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Title: IA-PPP: Trump 28% Cruz 26% Rubio 13% Carson 8% Bush 6% Post by: Mr. Morden on January 12, 2016, 08:55:34 AM PPP poll of Iowa:
http://www.businessinsider.com.au/donald-trump-ted-cruz-canadian-birther-iowa-poll-2016-1?r=US&IR=T Trump 28% Cruz 26% Rubio 13% Carson 8% Bush 6% Results for the remaining candidates will be released later today. Title: Re: IA-PPP: Trump 28% Cruz 26% Rubio 13% Carson 8% Bush 6% Post by: Mr. Morden on January 12, 2016, 08:56:52 AM Quote The new survey found that only 46% of likely Iowa Republican caucus-goers realise that Cruz was born outside the US. (More Iowa Republicans believe Cruz was born in the US than President Barack Obama.) But just 32% of GOP caucus-goers said that someone born outside the US should be allowed to serve as president, while 47% think such a person should not be able to serve as president. Among the latter group of caucus-goers, Trump crushes Cruz by a 40% to 14% margin. “Our poll findings show the Birther Issue could actually cost Cruz Iowa,” Tom Jensen, Public Policy Polling’s director, told Business Insider in an email. Title: Re: IA-PPP: Trump 28% Cruz 26% Rubio 13% Carson 8% Bush 6% Post by: Tender Branson on January 12, 2016, 08:57:40 AM Looks quite similar to all the other polls we have seen recently.
Title: Re: IA-PPP: Trump 28% Cruz 26% Rubio 13% Carson 8% Bush 6% Post by: Phony Moderate on January 12, 2016, 09:01:32 AM Results for the remaining candidates will be released later today. Always love it when they do this, as if the nation is on tenterhooks for those remaining numbers. Title: Re: IA-PPP: Trump 28% Cruz 26% Rubio 13% Carson 8% Bush 6% Post by: Tender Branson on January 12, 2016, 09:02:41 AM Results for the remaining candidates will be released later today. Always love it when they do this, as if the nation is on tenterhooks for those remaining numbers. So you think the Dem. numbers are not important ? ;) Title: Re: IA-PPP: Trump 28% Cruz 26% Rubio 13% Carson 8% Bush 6% Post by: Landslide Lyndon on January 12, 2016, 10:33:50 AM Quote The new survey found that only 46% of likely Iowa Republican caucus-goers realise that Cruz was born outside the US. (More Iowa Republicans believe Cruz was born in the US than President Barack Obama.) But just 32% of GOP caucus-goers said that someone born outside the US should be allowed to serve as president, while 47% think such a person should not be able to serve as president. Among the latter group of caucus-goers, Trump crushes Cruz by a 40% to 14% margin. “Our poll findings show the Birther Issue could actually cost Cruz Iowa,” Tom Jensen, Public Policy Polling’s director, told Business Insider in an email. TRUMP knows better what the Republican base wants than the entire establishment apparatus. He is always three steps ahead of everyone. Title: Re: IA-PPP: Trump 28% Cruz 26% Rubio 13% Carson 8% Bush 6% Post by: Lyin' Steve on January 12, 2016, 11:41:14 AM Trump surging on prediction markets for Iowa in the aftermath of this.
PredictWise both has it at about Cruz 65/Trump 30/Other 5. PredictIt has Cruz 60/Trump 40. Both previously had Cruz at a prohibitive 80-85% chance of winning the caucuses. PredictWise also has Trump closing in on Rubio, with 32/30/24 as the current Rubio/Trump/Cruz numbers. PredictIt has Trump even more up with 38/30/26 Trump/Rubio/Cruz. Bottom line, it's beginning to look like there's a reasonable chance Trump will sweep the first four states and coast to the nomination, while the democratic primary is shaping up to be a real fight. Title: Re: IA-PPP: Trump 28% Cruz 26% Rubio 13% Carson 8% Bush 6%; Clinton +6 Post by: RI on January 12, 2016, 11:56:52 AM http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_IA_11216.pdf
Trump 28% Cruz 26% Rubio 13% Carson 8% Bush 6% Christie/Fiorina/Huckabee/Kasich/Paul 3% Santorum 2% Clinton 46% Sanders 40% O'Malley 8% Title: Re: IA-PPP: Trump 28% Cruz 26% Rubio 13% Carson 8% Bush 6% Post by: RINO Tom on January 12, 2016, 12:10:36 PM I've already accepted that my caucus vote will be near meaningless. There's no point in voting strategically, as the top two candidates are both terrible in my view, so I will probably just vote for Christie.
A lot more boring than in 2012, when I could have literally swung the state to Romney if my parents had come with me (stubborn Illinoisans who refuse to participate in something as stupid as a caucus, and I honestly can't blame them) plus a few friends... |