Atlas Forum

Election Archive => 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: RogueBeaver on October 28, 2014, 05:05:59 pm



Title: KS-SUSA: Davis +3
Post by: RogueBeaver on October 28, 2014, 05:05:59 pm
46/43. (http://ksn.com/2014/10/28/ksn-news-poll-shows-race-for-governor-could-go-to-either-candidate/)


Title: Re: KS-SUSA: Davis +3
Post by: Landslide Andy on October 28, 2014, 05:08:50 pm
Stupendous news! Dominating Davis will be a great governor.


Title: Re: KS-SUSA: Davis +3
Post by: Marston on October 28, 2014, 05:15:30 pm
The democracy hater Kobach is also tied at 45%, I see.


Title: Re: KS-SUSA: Davis +3
Post by: Keystone Phil on October 28, 2014, 05:40:29 pm
Kansas GOP will deliver a smashing victory for The Heartland's Favorite Governor.


Title: Re: KS-SUSA: Davis +3
Post by: Boston Bread on October 28, 2014, 05:42:47 pm
Kansas GOP will deliver a smashing victory for The Heartland's Favorite Governor.
And by favourite you mean underpeforming a mormon elitist by at least 22 points.


Title: Re: KS-SUSA: Davis +3
Post by: Landslide Andy on October 28, 2014, 05:46:35 pm
Kansas GOP will deliver a smashing victory for The Heartland's Favorite Governor.

Just out of curiosity, if one of Brownback/Roberts loses and the other wins, will you be gloating or upset on election night?


Title: Re: KS-SUSA: Davis +3
Post by: Keystone Phil on October 28, 2014, 05:56:26 pm
Kansas GOP will deliver a smashing victory for The Heartland's Favorite Governor.

Just out of curiosity, if one of Brownback/Roberts loses and the other wins, will you be gloating or upset on election night?

Why would I gloat at all? To fit in with the pathetic hoards around here? Please.


Title: Re: KS-SUSA: Davis +3
Post by: Landslide Andy on October 28, 2014, 06:08:51 pm
Kansas GOP will deliver a smashing victory for The Heartland's Favorite Governor.

Just out of curiosity, if one of Brownback/Roberts loses and the other wins, will you be gloating or upset on election night?

Why would I gloat at all? To fit in with the pathetic hoards around here? Please.

So then you WON'T accept your accolades if Brownback and Roberts win?


Title: Re: KS-SUSA: Davis +3
Post by: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on October 28, 2014, 06:14:26 pm
Kansas GOP will deliver a smashing victory for The Heartland's Favorite Governor.

Just out of curiosity, if one of Brownback/Roberts loses and the other wins, will you be gloating or upset on election night?

Why would I gloat at all? To fit in with the pathetic hoards around here? Please.

So then you WON'T accept your accolades if Brownback and Roberts win?

Phil generally is a nutcase during the run-up to elections, but can be quite decent and respectful if it doesn't go his way in the end.

There is obviously one exception to that. But I fully expect accolades to be accepted if one or both of them wins. Funnily, I think the response to and Orman/Davis sweep would be dismissive, rather than dramatic.


Title: Re: KS-SUSA: Davis +3
Post by: James Richard "Jesus" Garoppolo on October 28, 2014, 06:21:11 pm
Dominating!


Title: Re: KS-SUSA: Davis +3
Post by: Niemeyerite on October 28, 2014, 06:22:41 pm
Kansas GOP will deliver a smashing victory for The Heartland's Favorite Governor.

I hope your Kansas prediction is as accurate as your Brazil one about Dilma not being reelected :)


Title: Re: KS-SUSA: Davis +3
Post by: Keystone Phil on October 28, 2014, 06:37:01 pm
Kansas GOP will deliver a smashing victory for The Heartland's Favorite Governor.

I hope your Kansas prediction is as accurate as your Brazil one about Dilma not being reelected :)

Ok, I addressed your obsessive remarks in another thread today. So get over it.

Kansas GOP will deliver a smashing victory for The Heartland's Favorite Governor.

Just out of curiosity, if one of Brownback/Roberts loses and the other wins, will you be gloating or upset on election night?

Why would I gloat at all? To fit in with the pathetic hoards around here? Please.

