARE accurate when a Dem leads. You can't have your cake and eat it too.


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort on October 19, 2014, 09:47:06 PM
Are we seriously going to start trusting Rasmussen polls now?

I've said this before when it shows a Dem lead and nobody bats an eye. How DARE Rass show a Republican lead, but they ARE accurate when a Dem leads. You can't have your cake and eat it too.

People have explained over and over again to you why Democrats wet their pants at a Dem lead in a Rassmussen poll. Historically, Rassmussen has a Republican bias. So if a Dem is ahead, that bodes well for the Dem candidate. If a Dem is behind, like in this poll by 7, it is probably within the margin of error, or close, which is why Dems get overly defensive.

And how do you not know KCDem is a lost cause??


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: Recalcuate on October 19, 2014, 09:56:24 PM
Are we seriously going to start trusting Rasmussen polls now?

I've said this before when it shows a Dem lead and nobody bats an eye. How DARE Rass show a Republican lead, but they ARE accurate when a Dem leads. You can't have your cake and eat it too.

People have explained over and over again to you why Democrats wet their pants at a Dem lead in a Rassmussen poll. Historically, Rassmussen has a Republican bias. So if a Dem is ahead, that bodes well for the Dem candidate. If a Dem is behind, like in this poll by 7, it is probably within the margin of error, or close, which is why Dems get overly defensive.

And how do you not know KCDem is a lost cause??

I'm not saying this poll is accurate as it's out of line as much as the PPP Poll that showed Malloy up by 6, but Rasmussen has had more of a Democrat lean this cycle than other pollsters.

The true state of the race is shaping up to be the same battle that these two candidates had in 2010, where Malloy barely won.


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: Eraserhead on October 19, 2014, 10:48:48 PM
Realistically, the truth probably lies somewhere between the PPP and Rasmussen polls. It's gonna be close.

We can only hope that the Democratic Gubernatorial Wave is strong enough to save the likes of Malloy and Coakley!


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: KCDem on October 19, 2014, 10:50:01 PM
Are we seriously going to start trusting Rasmussen polls now?

I've said this before when it shows a Dem lead and nobody bats an eye. How DARE Rass show a Republican lead, but they ARE accurate when a Dem leads. You can't have your cake and eat it too.

No one has said that Rasmussen is accurate, me least of all.


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: Free Bird on October 20, 2014, 04:41:40 AM
Realistically, the truth probably lies somewhere between the PPP and Rasmussen polls. It's gonna be close.

We can only hope that the Democratic Gubernatorial Wave is strong enough to save the likes of Malloy and Coakley!

I hope you're kidding


Title: Re: CT-Rasmussen: Foley up by 7
Post by: Chance92 on October 20, 2014, 05:12:40 AM
Wat

I mean, I get the feeling Malloy is going to lose anyway, but wat