Talk Elections

http://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/field-polls/article3456638.html

New Poll: California Governor by Field Research Corporation on 2014-10-28 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=620141028043)

Summary: D: 54%, R: 33%, I: 0%, U: 13%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/field-polls/article3456634.ece/binary/PDF:%20Field%20Poll%20for%20statewide%20races)

Curb stomp!

It could've been worse for Kashkari, but Brown clearly is headed toward a tremendous victory. Way to go!

I am thinking a 26-28 point win is likely. Maybe a little less because a lot of democrats just aren't going to bother turning out.

Ugh, really hard to pick between >50% and >60% here.

Realy? The poll only shows a 21 point win, and my guess is undecideds break for Kashkari.

And Brown is winning whites 51-38.

Drudge and krazen will be so upset.

Hopefully Tuck will win the superintendent's race. Cast my vote for him. I'm a union supporter, but the teacher tenure rules are outrageous.

He probably clears 60%.

Undecideds will probably break for the Democrat in statewide races in California, especially when the Republican is a loser like Kashkari.

Difficult to say. Even though Democrats will sweep statewide, motivation and turnout could be very low, which seems to be what's keeping the Republicans afloat in the competitive House and legislature districts.

A 20% landslide might be great but i wonder if he's going to win Orange county when he did win it in 1978 with a 19.5% margin statewide.

Probably not but it would be indicative of how big he won.

Just hoping the green and peace and freedom party doesn't decrease his margin even though they probably will.

They can't. Top two system means only Brown and Kashkari are on the ballot.

Glorious news! Corrupto-man will be crushed by the Great Governor's moonbeam.

For once, I can completely and wholeheartedly agree with you.

>60% is an easy prediction since this is the top two and there are no independents/greens/libertarians in the mix. Brown should easily win by 20+. The real question is if he can crack 65%, but it's unlikely in an off year election with very low interest.

Undecideds break towards democrats in California. How can anyone deny that when virtually every democratic statewide candidate have outperformed their polling average there since 2004?

If Brown wins whites, he will win by at least 20 points or so. If he wins whites by double digits....I think this poll more accurately represents what Kashkari ends up getting, not Brown. Let's see if I am right. The issue is that turnout could be very low which could end up limiting Browns margin of victory.

Brown is not even trying no ads or GOTV if he did try we'd probably be looking at him clearing 63-65% of the vote but I say he just breaks 60%.

A 30 point win would be needed for Brown to carry Orange County, especially in an off year election. I do think Brown will win a bunch of mountain counties as well as counties in the Central Valley that no one is expecting.

Torlakson is actually a teacher, so he's best for the job. I don't think it makes much sense to elect people with no teaching background to offices regarding education, but that's just me.

It would be even better if they didn't have union connections.

Qualifications matter more than union gripes. That last thing we need is a superintendent trying to get into big fights with unions, that's just a lot of gridlock.

Someone needs to do something. That has been my biggest disappointment with Brown.

I live in senate district 38, and my Republican state senator, who is the ranking member of the education committee, always gripes about how Gov. Brown shrugs his shoulders and says how "the unions won't let that happen" whenever seemingly any legislation is proposed.

Both my dad and my grandpa were firefighters (public sector union employees), but even they acknowledge the unions here have too much power. The teachers unions should be fighting on behalf of both the teachers AND the students, not for stupid rules like tenure, which keeps poor teachers employed.

I totally agree with you. Schools need more funding and GOOD teachers need to be paid more. If the teachers union advocated for that, I wouldn't have a problem with them.

Good teachers pay only part of total union dues.... It's the perils of any union shop. Dues paying bad workers need to be protected by the union as well.

And this is why I don't like unions in general.

Kashkari is my favorite gubernatorial candidate this year (although I like Brown too.)

It's sad to see him behind by so much, but this poll seems accurate.

I don't like his obsession with the high-speed train, and his stupid stunt of dressing up like a homeless person. His focus on education is commendable though and hopefully this year is the start of a shakeup of the California K-12 education system. Go Marshall Tuck!

Kashkari's opposition to the high-speed train is the only thing I don't like about him. I also think his focus on education is great. The main reason I like Kaskhari is because we are both moderate Republicans who happen to be Indian-Americans. Almost all of the Indians I know are Democrats. Bobby Jindal and Nikki Haley are both far-right nut jobs, so I don't like them.

She's Indian?

Oh yeah. A turbaned one too.