So then you WON'T accept your accolades if Brownback and Roberts win?

Phil generally is a nutcase during the run-up to elections, but can be quite decent and respectful if it doesn't go his way in the end.

There is obviously one exception to that. But I fully expect accolades to be accepted if one or both of them wins. Funnily, I think the response to and Orman/Davis sweep would be dismissive, rather than dramatic.

Ah, yes, I'm generally the nutcase because I'm one of like four Republicans in a sea of Demohackery that dares to speak up. Silly me!


Title: Re: KS-SUSA: Davis +3
Post by: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on October 28, 2014, 06:53:24 pm
Kansas GOP will deliver a smashing victory for The Heartland's Favorite Governor.

I hope your Kansas prediction is as accurate as your Brazil one about Dilma not being reelected :)

Ok, I addressed your obsessive remarks in another thread today. So get over it.

Kansas GOP will deliver a smashing victory for The Heartland's Favorite Governor.

Just out of curiosity, if one of Brownback/Roberts loses and the other wins, will you be gloating or upset on election night?

Why would I gloat at all? To fit in with the pathetic hoards around here? Please.

So then you WON'T accept your accolades if Brownback and Roberts win?

Phil generally is a nutcase during the run-up to elections, but can be quite decent and respectful if it doesn't go his way in the end.

There is obviously one exception to that. But I fully expect accolades to be accepted if one or both of them wins. Funnily, I think the response to and Orman/Davis sweep would be dismissive, rather than dramatic.

Ah, yes, I'm generally the nutcase because I'm one of like four Republicans in a sea of Demohackery that dares to speak up. Silly me!

No, that's not why.


Title: Re: KS-SUSA: Davis +3
Post by: Landslide Andy on October 28, 2014, 07:45:10 pm
Quote
14% of poll respondents tell SurveyUSA they have already returned a ballot, and among this group, Brownback trails by 19 points. To win, he most overcome these "banked" votes, and win decisively among late-voters and Election Day voters.

Splendid news!


Title: Re: KS-SUSA: Davis +3
Post by: Niemeyerite on October 29, 2014, 04:25:06 am
Kansas GOP will deliver a smashing victory for The Heartland's Favorite Governor.

I hope your Kansas prediction is as accurate as your Brazil one about Dilma not being reelected :)

Ok, I addressed your obsessive remarks in another thread today. So get over it.


It's not my problem if you keep making bad predictions and pretending we're "Demhacks" because we don't agree with them.


Title: Re: KS-SUSA: Davis +3
Post by: Keystone Phil on October 29, 2014, 05:50:43 am
Kansas GOP will deliver a smashing victory for The Heartland's Favorite Governor.

I hope your Kansas prediction is as accurate as your Brazil one about Dilma not being reelected :)

Ok, I addressed your obsessive remarks in another thread today. So get over it.


It's not my problem if you keep making bad predictions and pretending we're "Demhacks" because we don't agree with them.

No, it's you're problem that you salivate over the "bad predictions" without taking the commentary with a grain of salt. I'm sorry that you're too dense to understand. I'm sure you'll be all over Lief after Tuesday when there's no Dem wave in the House, right?

Even if my prediction was 100% serious, having to make several comments in different threads to call it's inaccuracy to my attention is pathetic and borderline spam. Move on, dude.

P.S. - Be sure you give your highly accurate predictions on these races well before Tuesday or kindly refrain the superiority routine.


Title: Re: KS-SUSA: Davis +3
Post by: Mr. Illini on October 29, 2014, 11:28:40 am
Kansas GOP will deliver a smashing victory for The Heartland's Favorite Governor.

Of course, the one with low approval ratings who is having hoards of his party endorsing the Democrat in his race.

The Heartland's Favorite Governor


Title: Re: KS-SUSA: Davis +3
Post by: Badger on October 29, 2014, 08:25:05 pm
Kansas GOP will deliver a smashing victory for The Heartland's Favorite Governor.

I hope your Kansas prediction is as accurate as your Brazil one about Dilma not being reelected :)

Ok, I addressed your obsessive remarks in another thread today. So get over it.

Kansas GOP will deliver a smashing victory for The Heartland's Favorite Governor.

