Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 House Election Polls => Topic started by: Devils30 on October 28, 2014, 08:47:00 AM



Title: Siena NY-24: Maffei down 10
Post by: Devils30 on October 28, 2014, 08:47:00 AM
https://www.siena.edu/assets/files/news/CD241014_Crosstabs.pdf

Obama won this district by 16 in 2012 but Maffei is consistently a pretty weak candidate. If he loses this most likely Dems can recapture this one in 2016.


Title: Re: Siena NY-24: Maffei down 10
Post by: Chancellor Tanterterg on October 28, 2014, 09:47:23 AM
I knew it was a mistake to run him again in 2012 :(


Title: Re: Siena NY-24: Maffei down 10
Post by: Devils30 on October 28, 2014, 11:19:13 AM
Yeah, still with Hillary possibly winning over 60% there in 2016 I can't see Rs holding it more than a term.


Title: Re: Siena NY-24: Maffei down 10
Post by: Lief 🗽 on October 28, 2014, 11:19:51 AM
Maffei responds instantly with an internal showing him up 5: https://www.scribd.com/doc/244759770/NY-24-Global-Strategy-Group-for-Dan-Maffei-Oct-2014

Time to toss this Siena poll in the trash.


Title: Re: Siena NY-24: Maffei down 10
Post by: IceSpear on October 28, 2014, 01:46:26 PM
Katko is a shoo-in, just like Nan Hayworth was in 2012.

()

(Siena sucks)


Title: Re: Siena NY-24: Maffei down 10
Post by: JerryArkansas on October 28, 2014, 03:11:01 PM
He's Maffei is properly leading by 2 to 3, not amazing, but enough to win.


Title: Re: Siena NY-24: Maffei down 10
Post by: Recalcuate on October 28, 2014, 03:40:52 PM
https://www.siena.edu/assets/files/news/CD241014_Crosstabs.pdf

Obama won this district by 16 in 2012 but Maffei is consistently a pretty weak candidate. If he loses this most likely Dems can recapture this one in 2016.

R up 10 in a D+5 district. OK. Sure.

If that's the case, the Democrats are in gigantic trouble in the House, which they are not.

This district has oddly always been competitive. If Maffei is throwing out a +5 internal, it must be somewhat close. You'd think he'd have the edge though.


Title: Re: Siena NY-24: Maffei down 10
Post by: IceSpear on October 28, 2014, 05:48:21 PM
He's Maffei is properly leading by 2 to 3, not amazing, but enough to win.

Maffei is a terrible candidate. Even though this poll is obviously an outlier, he's underperformed for three election cycles in a row now. He's like the Democratic Jean Schmidt. If he does wind up losing, he better not try to run again in 2016.


Title: Re: Siena NY-24: Maffei down 10
Post by: Mr.Phips on November 01, 2014, 01:54:11 PM
If this guy manages to lose this seat for Dems again.....


Title: Re: Siena NY-24: Maffei down 10
Post by: Chancellor Tanterterg on November 01, 2014, 02:09:05 PM
If this guy manages to lose this seat for Dems again.....

Welcome back :)


Title: Re: Siena NY-24: Maffei down 10
Post by: Torie on November 01, 2014, 03:29:26 PM
Dems in NY are going to run behind partisan base lines more in NY, particularly upstate NY, than in most places across the fruited plain. Anything somewhat marginal seems headed into the Pub column this time - up and down the ballot. That is my sense of it all anyway.


Title: Re: Siena NY-24: Maffei down 10
Post by: IceSpear on November 04, 2014, 11:51:30 PM
WOW, this LOSER Dan Maffei is losing by 20 points with 85% of the vote in! Hopefully he goes into political obscurity after this, his embarrassing 2010 loss, and embarrassing 2012 underperformance.


Title: Re: Siena NY-24: Maffei down 10
Post by: krazen1211 on November 04, 2014, 11:57:33 PM
Great poll!


Title: Re: Siena NY-24: Maffei down 10
Post by: KCDem on November 04, 2014, 11:58:11 PM
Congrats Krazen!


Title: Re: Siena NY-24: Maffei down 10
Post by: IceSpear on November 05, 2014, 01:07:56 AM
Looks like the turd Maffei will lose by the biggest margin of any incumbent this year...in a D+5 district.

Good riddance to bad rubbish. Let's get a non joke candidate here in 2016, please.


Title: Re: Siena NY-24: Maffei down 10
Post by: SWE on November 05, 2014, 06:38:05 AM
What possibly made democrats think that running this clown was a good idea?