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Election Archive => 2014 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: KCDem on November 19, 2014, 09:43:06 pm



Title: LA-Sen: Vox Populi: Cassidy Romping
Post by: KCDem on November 19, 2014, 09:43:06 pm
Cassidy: 53
Landrieu: 42

http://www.poppolling.com/index.php?polls-news&a=view&article_id=45#.VG0XplfF_9s

The bottom is about to fall out...


Title: Re: LA-Sen: Vox Populi: Cassidy Romping
Post by: Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon on November 19, 2014, 09:45:51 pm
This is closer than Gravis and Magellan. Interesting....

If only we could get a real pollster here....


Title: Re: LA-Sen: Vox Populi: Cassidy Romping
Post by: Lief 🐋 on November 19, 2014, 09:48:35 pm
Vox Populi is the gold standard now. This looks about right.


Title: Re: LA-Sen: Vox Populi: Cassidy Romping
Post by: Landslide Andy on November 19, 2014, 10:08:52 pm
Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?


Title: Re: LA-Sen: Vox Populi: Cassidy Romping
Post by: Joshua on November 20, 2014, 12:49:46 am
I think it will either be:

Cassidy between 55 and 60
Landrieu between 40 and 45

OR

An exact tie where no one gets 50%+1, triggering another runoff.


Title: LA: Vox Populi Polling: Cassidy+11
Post by: Tender Branson on November 20, 2014, 02:17:24 am
New Poll: Louisiana Senator by Vox Populi Polling on 2014-11-17 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2014/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=22220141117229)

Summary: D: 42%, R: 53%, I: 0%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.poppolling.com/useruploads/files/la_runoff_topline_.pdf)


Title: Re: LA-Sen: Vox Populi: Cassidy Romping
Post by: ElectionsGuy on November 20, 2014, 04:15:46 pm
I think it will either be:

Cassidy between 55 and 60
Landrieu between 40 and 45

OR

An exact tie where no one gets 50%+1, triggering another runoff.


()


Title: Re: LA-Sen: Vox Populi: Cassidy Romping
Post by: krazen1211 on November 24, 2014, 09:48:54 pm
Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.


Title: Re: LA-Sen: Vox Populi: Cassidy Romping
Post by: Landslide Andy on November 25, 2014, 01:29:12 am
Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.

Vox Populi was right? I must've missed when Allen Weh, Scott Brown, and Walt Havenstein won.


Title: Re: LA-Sen: Vox Populi: Cassidy Romping
Post by: Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon on November 25, 2014, 02:59:00 am
Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.

Vox Populi was right? I must've missed when Allen Weh, Scott Brown, and Walt Havenstein won.
It didn't  say Allen weh would win, just said he would make it a 6 point race.


Title: Re: LA-Sen: Vox Populi: Cassidy Romping
Post by: look, fat on November 25, 2014, 03:01:20 am
Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.

Vox Populi was right? I must've missed when Allen Weh, Scott Brown, and Walt Havenstein won.
It didn't  say Allen weh would win, just said he would make it a 6 point race.
Yeah, IceSpear is thinking of Wehby.


Title: Re: LA-Sen: Vox Populi: Cassidy Romping
Post by: Landslide Andy on November 25, 2014, 03:05:04 am
Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.

Vox Populi was right? I must've missed when Allen Weh, Scott Brown, and Walt Havenstein won.
It didn't  say Allen weh would win, just said he would make it a 6 point race.
Yeah, IceSpear is thinking of Wehby.

Oh yeah, you're right.

Well that just makes them look even worse. ;)


Title: Re: LA-Sen: Vox Populi: Cassidy Romping
Post by: krazen1211 on November 25, 2014, 07:55:39 am
Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.

Vox Populi was right? I must've missed when Allen Weh, Scott Brown, and Walt Havenstein won.

They were about some races at least, where PPP was not. See the Virginia poll that I believe you derided.


Title: Re: LA-Sen: Vox Populi: Cassidy Romping
Post by: Tender Branson on November 25, 2014, 08:13:22 am
Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.

Vox Populi was right? I must've missed when Allen Weh, Scott Brown, and Walt Havenstein won.

They were about some races at least, where PPP was not. See the Virginia poll that I believe you derided.

Folks:

NO multi-state pollster was really good in 2014.

Maybe it was the low turnout of 36-38% or something else, I don't know ...


Title: Re: LA-Sen: Vox Populi: Cassidy Romping
Post by: Landslide Andy on November 25, 2014, 05:11:33 pm
Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.

Vox Populi was right? I must've missed when Allen Weh, Scott Brown, and Walt Havenstein won.

They were about some races at least, where PPP was not. See the Virginia poll that I believe you derided.

Their final NH, CO, AK, CT, and MA polls were good.


Title: Re: LA-Sen: Vox Populi: Cassidy Romping
Post by: Landslide Andy on November 25, 2014, 05:13:29 pm
Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.

Vox Populi was right? I must've missed when Allen Weh, Scott Brown, and Walt Havenstein won.

They were about some races at least, where PPP was not. See the Virginia poll that I believe you derided.

Folks:

NO multi-state pollster was really good in 2014.

Maybe it was the low turnout of 36-38% or something else, I don't know ...

This is also true.


Title: Re: LA-Sen: Vox Populi: Cassidy Romping
Post by: Lief 🐋 on December 06, 2014, 11:36:23 pm
Told you guys Vox Populi was the new gold standard. They absolutely nailed it.


Title: Re: LA-Sen: Vox Populi: Cassidy Romping
Post by: Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon on December 06, 2014, 11:42:56 pm
Told you guys Vox Populi was the new gold standard. They absolutely nailed it.

If you assume undecideds broke 80% for Cassidy.....

Vox Populi was good in some races this year, bad in others. I'll stop treating them as complete junk as I did before Nov. 4, but they're no Marquette.


Title: Re: LA-Sen: Vox Populi: Cassidy Romping
Post by: Lief 🐋 on December 07, 2014, 12:11:15 am
The final result was 56-44, or +12. So Vox was only 1% off.


Title: Re: LA-Sen: Vox Populi: Cassidy Romping
Post by: Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon on December 07, 2014, 12:13:59 am
The final result was 56-44, or +12. So Vox was only 1% off.
I was speaking in terms of actual percentages in the poll, not the margin.


Title: Re: LA-Sen: Vox Populi: Cassidy Romping
Post by: krazen1211 on December 30, 2014, 10:50:46 pm
Great poll!