Talk Elections

Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Gubernatorial/State Elections => Topic started by: free my dawg on November 03, 2014, 01:08:15 PM



Title: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: free my dawg on November 03, 2014, 01:08:15 PM
24 hours to go, make a prediction in the following areas:

Lock: Declare a winner in a competitive race
Upset: The race where you believe an underdog is most likely to win
Bold Prediction: Could be an upset, could be a prediction about the margin of victory in a certain race--something unexpected

Lock: Davis wins
Upset: Schauer over Snyder
Bold Prediction: Quinn outperforms Raimondo


Title: Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: Maxwell on November 03, 2014, 01:11:56 PM
Lock: Ducey wins
Upset: Beauprez wins
Bold Prediction: Hogan loses by only 2 points.


Title: Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: tmthforu94 on November 03, 2014, 01:29:00 PM
This is tough because so many races could go either way...

Lock: Charlie Baker wins
Upset: I may look crazy for saying this tomorrow night, but Hogan wins in Maryland
Bold Prediction: Deal wins outright, avoiding a runoff


Title: Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: IceSpear on November 03, 2014, 01:29:10 PM
Lock: Crist wins
Upset: Schauer beats Snyder
Bold Prediction: Deal cracks 50% and avoids a runoff.


Title: Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: dmmidmi on November 03, 2014, 01:37:15 PM
Lock: Charlie Baker wins in Massachusetts
Upset: Sean Parnell wins in Alaska
Bold Prediction: All major media outlets declare Charlie Crist as the winner of the Florida Gubernatorial Election before 11:00pm EST


Title: Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: sg0508 on November 03, 2014, 01:48:44 PM
Lock: Brownback is toast in KS.
Upset: Walker loses in WI; Democrats close well in WI.
Bold Prediction: Quinn wins by >5 pts in IL.


Title: Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: Mr. Smith on November 03, 2014, 02:42:57 PM
Lock: LePage loses to Michaud (Maine)
Upset: Carter beats Deal outright (Georgia)
Bold: Shaheen loses by 3 points to Haley instead of widely (South Carolina)


Title: Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: morgieb on November 03, 2014, 03:47:11 PM
Lock: Brownback loses
Upset: Synder loses to Schauer
Bold: Ricketts and Fallin get a scare, like win with margins under 10 points.


Title: Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: Dereich on November 03, 2014, 03:53:41 PM
Lock: Beauprez wins.
Upset: Scott pulls it out by 20,000 votes.
Bold Prediction: Coakley somehow ends up winning.


Title: Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: KCDem on November 03, 2014, 06:37:03 PM
Lock: Davis wins
Upset: Schauer wins
Bold Prediction: Ricketts wins by single digits


Title: Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: Bojack Horseman on November 03, 2014, 06:47:06 PM
Lock: Wolf wins
Upset: Mark Schauer wins
Bold Prediction: Mary Burke beats Scott Walker


Title: Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: IceSpear on November 03, 2014, 06:50:05 PM
Lock: Wolf wins
Upset: Mark Schauer wins
Bold Prediction: Mary Burke beats Scott Walker

It said pick a winner in a competitive race. ;)


Title: Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: Devils30 on November 03, 2014, 06:54:53 PM
Lock: Hickenlooper wins
Upset: Schauer wins
Bold pick: at least 2 races have recounts


Title: Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: Bojack Horseman on November 03, 2014, 06:59:04 PM
Lock: Paul Davis wins
Upset: Mark Schauer wins
Bold Prediction: Mary Burke beats Scott Walker

It said pick a winner in a competitive race. ;)

Fixed.


Title: Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: Frodo on November 03, 2014, 07:09:33 PM
Lock: Rick Snyder wins re-election over Mark Schauer
Upset: Mary Burke defeats Scott Walker
Bold: Nathan Deal defeats Jason Carter without having to go through a runoff


Title: Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: backtored on November 03, 2014, 07:14:50 PM
Lock: Malloy wins
Upset: Beauprez wins (is that really an upset, though?)
Bold: Snyder wins by more than 3 points.


Title: Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: Miles on November 03, 2014, 07:16:23 PM
Lock: Michaud wins ME
Upset: Coakley wins
Bold Prediction: Martinez wins by a larger margin than Udall


Title: Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: SPC on November 03, 2014, 07:17:39 PM
Lock: Scott Walker wins reelection
Upset: LePage wins reelection
Bold: Whoever prevails in Rhode Island does so by less than 2%


Title: Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: Talleyrand on November 03, 2014, 07:19:03 PM
Lock- Rick Scott wins
Upset- Brownback wins narrowly
Bold Prediction- Parnell wins fairly comfortably, with 50% or more of the vote


Title: Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: Seattle on November 03, 2014, 11:40:24 PM
Lock: Parnell wins in AK
Upset: Schauer barely beats Snyder in MI
Bold Prediction: Hassan wins by at least 10


Title: Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: TJ in Oregon on November 04, 2014, 11:16:43 AM
Lock: Walker wins
Upset: Beauprez wins
Bold Prediction: FitzGerald loses Cuyahoga County


Title: Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: New_Conservative on November 04, 2014, 11:18:41 AM
Lock: Walker wins
Upset: Fung wins
Bold Prediction: LePage wins in Maine


Title: Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: Liberalrocks on November 04, 2014, 11:23:28 AM
Lock: Hickenlooper wins
Upset: Schauer wins
Bold pick: Martha Coakley wins over 50%. Burke wins Wisconsin.


Title: Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: NHI on November 04, 2014, 11:48:24 AM
Lock: Walker Wins in WI.
Upset: Coakley wins
Bold: Hassan wins by 2-3 points.


Title: Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: Recalcuate on November 04, 2014, 12:23:32 PM
Lock: Baker beats Coakley in MA
Upset: Beuprez defeats Hickenlooper
Bold Prediction: Deal avoids the runoff in GA


Title: Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: Chaddyr23 on November 04, 2014, 02:16:26 PM
Lock: Walker wins.
Upset: Choakley wins somehow
Bold: Scott by >0.5%


Title: Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction
Post by: 🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸 on November 04, 2014, 04:24:37 PM
Lock: Baker
Upset: there aren't any I think have a majority chance of happening, but I think Burke stands a good chance
Bold: Dorman in OK will get a higher percentage than Davis in TX.