|
Title: Quinnipiac national poll: D: Clinton 56% Warren 14%; R: Walker 18% Bush 16% Post by: Mr. Morden on March 05, 2015, 06:06:47 AM Quinnipiac national poll:
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2172 Dems Clinton 56% Warren 14% Biden 10% Sanders 4% Webb 1% O'Malley 0% GOP Walker 18% Bush 16% Christie 8% Huckabee 8% Carson 7% Cruz 6% Paul 6% Rubio 5% Jindal 2% Santorum 2% Graham 1% Kasich 1% Perry 1% Title: Re: Quinnipiac national poll: D: Clinton 56% Warren 14%; R: Walker 18% Bush 16% Post by: Mr. Morden on March 05, 2015, 06:16:51 AM Dems, if Clinton doesn't run:
Biden 35% Warren 25% Sanders 7% Webb 3% O'Malley 1% On the GOP side, who leads among….? Tea Party: Walker white born again Evangelicals: Walker very conservative: Walker somewhat conservative: Bush moderate: Bush men: Walker women: Bush Are there any candidates you would definitely *NOT* support? Dems Biden 10% O'Malley 8% Webb 7% Clinton 5% Sanders 5% Warren 4% GOP Bush 16% Christie 16% Paul 9% Cruz 6% Graham 6% Huckabee 6% Perry 6% Santorum 4% Jindal 3% Rubio 3% Carson 2% Kasich 2% Walker 2% Title: Re: Quinnipiac national poll: D: Clinton 56% Warren 14%; R: Walker 18% Bush 16% Post by: IceSpear on March 05, 2015, 03:57:53 PM How long do the media and the pollsters intend to keep up this ridiculous farce? Title: Re: Quinnipiac national poll: D: Clinton 56% Warren 14%; R: Walker 18% Bush 16% Post by: IceSpear on March 05, 2015, 03:59:41 PM LOL! Numbers like these are why Hillary got Mikulski to retire. ;) Also, I love how Webb and O'Malley are higher on the "do not support" ranking despite having much lower name recognition than Hillary. #DemshateHillary #2008redux #HillaryvulnerabletoGreens Title: Re: Quinnipiac national poll: D: Clinton 56% Warren 14%; R: Walker 18% Bush 16% Post by: An American Tail: Fubart Goes West on March 05, 2015, 05:00:47 PM How long do the media and the pollsters intend to keep up this ridiculous farce? November 7th, 2016 Title: Re: Quinnipiac national poll: D: Clinton 56% Warren 14%; R: Walker 18% Bush 16% Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on March 05, 2015, 05:49:00 PM Clinton at only 56%.
#BidenMentum #WarrenMentum #2008Redux Title: Re: Quinnipiac national poll: D: Clinton 56% Warren 14%; R: Walker 18% Bush 16% Post by: Potus on March 05, 2015, 06:14:05 PM On the GOP side, who leads among….? Tea Party: Walker white born again Evangelicals: Walker very conservative: Walker somewhat conservative: Bush moderate: Bush men: Walker women: Bush ^This is very true. Title: Re: Quinnipiac national poll: D: Clinton 56% Warren 14%; R: Walker 18% Bush 16% Post by: Mr. Morden on March 05, 2015, 10:27:45 PM Running trendline for all national polls of the GOP race:
() Title: Re: Quinnipiac national poll: D: Clinton 56% Warren 14%; R: Walker 18% Bush 16% Post by: Mr. Illini on March 07, 2015, 04:14:48 PM How long do the media and the pollsters intend to keep up this ridiculous farce? You sound uneasy. Title: Re: Quinnipiac national poll: D: Clinton 56% Warren 14%; R: Walker 18% Bush 16% Post by: IceSpear on March 07, 2015, 04:37:02 PM How long do the media and the pollsters intend to keep up this ridiculous farce? You sound uneasy. Yes, I'm very uneasy that Hillary only leads someone who isn't going to run by 42 points. You caught me! ::) No, I'm just annoyed at the blatant double standard. In 99% of polls, only candidates who have shown interest in a run (or at the very least, have not explicitly ruled it out) are included. Elizabeth Warren is the only exception to this. It's just more proof of the media's grudge against Hillary and their desperation in trying to create a competitive primary. Of course, as someone who also likes accurate polls, it's annoying on that point as well. If they continually include someone who isn't going to run in their polls, it's hard to get a sense of the actual state of the race. I guess it really doesn't matter whether she's leading by 35 or 60 points since she's already the nominee, but it would still be interesting to see. I would figure a forum of election/map/polling geeks would agree with me on that point. It would be like if Strickland said he wasn't going to run, and rather than testing Sittenfeld against Portman, every pollster only tested Strickland every single time. Title: Re: Quinnipiac national poll: D: Clinton 56% Warren 14%; R: Walker 18% Bush 16% Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on March 07, 2015, 08:57:51 PM How long do the media and the pollsters intend to keep up this ridiculous farce? You sound uneasy. Yes, I'm very uneasy that Hillary only leads someone who isn't going to run by 42 points. You caught me! ::) No, I'm just annoyed at the blatant double standard. In 99% of polls, only candidates who have shown interest in a run (or at the very least, have not explicitly ruled it out) are included. Elizabeth Warren is the only exception to this. It's just more proof of the