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Title: Biggest county swing Post by: A18 on April 13, 2005, 01:07:02 PM What county swung the most from the previous election in each election?
Title: Re: Biggest county swing Post by: Beet on April 13, 2005, 04:29:12 PM Lincoln county, MS went from 95.96% F.D.R. in 1944 to 97.01% Thurmond, 1.64% Truman in 1948.
Title: Re: Biggest county swing Post by: True Democrat on April 13, 2005, 05:03:16 PM Does anyone know the biggest swing from 2000 to 2004. I'm guessing it's somewhere in Tennessee, but I'm not sure.
Title: Re: Biggest county swing Post by: Sam Spade on April 13, 2005, 05:36:53 PM Does anyone know the biggest swing from 2000 to 2004. I'm guessing it's somewhere in Tennessee, but I'm not sure. Depends. One of the biggest for the Reps was Richmond County home of Staten Island, NY. 2000 (Gore 51.94%, Bush 44.96%, Nader 2.50%) to 2004 (Bush 56.40%, Kerry 42.74%, Nader 0.74%) There's also some NJ counties for the Reps that moved a lot, as well as some South Texas ones and probably some in Tennessee too. One of the biggest for the Dems ironically was Travis County, TX, home of Austin, Texas. 2000 (Bush 46.88%, Gore 41.67%, Nader 10.37%) to 2004 (Kerry 56.01%, Bush 42.00%, Nader 0.40%) Though these are large counties. Some smaller counties probably moved more, my bet is that the biggest ones for the Dems were ski counties in the Mountain West. Title: Re: Biggest county swing Post by: Cowboy on April 13, 2005, 09:35:24 PM Howdy!
Ill throw this into the ring: San Miguel County, CO was Kerry 72%, Bush 27% this year. Was Gore 49%, Bush 32%, Nader 17% in 2000. Title: Re: Biggest county swing Post by: minionofmidas on April 14, 2005, 05:38:10 AM IIRC San Miguel was the strongest pro-Dem swing. The largest swing overall was the Tennessee County that Carthage (Al Gore's home town...not DC, the other one) is in. Still narrowly went Dem this year.
Title: Re: Biggest county swing Post by: Alcon on April 21, 2005, 11:55:03 PM IIRC San Miguel was the strongest pro-Dem swing. The largest swing overall was the Tennessee County that Carthage (Al Gore's home town...not DC, the other one) is in. Still narrowly went Dem this year. Yes, Smith County, TN. This year it was Kerry 52%, Bush 48%. 2000 was Gore 66%, Bush 32%. Weirdly, in 1992, Clinton won an amazing 72%. Title: Re: Biggest county swing Post by: I spent the winter writing songs about getting better on April 22, 2005, 12:13:58 AM Check out Miller county, GA from 1960 to 1964
Title: Re: Biggest county swing Post by: Rob on April 22, 2005, 12:36:20 AM McPherson County, South Dakota has had some bizarre swings. Look at these results:
1920- 73 percent Republican, 21 percent Farmer-Labor, 6 percent Democratic. 1924- 68 percent Progressive, 29 percent Republican, 3 percent Democratic. 1928- 54 percent Democratic, 46 percent Republican. (That's the first time it ever voted for a Democrat, BTW). 1932- 80 percent Democratic, 18 percent Republican. 1936- 55 percent Republican, 44 percent Democratic. It must have been the farm crisis... but still, it's weird. After that, it's overwhelmingly GOP again (even Truman got only 23 percent). Some more strange McPherson results: 1952- 87 percent Republican, 13 percent Democratic. (That's actually a fairly typical Plains result for '52). 1956 (Here's where it gets weird again)- 50 percent Republican, 50 percent Democratic; Eisenhower beat Stevenson in this GOP stronghold by only 4 votes! Now look at this: 1960- 79 percent for Nixon, 21 percent for Kennedy. WTF? Even stranger is 1964: 72 percent for Goldwater, 28 percent for LBJ. Since then, it's been ultra-Republican; the best Democratic showing has been Dukakis's 29.5 percent in 1988. Is there any explanation for this? McPherson is (or at least was) a big wheat-growing area, but that doesn't account for all of these swings. Title: Re: Biggest county swing Post by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on April 22, 2005, 05:29:24 AM Humbolt, CA
2000:Gore wins 44.4-41.5 2004: Kerry wins 57.7-39.0 Vermont has some good ones. Title: Re: Biggest county swing Post by: nclib on April 23, 2005, 10:43:40 AM Nader did very well there.
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