Atlas Forum

Election Archive => 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: ill ind on November 01, 2014, 10:16:59 am



Title: We Ask America Il Governor
Post by: ill ind on November 01, 2014, 10:16:59 am
Released yesterday
Quinn 49.5%
Rauner 44.8%
Grimm 5.6%


Title: Re: We Ask America Il Governor
Post by: Miles on November 01, 2014, 10:47:06 am
Article. (http://www.illinoisobserver.net/2014/11/01/poll-gov-pat-quinn-leads-bruce-rauner-home-stretch/)

The People's Pat is soaring!


Title: Re: We Ask America Il Governor
Post by: Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon on November 01, 2014, 10:48:17 am
Terrible.


Title: Re: We Ask America Il Governor
Post by: Phony Moderate on November 01, 2014, 10:49:29 am
Yeah, Quinn is going to end up winning fairly easily (which is lol).


Title: Re: We Ask America Il Governor
Post by: Lief 🐋 on November 01, 2014, 10:52:35 am
Quinn leading in WAA = Safe D.


Title: IL: We Ask America: Quinn pulls ahead by 5
Post by: Miles on November 01, 2014, 10:55:41 am
New Poll: Illinois Governor by We Ask America on 2014-10-28 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=1720141028116)

Summary: D: 50%, R: 45%, I: 6%, U: 0%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.illinoisobserver.net/2014/11/01/poll-gov-pat-quinn-leads-bruce-rauner-home-stretch/)


Title: Re: IL: We Ask America: Quinn pulls ahead by 5
Post by: Flake on November 01, 2014, 11:31:47 am
New Poll: Illinois Governor by We Ask America on 2014-10-28 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=1720141028116)

Summary: D: 50%, R: 45%, I: 6%, U: 0%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.illinoisobserver.net/2014/11/01/poll-gov-pat-quinn-leads-bruce-rauner-home-stretch/)

There are so many undecideds in this poll, it's unbelievable.


Title: Re: We Ask America Il Governor
Post by: Landslide Andy on November 01, 2014, 01:48:02 pm
Looks like this one might be over, but it'll be interesting to see what PPP says.


Title: Re: We Ask America Il Governor
Post by: Mr. Illini on November 02, 2014, 12:24:06 am
Bruce is finished.


Title: Re: We Ask America Il Governor
Post by: KCDem on November 02, 2014, 12:42:42 am
Dominatingly glorious news!


Title: Re: We Ask America Il Governor
Post by: Landslide Andy on November 02, 2014, 12:44:27 am

Seems like Bruce and Mark are cursed names this cycle.


Title: Re: We Ask America Il Governor
Post by: Clarko95 on November 02, 2014, 11:32:43 am
Wait.....

Quote
Libertarian Chad Grimm grabs 5.6%

Quote
The poll’s party ID response showed: Republican, 27.45%; Democratic, 39.77%; Independent, 32.78%.

Quote
Quinn clobbering Rauner among women 54.9-39.7%. Rauner is leading Quinn with men 52.8-41.1%

Quote
Rauner lead over Quinn 53.4-38.0%, though underperforming Bill Brady‘s 59% in 2010

Quote
Rauner is winning 18.5% of African-American vote and Grimm, 5.7%. The Governor is claiming only 75.5% compared to the 90% that he captured in 2010

These cross tabs look a little weird. There's no way Rauner is gaining ~19% of the black vote, while Quinn does so well with men. And what have other polls shows in terms of party ID? 40% Dem seems ridiculously high. And Libertarians always underperform in the GE compared to polling.

Quinn is the favorite, but this poll doesn't look good at all.