Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Past Election What-ifs (US) => Topic started by: TommyC1776 on April 17, 2005, 11:52:25 AM



Title: 1972 w/ George Wallace as the Dem
Post by: TommyC1776 on April 17, 2005, 11:52:25 AM
(Same question as in the Ted Kennedy as the Dem post.)  Would Wallace do well in the 1972 election against Nixon?


Title: Re: 1972 w/ George Wallace as the Dem
Post by: TommyC1776 on April 17, 2005, 11:53:38 AM
I'd assume that he'd win some southern states if he was the nominee that year.


Title: Re: 1972 w/ George Wallace as the Dem
Post by: TommyC1776 on April 19, 2005, 01:40:07 PM
Could I see a map for this?


Title: Re: 1972 w/ George Wallace as the Dem
Post by: YRABNNRM on April 19, 2005, 08:23:35 PM

()


Title: Re: 1972 w/ George Wallace as the Dem
Post by: J. J. on April 19, 2005, 09:05:29 PM
He might have done better than McGovern, winning AL, MS, and maybe GA, SC, and NC.

Nixon might have been the first Republican to win DC and I'd expect MA to go to him.


Title: Re: 1972 w/ George Wallace as the Dem
Post by: TommyC1776 on April 20, 2005, 07:57:56 PM

lol


Title: Re: 1972 w/ George Wallace as the Dem
Post by: Emsworth on April 20, 2005, 08:42:19 PM
The election may have had some somewhat important long-term effects, as well, since Nixon's "Southern Strategy" and "states rights" ideas would have been much less significant. Naturally, Nixon would still have won in a landslide.


Title: Re: 1972 w/ George Wallace as the Dem
Post by: TommyC1776 on April 20, 2005, 09:19:58 PM
can I see a map?


Title: Re: 1972 w/ George Wallace as the Dem
Post by: Beet on April 20, 2005, 09:33:50 PM
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Title: Re: 1972 w/ George Wallace as the Dem
Post by: Ebowed on April 21, 2005, 10:54:08 PM
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Nixon - 405
Wallace - 133


Title: Re: 1972 w/ George Wallace as the Dem
Post by: TommyC1776 on April 22, 2005, 01:35:57 PM

u think Wallace would win Michigan?


Title: Re: 1972 w/ George Wallace as the Dem
Post by: M on May 15, 2005, 02:13:43 AM
Presumably based on the fact that Wallace did win Michigan and Indiana in the primary. Ironically, though, this is because the "Southerners" in those states were still mainly conservative Democrats, the Midwestern types leaned Republican. Blacks will not vote for Wallace.

I agree with thefactor, except Mass and DC will go for Nixon, becasue of voter apathy.


Title: Re: 1972 w/ George Wallace as the Dem
Post by: Ronald Reagan on June 22, 2005, 08:50:41 PM
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Wallace - 17
Nixon - 521

Wallace only weakened certain places and I was pretty nice to Wallace.  This is the better looking outlook for Wallace.


Title: Re: 1972 w/ George Wallace as the Dem
Post by: Max Power on June 22, 2005, 09:12:12 PM
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Wallace wins the south (excluding Missouri and Kentucky).

Kennedy makes an independent run with Scoop Jackson as his running mate. He wins Illinois, New Jersey, Massachusetts, New York, and Minnesota.

Nixon wins the rest, and wins the election.


Title: Re: 1972 w/ George Wallace as the Dem
Post by: Speed of Sound on June 22, 2005, 09:28:05 PM
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Wallace wins the south (excluding Missouri and Kentucky).

Kennedy makes an independent run with Scoop Jackson as his running mate. He wins Illinois, New Jersey, Massachusetts, New York, and Minnesota.

Nixon wins the rest, and wins the election.
interesting


Title: Re: 1972 w/ George Wallace as the Dem
Post by: Ebowed on June 23, 2005, 04:19:25 AM
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Wallace - 17
Nixon - 521

Wallace only weakened certain places and I was pretty nice to Wallace.  This is the better looking outlook for Wallace.
Wallace wouldn't win Alabama and Mississippi?  ::)


Title: Re: 1972 w/ George Wallace as the Dem
Post by: Ronald Reagan on June 23, 2005, 08:54:39 AM
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Wallace - 17
Nixon - 521

Wallace only weakened certain places and I was pretty nice to Wallace.  This is the better looking outlook for Wallace.
Wallace wouldn't win Alabama and Mississippi?  ::)
No, he could weaken them, but not win them.


Title: Re: 1972 w/ George Wallace as the Dem
Post by: Alcon on June 24, 2005, 06:36:20 AM
Off topic Spl, but Dennis Kucinich is likely to get the 2008 Democratic nomination?  I assume you are joking.


Title: Re: 1972 w/ George Wallace as the Dem
Post by: Ronald Reagan on June 24, 2005, 08:39:24 AM
Off topic Spl, but Dennis Kucinich is likely to get the 2008 Democratic nomination?  I assume you are joking.

Not really, he is a contender, but not likely.  He had his shot in '00.  I went to a website.  And it showed possible candidates in '08.  So I picked the most Conservative and most Liberal off the list.  I doubt either party will vote for a Moderate.  The ones with stars are the farthest Right or Left.


Title: Re: 1972 w/ George Wallace as the Dem
Post by: Alcon on June 24, 2005, 08:33:41 PM
Off topic Spl, but Dennis Kucinich is likely to get the 2008 Democratic nomination?  I assume you are joking.

Not really, he is a contender, but not likely.  He had his shot in '00.  I went to a website.  And it showed possible candidates in '08.  So I picked the most Conservative and most Liberal off the list.  I doubt either party will vote for a Moderate.  The ones with stars are the farthest Right or Left.

Well, yes, but Kucinich received about 1% of the primary vote in 2000 if I recall.  The party isn't going to nominate a Congressman, and Kucinich is even more liberal than the vast majority of primary voters.


Title: Re: 1972 w/ George Wallace as the Dem
Post by: Lincoln Republican on June 25, 2005, 11:00:07 AM
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Nixon         523
Wallace        15

Nixon was going to win a landslide of historic proportions in 1972 regardless of who the Democratic nominee was.  A weak presidential candidate like Wallace would further strengthen Nixon's already tremendous lead.   What became known as the Watergate Scandal was not even heard of by 99.99% of Americans before the 1972 election.

There is no way that any states outside of Alabama and Mississippi would give their electoral votes to Wallace, at one time an avowed racist and segregtionist, although by 1972 was trying to reform his name.

Not even dependable Democratic states like Massachusetts and Rhode Island would have gone for Wallace, and for the first time in history, I belive DC would have gone Republican.  There is no way the predominantly African American voters in DC would give their votes to Wallace.       


Title: Re: 1972 w/ George Wallace as the Dem
Post by: 7,052,770 on July 01, 2005, 07:23:31 PM
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DC would vote for the D, no matter what.


Title: Re: 1972 w/ George Wallace as the Dem
Post by: Lincoln Republican on July 05, 2005, 06:05:52 PM

You are being extremely generous to Wallace, either that, or very kind.

Why do you think DC, overwhelmingly African American, would give their votes to Wallace, a one time avowed racist and segregationist?

Just curious.


Title: Re: 1972 w/ George Wallace as the Dem
Post by: Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck on July 07, 2005, 08:21:35 PM
They wouldn't, Wallace wins Alabama and Mississippi and that's it.