Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: RogueBeaver on October 27, 2014, 03:35:01 PM



Title: GA-PPP: All tied up
Post by: RogueBeaver on October 27, 2014, 03:35:01 PM
47% apiece.  (http://www.lcv.org/assets/pdf/ga-senate-poll-10-27-14.pdf)


Title: GA: Public Policy Polling: Senate Race Tied in Georgia
Post by: ElectionAtlas on October 27, 2014, 03:40:14 PM
New Poll: Georgia Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2014-10-24 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=13220141024108)

Summary: D: 47%, R: 47%, I: 3%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.lcv.org/assets/pdf/ga-senate-poll-10-27-14.pdf)


Title: Re: GA-PPP: All tied up
Post by: Lief 🗽 on October 27, 2014, 03:42:18 PM
Damn. She's probably going to just miss the 50% threshold. :(


Title: Re: GA-PPP: All tied up
Post by: Miles on October 27, 2014, 03:46:37 PM
I hope PPP still includeds GA in its final batch.


Title: Re: GA-PPP: All tied up
Post by: Free Bird on October 27, 2014, 04:10:43 PM
Seems fair , but what concerns me is that the sample is + 3 GOP, and Perdue still has a lower favorability


Title: Re: GA-PPP: All tied up
Post by: Maxwell on October 27, 2014, 04:12:53 PM
Fascinating - David Perdue actually has a higher net favorable rating (+4) than Michelle Nunn (+0). And yet Perdue is tied.


Title: Re: GA-PPP: All tied up
Post by: Keystone Phil on October 27, 2014, 04:13:52 PM
BREAKING: Michelle Nunn to lose in the runoff.


Title: Re: GA-PPP: All tied up
Post by: Consciously Unconscious on October 27, 2014, 04:29:00 PM
This will be a fun race to watch next Tuesday. 


Title: Re: GA-PPP: All tied up
Post by: Devils30 on October 27, 2014, 05:00:48 PM
Georgia Dems will have some happier days soon but just a plurality on election night is a solid goal for now.


Title: Re: GA-PPP: All tied up
Post by: IceSpear on October 27, 2014, 05:01:50 PM
I think Nunn/Carter may have run just a couple cycles too early. They would've been (would be?) great candidates in 2018/2020.


Title: Re: GA-PPP: All tied up
Post by: DrScholl on October 27, 2014, 05:03:26 PM
Nunn doesn't have to poll exactly at 50% in order to actually get 50% in the election. Past elections should tell us that some candidates that have never polled at 50%, but still have gone on to reach it.


Title: Re: GA-PPP: All tied up
Post by: windjammer on October 27, 2014, 05:04:32 PM
BREAKING: Michelle Nunn to lose in the runoff.


Title: Re: GA-PPP: All tied up
Post by: Recalcuate on October 27, 2014, 05:23:10 PM
Damn. She's probably going to just miss the 50% threshold. :(

538 gives this race a 70% chance of going to runoff.

If it's 47-47-3 with 4% undecided, it looks more and more like a runoff. If you dig deep into the undecided on here, they perhaps slightly favor Perdue (more 2012 Romney voters than Obama voters).

In any event that's all around the fringes. It looks like this will be settled on January 6.



Title: Re: GA-PPP: All tied up
Post by: Eraserhead on October 27, 2014, 05:41:40 PM
At least the runoff will give us something to watch in an otherwise dull January.


Title: Re: GA-PPP: All tied up
Post by: Mehmentum on October 27, 2014, 05:52:47 PM
We'll get a preview of how the Senate runoff will go in December with the Governor's runoff.


Title: Re: GA-PPP: All tied up
Post by: GaussLaw on October 27, 2014, 06:03:12 PM
Nunn doesn't have to poll exactly at 50% in order to actually get 50% in the election. Past elections should tell us that some candidates that have never polled at 50%, but still have gone on to reach it.

Yeah, but Nunn and Perdue are basically tied in polling averages on 538, and undecideds in GA break 2:1 Republican.  It's going to runoff.