Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Tender Branson on November 03, 2014, 01:06:20 PM



Title: GA-InsiderAdvantage: Deal+2
Post by: Tender Branson on November 03, 2014, 01:06:20 PM
In the governor’s contest, Republican incumbent Nathan Deal has 47 percent, Democrat Jason Carter with 44 percent and Libertarian Andrew Hunt with 5. There are 4 percent undecided in this race, too.

The survey was conducted of 1,463 likely voters and has a 3 percent margin of error. It was conducted by automated recordings on Sunday night.

http://chronicle.augusta.com/politics/2014-11-03/runoffs-likely-poll-indicates


Title: Re: GA-InsiderAdvantage: Deal+2
Post by: The Other Castro on November 03, 2014, 02:21:45 PM
As long as Hunt stays above 4.5%, this one looks to be going to a runoff


Title: Re: GA-InsiderAdvantage: Deal+2
Post by: Recalcuate on November 03, 2014, 02:27:55 PM
As long as Hunt stays above 4.5%, this one looks to be going to a runoff

If history is any indication, it's unlikely Hunt will do that. The last libertarian to run was an NAACP county chair and finished with 4%. It was the only time a libertarian finished with over 100,000 votes in a state-wide Georgia race.

3-4% is more realistic for libertarians in Georgia governors races, although Hunt has been a decent candidate as far as Ls go.

It's probably about 50/50 the governor's race goes to a runoff though.