Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: moderatevoter on October 30, 2014, 08:06:56 PM



Title: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: moderatevoter on October 30, 2014, 08:06:56 PM
Warner: 44
Gillespie: 40
Sarvis: 5

LOL. 

Link to article. (http://bit.ly/1sNpETk)


Title: Re: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on October 30, 2014, 08:08:43 PM
Complete Junk.


Title: Re: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: Mehmentum on October 30, 2014, 08:09:12 PM
*Cue Politico headline*


Title: Re: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: KCDem on October 30, 2014, 08:09:43 PM
Are they trying to fit in as many junk polls before Tuesday as possible?


Title: Re: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: IceSpear on October 30, 2014, 08:10:00 PM
Holy crap, Vox Populi is shilling HARD today. I don't think I've seen anything like this before. They must have formed this group earlier in the year just for some last minute narrative setting.


Title: Re: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: JRP1994 on October 30, 2014, 08:12:32 PM
One of two things is going to happen on Tuesday in Virginia:

• Vox Populi is going to lose any shred of remaining credibility.
• We're all going to have, in the words of Tom Brokaw, "Not just egg on our faces, omelette all over our suits."


Title: Re: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: IceSpear on October 30, 2014, 08:15:10 PM
One of two things is going to happen on Tuesday in Virginia:

• Vox Populi is going to lose any shred of remaining credibility.
• We're all going to have, in the words of Tom Brokaw, "Not just egg on our faces, omelette all over our suits."

Vox Populi has plenty of chances to lose their credibility on Tuesday, not just Virginia. They also show Udall (NM) in trouble and Tillis/Brown scoring easy wins.


Title: Re: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on October 30, 2014, 08:18:57 PM
One of two things is going to happen on Tuesday in Virginia:

• Vox Populi is going to lose any shred of remaining credibility.
• We're all going to have, in the words of Tom Brokaw, "Not just egg on our faces, omelette all over our suits."

Vox Populi has plenty of chances to lose their credibility on Tuesday, not just Virginia. They also show Udall (NM) in trouble and Tillis/Brown scoring easy wins.
Almost everything they've released has been a definite outlier. Either they're right and everyone else is wrong, and they're wrong and will be pressured to give up polling for life.


Title: Re: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: DrScholl on October 30, 2014, 08:21:33 PM
Cue the usual blue avatars to come in and run with this poll.


Title: Re: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on October 30, 2014, 08:28:52 PM
Even krazen and Phil haven't descended yet... that raises it from junk to putrescible waste.


Title: Re: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: Keystone Phil on October 30, 2014, 08:47:44 PM
Even krazen and Phil haven't descended yet... that raises it from junk to putrescible waste.

...point out which race I've said the GOP is favored in or has a shot in that isn't remotely competitive.


Title: Re: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: Recalcuate on October 30, 2014, 08:48:33 PM

Today seems to be the day for the desperate candidate to magically have a poll that puts them in the race released. Democrats NOT excluded.


Title: Re: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on October 30, 2014, 08:50:06 PM
Even krazen and Phil haven't descended yet... that raises it from junk to putrescible waste.

...point out which race I've said the GOP is favored in or has a shot in that isn't remotely competitive.

I'm generalising, apologies.


Title: Re: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: Consciously Unconscious on October 30, 2014, 09:10:26 PM
Well, they're going to look bad on Tuesday. 


Title: Re: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: free my dawg on October 30, 2014, 09:24:54 PM
Yeah, Vox Populi isn't even a shill at this point. It's pretty clearly a public relations firm disguised as a legitimate polling op. What better way to boost a noncompetitive candidate's image than showing them as competitive?


Title: Re: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: Mr. Reactionary on October 30, 2014, 10:00:23 PM
Junk Poll.

Yeah ... totally stand by my Jim Webb write-in vote.


Title: Re: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 31, 2014, 01:26:01 PM
I guess Vox Populi wants to establish itself as the Official Republican Sh*t Pollster of this cycle, kinda like Gravis was in 2012 and Rasmussen in 2010.


Title: Re: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: krazen1211 on November 05, 2014, 10:08:50 AM
Not a bad poll. Better than all the other junk.


Title: Re: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: Bigby on November 05, 2014, 10:09:49 AM
Well this has become ironic.


