Atlas Forum

Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Tender Branson on November 01, 2014, 06:24:53 am



Title: Final Marist/NBC polls: Perdue+4/+3, McConnell+9, Landrieu+8 & -5
Post by: Tender Branson on November 01, 2014, 06:24:53 am
GA - Perdue 48 Nunn 44 - Runoff: Perdue 49 Nunn 46
KY - McConnell 50 Grimes 41
LA - Landrieu 44 Cassidy 36 Maness 15 - Runoff: Cassidy 50 Landrieu 45
National Poll - 46% of LVs prefer GOP-controlled Congress, 45% prefer Dem control

GA, KY, LA + national poll.

https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/528173582367481857


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: Eraserhead on November 01, 2014, 06:48:51 am
Nice.


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: Marston on November 01, 2014, 07:06:41 am
They poll the two races that are almost certainly going to a run off instead of CO or IA. Better than nothing, I suppose.


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: Panda Express on November 01, 2014, 07:12:56 am
Yeah, why Louisiana? Kind of pointless to poll it since it is guaranteed to go to a runoff


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: Eraserhead on November 01, 2014, 08:24:24 am
They poll the two races that are almost certainly going to a run off instead of CO or IA. Better than nothing, I suppose.

They just polled CO and IA a few days ago.


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: DINO Tom on November 01, 2014, 11:05:02 am
Yeah, why Louisiana? Kind of pointless to poll it since it is guaranteed to go to a runoff

Because they can say they called it correctly when it goes a run-off :P


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: Senator Cris on November 02, 2014, 09:03:05 am
GA - Perdue 48 Nunn 44 - Runoff: Perdue 49 Nunn 46
KY - McConnell 50 Grimes 41
LA - Landrieu 44 Cassidy 36 Maness 15 - Runoff: Cassidy 50 Landrieu 45
National Poll - 46% of LVs prefer GOP-controlled Congress, 45% prefer Dem control


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: Eraserhead on November 02, 2014, 09:15:36 am
KY really is "Safe R" now.

The other numbers are what they are. Both of those races should be headed for runoffs.  It does seem like Nunn has lost the momentum though.


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: Cory Booker on November 02, 2014, 09:22:42 am
All we need is IA or CO or AK to come in D and win La runoff and will prevail.


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: krazen1211 on November 02, 2014, 09:24:55 am
Perduementum!


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: Keystone Phil on November 02, 2014, 09:25:56 am
McConnell can't be comfortably ahead because I said Dilma would lose. This is too confusing!


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: Pandaguineapig on November 02, 2014, 09:28:46 am
Wasn't it cute when the Democrats were convinced they were going to win Georgia?


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: Lief 🐋 on November 02, 2014, 09:29:11 am
Wasn't it cute when the Democrats were convinced they were going to win Georgia?

When was this?


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: Pandaguineapig on November 02, 2014, 09:30:47 am
Wasn't it cute when the Democrats were convinced they were going to win Georgia?

When was this?
After the Perdue Gaffe some D hacks were putting Georgia in their column


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: Lief 🐋 on November 02, 2014, 09:31:20 am
Wasn't it cute when the Democrats were convinced they were going to win Georgia?

When was this?
After the Perdue Gaffe some D hacks were putting Georgia in their column

Do you have specific examples of this?


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: Keystone Phil on November 02, 2014, 09:33:50 am
"We never thought we'd win Kentucky either." - next Demohack comment


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: Impeachment Inquiry on November 02, 2014, 09:33:57 am
Wasn't it cute when the Democrats were convinced they were going to win Georgia?

Why is it that before an election, so many Republican avatars flood the board chastising posters and then disappear afterwards? I seriously believe Republican operatives get paid to troll message boards, because this behavior is so predictable and common.


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: Keystone Phil on November 02, 2014, 09:35:53 am
Wasn't it cute when the Democrats were convinced they were going to win Georgia?

Why is it that before an election, so many Republican avatars flood the board chastising posters and then disappear afterwards? I seriously believe Republican operatives get paid to troll message boards, because this behavior is so predictable and common.

Haha, what a sore loser. Which Republicans here disappear after the election? I most certainly don't.


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: Impeachment Inquiry on November 02, 2014, 09:38:54 am
Wasn't it cute when the Democrats were convinced they were going to win Georgia?

Why is it that before an election, so many Republican avatars flood the board chastising posters and then disappear afterwards? I seriously believe Republican operatives get paid to troll message boards, because this behavior is so predictable and common.

Haha, what a sore loser. Which Republicans here disappear after the election? I most certainly don't.

This has nothing to do with losing, it's about a pattern I've nothing. Cliffy, Bawlexus and some other random names all disappeared in 2012, Cliffy was really a troll and he never posted again after he had to admit he was wrong.


