Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: KCDem on November 03, 2014, 04:16:16 PM



Title: AR: ORA: Ross + 4
Post by: KCDem on November 03, 2014, 04:16:16 PM
Ross 43%
Hutchinson 39%

http://www.scribd.com/mobile/doc/245310596

Arkansas comeback! ;)


Title: Re: AR: ORA: Ross + 4
Post by: Maxwell on November 03, 2014, 04:17:05 PM
This is one of the funniest polls of all cycle. Good one!


Title: Re: AR: ORA: Ross + 4
Post by: IceSpear on November 03, 2014, 04:19:56 PM
This is one of the funniest polls of all cycle. Good one!

Almost as funny as the internal showing Hogan ahead.


Title: Re: AR: ORA: Ross + 4
Post by: morgieb on November 03, 2014, 04:20:33 PM
wat


Title: Re: AR: ORA: Ross + 4
Post by: Bojack Horseman on November 03, 2014, 04:25:11 PM
That's about as likely as Wendy Davis' impending upset victory.


Title: Re: AR: ORA: Ross + 4
Post by: Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort on November 03, 2014, 04:26:56 PM
What do you know? KCDem posting a JUNK POLL!!


Title: Re: AR: ORA: Ross + 4
Post by: Lief 🗽 on November 03, 2014, 07:29:40 PM
This firm had Kerry tied in Arkansas in 2004. Enough said.


Title: Re: AR: ORA: Ross + 4
Post by: SWE on November 03, 2014, 07:35:50 PM
no


Title: AR: Other Source: Ross leads by 4% in outlier poll
Post by: Lief 🗽 on November 03, 2014, 08:54:12 PM
New Poll: Arkansas Governor by Other Source on 2014-11-01 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=520141101106)

Summary: D: 43%, R: 39%, I: 5%, U: 14%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.scribd.com/doc/245310596/AR-Sen-AR-Gov-Opinion-Research-Associates-for-Arkansas-Citizens-First-Congress-Nov-2014)


Title: Re: AR: ORA: Ross + 4
Post by: Cubby on November 03, 2014, 09:33:01 PM
This firm had Kerry tied in Arkansas in 2004. Enough said.

They might have changed their procedures since then. I doubt any pollsters did cell-phone polling that year.



Title: Re: AR: Other Source: Ross leads by 4% in outlier poll
Post by: IceSpear on November 03, 2014, 09:35:10 PM
New Poll: Arkansas Governor by Other Source on 2014-11-01 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=520141101106)

Summary: D: 43%, R: 39%, I: 5%, U: 14%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.scribd.com/doc/245310596/AR-Sen-AR-Gov-Opinion-Research-Associates-for-Arkansas-Citizens-First-Congress-Nov-2014)

We're really including this in the database? I think that's pretty dumb. I mean, Pryor is clearly doomed, but our final map is gonna show it as a "toss up"?


Title: Re: AR: ORA: Ross + 4
Post by: Lief 🗽 on November 03, 2014, 09:36:15 PM
New Poll: Arkansas Governor by Other Source on 2014-11-01 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=520141101106)

Summary: D: 43%, R: 39%, I: 5%, U: 14%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.scribd.com/doc/245310596/AR-Sen-AR-Gov-Opinion-Research-Associates-for-Arkansas-Citizens-First-Congress-Nov-2014)

We're really including this in the database? I think that's pretty dumb. I mean, Pryor is clearly doomed, but our final map is gonna show it as a "toss up"?

538 included it in their average. And it's a real polling firm. I don't think we should not include polls just because they're outliers.


Title: Re: AR: Other Source: Ross leads by 4% in outlier poll
Post by: KCDem on November 03, 2014, 09:41:35 PM
New Poll: Arkansas Governor by Other Source on 2014-11-01 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=520141101106)

Summary: D: 43%, R: 39%, I: 5%, U: 14%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.scribd.com/doc/245310596/AR-Sen-AR-Gov-Opinion-Research-Associates-for-Arkansas-Citizens-First-Congress-Nov-2014)

We're really including this in the database? I think that's pretty dumb. I mean, Pryor is clearly doomed, but our final map is gonna show it as a "toss up"?

Glorious news!

If the Republicans have a counter poll, let them show it :D


Title: Re: AR: ORA: Ross + 4
Post by: IceSpear on November 03, 2014, 09:43:58 PM
New Poll: Arkansas Governor by Other Source on 2014-11-01 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=520141101106)

Summary: D: 43%, R: 39%, I: 5%, U: 14%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.scribd.com/doc/245310596/AR-Sen-AR-Gov-Opinion-Research-Associates-for-Arkansas-Citizens-First-Congress-Nov-2014)

We're really including this in the database? I think that's pretty dumb. I mean, Pryor is clearly doomed, but our final map is gonna show it as a "toss up"?

538 included it in their average. And it's a real polling firm. I don't think we should not include polls just because they're outliers.

Fair enough. But I think "outlier" is probably too friendly a description for this poll. More like ridiculous fantasy. Though it would be pretty funny if they won and this poll became our new Arkansas gold standard.


Title: Re: AR: ORA: Ross + 4
Post by: MT Treasurer on March 08, 2015, 08:23:44 AM
This is one of the funniest polls of all cycle. Good one!

Almost as funny as the internal showing Hogan ahead.

Now it's funny in two senses :P


Title: Re: AR: ORA: Ross + 4
Post by: Türkisblau on March 08, 2015, 07:51:15 PM
This is one of the funniest polls of all cycle. Good one!

Almost as funny as the internal showing Hogan ahead.

Now it's funny in two senses :P

This actually a pretty amusing bump.


Title: Re: AR: ORA: Ross + 4
Post by: RINO Tom on March 24, 2015, 11:07:25 PM
This is one of the funniest polls of all cycle. Good one!

Almost as funny as the internal showing Hogan ahead.

Now it's funny in two senses :P

This actually a pretty amusing bump.

I'm late to the already late bump, but IndyRep: thank you so much for bumping this!


Title: Re: AR: ORA: Ross + 4
Post by: Kingpoleon on December 12, 2015, 12:57:14 PM
This is one of the funniest polls of all cycle. Good one!

Almost as funny as the internal showing Hogan ahead.

Fail!


Title: Re: AR: ORA: Ross + 4
Post by: Young Conservative on December 22, 2015, 01:21:38 AM
This is one of the funniest polls of all cycle. Good one!

Almost as funny as the internal showing Hogan ahead.
Oh how joyful I am that this statement was disproven Hehe