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Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Lief 🐋 on October 21, 2014, 04:09:53 pm



Title: NC-SUSA: Another poll, another Hagan lead of 3 points
Post by: Lief 🐋 on October 21, 2014, 04:09:53 pm
http://www.wral.com/asset/news/local/politics/2014/10/21/14100290/WRAL_News_poll_Oct._21_2014_.pdf

Hagan 46
Tillis 43
Haugh 6

Voters hate everyone, disapproving of Hagan 38-51, Tillis 36-51, Obama 40-54, McCrory 36-46, and the state legislature 23-53.


Title: NC: Survey USA: Hagan remains in front of Tillis with two weeks to go
Post by: Lief 🐋 on October 21, 2014, 04:12:32 pm
New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Survey USA on 2014-10-20 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=37220141020019)

Summary: D: 46%, R: 43%, I: 6%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.wral.com/asset/news/local/politics/2014/10/21/14100290/WRAL_News_poll_Oct._21_2014_.pdf)


Title: Re: NC-SUSA: Another poll, another Hagan lead of 3 points
Post by: IceSpear on October 21, 2014, 04:18:50 pm
MOMENTUM!!!!!!

- Politico


Title: Re: NC-SUSA: Another poll, another Hagan lead of 3 points
Post by: Recalcuate on October 21, 2014, 04:53:43 pm
http://www.wral.com/asset/news/local/politics/2014/10/21/14100290/WRAL_News_poll_Oct._21_2014_.pdf

Hagan 46
Tillis 43
Haugh 6

Voters hate everyone, disapproving of Hagan 38-51, Tillis 36-51, Obama 40-54, McCrory 36-46, and the state legislature 23-53.

I'd be annoyed too if I were inundated with $100 million in ads like they are in NC. I am sure one candidate is Satan and the other an ISIS fighter by now.

Looks like that race is pretty static right at that +3 number. Always has been elusive for the GOP. Hagan's to lose at this point.


Title: Re: NC-SUSA: Another poll, another Hagan lead of 3 points
Post by: Keystone Phil on October 21, 2014, 04:57:22 pm
Another Hagan lead in the margin of error. Must be a safe hold then!


Title: Re: NC-SUSA: Another poll, another Hagan lead of 3 points
Post by: Lief 🐋 on October 21, 2014, 04:59:13 pm
Another Hagan lead in the margin of error. Must be a safe hold then!

Yes, I'm sure she'd much rather be tied or losing, like Pat Roberts (R-Ukraine).


Title: Re: NC-SUSA: Another poll, another Hagan lead of 3 points
Post by: Invisible Obama on October 21, 2014, 05:00:16 pm
Before, Tillis had this locked up, now it's been reduced down to "within" the margin of error. Right.


Title: Re: NC-SUSA: Another poll, another Hagan lead of 3 points
Post by: RogueBeaver on October 21, 2014, 05:01:42 pm
She will win.

Politico has the strangest candidate hack pieces. First Wehby, then Gillespie and now Tillis.


Title: Re: NC-SUSA: Another poll, another Hagan lead of 3 points
Post by: IceSpear on October 21, 2014, 05:02:39 pm
Another Hagan lead in the margin of error. Must be a safe hold then!

It's less relevant that it's within the MoE when every poll shows the same thing. Obviously not a safe hold. This race teeters on the edge of toss up and Lean D.


Title: Re: NC-SUSA: Another poll, another Hagan lead of 3 points
Post by: Keystone Phil on October 21, 2014, 05:04:29 pm
Another Hagan lead in the margin of error. Must be a safe hold then!

Yes, I'm sure she'd much rather be tied or losing, like Pat Roberts (R-Ukraine).

Senator Roberts has posted a lead in several recent polls and will lead when it matters most: on Election Day. But don't worry: perennial failed candidate Greg Orman can begin plotting his 2020 campaign very soon.


Title: Re: NC-SUSA: Another poll, another Hagan lead of 3 points
Post by: Lief 🐋 on October 21, 2014, 05:06:07 pm
Another Hagan lead in the margin of error. Must be a safe hold then!

Yes, I'm sure she'd much rather be tied or losing, like Pat Roberts (R-Ukraine).

Senator Roberts has posted a lead in several recent polls and will lead when it matters most: on Election Day. But don't worry: perennial failed candidate Greg Orman can begin plotting his 2020 campaign very soon.

Yes, I'm sure Senator-elect Greg Orman will begin plotting his 2020 re-election campaign soon after his victory on November 4th.


Title: Re: NC-SUSA: Another poll, another Hagan lead of 3 points
Post by: Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon on October 21, 2014, 05:08:03 pm
Another Hagan lead in the margin of error. Must be a safe hold then!

Yes, I'm sure she'd much rather be tied or losing, like Pat Roberts (R-Ukraine).

Senator Roberts has posted a lead in several recent polls and will lead when it matters most: on Election Day. But don't worry: perennial failed candidate Greg Orman can begin plotting his 2020 campaign very soon.
Orman is anything but a perennial candidate. To refer to him as someone who is a complete joke, which is what a perennial candidate is, is ridiculous.

I wonder what you will do if election day comes around and Orman and/or Davis ends up getting elected.....