media's grudge against Hillary and their desperation in trying to create a competitive primary. Of course, as someone who also likes accurate polls, it's annoying on that point as well. If they continually include someone who isn't going to run in their polls, it's hard to get a sense of the actual state of the race. I guess it really doesn't matter whether she's leading by 35 or 60 points since she's already the nominee, but it would still be interesting to see. I would figure a forum of election/map/polling geeks would agree with me on that point. It would be like if Strickland said he wasn't going to run, and rather than testing Sittenfeld against Portman, every pollster only tested Strickland every single time. The whole idea of why the media doesn't believe Warren has ruled out running is, 1) The massive grassroots 'Draft Warren' effort isn't giving up anytime soon, 2) Warren was drafted to run for Senate, it wasn't something she was convinced into doing by herself, 3) Clinton needs a strong primary challenger to help prepare her for the general after nearly 7 years of no campaigning, and 4) Warren does not strive to keep a low profile as a senator. Title: Re: Quinnipiac national poll: D: Clinton 56% Warren 14%; R: Walker 18% Bush 16% Post by: Mr. Morden on March 07, 2015, 09:08:48 PM Like I said before, Warren should do what Christie did in 2011 to get the media to finally believe that he wasn't running: After months of denials of interest, flip-flop and say "OK, I'll think about it. I'll give you an answer next week." Then the following week, make the announcement: "OK, I thought about it. And I'm not running." That was what got everyone to finally believe that he wasn't running, and caused his share price in the betting markets to crash to [near] zero.
Title: Re: Quinnipiac national poll: D: Clinton 56% Warren 14%; R: Walker 18% Bush 16% Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on March 07, 2015, 09:17:00 PM Like I said before, Warren should do what Christie did in 2011 to get the media to finally believe that he wasn't running: After months of denials of interest, flip-flop and say "OK, I'll think about it. I'll give you an answer next week." Then the following week, make the announcement: "OK, I thought about it. And I'm not running." That was what got everyone to finally believe that he wasn't running, and caused his share price in the betting markets to crash to [near] zero. Warren, on the other hand, has not indicated any problem she has with a nominee Clinton, has pretty much come as close as you can to making a Sherman statement ("I will resign immediately if elected") without making one, and has said "No" from the very first time she was asked about it (without ever saying something less certain, or even using the traditional "never say never, but probably no", nope, just plain old "No."). Title: Re: Quinnipiac national poll: D: Clinton 56% Warren 14%; R: Walker 18% Bush 16% Post by: Mr. Morden on March 07, 2015, 10:10:44 PM Like I said before, Warren should do what Christie did in 2011 to get the media to finally believe that he wasn't running: After months of denials of interest, flip-flop and say "OK, I'll think about it. I'll give you an answer next week." Then the following week, make the announcement: "OK, I thought about it. And I'm not running." That was what got everyone to finally believe that he wasn't running, and caused his share price in the betting markets to crash to [near] zero. Warren, on the other hand, has not indicated any problem she has with a nominee Clinton, has pretty much come as close as you can to making a Sherman statement ("I will resign immediately if elected") without making one, and has said "No" from the very first time she was asked about it (without ever saying something less certain, or even using the traditional "never say never, but probably no", nope, just plain old "No."). Right. Christie really considered. But Warren could make a show of considering it. She could pretend to consider it, and then say "No, sorry, the answer is still no", and that would provide a sharp breaking point for everyone to stop considering her. Otherwise, people will remain uncertain about when to give up on her, and there'll just be a slow tapering off of interest in pretending she might run, with no clearly defined end point. Title: Re: Quinnipiac national poll: D: Clinton 56% Warren 14%; R: Walker 18% Bush 16% Post by: RFayette on March 09, 2015, 07:04:21 PM On the GOP side, who leads among….? Tea Party: Walker white born again Evangelicals: Walker very conservative: Walker somewhat conservative: Bush moderate: Bush men: Walker women: Bush Um, no? Granted I'm a big Walker-hack but I don't see it: 1) Walker has lower name-recognition than Bush and still leads him. 2) Bush has high negatives w/ the GOP base. 3) Bush's last name cancels out an "electability" argument whereas Walker has a somewhat strong case. |