Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: IceSpear on November 08, 2014, 06:06:38 PM



Title: Democracy Corps: Hillary leads Romney by 6 in 2016, trails by 1 in 2014
Post by: IceSpear on November 08, 2014, 06:06:38 PM
2014 electorate:

Romney 46
Clinton 45

2016 electorate:

Clinton 48
Romney 42

()

But remember everyone, the next president is guaranteed to be a Republican because they won an election with 36% turnout!


Title: Re: Democracy Corps: Hillary leads Romney by 6 in 2016, trails by 1 in 2014
Post by: Mehmentum on November 08, 2014, 06:11:54 PM
How did they determine the 2016 electorate 2 years off?


Title: Re: Democracy Corps: Hillary leads Romney by 6 in 2016, trails by 1 in 2014
Post by: Holmes on November 09, 2014, 10:23:20 AM
How did they determine the 2016 electorate 2 years off?

They used a party ID sample that is +6 D. They used +2 R for 2014.


Title: Re: Democracy Corps: Hillary leads Romney by 6 in 2016, trails by 1 in 2014
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on November 29, 2014, 12:56:59 PM
Another dose of Romney will only help Hillary in her prez ambitions not hinder it, he was a bad candidate the last time.


Title: Re: Democracy Corps: Hillary leads Romney by 6 in 2016, trails by 1 in 2014
Post by: Likely Voter on November 29, 2014, 02:39:42 PM
I think it would be more accurate to say that Hillary leads by 6 with a 2012 electorate (D+6). Maybe 2016 will be D+6 again, maybe not. Surely it will be more favorable than the 2012 midterm but who know what the mix will be at this point. 


Title: Re: Democracy Corps: Hillary leads Romney by 6 in 2016, trails by 1 in 2014
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on November 29, 2014, 05:25:24 PM
Hilldog leads generic GOPer by five pts.


Title: Re: Democracy Corps: Hillary leads Romney by 6 in 2016, trails by 1 in 2014
Post by: Phony Moderate on November 29, 2014, 08:44:57 PM
Yes, democracy is a corpse.