Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: RI on June 04, 2015, 10:25:50 AM



Title: NC: Public Policy Polling: Clinton leads all except ties Walker and Paul
Post by: RI on June 04, 2015, 10:25:50 AM
New Poll: North Carolina President by Public Policy Polling on 2015-05-31 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=3720150531108)

Summary: D: 46%, R: 43%, U: 11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_60415.pdf)

Clinton 47, Bush 40
Clinton 46, Carson 44
Clinton 45, Walker 45
Clinton 44, Paul 44
Clinton 45, Rubio 44
Clinton 46, Huckabee 44
Clinton 46, Fiorina 40
Clinton 49, Cruz 42
Clinton 43, Christie 40


Title: Re: NC: Public Policy Polling: Clinton leads all except ties Walker and Paul
Post by: RFayette on June 04, 2015, 10:28:40 AM
Walker's polling has been getting better lately.  I wonder what the cause is.


Title: Re: NC: Public Policy Polling: Clinton leads all except ties Walker and Paul
Post by: mds32 on June 04, 2015, 10:31:21 AM
Reasonable


Title: Re: NC: Public Policy Polling: Clinton leads all except ties Walker and Paul
Post by: Landslide Lyndon on June 04, 2015, 11:19:47 AM
Walker's polling has been getting better lately.  I wonder what the cause is.

He stopped talking.


Title: Re: NC: Public Policy Polling: Clinton leads all except ties Walker and Paul
Post by: Miles on June 04, 2015, 11:27:55 AM
But, but the Senate numbers weren't good for Hillary!!


Title: Re: NC: Public Policy Polling: Clinton leads all except ties Walker and Paul
Post by: Skye on June 04, 2015, 12:06:54 PM
Not bad. Seems about right. But damn Jeb, step up your game.


Title: Re: NC: Public Policy Polling: Clinton leads all except ties Walker and Paul
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on June 05, 2015, 07:30:57 AM
The GOP will win NC.


Title: Re: NC: Public Policy Polling: Clinton leads all except ties Walker and Paul
Post by: Ebsy on June 05, 2015, 05:47:40 PM
Clinton would be stupid not to spend money and time in the state. She doesn't have to win it, just contest it vigorously.

Definitely severely underwhelmed with Bush's numbers in nearly every state.


Title: Re: NC: Public Policy Polling: Clinton leads all except ties Walker and Paul
Post by: Holmes on June 20, 2015, 10:57:33 PM

That's bold of you to say.


Title: Re: NC: Public Policy Polling: Clinton leads all except ties Walker and Paul
Post by: Maxwell on June 21, 2015, 01:44:18 AM
Walker's polling has been getting better lately.  I wonder what the cause is.

Probably because poll numbers this far out are kind of inconsistent (because most people aren't paying attention yet to the Presidential election).

But looking at the crosstabs, which are always suspect, gives you some inclination on the difference of appeal between Paul and Walker. Paul is the only candidate who leads among Independents, where he beats Hillary 42-39. Walker does better than most in that category, but still trails Hillary by the same three point margin (43-40). Walker, however, does better with Republicans and Democrats, implying that he does pick up conservacrats and conservative Republicans that Rand is not picking up for some reason.

This is early though, so I obviously can't draw these conclusions with a straight face. Instead I'll just draw them with a troll face.


Title: Re: NC: Public Policy Polling: Clinton leads all except ties Walker and Paul
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on June 21, 2015, 10:42:30 AM
NC will be close, but it will go narrowly, like FL to Jeb.


Title: Re: NC: Public Policy Polling: Clinton leads all except ties Walker and Paul
Post by: Skill and Chance on June 21, 2015, 11:27:25 AM
Sanders (D): 33%
Walker (R): 43%

Chafee (D): 29%
Walker (R): 42%

Webb (D): 31%
Walker (R): 42%

OMalley (D): 28%
Walker (R): 44%  (lol)



Any non Cruz/Santorum level R would get >20% of the black vote against O'Malley after the Baltimore police corruption ads run.  It would be particularly dramatic in NC and some of the effect is probably already showing up here.