Just out of curiosity, if one of Brownback/Roberts loses and the other wins, will you be gloating or upset on election night?

Why would I gloat at all? To fit in with the pathetic hoards around here? Please.

So then you WON'T accept your accolades if Brownback and Roberts win?

Phil generally is a nutcase during the run-up to elections, but can be quite decent and respectful if it doesn't go his way in the end.

There is obviously one exception to that. But I fully expect accolades to be accepted if one or both of them wins. Funnily, I think the response to and Orman/Davis sweep would be dismissive, rather than dramatic.

Ah, yes, I'm generally the nutcase because I'm one of like four Republicans in a sea of Demohackery that dares to speak up. Silly me!

Recount closely. This isn't 2008 Forum anymore.

Oh, and lest we all forget, Brownback will be elected "comfortably".


Title: Re: KS-SUSA: Davis +3
Post by: Keystone Phil on October 29, 2014, 08:36:19 pm
Badger, you're seriously pathetic and proving your obsession with me. Instead of just ignoring it, you're fixated on making my prediction "wrong" even if Brownback wins. Not even the biggest hacks around here have harped on this as much as you.

But go on now, Badge. Tell us how this isn't about you having an issue with me. ::)


Title: Re: KS-SUSA: Davis +3
Post by: tmthforu94 on October 29, 2014, 10:52:38 pm
Quote
14% of poll respondents tell SurveyUSA they have already returned a ballot, and among this group, Brownback trails by 19 points. To win, he most overcome these "banked" votes, and win decisively among late-voters and Election Day voters.

Splendid news!
Highly unlikely - Republicans are up by over 20 points with early voting.


Title: Re: KS-SUSA: Davis +3
Post by: King on October 29, 2014, 11:21:40 pm
Quote
14% of poll respondents tell SurveyUSA they have already returned a ballot, and among this group, Brownback trails by 19 points. To win, he most overcome these "banked" votes, and win decisively among late-voters and Election Day voters.

Splendid news!
Highly unlikely - Republicans are up by over 20 points with early voting.

Republicans are not necessarily voting for Brownback. That's why this is a race.


Title: Re: KS-SUSA: Davis +3
Post by: tmthforu94 on October 29, 2014, 11:27:47 pm
Quote
14% of poll respondents tell SurveyUSA they have already returned a ballot, and among this group, Brownback trails by 19 points. To win, he most overcome these "banked" votes, and win decisively among late-voters and Election Day voters.

Splendid news!
Highly unlikely - Republicans are up by over 20 points with early voting.

Republicans are not necessarily voting for Brownback. That's why this is a race.
The last numbers I saw had Republicans at 53% and Democrats at around 30%, with the rest Independents. If Brownback is losing that sample by 19% he is on his way to a landslide defeat.


Title: Re: KS-SUSA: Davis +3
Post by: Landslide Andy on October 29, 2014, 11:33:53 pm
Quote
14% of poll respondents tell SurveyUSA they have already returned a ballot, and among this group, Brownback trails by 19 points. To win, he most overcome these "banked" votes, and win decisively among late-voters and Election Day voters.

Splendid news!
Highly unlikely - Republicans are up by over 20 points with early voting.

Republicans are not necessarily voting for Brownback. That's why this is a race.
The last numbers I saw had Republicans at 53% and Democrats at around 30%, with the rest Independents. If Brownback is losing that sample by 19% he is on his way to a landslide defeat.

Party registration and party ID can wildly differ. The Monmouth poll in Kansas with Davis up 5 had this:

Party registration:
60% R
25% D
15% I

Party ID:
42% R
24% D
34% I

Registered Republicans who self identify as independents are exactly the type of people who would break overwhelmingly for Davis. If they weren't doing so, this would be a Brownback landslide.


Title: Re: KS-SUSA: Davis +3
Post by: Recalcuate on October 29, 2014, 11:38:44 pm
Quote
14% of poll respondents tell SurveyUSA they have already returned a ballot, and among this group, Brownback trails by 19 points. To win, he most overcome these "banked" votes, and win decisively among late-voters and Election Day voters.

Splendid news!

You cant take any stock in these Early Voting subsamples of around 100 alleged early voters. Your MOE there is roughly +/- 10%. Meaningless.