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: krazen1211 on November 02, 2014, 09:42:29 am


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: President von Cat on November 02, 2014, 10:19:52 am
Wasn't it cute when the Democrats were convinced they were going to win Georgia?

Why is it that before an election, so many Republican avatars flood the board chastising posters and then disappear afterwards? I seriously believe Republican operatives get paid to troll message boards, because this behavior is so predictable and common.

Haha, what a sore loser. Which Republicans here disappear after the election? I most certainly don't.

Unfortunately. What about cliffy, JJ, POLITICO and those doofs that evaporated post-2012?


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: Bandit3 the Worker on November 02, 2014, 10:23:17 am
GA - Perdue 48 Nunn 44 - Runoff: Perdue 49 Nunn 46
KY - McConnell 50 Grimes 41
LA - Landrieu 44 Cassidy 36 Maness 15 - Runoff: Cassidy 50 Landrieu 45
National Poll - 46% of LVs prefer GOP-controlled Congress, 45% prefer Dem control

Is this just a prediction, or the actual blasted poll?


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: Tender Branson on November 02, 2014, 10:25:46 am
GA - Perdue 48 Nunn 44 - Runoff: Perdue 49 Nunn 46
KY - McConnell 50 Grimes 41
LA - Landrieu 44 Cassidy 36 Maness 15 - Runoff: Cassidy 50 Landrieu 45
National Poll - 46% of LVs prefer GOP-controlled Congress, 45% prefer Dem control

Is this just a prediction, or the actual blasted poll?

The actual results.

And they look pretty reasonable.


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: Tender Branson on November 02, 2014, 10:27:29 am
Full crosstabs (PDF):

Georgia (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/GAPolls/GA141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Georgia%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)

Kentucky (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/KYPolls/KY141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Kentucky%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)

Louisiana (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/LAPolls/LA141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Louisiana%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)


Title: GA: Marist College: Perdue with Slight Lead in Georgia
Post by: Dave Leip on November 02, 2014, 10:47:24 am
New Poll: Georgia Senator by Marist College on 2014-10-30 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=13220141030008)

Summary: D: 44%, R: 48%, I: 3%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/GAPolls/GA141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Georgia%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)


Title: KY: Marist College: McConnell with Lead in Kentucky
Post by: Dave Leip on November 02, 2014, 10:49:57 am
New Poll: Kentucky Senator by Marist College on 2014-10-30 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=21220141030008)

Summary: D: 41%, R: 50%, I: 5%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/KYPolls/KY141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Kentucky%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)


Title: LA: Marist College: Landrieu Leading but Below 50%
Post by: Dave Leip on November 02, 2014, 10:51:20 am
New Poll: Louisiana Senator by Marist College on 2014-10-30 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=22220141030008)

Summary: D: 44%, R: 36%, I: 16%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/LAPolls/LA141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Louisiana%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: KCDem on November 02, 2014, 11:00:46 am
Full crosstabs (PDF):

Georgia (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/GAPolls/GA141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Georgia%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)

Kentucky (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/KYPolls/KY141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Kentucky%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)

Louisiana (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/LAPolls/LA141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Louisiana%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)

Junk polls!


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: Keystone Phil on November 02, 2014, 11:07:21 am
Wasn't it cute when the Democrats were convinced they were going to win Georgia?

Why is it that before an election, so many Republican avatars flood the board chastising posters and then disappear afterwards? I seriously believe Republican operatives get paid to troll message boards, because this behavior is so predictable and common.

Haha, what a sore loser. Which Republicans here disappear after the election? I most certainly don't.

Unfortunately. What about cliffy, JJ, POLITICO and those doofs that evaporated post-2012?

A certain amount of irony that you'd post this given that we haven't seen you in how many years?


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: krazen1211 on November 02, 2014, 11:40:12 am
Full crosstabs (PDF):

Georgia (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/GAPolls/GA141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Georgia%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)

Kentucky (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/KYPolls/KY141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Kentucky%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)

Louisiana (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/LAPolls/LA141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Louisiana%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)

Junk polls!

I see large margins with white voters in these crosstabs.


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: Eraserhead on November 02, 2014, 11:44:15 am
Full crosstabs (PDF):

Georgia (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/GAPolls/GA141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Georgia%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)

Kentucky (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/KYPolls/KY141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Kentucky%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)

Louisiana (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/LAPolls/LA141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Louisiana%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)

Junk polls!

I see large margins with white voters in these crosstabs.

lol


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: KCDem on November 02, 2014, 11:51:36 am
Full crosstabs (PDF):

Georgia (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/GAPolls/GA141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Georgia%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)

Kentucky (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/KYPolls/KY141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Kentucky%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)

Louisiana (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/LAPolls/LA141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Louisiana%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)

Junk polls!

I see large margins with white voters in these crosstabs.

