Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: Tender Branson on November 18, 2015, 11:46:00 AM



Title: FL-Florida Atlantic University: Hillary trails by a lot
Post by: Tender Branson on November 18, 2015, 11:46:00 AM
Quote
"... trailing Carson 50 percent to 41 percent, and Trump 49 percent to 41 percent.

Clinton also suffers from negative name recognition, with voters giving her a 41 percent favorable rating, compared with 54 percent saying they have an unfavorable impression of her. Among Independent voters, Clinton’s numbers drop to 35 percent favorable and 56 percent unfavorable."

...

The polling sample for the Democratic and the Republican primary consisted of 297 and 355 likely Florida voters, respectively, with a margin of error of +/-5.6 percent and +/-5.2 percent at a 95 percent confidence level. The General Election Sample consisted of 829 registered voters with a margin of error of +/-3.3 percent and a 95 percent confidence level.

http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/fla-poll-trump-36-rubio-18-carson-15-cruz-10-bush-9/2254421


Title: Re: FL-Florida Atlantic University: Hillary trails by a lot
Post by: Tender Branson on November 18, 2015, 12:06:19 PM
Full #s:

50.2% Carson (+9.7)
40.5% Clinton

49.2% Trump (+8.7)
40.5% Clinton

50.2% Rubio (+7.2)
43.0% Clinton

44.4% Bush (+4.6)
39.8% Clinton

47.9% Cruz (+3.0)
44.9% Clinton

http://business.fau.edu/departments/economics/business-economics-polling/bepi-polls/download.aspx?id=6196


Title: FL: Florida Atlantic University: Hillary down by about 9 against GOP
Post by: Tender Branson on November 18, 2015, 12:38:44 PM
New Poll: Florida President by Florida Atlantic University on 2015-11-16 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=1220151116245)

Summary: D: 41%, R: 50%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://business.fau.edu/departments/economics/business-economics-polling/bepi-polls/download.aspx?id=6196)


Title: Re: FL-Florida Atlantic University: Hillary trails by a lot
Post by: RFayette on November 18, 2015, 12:39:00 PM
I'm pretty skeptical on this one, but it seems more plausible than the CO numbers, at least.


Title: Re: FL-Florida Atlantic University: Hillary trails by a lot
Post by: Gass3268 on November 18, 2015, 03:41:37 PM
I'm pretty skeptical on this one, but it seems more plausible than the CO numbers, at least.

Dems will probably poll artificially low for a few weeks in light of Obama botching the Paris response and national security dominating the news.  Not that any of this is good for Clinton, but she isn't Adlai Stevenson yet.

How has Obama botched the Paris response? He's the only adult in the room.


Title: Re: FL-Florida Atlantic University: Hillary trails by a lot
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on November 18, 2015, 04:37:55 PM
FL on the presidential side, isnt going to make or break the election anyways. But, the Senate race is going to decide who controls the Senate. MURPHY must defeat Jolly.


Title: Re: FL-Florida Atlantic University: Hillary trails by a lot
Post by: Holmes on November 18, 2015, 05:19:58 PM
I'm pretty skeptical on this one, but it seems more plausible than the CO numbers, at least.

Dems will probably poll artificially low for a few weeks in light of Obama botching the Paris response and national security dominating the news.  Not that any of this is good for Clinton, but she isn't Adlai Stevenson yet.

How has Obama botched the Paris response? He's the only adult in the room.

By not calling for a ground invasion of ISIS territories, outlawing Islam and banning any non-Christian refugees from entering the country.