Title: Re: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: Maxwell on November 05, 2014, 10:10:44 AM
Vox Populi and Harper - the new gold standard pollsters :P


Title: Re: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: IceSpear on November 05, 2014, 03:40:46 PM
One of two things is going to happen on Tuesday in Virginia:

• Vox Populi is going to lose any shred of remaining credibility.
• We're all going to have, in the words of Tom Brokaw, "Not just egg on our faces, omelette all over our suits."

Vox Populi has plenty of chances to lose their credibility on Tuesday, not just Virginia. They also show Udall (NM) in trouble and Tillis/Brown scoring easy wins.

Let's not forget this guys. Yes, Tillis won, but it was narrow. Brown lost, and Udall won easily by double digits, as expected.


Title: Re: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on November 05, 2014, 04:43:19 PM
One of two things is going to happen on Tuesday in Virginia:

• Vox Populi is going to lose any shred of remaining credibility.
• We're all going to have, in the words of Tom Brokaw, "Not just egg on our faces, omelette all over our suits."

Vox Populi has plenty of chances to lose their credibility on Tuesday, not just Virginia. They also show Udall (NM) in trouble and Tillis/Brown scoring easy wins.

Let's not forget this guys. Yes, Tillis won, but it was narrow. Brown lost, and Udall won easily by double digits, as expected.
Most expected T. Udall to win by more than 10. And only Harper and Vox had Tillis leading at the end, so they are, for now, the best NC pollsters.


Title: Re: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on November 05, 2014, 05:02:48 PM
One of two things is going to happen on Tuesday in Virginia:

• Vox Populi is going to lose any shred of remaining credibility.
• We're all going to have, in the words of Tom Brokaw, "Not just egg on our faces, omelette all over our suits."

Vox Populi has plenty of chances to lose their credibility on Tuesday, not just Virginia. They also show Udall (NM) in trouble and Tillis/Brown scoring easy wins.

Let's not forget this guys. Yes, Tillis won, but it was narrow. Brown lost, and Udall won easily by double digits, as expected.
Most expected T. Udall to win by more than 10. And only Harper and Vox had Tillis leading at the end, so they are, for now, the best NC pollsters.

God help us all


Title: Re: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: KCDem on November 05, 2014, 06:02:31 PM
One of two things is going to happen on Tuesday in Virginia:

• Vox Populi is going to lose any shred of remaining credibility.
• We're all going to have, in the words of Tom Brokaw, "Not just egg on our faces, omelette all over our suits."

Vox Populi has plenty of chances to lose their credibility on Tuesday, not just Virginia. They also show Udall (NM) in trouble and Tillis/Brown scoring easy wins.

Let's not forget this guys. Yes, Tillis won, but it was narrow. Brown lost, and Udall won easily by double digits, as expected.
Most expected T. Udall to win by more than 10. And only Harper and Vox had Tillis leading at the end, so they are, for now, the best NC pollsters.

For a midterm year.


Title: Re: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: Mr. Reactionary on November 06, 2014, 12:49:50 AM


Title: Re: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on November 06, 2014, 12:55:16 AM
1. Create two polling companies
2. Have them each have biases of 5 points towards one of the parties
3. If polls are off 5 points in either direction, one of them is now the gold standard.


Title: Re: Vox Populi - Virginia Senate: Warner by 4
Post by: Smash255 on November 06, 2014, 12:59:31 AM
One of two things is going to happen on Tuesday in Virginia:

• Vox Populi is going to lose any shred of remaining credibility.
• We're all going to have, in the words of Tom Brokaw, "Not just egg on our faces, omelette all over our suits."

Vox Populi has plenty of chances to lose their credibility on Tuesday, not just Virginia. They also show Udall (NM) in trouble and Tillis/Brown scoring easy wins.

Let's not forget this guys. Yes, Tillis won, but it was narrow. Brown lost, and Udall won easily by double digits, as expected.
Most expected T. Udall to win by more than 10. And only Harper and Vox had Tillis leading at the end, so they are, for now, the best NC pollsters.

Using that logic....


Pollster 1 has candidate A wining by 1%
Pollster 2 has candidate B winning by 12%

Candidate B wins by 0.5%

What pollster is better?