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Title: NV-PPP for Democratic PAC: Masto (D) leads Heck (R) by 1. Post by: Senator Cris on July 15, 2015, 03:05:55 PM Masto (D) 42%
Heck (R) 41% http://origin.ralstonreports.com/blog/democratic-poll-shows-nevada-senate-race-dead-heat-hillary-state Title: Re: NV-PPP for Democratic PAC: Masto (D) leads Heck (R) by 1. Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on July 15, 2015, 03:15:52 PM Much better than that R poll that had her down by 15.
Title: Re: NV-PPP for Democratic PAC: Masto (D) leads Heck (R) by 1. Post by: RogueBeaver on July 15, 2015, 03:47:57 PM If they're doing internal polls, will we have any real ones from them?
Title: Re: NV-PPP for Democratic PAC: Masto (D) leads Heck (R) by 1. Post by: Gass3268 on July 15, 2015, 03:53:17 PM Excellent, Lean D. All the Hillary voters will come to Masto.
Title: Re: NV-PPP for Democratic PAC: Masto (D) leads Heck (R) by 1. Post by: ElectionsGuy on July 15, 2015, 04:12:59 PM I wish we can get decent polls here.
Excellent, Lean D. All the Hillary voters will come to Masto. I hope you're joking. Title: Re: NV-PPP for Democratic PAC: Masto (D) leads Heck (R) by 1. Post by: windjammer on July 15, 2015, 04:42:27 PM If they're doing internal polls, will we have any real ones from them? Title: Re: NV-PPP for Democratic PAC: Masto (D) leads Heck (R) by 1. Post by: Gass3268 on July 15, 2015, 06:16:30 PM I wish we can get decent polls here. Excellent, Lean D. All the Hillary voters will come to Masto. I hope you're joking. Half joking Title: Re: NV-PPP for Democratic PAC: Masto (D) leads Heck (R) by 1. Post by: Fuzzybigfoot on July 15, 2015, 07:50:16 PM Democrats always seem to under-poll in Nevada, so if the polls say "tied race" it probably won't be.
Title: Re: NV-PPP for Democratic PAC: Masto (D) leads Heck (R) by 1. Post by: Maxwell on July 15, 2015, 08:07:40 PM Democrats always seem to under-poll in Nevada, so if the polls say "tied race" it probably won't be. Never say always (http://www.reviewjournal.com/politics/national/poll-shows-lowden-would-beat-hutchison-nevada-lieutenant-governor-s-race) Assuming polling bias will ALWAYS make you look like an arse. Title: Re: NV-PPP for Democratic PAC: Masto (D) leads Heck (R) by 1. Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on July 15, 2015, 09:00:46 PM The GOP would have won this race with Reid. But, CCM is a very formiable opponent.
Title: Re: NV-PPP for Democratic PAC: Masto (D) leads Heck (R) by 1. Post by: Fuzzybigfoot on July 15, 2015, 11:22:29 PM Democrats always seem to under-poll in Nevada, so if the polls say "tied race" it probably won't be. Never say always (http://www.reviewjournal.com/politics/national/poll-shows-lowden-would-beat-hutchison-nevada-lieutenant-governor-s-race) Assuming polling bias will ALWAYS make you look like an arse. I meant the day before the election (and yes, polling 16 months out is also useless). Title: Re: NV-PPP for Democratic PAC: Masto (D) leads Heck (R) by 1. Post by: free my dawg on July 15, 2015, 11:29:02 PM So basically it confirms what we all knew.
Title: Re: NV-PPP for Democratic PAC: Masto (D) leads Heck (R) by 1. Post by: ElectionsGuy on July 16, 2015, 12:34:45 AM I wish we can get decent polls here. Excellent, Lean D. All the Hillary voters will come to Masto. I hope you're joking. Half joking At least say declaring it Lean D when a Democratic poll finds the margin within error is absurd. Title: Re: NV-PPP for Democratic PAC: Masto (D) leads Heck (R) by 1. Post by: Senator Cris on July 16, 2015, 04:05:35 AM Democrats always seem to under-poll in Nevada, so if the polls say "tied race" it probably won't be. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/co/colorado_senate_gardner_vs_udall-3845.html Title: Re: NV-PPP for Democratic PAC: Masto (D) leads Heck (R) by 1. Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on July 16, 2015, 09:57:40 AM Clinton isnt gonna make the same mistake as Obama, and leave immigration reform up to Boehner. She will aggressively persue reform efforts during the campaign, giving CCM a lift.
Title: Re: NV-PPP for Democratic PAC: Masto (D) leads Heck (R) by 1. Post by: Xing on July 17, 2015, 07:27:32 PM Democrats always seem to under-poll in Nevada, so if the polls say "tied race" it probably won't be. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/co/colorado_senate_gardner_vs_udall-3845.html (Gardner actually won by 1.9, not 2.5) True, there was no Republican bias in polling of the 2014 Colorado Senate race, but that was in a year when most polls had a noticeable Democratic bias. The Republican bias in Colorado and Nevada polling in 2010 and 2012 was larger than in most states. So, while it isn't a safe assumption that polling in 2016 in these states will have a Republican bias, it's not an unfounded assumption. Title: NV: Public Policy Polling: Close Race for Nevada Senate Post by: ElectionAtlas on July 27, 2015, 08:11:10 PM New Poll: Nevada Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2015-07-14 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=32320150714108)
Summary: D: 42%, R: 41%, I: 0%, U: 17% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://b.3cdn.net/maj2012/16a0ab98f6fa650c7c_iym6bn8u9.pdf) |