Talk Elections

Clinton (D): 42%
Rubio (R): 47%

Hillary Clinton is viewed unfavorably by a majority of Wisconsin voters – 52% unfavorable, 43% favorable.

Pretty questionable poll (from a GOP SuperPAC), even though the Obama approval numbers look right (51% disapprove -47% approve).

http://www.wispolitics.com/1006/151202Super.pdf

Yeah .... no.

It's better to trust Marquette there and not some GOP joke pollster.

It would also mean that the Dems are down 10% nationally right now ...

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=224205.msg4820610;boardseen#new

 Same poll also had Feingold at +1 in Wisconsin's senate election.

Marquette also had Rubio up in WI (but only by 1), for what it's worth.


What?

Yes, exactly. For WI, Rubio+1 is much more likely than Rubio+5.


If this poll is R+5, then the national polls would have to be R+10 - because WI is about 3-5% more Dem than the nation as a whole.

The WI polls were very Dem friendly, it is turning out to be a typical WI battleground state, and it should vote Dem.

The most recent Marquette polls were taken in the aftermath of the terrorist attacks in Paris. Concern about terror, even if such subsequently demonstrates the incompetence of Republicans, boosts Republicans in the polls. Before that, Democrats did extremely well in matchups for President.

"Let America Work" (R) -- is that a "Right to Work (for much less)" group?  Extremely partisan pollsters, and polls commissioned by groups associated with partisan agendas, should be rejected on principle. The only use that I have for such polls is when no other poll is available or likely to appear.

That's why the Dems are working with a new map now, forget about South, win NH, WI, Iowa & Co.

Let America work? Lmao

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Ron Johnson superPAC, ignore.

Way to stick it to 'em, Vol!

Why do internals like these keep getting put into the database?

It's unlikely this is accurate, though Wisconsin will probably be somewhat competitive, at least initially. 3-5% more Democratic than the nation as a whole is reasonable. It was 3.1% more Democratic in 2012 with a Wisconsinite on the Republican ticket.