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Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Lief 🐋 on October 31, 2014, 03:44:50 pm



Title: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS
Post by: Lief 🐋 on October 31, 2014, 03:44:50 pm
https://mobile.twitter.com/foxnewspoll/status/528280017453985792?p=v


Title: Re: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS
Post by: Landslide Andy on October 31, 2014, 04:07:53 pm
lolFOX

Predictions:

Ernst +4, Tillis +2, Roberts+5


Title: Re: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS
Post by: tmthforu94 on October 31, 2014, 04:08:35 pm
Junk poll!


Title: Re: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS
Post by: KCDem on October 31, 2014, 04:19:16 pm

You beat me to it! These polls are going to be crap!


Title: Re: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS
Post by: Recalcuate on October 31, 2014, 04:25:55 pm

I think the Fox and CNN polls are one of the few that use live callers for both cell phone and landline surveys. I wouldn't exactly call them junk. The Fox poll is a collaboration of both a Democrat and Republican pollsters.


Title: Re: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS
Post by: tmthforu94 on October 31, 2014, 04:27:07 pm

I think the Fox and CNN polls are one of the few that use live callers for both cell phone and landline surveys. I wouldn't exactly call them junk. The Fox poll is a collaboration of both a Democrat and Republican pollsters.
Junk reasoning!


Title: Re: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS
Post by: Liberalrocks on October 31, 2014, 04:27:57 pm
lolFOX

Predictions:

Ernst +4, Tillis +2, Roberts+5


Title: Re: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS
Post by: RR1997 on October 31, 2014, 04:41:06 pm
I really want them to poll Colorado.


Title: Re: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS
Post by: Miles on October 31, 2014, 04:56:58 pm
Orman up 44/43, Ernst 45/44, Hagan 43/42. (http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2014/10/31/fox-news-poll-1-point-margin-in-iowa-kansas-and-north-carolina-senate-races/)


Title: Re: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS
Post by: Recalcuate on October 31, 2014, 05:00:20 pm
Roberts up 44/43, Ernst 45/44, Hagan 43/42. (http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2014/10/31/fox-news-poll-1-point-margin-in-iowa-kansas-and-north-carolina-senate-races/)


That seems to be the status of all three of these races around the fringes of the MOE.


Title: Re: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS
Post by: Mehmentum on October 31, 2014, 05:01:38 pm
Orman's actually up by one.


Title: Re: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS
Post by: Miles on October 31, 2014, 05:03:25 pm
^ Sorry, fixed.


Title: Re: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS
Post by: tmthforu94 on October 31, 2014, 05:05:01 pm
I think Roberts will survive - Brownback is a different story, though. This poll confirms what I have seen in the state. The focus is definitely on getting Roberts reelected.


Title: Re: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS
Post by: Miles on October 31, 2014, 05:08:13 pm
I can buy early voters going 51-36 for Orman and even 55-31 for Hagan, but 61-31 for Ernst? Small sub-samples, I suppose.


Title: Re: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS
Post by: Devils30 on October 31, 2014, 05:10:41 pm
Iowa is beginning to look ominous for the GOP today. I could see Braley pulling out a 49-48 win on Tuesday.


Title: Re: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS
Post by: KCDem on October 31, 2014, 05:12:08 pm
Last poll showed Roberts up 5. Clear trend toward Orman and Davis' coattails will help Gregory the Gallant retire the DC Fossil!

As to the IA and NC results, repeat after me: junk polls!


Title: Re: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS
Post by: Boston Bread on October 31, 2014, 05:21:40 pm
It looks like the fox polling outfit cares more about its credibility than we thought.


Title: Re: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS
Post by: Lief 🐋 on October 31, 2014, 05:27:33 pm
Lol, Fox puts out non-biased polls right before the election. Classic!


Title: Re: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS
Post by: Recalcuate on October 31, 2014, 05:28:30 pm
I can buy early voters going 51-36 for Orman and even 55-31 for Hagan, but 61-31 for Ernst? Small sub-samples, I suppose.

Hard to tell at least from the IA poll, but that would be my guess. An early vote total is rarely statistically significant unless a ton of votes are banked.


Title: Re: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS
Post by: Landslide Andy on October 31, 2014, 05:38:29 pm
Lol, Fox puts out non-biased polls right before the election. Classic!

I'm marginally surprised. I expected them to go full Vox Populi. Now they left the Cheneys out there on a ledge. I bet they're furious.


Title: Re: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS
Post by: Badger on October 31, 2014, 05:45:13 pm

I think the Fox and CNN polls are one of the few that use live callers for both cell phone and landline surveys. I wouldn't exactly call them junk. The Fox poll is a collaboration of both a Democrat and Republican pollsters.

This. They're quite trustworthy at polling, and don't show a notably R bias.


Title: Re: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS
Post by: Recalcuate on October 31, 2014, 05:56:49 pm
Lol, Fox puts out non-biased polls right before the election. Classic!

I know you red hats hate Fox, but to their credit, their polling is anything other than "biased."

Again, it's live-agent cell phone and landline poll conducted by both a Republican and Democrat pollster.

Media organizations, including MSNBC, CNN, the local TV stations and Fox are looking to get it right and not engage in partisanship.


Title: Re: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS
Post by: Ebowed on October 31, 2014, 06:14:11 pm
Fox generally has a decent polling record.


Title: Re: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS
Post by: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on October 31, 2014, 06:18:02 pm
Actually Fox News' polls are usually held above pollsters like SUSA.


Title: Re: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS
Post by: Lief 🐋 on October 31, 2014, 06:37:34 pm
Lol, Fox puts out non-biased polls right before the election. Classic!

I know you red hats hate Fox, but to their credit, their polling is anything other than "biased."

Again, it's live-agent cell phone and landline poll conducted by both a Republican and Democrat pollster.

Media organizations, including MSNBC, CNN, the local TV stations and Fox are looking to get it right and not engage in partisanship.

Yeah their final polls are good. The ones they released earlier this month were clearly very republican-leaning huge outliers though.


Title: Re: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS
Post by: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on October 31, 2014, 06:41:02 pm
Lol, Fox puts out non-biased polls right before the election. Classic!

I know you red hats hate Fox, but to their credit, their polling is anything other than "biased."

Again, it's live-agent cell phone and landline poll conducted by both a Republican and Democrat pollster.

Media organizations, including MSNBC, CNN, the local TV stations and Fox are looking to get it right and not engage in partisanship.

Yeah their final polls are good. The ones they released earlier this month were clearly very republican-leaning huge outliers though.

I should have been more specific ... their 'final polls' are held above other respected pollsters.