Luckily Democrats and blacks are hunting down whites across the South! #Reconstruction2014


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls: Perdue+4/+3, McConnell+9, Landrieu+8 & -5
Post by: OkThen on November 02, 2014, 12:46:47 pm
For GA, it has the AA vote at 29%. Based on early voting, AA vote is hovering around 33%. But who knows that margin might be less come election day.


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: Niemeyerite on November 02, 2014, 06:46:24 pm
McConnell Roberts can't be comfortably ahead because I said Dilma would lose. This is too confusing!



Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on November 02, 2014, 06:48:19 pm
Full crosstabs (PDF):

Georgia (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/GAPolls/GA141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Georgia%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)

Kentucky (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/KYPolls/KY141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Kentucky%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)

Louisiana (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/LAPolls/LA141027/Complete%20November%202014%20Louisiana%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf)

Junk polls!

I see large margins with white voters in these crosstabs.

That's all who should be voting... correct?


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow
Post by: Keystone Phil on November 02, 2014, 10:12:58 pm
McConnell Roberts can't be comfortably ahead because I said Dilma would lose. This is too confusing!



Ah, so my "bad predictions" (which are vastly overstated) are only selectively applied. Shocking. You guys should really be a little more sportsman-like and own up when you're wrong. I do it when I'm wrong. Since you're so obsessed with all of my wrong predictions, surely you can admit the "few" times I get it right without whining/excuses.


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls: Perdue+4/+3, McConnell+9, Landrieu+8 & -5
Post by: Landslide Andy on November 02, 2014, 10:30:04 pm
So I'm guessing krazen is furiously digging through the topic archives to find "gotcha quotes" because he was caught flat flooted in 2012 predicting a Romney landslide, got relentlessly hammered for it, and now is sadly trying to get "revenge"?


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls: Perdue+4/+3, McConnell+9, Landrieu+8 & -5
Post by: Keystone Phil on November 02, 2014, 10:33:32 pm
So I'm guessing krazen is furiously digging through the topic archives to find "gotcha quotes" because he was caught flat flooted in 2012 predicting a Romney landslide, got relentlessly hammered for it, and now is sadly trying to get "revenge"?

And if he is? Take your licks, young man. It's part of the business.


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls: Perdue+4/+3, McConnell+9, Landrieu+8 & -5
Post by: Landslide Andy on November 02, 2014, 10:46:26 pm
So I'm guessing krazen is furiously digging through the topic archives to find "gotcha quotes" because he was caught flat flooted in 2012 predicting a Romney landslide, got relentlessly hammered for it, and now is sadly trying to get "revenge"?

And if he is? Take your licks, young man. It's part of the business.

Well, if we want to turn every thread into that, it's fine. It didn't take me more than 5 minutes to find krazen insisting Terri Lynn Land and Ken Cuccinelli would win.


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls: Perdue+4/+3, McConnell+9, Landrieu+8 & -5
Post by: Keystone Phil on November 02, 2014, 10:55:01 pm
So I'm guessing krazen is furiously digging through the topic archives to find "gotcha quotes" because he was caught flat flooted in 2012 predicting a Romney landslide, got relentlessly hammered for it, and now is sadly trying to get "revenge"?

And if he is? Take your licks, young man. It's part of the business.

Well, if we want to turn every thread into that, it's fine. It didn't take me more than 5 minutes to find krazen insisting Terri Lynn Land and Ken Cuccinelli would win.

Great. Again, it's part of the business but don't whine because he cares to call out your errors. It's like the children around here that are already looking for excuses instead of giving me credit for my predictions. You want to mock my wrong calls? Fine. Be an adult and admit when I get something right, too.


Title: Re: Final Marist/NBC polls: Perdue+4/+3, McConnell+9, Landrieu+8 & -5
Post by: Landslide Andy on November 02, 2014, 11:03:47 pm
So I'm guessing krazen is furiously digging through the topic archives to find "gotcha quotes" because he was caught flat flooted in 2012 predicting a Romney landslide, got relentlessly hammered for it, and now is sadly trying to get "revenge"?

And if he is? Take your licks, young man. It's part of the business.

Well, if we want to turn every thread into that, it's fine. It didn't take me more than 5 minutes to find krazen insisting Terri Lynn Land and Ken Cuccinelli would win.

Great. Again, it's part of the business but don't whine because he cares to call out your errors. It's like the children around here that are already looking for excuses instead of giving me credit for my predictions. You want to mock my wrong calls? Fine. Be an adult and admit when I get something right, too.

It had nothing to do with "my errors". He quoted a post earlier in this thread from someone else, and did so in other threads as well. The only thing he's quoted recently from me is a comment that was clearly a joke. It's getting old. As I said, it's not at all hard to find these utterly hilarious posts if we want to go this route.

Romneymentum is soaring across this nation!

Good news! Romneymentum is surging across the midwest. That is why of course he  is winning with critical Iowa independents.