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Election Archive => 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Landslide Andy on November 03, 2014, 07:39:35 pm



Title: MI-Mitchell Research: Deadlocked
Post by: Landslide Andy on November 03, 2014, 07:39:35 pm
Snyder 47
Schauer 47

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Mitchell_MI_110314.pdf


Title: Re: MI-Mitchell Research: Deadlocked
Post by: Landslide Andy on November 03, 2014, 07:39:58 pm
Schauer is surging at just the right time!

()


Title: Re: MI-Mitchell Research: Deadlocked
Post by: Illuminati Blood Drinker on November 03, 2014, 07:42:03 pm
Fingers f[inks]ing crossed.

Now if only we could kick out Walker...:(


Title: Re: MI-Mitchell Research: Deadlocked
Post by: Lief 🐋 on November 03, 2014, 07:43:07 pm
Holy crap. I literally have no idea what to predict in Wisconsin and Michigan at the moment. I suspect we lose both by like 1% though. :(


Title: Re: MI-Mitchell Research: Deadlocked
Post by: Landslide Andy on November 03, 2014, 07:44:18 pm
Holy crap. I literally have no idea what to predict in Wisconsin and Michigan at the moment. I suspect we lose both by like 1% though. :(

I'm predicting Snyder loses and Walker wins. I'd rather have it vice versa, but I'll take what I can get...


Title: Re: MI-Mitchell Research: Deadlocked
Post by: KCDem on November 03, 2014, 07:49:52 pm
GLORIOUS NEWS!

I called it :D


Title: Re: MI-Mitchell Research: Deadlocked
Post by: Maxwell on November 03, 2014, 07:54:05 pm
After this, Snyder's gonna need a nice hot Schauer! Am I right guys?


Title: Re: MI-Mitchell Research: Deadlocked
Post by: Lief 🐋 on November 03, 2014, 07:55:40 pm
After this, Snyder's gonna need a nice hot Schauer! Am I right guys?

Damn! Respect.


Title: Re: MI-Mitchell Research: Deadlocked
Post by: KCDem on November 03, 2014, 07:57:12 pm
Blacks at only 12% of the sample? Believable? I don't think so.


Title: Re: MI-Mitchell Research: Deadlocked
Post by: Landslide Andy on November 03, 2014, 08:11:53 pm
Blacks at only 12% of the sample? Believable? I don't think so.

It was 16% in 2012, so assuming midterm dropoff, it's not completely unbelievable.

But here's what makes Snyder in really deep dookie:

Quote
Schauer has a big lead among absentee voters (57%-40%) while Snyder leads with those planning to vote tomorrow (50%-43%). The Democrats have focused on their absentee voter program and results from this poll indicate that effort has been successful.


Title: MI: Mitchell Research: Snyder and Schauer Tied at 47%
Post by: Lief 🐋 on November 03, 2014, 08:18:56 pm
New Poll: Michigan Governor by Mitchell Research on 2014-11-02 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=2620141102226)

Summary: D: 47%, R: 47%, I: 4%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Mitchell_MI_110314.pdf)


Title: Re: MI-Mitchell Research: Deadlocked
Post by: Badger on November 03, 2014, 09:02:10 pm
I'm REALLY starting to think Snyder could blow this.


Title: Re: MI-Mitchell Research: Deadlocked
Post by: Marston on November 04, 2014, 12:59:41 am
...trying not to be optimistic, but all the indicators look good. Having a GOP shill firm like Mitchell put out a tie is telling.


Title: Re: MI-Mitchell Research: Deadlocked
Post by: Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon on November 04, 2014, 01:01:36 am
I have this at Snyder >40%, rather than >50%, for a reason. I won't be surprised if Schauer pulls off the slight upset.


Title: Re: MI-Mitchell Research: Deadlocked
Post by: Marston on November 04, 2014, 02:07:22 am
It's been overshadowed by Terri Lynn Land's joke of a campaign, but Snyder actually hasn't ran a very good race at all. You can really tell he just hates retail politicking and has an aversion to conflict. He also really didn't start doing anything until September, allowing Schauer to define himself as a legitimate alternative.