Atlas Forum

Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: cinyc on November 04, 2014, 01:56:35 am



Title: NM: Survey USA: Udall +13
Post by: cinyc on November 04, 2014, 01:56:35 am
Eyewitness News 4/Survey USA New Mexico Senate Poll (http://www.kob.com/article/stories/S3609193.shtml?cat=504#.VFh1lPnF94x)
Udall 52%
Weh 39%
Undecided 9%

According to the poll, Weh leads the early and absentee vote 50-48.

The poll is almost certainly of likely voters.  The article doesn't say  how many total voters were polled (supposedly 548 polled voters already voted), poll dates or MoE.  We'll probably have to wait for SUSA to put the poll up on their website to find out.


Title: Re: NM: Survey USA: Udall +13
Post by: Maxwell on November 04, 2014, 02:01:05 am
The early and absentee vote is 52-48 Weh.

wait wat


Title: Re: NM: Survey USA: Udall +13
Post by: Landslide Andy on November 04, 2014, 02:03:50 am
I like how they take a poll with Udall ahead by double digits and somehow turn it into WEH SURGES UPSET BREWING SHOCK POLL??!?!?!?!?!?


Title: Re: NM: Survey USA: Udall +13
Post by: cinyc on November 04, 2014, 02:04:44 am

According to the article, Weh leads in the subsample of 548 early and absentee voters 50-48.  (I got the numbers wrong in the original post.  I will edit it).  According to the article, the Udall campaign says their poll shows him doing better than that among early and absentee voters.  SUSA is known for screwy crosstabs.


Title: Re: NM: Survey USA: Udall +13
Post by: Joshua on November 04, 2014, 02:19:32 am
New Mexico had a senate race this year??....


Title: Re: NM: Survey USA: Udall +13
Post by: Maxwell on November 04, 2014, 02:26:31 am
Still, if true, that's shocking. To Weh's credit though, he's better than a nobody (almost beat Martinez in the 2010 primary, ran the NM Republican Party I believe, and is a military person).


Title: Re: NM: Survey USA: Udall +13
Post by: Eraserhead on November 04, 2014, 04:25:03 am
Safe D.


Title: Re: NM: Survey USA: Udall +13
Post by: Brewer on November 04, 2014, 08:09:48 am
Nearly collapsed in shock at the sight of this thread before realizing it said NM. :(


Title: Re: NM: Survey USA: Udall +13
Post by: King on November 04, 2014, 10:03:05 am
No Weh it's true.

Seriously, Weh is the Harold Stassen of NM. Nothing to see here. He finished 2nd to Martinez in the primary in 2010 in the same sense that Dennis Kucinich finished 2nd to Kerry in 2004.


Title: NM: Survey USA: Udall with Strong Lead in New Mexico
Post by: Dave Leip on November 04, 2014, 01:15:00 pm
New Poll: New Mexico Senator by Survey USA on 2014-11-02 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=35220141102019)

Summary: D: 52%, R: 39%, I: 0%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=0ebcd253-9626-48a0-8e8a-e299794a60bd)