Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Lief 🗽 on October 23, 2014, 12:47:38 PM



Title: MI: Public Policy Polling: Tied at 48-48
Post by: Lief 🗽 on October 23, 2014, 12:47:38 PM
New Poll: Michigan Governor by Public Policy Polling on 2014-10-21 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=2620141021108)

Summary: D: 48%, R: 48%, I: 0%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.lcv.org/assets/pdf/michigan-senate-poll-10-23-14.pdf)


Title: Re: MI: Public Policy Polling: Tied at 48-48
Post by: Marston on October 23, 2014, 01:09:04 PM
YES!!!!!!


Title: Re: MI: Public Policy Polling: Tied at 48-48
Post by: Negusa Nagast 🚀 on October 23, 2014, 01:16:48 PM
The Democratic Governor wave is growing in intensity!


Title: Re: MI: Public Policy Polling: Tied at 48-48
Post by: Devils30 on October 23, 2014, 01:20:57 PM
What are the odds the GOP gets 55 senate seats while Dems win PA FL MI WI KS ME Governors?


Title: Re: MI: Public Policy Polling: Tied at 48-48
Post by: Chance92 on October 23, 2014, 01:24:50 PM
What are the odds the GOP gets 55 senate seats while Dems win PA FL MI WI KS ME Governors?

Well, we have PA locked up already and KS is going our way again. It's unlikely, but not outside the realm of possibility.


Title: Re: MI: Public Policy Polling: Tied at 48-48
Post by: Free Bird on October 23, 2014, 01:39:29 PM
And? Still advantage Snyder from other polls


Title: Re: MI: Public Policy Polling: Tied at 48-48
Post by: Bojack Horseman on October 23, 2014, 01:40:06 PM
Excellent news!


Title: Re: MI: Public Policy Polling: Tied at 48-48
Post by: dmmidmi on October 23, 2014, 01:43:02 PM
And? Still advantage Snyder from other polls

Snyder posts lead in crappy polls: GOP hold!
Tie in a real poll: I'll trust the crappy polls!


Title: Re: MI: Public Policy Polling: Tied at 48-48
Post by: Marston on October 23, 2014, 01:48:30 PM
And? Still advantage Snyder from other polls

Putting your faith in a GOP hack firm (Mitchell) and another headed by a guy named Bernie Porn (EPIC-MRA)? You're a braver man than I.


Title: Re: MI: Public Policy Polling: Tied at 48-48
Post by: IceSpear on October 23, 2014, 02:19:59 PM
Well, I got my wish (that PPP would poll this race).

Hopefully Schauer can post at least a couple leads in the next two weeks, otherwise it's hard not to give the edge to Snyder at this point.


Title: Re: MI: Public Policy Polling: Tied at 48-48
Post by: SWE on October 23, 2014, 02:21:20 PM
And? Still advantage Snyder from other polls

Snyder posts lead in crappy polls: GOP hold!
Tie in a real poll: I'll trust the crappy polls!
PPP has a left wing bias you see.


Title: Re: MI: Public Policy Polling: Tied at 48-48
Post by: Maxwell on October 23, 2014, 02:25:19 PM
It is a League of Conservation PPP poll, which is probably a little less reliable. Still, not at all good news for Snyder, who probably is getting hurt by Terri Lynn Land's disaster of a campaign.


Title: Re: MI: Public Policy Polling: Tied at 48-48
Post by: windjammer on October 23, 2014, 05:19:01 PM
It is a League of Conservation PPP poll, which is probably a little less reliable. Still, not at all good news for Snyder, who probably is getting hurt by Terri Lynn Land's disaster of a campaign.


Title: Re: MI: Public Policy Polling: Tied at 48-48
Post by: ElectionsGuy on October 23, 2014, 05:28:40 PM
This is a toss-up, just like Wisconsin. It will likely be between 4 points.


Title: Re: MI: Public Policy Polling: Tied at 48-48
Post by: Kraxner on October 23, 2014, 05:40:32 PM
If Snyder loses then Michigan could kiss their recovery goodbye.


Title: Re: MI: Public Policy Polling: Tied at 48-48
Post by: Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort on October 23, 2014, 07:05:57 PM
If Snyder loses then Michigan could kiss their recovery goodbye.

What recovery?


Title: Re: MI: Public Policy Polling: Tied at 48-48
Post by: Recalcuate on October 23, 2014, 08:03:23 PM
What are the odds the GOP gets 55 senate seats while Dems win PA FL MI WI KS ME Governors?

Not very likely 55 GOP Senate seats would be a clean sweep. Dems still have leads in NH and NC. GA is trending towards a slight Nunn lead/runoff and KS Orman has a slight lead.

On the Governor side, you also figure if you flip a coin four times on FL, MI and WI, ME it turns up tails at least once statistically.

PA is in the bag for the Dems. KS looks promising.


Title: Re: MI: Public Policy Polling: Tied at 48-48
Post by: dmmidmi on October 23, 2014, 09:19:27 PM
If Snyder loses then Michigan could kiss their recovery goodbye.

Oh, please.


Title: Re: MI: Public Policy Polling: Tied at 48-48
Post by: Kraxner on October 23, 2014, 09:53:44 PM
If Snyder loses then Michigan could kiss their recovery goodbye.

What recovery?

research. stlouisfed. org / fred2/series/ MINA