Atlas Forum

Election Archive => 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: marty on November 02, 2014, 07:17:55 pm



Title: MI PPP: Snyder leads by 1 (46-45).
Post by: marty on November 02, 2014, 07:17:55 pm
With leaners, 47-47.

on twitter


Title: Re: MI PPP: Snyder leads by 1 (46-45).
Post by: Khristie Kreme Donuts on November 02, 2014, 07:21:34 pm
Snyder better get ready for a cold Schauer!


Title: Re: MI PPP: Snyder leads by 1 (46-45).
Post by: Lief 🐋 on November 02, 2014, 07:22:49 pm
I'm gonna be super pissed if we lose WI and MI by one point each.


Title: Re: MI PPP: Snyder leads by 1 (46-45).
Post by: Chris B on November 02, 2014, 07:25:24 pm
After the EPIC-MRA poll and now PPP, I've started to become cautiously optimisitic about Schauer's chances after starting to write them off. I really have no idea how this will end.

It would be nice to see at least one of the Midwestern Republican governors lose.


Title: Re: MI PPP: Snyder leads by 1 (46-45).
Post by: Landslide Andy on November 02, 2014, 07:26:01 pm
Wonderful news! At least potentially taking out union buster Snyder could be a consolation prize if Walker ends up surviving.

This is a toughie to predict now. It's worth noting all the pollsters underestimated Obama's margin in Michigan. I may just switch this to Schauer in my final prediction, I'll need to think about it.


Title: Re: MI PPP: Snyder leads by 1 (46-45).
Post by: Maxwell on November 02, 2014, 07:27:22 pm
I'm going to go ahead and keep it at Snyder, though I won't be surprised if Schauer pulls it out. I will, however, be disappointed.


Title: Re: MI PPP: Snyder leads by 1 (46-45).
Post by: Devils30 on November 02, 2014, 07:32:47 pm
Doesn't hurt that the GOP has a f*** up candidate at the top of the ballot for Senator either


Title: Re: MI PPP: Snyder leads by 1 (46-45).
Post by: Landslide Andy on November 02, 2014, 07:35:48 pm
Doesn't hurt that the GOP has a f*** up candidate at the top of the ballot for Senator either

It's funny how back in spring/summer the question was "Can Snyder's coattails drag Land over the finish line?" Now it's: "Can Land's implosion drag Snyder down with her?"


Title: Re: MI PPP: Snyder leads by 1 (46-45).
Post by: KCDem on November 02, 2014, 07:38:20 pm
The Democrats are burying Republicans in the early vote here in Michigan. Snyder is on track for a good thrashing.


Title: Re: MI PPP: Snyder leads by 1 (46-45).
Post by: Landslide Andy on November 02, 2014, 07:41:08 pm
The Democrats are burying Republicans in the early vote here in Michigan. Snyder is on track for a good thrashing.

Link?


Title: Re: MI PPP: Snyder leads by 1 (46-45).
Post by: Badger on November 02, 2014, 07:46:25 pm
And this one's not an internal like WI. I'm beginning to think Snyder seriously could blow this.


Title: Re: MI PPP: Snyder leads by 1 (46-45).
Post by: Phony Moderate on November 02, 2014, 07:47:51 pm
Just happy that we have another MoE race to keep our eyes on on Tuesday.


Title: Re: MI PPP: Snyder leads by 1 (46-45).
Post by: Devils30 on November 02, 2014, 07:48:07 pm
Between this, FL, WI and KS, it should be a really interesting night. Anyone's guess who wins.


Title: Re: MI PPP: Snyder leads by 1 (46-45).
Post by: Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon on November 02, 2014, 08:02:39 pm
Wow.

Still think Snyder pulls it out, but wouldn't be surprised by a Schauer win.


Title: MI: Public Policy Polling: Snyder leads by 1
Post by: Miles on November 02, 2014, 08:52:32 pm
New Poll: Michigan Governor by Public Policy Polling on 2014-11-02 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=2620141102108)

Summary: D: 45%, R: 46%, I: 4%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/MIResults.pdf)


Title: Re: MI PPP: Snyder leads by 1 (46-45).
Post by: anarchy2day on November 02, 2014, 09:43:03 pm
I'm kind of partial to Snyder.  He's my wife's cousin on her maternal side of the family.


Title: Re: MI PPP: Snyder leads by 1 (46-45).
Post by: Marston on November 03, 2014, 02:45:16 am
I'm really trying not to get optimistic about our chances here, but all the signs on the ground makes it hard not to.

Democrats have turned out 100K absentee voters that didn't vote in 2010, and absentee requests are up significantly in Democratic anchor counties like Wayne, Gennesse,  Washtenaw and Saginaw.

Undecideds are breaking towards Schauer by a twelve point margin, which corroborates the EPIC/MRA poll from last week.

My current prediction is Snyder 49-48.5, but, like I said, its really hard not to get optimistic.


Title: Re: MI PPP: Snyder leads by 1 (46-45).
Post by: dmmidmi on November 03, 2014, 08:05:18 am
Wow.

Still think Snyder pulls it out, but wouldn't be surprised by a Schauer win.


Title: Re: MI PPP: Snyder leads by 1 (46-45).
Post by: WeAreDoomed on November 04, 2014, 12:40:53 pm
Wow, this will be really close.