Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: RI on October 30, 2014, 10:37:33 PM



Title: VA: PPP: Warner +9
Post by: RI on October 30, 2014, 10:37:33 PM
Poll out tomorrow. (https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/528019038862331905)


Title: Re: VA: PPP: Warner +9
Post by: IceSpear on October 30, 2014, 10:41:28 PM
Jeez, Dem turnout in VA must really be anemic this year. Other polls I've seen show an electorate that went for Cuccinelli and Romney by double digits.


Title: Re: VA: PPP: Warner +9
Post by: Mehmentum on October 30, 2014, 10:43:35 PM
Jeez, Dem turnout in VA must really be anemic this year. Other polls I've seen show an electorate that went for Cuccinelli and Romney by double digits.
Warner is a shoe in and most people live in safe congressional districts, there isn't much to vote for.


Title: Re: VA: PPP: Warner +9
Post by: Boston Bread on October 30, 2014, 10:44:02 PM
Jeez, Dem turnout in VA must really be anemic this year. Other polls I've seen show an electorate that went for Cuccinelli and Romney by double digits.
At least it only bodes poorly for house races. They'll be up 2 years later and that's when it matters. It's too bad the 2015 state senate will suck with the turnout.


Title: Re: VA: PPP: Warner +9
Post by: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on October 30, 2014, 10:46:50 PM
There's no excitement = low turnout = Dem support drops


Title: Re: VA: PPP: Warner +9
Post by: Devils30 on October 30, 2014, 11:39:18 PM
Seems bad but 9 in the final weekend isn't a huge deal. I expect a county map similar to Northam vs Jackson.


Title: Re: VA: PPP: Warner +9
Post by: Frodo on October 30, 2014, 11:44:47 PM
I probably should have stuck to my earlier prediction:

Between 5-10% -unless I have seriously misjudged my state's residual conservatism and Republican allegiance. 


Title: Re: VA: PPP: Warner +9
Post by: Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort on October 31, 2014, 12:48:41 AM
We all laughed when we saw Warner running an aggressive campaign (remember his debate performance??) But it's a good thing he did, otherwise he'd be fumbling like Udall.


Title: Re: VA: PPP: Warner +9
Post by: moderatevoter on October 31, 2014, 12:56:02 AM
There's no excitement = low turnout = Dem support drops

This. VA-10 was going to be the only competitive House race, and even that's not really competitive now. Comstock should win comfortably.

There's really no excitement (or reason to be excited, really). The 2013 race was so horrible. Between that and the recent, not-so-great developments in Virginia politics (McDonnell trial, etc), I get the sense that people are simply fatigued and demoralized.


Title: Re: VA: PPP: Warner +9
Post by: Miles on October 31, 2014, 10:04:46 AM
49/40 plus 5% for Sarvis. (http://www.lcv.org/assets/pdf/va-senate-poll-10-31-14.pdf)