Title: Re: NC-SUSA: Another poll, another Hagan lead of 3 points
Post by: Keystone Phil on October 21, 2014, 05:12:30 pm
Another Hagan lead in the margin of error. Must be a safe hold then!

Yes, I'm sure she'd much rather be tied or losing, like Pat Roberts (R-Ukraine).

Senator Roberts has posted a lead in several recent polls and will lead when it matters most: on Election Day. But don't worry: perennial failed candidate Greg Orman can begin plotting his 2020 campaign very soon.
Orman is anything but a perennial candidate. To refer to him as someone who is a complete joke, which is what a perennial candidate is, is ridiculous.

I wonder what you will do if election day comes around and Orman and/or Davis ends up getting elected.....

Yeah, I wonder what I'll do. I've never had a wrong prediction around here so who knows if I'll be shamed into running away like a little child!


Title: Re: NC-SUSA: Another poll, another Hagan lead of 3 points
Post by: Illuminati Blood Drinker on October 21, 2014, 06:15:58 pm
Another Hagan lead in the margin of error. Must be a safe hold then!

Yes, I'm sure she'd much rather be tied or losing, like Pat Roberts (R-Ukraine).

Senator Roberts has posted a lead in several recent polls and will lead when it matters most: on Election Day. But don't worry: perennial failed candidate Greg Orman can begin plotting his 2020 campaign very soon.
Orman is anything but a perennial candidate. To refer to him as someone who is a complete joke, which is what a perennial candidate is, is ridiculous.

I wonder what you will do if election day comes around and Orman and/or Davis ends up getting elected.....
Eat a bullet?


Title: Re: NC-SUSA: Another poll, another Hagan lead of 3 points
Post by: Ljube on October 21, 2014, 06:36:17 pm
She is on 46%, so she can still lose, even though I have her winning in my prediction.


Title: Re: NC-SUSA: Another poll, another Hagan lead of 3 points
Post by: olowakandi on October 21, 2014, 06:43:40 pm
Except for SD, and Rounds scandle may give us upset, Hagen,Grimes, Nunn are doing better than Begich, Pryor, or Udall. Mixture of AK pr SD and a Grimes and Orman win, will give us majority. Prefer Weiland, Grimes, Hagen, Orman wins.


Title: Re: NC-SUSA: Another poll, another Hagan lead of 3 points
Post by: IceSpear on October 21, 2014, 06:53:53 pm
Except for SD, and Rounds scandle may give us upset, Hagen,Grimes, Nunn are doing better than Begich, Pryor, or Udall. Mixture of AK pr SD and a Grimes and Orman win, will give us majority. Prefer Weiland, Grimes, Hagen, Orman wins.

Is Hagen doing better because she's ultra left wing?


Title: Re: NC-SUSA: Another poll, another Hagan lead of 3 points
Post by: olowakandi on October 21, 2014, 07:35:00 pm
Seniors tend to vote in midterms, but single females as well as senior women are gravitating to females like Capito, Nunn and Collins, independent ones.


Title: Re: NC-SUSA: Another poll, another Hagan lead of 3 points
Post by: Recalcuate on October 21, 2014, 07:50:34 pm
http://www.wral.com/asset/news/local/politics/2014/10/21/14100290/WRAL_News_poll_Oct._21_2014_.pdf

Hagan 46
Tillis 43
Haugh 6

Voters hate everyone, disapproving of Hagan 38-51, Tillis 36-51, Obama 40-54, McCrory 36-46, and the state legislature 23-53.

Why would Hagen skip the debate tonight if the race was this close?


Title: Re: NC-SUSA: Another poll, another Hagan lead of 3 points
Post by: Miles on October 21, 2014, 08:55:54 pm
^ Meh, even when he wasn't the clear frontrunner, serial debate dodging during the primary (http://www.charlotteobserver.com/2014/01/15/4611651/tillis-a-no-show-again-at-triad.html#.Utet6gHSAS8.twitter) didn't keep Tillis from eventually winning.


Title: Re: NC-SUSA: Another poll, another Hagan lead of 3 points
Post by: Recalcuate on October 21, 2014, 09:09:35 pm
^ Meh, even when he wasn't the clear frontrunner, serial debate dodging during the primary (http://www.charlotteobserver.com/2014/01/15/4611651/tillis-a-no-show-again-at-triad.html#.Utet6gHSAS8.twitter) didn't keep Tillis from eventually winning.
Seems to be a trend for front-runners. Cuomo in NY, same thing.


Title: Re: NC-SUSA: Another poll, another Hagan lead of 3 points
Post by: Miles on October 21, 2014, 09:13:59 pm
Cassidy also tried to get as few debates as possible. We know that he's a poor speaker, but still.

I do wonder what the Hagan campaign's justification for slipping this was, though. I don't think it's a big deal, I just wonder what the reasoning was behind this calculation. She did pretty well at the other three debates...


Title: Re: NC-SUSA: Another poll, another Hagan lead of 3 points
Post by: Mogrovejo on October 22, 2014, 08:24:14 am
What's needed from NC is a poll or three that don't name Haugh in the head2head. If one could juxtapose a few of those with all these that name him, we'd get a better idea of how much will he actually impact the race and in which ways.