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Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: ModerateVAVoter on November 13, 2014, 06:21:54 pm



Title: LA-Sen Runoff: Magellan has Cassidy up big
Post by: ModerateVAVoter on November 13, 2014, 06:21:54 pm
Cassidy (R): 56.6
Landrieu (D): 40.5

Link (https://s3.amazonaws.com/s3.documentcloud.org/documents/1360398/cassidy-survey-111214-memo.pdf)


Sorry, Miles.


Title: Re: LA-Sen Runoff: Magellan has Cassidy up big
Post by: Lief 🐋 on November 13, 2014, 06:23:27 pm
It's sort of a push poll, but yeah, looks about right. RIP, HP.


Title: Re: LA-Sen Runoff: Magellan has Cassidy up big
Post by: Landslide Andy on November 13, 2014, 06:46:36 pm
>internal
>Magellan

Maybe Landrieu can keep this within single digits after all!


Title: Re: LA-Sen Runoff: Magellan has Cassidy up big
Post by: krazen1211 on November 13, 2014, 07:39:49 pm
>internal
>Magellan

Maybe Landrieu can keep this within single digits after all!

Someone remembered that 2014 polls were skewed. Someone skewed them in the wrong direction.


As proof:

Lock: Crist wins
Upset: Schauer beats Snyder
Bold Prediction: Deal cracks 50% and avoids a runoff.



Almost as funny as the internal showing Hogan ahead.


Title: Re: LA-Sen Runoff: Magellan has Cassidy up big
Post by: Landslide Andy on November 13, 2014, 07:50:09 pm
Yeah, even in a year where polls across the board had a Democratic bias, Magellan still had a Republican bias. That should tell you something.


Title: Re: LA-Sen Runoff: Magellan has Cassidy up big
Post by: Dixie Reborn on November 13, 2014, 08:12:52 pm
Well, f**k.


Title: Re: LA-Sen Runoff: Magellan has Cassidy up big
Post by: SWE on November 13, 2014, 08:44:51 pm
Safe r


Title: Re: LA-Sen Runoff: Magellan has Cassidy up big
Post by: Flake on November 13, 2014, 08:49:35 pm
RIP, FF.


Title: Re: LA-Sen Runoff: Magellan has Cassidy up big
Post by: Recalcuate on November 13, 2014, 09:11:32 pm
All the Keystone pipelines in all of the world won't be big enough to help Mary Landrieu.


Title: Re: LA-Sen Runoff: Magellan has Cassidy up big
Post by: ○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└ on November 13, 2014, 09:13:06 pm
All the Keystone pipelines in all of the world won't be big enough to help Mary Landrieu.

"What if we approve some pipelines the oil industry hasn't asked for yet? And sell our souls to the devil? Then can Mary get some more votes?" -Senate Democrats


Title: Re: LA-Sen Runoff: Magellan has Cassidy up big
Post by: KCDem on November 13, 2014, 09:49:44 pm
 her, and  Keystone XL.


Title: LA: Magellan Strategies: Cassidy with big lead
Post by: Tender Branson on November 14, 2014, 07:13:17 am
New Poll: Louisiana Senator by Magellan Strategies on 2014-11-12 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=22220141112120)

Summary: D: 41%, R: 57%, I: 0%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://s3.amazonaws.com/s3.documentcloud.org/documents/1360398/cassidy-survey-111214-memo.pdf)


Title: Re: LA-Sen Runoff: Magellan has Cassidy up big
Post by: Maistre on November 14, 2014, 10:01:35 am
What excellent numbers for the good Doctor.


Title: Re: LA-Sen Runoff: Magellan has Cassidy up big
Post by: CapoteMonster on November 14, 2014, 10:03:01 am
All the Keystone pipelines in all of the world won't be big enough to help Mary Landrieu.

"What if we approve some pipelines the oil industry hasn't asked for yet? And sell our souls to the devil? Then can Mary get some more votes?" -Senate Democrats


Title: Re: LA-Sen Runoff: Magellan has Cassidy up big
Post by: Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee on November 15, 2014, 02:42:35 am
"I've got a pipeline, real pipes, real oil!!!" - Mary Landrieu :P

That would make one hell of an image.

Sorry Polnut. ;)


Title: Re: LA-Sen Runoff: Magellan has Cassidy up big
Post by: ElectionsGuy on November 15, 2014, 03:40:37 pm
>internal
>Magellan

Maybe Landrieu can keep this within single digits after all!

Republican internals have been the most accurate polls of the cycle


Title: Re: LA-Sen Runoff: Magellan has Cassidy up big
Post by: Chief Justice windjammer on November 15, 2014, 03:44:27 pm
RIP :(


Title: Re: LA-Sen Runoff: Magellan has Cassidy up big
Post by: Flake on November 16, 2014, 12:45:47 pm
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/224141-internal-poll-cassidy-surges-ahead-in-louisiana

This is an internal poll


Title: Re: LA-Sen Runoff: Magellan has Cassidy up big
Post by: Landslide Andy on November 18, 2014, 07:58:25 pm
>internal
>Magellan

Maybe Landrieu can keep this within single digits after all!

Republican internals have been the most accurate polls of the cycle

Not Magellan.

Anyway, you guys (deservedly) bashed the Democrats who talked about how Democratic internals should be taken at face value because of 2012, but now you're going to do the same thing in reverse?


Title: Re: LA-Sen Runoff: Magellan has Cassidy up big
Post by: ElectionsGuy on November 18, 2014, 11:07:09 pm
>internal
>Magellan

Maybe Landrieu can keep this within single digits after all!

Republican internals have been the most accurate polls of the cycle

Not Magellan.

Anyway, you guys (deservedly) bashed the Democrats who talked about how Democratic internals should be taken at face value because of 2012, but now you're going to do the same thing in reverse?

The thing is I'm referring to a fact of how bad the polls were this cycle that R internals were more accurate than many solid pollsters. The democrats that defended D internals defended it because of their result in 2012, not seeing the result of the pollsters through this cycle. I'm not defending R internals, and the internals should continue to be shameful so long as polling doesn't continue to be as disastrous (whatever bias) is it was in 2014.