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Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Lief 🐋 on November 03, 2014, 09:28:51 am



Title: IA-PPP: Ernst +1
Post by: Lief 🐋 on November 03, 2014, 09:28:51 am
http://cdn.americanprogressaction.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/11/IAPoll_toplines.pdf

Ernst 48
Braley 47


Title: Re: IA-PPP: Ernst +1
Post by: Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee on November 03, 2014, 09:30:32 am
Does PPP have a good track record in IA? Is it as good as it is in VA/NC/CO?


Title: Re: IA-PPP: Ernst +1
Post by: Maxwell on November 03, 2014, 09:33:31 am
Ernst leading by 1 in PPP's pushiest pull is a good sign for her.


Title: Re: IA-PPP: Ernst +1
Post by: Mehmentum on November 03, 2014, 09:33:56 am
Close race, but it looks like Ernst still has a slight edge.


Title: Re: IA-PPP: Ernst +1
Post by: Lief 🐋 on November 03, 2014, 09:36:01 am
Ernst leading by 1 in PPP's pushiest pull is a good sign for her.

Meh, the pushing doesn't happen until after they've asked the horse-race question.


Title: Re: IA-PPP: Ernst +1
Post by: KCDem on November 03, 2014, 09:38:33 am
Does PPP have a good track record in IA? Is it as good as it is in VA/NC/CO?

Nope!

()


Title: Re: IA-PPP: Ernst +1
Post by: Devils30 on November 03, 2014, 09:38:53 am
PPP I think is releasing another Iowa poll today that isn't an internal.


Title: Re: IA-PPP: Ernst +1
Post by: DINO Tom on November 03, 2014, 09:41:03 am
Ernst leading by 1 in PPP's pushiest pull is a good sign for her.

They asked the horserace question before all that other stuff (actually the only question that came before the horserace one was how likely people were to vote).  I don't think these numbers are a good sign for Ernst (although it's obviously better to be ahead then behind).  If anything, this poll suggests that the race is close enough that a strong ground-game could allow Braley to pull off a narrow win.  What worries me is the Des Moines Register poll.  Someone's going to have egg on their face Wednesday morning.


Title: Re: IA-PPP: Ernst +1
Post by: Ljube on November 03, 2014, 10:05:39 am
This is an internal, obviously.


Title: Re: IA-PPP: Ernst +1
Post by: Miles on November 03, 2014, 10:08:05 am
Does PPP have a good track record in IA? Is it as good as it is in VA/NC/CO?

Actually, looks like they've leaned R in IA in previous cycles. The only has Obama winning by 2 in '12 and overestimated Branstad in '10.


Title: Re: IA-PPP: Ernst +1
Post by: Recalcuate on November 03, 2014, 10:15:50 am
Does PPP have a good track record in IA? Is it as good as it is in VA/NC/CO?

Doesn't matter. This is not a PPP Poll. It's a PPP Poll for American Progress Action, a left leaning advocacy group. It should be designated PPP/APA (D).

It looks more like a push poll to me the way it is worded.

Again, a little intellectual honesty here. Like the CO results, when PPP comes out with its own poll, Ernst's lead may grow. Gardner went from tied in the PPP/LCV (D) poll to +3 in the non-partisan poll.


Title: Re: IA-PPP: Ernst +1
Post by: Tender Branson on November 03, 2014, 10:17:15 am
PPP will have another one today, the real one.


Title: Re: IA-PPP: Ernst +1
Post by: Impeachment Inquiry on November 03, 2014, 10:17:39 am
A push poll asks negative questions before the horse race question and it has been stated above that the horse race question was asked before anything else.


Title: Re: IA-PPP: Ernst +1
Post by: Badger on November 03, 2014, 10:20:10 am
PPP will have another one today, the real one.

Any word on the release time?


Title: Re: IA-PPP: Ernst +1
Post by: KCDem on November 03, 2014, 10:22:09 am
Does PPP have a good track record in IA? Is it as good as it is in VA/NC/CO?

Doesn't matter. This is not a PPP Poll. It's a PPP Poll for American Progress Action, a left leaning advocacy group. It should be designated PPP/APA (D).

It looks more like a push poll to me the way it is worded.

Again, a little intellectual honesty here. Like the CO results, when PPP comes out with its own poll, Ernst's lead may grow. Gardner went from tied in the PPP/LCV (D) poll to +3 in the non-partisan poll.

Your points have been refuted again and again. You're not contributing anything to this discussion. Now shush.


Title: Re: IA-PPP: Ernst +1
Post by: Recalcuate on November 03, 2014, 10:33:47 am
Does PPP have a good track record in IA? Is it as good as it is in VA/NC/CO?

Doesn't matter. This is not a PPP Poll. It's a PPP Poll for American Progress Action, a left leaning advocacy group. It should be designated PPP/APA (D).

It looks more like a push poll to me the way it is worded.

Again, a little intellectual honesty here. Like the CO results, when PPP comes out with its own poll, Ernst's lead may grow. Gardner went from tied in the PPP/LCV (D) poll to +3 in the non-partisan poll.

Your points have been refuted again and again. You're not contributing anything to this discussion. Now shush.

Refuted? See Colorado. I rest my case.

PPP is not releasing this as their poll. It came from APA directly.