Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls => Topic started by: Lyin' Steve on September 30, 2015, 11:34:58 AM



Title: USAT/Suffolk National
Post by: Lyin' Steve on September 30, 2015, 11:34:58 AM
Trump 23
Fiorina 13
Carson 13
Rubio 9
Bush 8
Cruz 6
Kasich 2
Huckabee 2
Paul 2
Christie 1
Jindal 1
Graham 1
Pataki 0
Santorum 0
Gilmore 0
Undecided: 18

RCP has a real problem including polls with and without the undecided option in the same average. i.e. if Trump has 30% of the electorate, one poll has him at 30 with no undecideds, and the other has him at 22.5 with 25% undecided, it’s the same ratio but it looks like a huge dip.


Title: Re: USAT/Suffolk National
Post by: Donald Trump 2016 ! on September 30, 2015, 11:41:34 AM
This looks right. Thought that Christie would be a little higher than 1% though.


Title: Re: USAT/Suffolk National
Post by: Lyin' Steve on September 30, 2015, 12:14:43 PM
All of them should be a little higher because of the 18% undecideds. 


Title: Re: USAT/Suffolk National
Post by: Mr. Morden on September 30, 2015, 12:39:04 PM
Full results given here:

http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/9_30_2015_marginals.pdf

Updated trendlines from all national polls:

()


Title: Re: USAT/Suffolk National
Post by: Mehmentum on September 30, 2015, 01:20:13 PM
1: Trump
2: Carson & Fiorina
3: Rubio, Bush & Cruz
4: The Rest.


Title: Re: USAT/Suffolk National
Post by: Mr. Morden on September 30, 2015, 01:44:31 PM
This is part of a larger poll of the general electorate, and they included questions about various candidates, asking respondents to give one word that best describes Trump and Fiorina.  Here are the top responses:

Trump:
idiot/jerk/stupid/dumb 10%
arrogant 6%
crazy/nuts 6%
buffoon/clown/comical/joke 5%
unfavorable/dislike him 4%
egotistical/narcissist/selfish 4%

Fiorina:
smart/intelligent/knowledgeable 10%
dishonest/liar/untrustworthy 6%
strong/tough 5%
favorable/okay/like 5%
idiot/evil/joke/cold 4%
unfavorable/dislike 3%


Title: Re: USAT/Suffolk National
Post by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on September 30, 2015, 02:37:19 PM
Wow, only 6 candidate above 2%.


Title: Re: USAT/Suffolk National
Post by: Why on September 30, 2015, 10:54:46 PM
1: Trump
2: Carson & Fiorina
3: Rubio, Bush & Cruz
4: The Rest.

Something like that, although Cruz probably could be put below Rubio and Bush on a level by himself.


Title: Re: USAT/Suffolk National
Post by: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on September 30, 2015, 11:25:48 PM
1: Trump
2: Carson & Fiorina
3: Rubio, Bush & Cruz
4: The Rest.

Something like that, although Cruz probably could be put below Rubio and Bush on a level by himself.

Yup - it's not just polling but relative performance, which is why Bush needs a ranking all to himself


Title: Re: USAT/Suffolk National
Post by: Why on October 01, 2015, 07:09:17 AM
1: Trump
2: Carson & Fiorina
3: Rubio, Bush & Cruz
4: The Rest.

Something like that, although Cruz probably could be put below Rubio and Bush on a level by himself.

Yup - it's not just polling but relative performance, which is why Bush needs a ranking all to himself

That is not what I said.


Title: Re: USAT/Suffolk National
Post by: A Perez on October 01, 2015, 09:57:24 AM
The democratic is due at noon.


Title: Re: USAT/Suffolk National
Post by: Gallium on October 01, 2015, 11:59:22 AM
Dem numbers:

Clinton 41%
Sanders 23%
Biden 20%
Chafee 1%
Webb, O'Malley, Lessig 0%

So Chafee would have finally qualified for the Democratic debate even without CNN's rule change. Lessig meanwhile...


Title: Re: USAT/Suffolk National
Post by: / on October 01, 2015, 12:00:35 PM
Dem numbers:

Clinton 41%
Sanders 23%
Biden 20%
Chafee 1%
Webb, O'Malley, Lessig 0%

So Chafee would have finally qualified for the Democratic debate even without CNN's rule change. Lessig meanwhile...

Congratulations to Webb and O'Malley for doing worse than Chafee.


Title: Re: USAT/Suffolk National
Post by: The Other Castro on October 01, 2015, 12:10:45 PM
Lessig got 0.46%. Close, but no cigar.


Title: Re: USAT/Suffolk National
Post by: Mr. Morden on October 01, 2015, 12:36:47 PM
()

Note that the "candidate in a word" thing is for all voters, but the primary matchup #s are for Democratic primary voters only.


Title: Re: USAT/Suffolk National
Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on June 16, 2016, 11:04:52 PM
Fiorina is in 2nd!!!!