Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: Mr. Morden on January 21, 2016, 01:53:00 AM



Title: NH-CNN/WMUR/UNH: Sanders beats all Repubs; Clinton beats or ties all but Rubio
Post by: Mr. Morden on January 21, 2016, 01:53:00 AM
CNN/WMUR/UNH poll of New Hampshire, conducted Jan. 13-18:

http://edition.cnn.com/2016/01/20/politics/new-hampshire-poll-results-general-election/index.html

Clinton 48%
Trump 39%

Sanders 57%
Trump 34%

Clinton 47%
Cruz 41%

Sanders 56%
Cruz 33%

Rubio 45%
Clinton 44%

Sanders 55%
Rubio 37%

Clinton 45%
Christie 42%

Sanders 57%
Christie 34%

Clinton 43%
Kasich 43%

Sanders 54%
Kasich 33%


Title: Re: NH-CNN/WMUR/UNH: Sanders beats all Repubs; Clinton beats or ties all but Rubio
Post by: Tender Branson on January 21, 2016, 02:02:41 AM
:)

Hillary = trainwreck.


Title: Re: NH-CNN/WMUR/UNH: Sanders beats all Repubs; Clinton beats or ties all but Rubio
Post by: Landslide Lyndon on January 21, 2016, 02:15:30 AM
Thanks for the laughs UNH.


Title: Re: NH-CNN/WMUR/UNH: Sanders beats all Repubs; Clinton beats or ties all but Rubio
Post by: ProgressiveCanadian on January 21, 2016, 02:27:24 AM
Sanders is a great fit for NH while Clinton is pretty weak.


Title: Re: NH-CNN/WMUR/UNH: Sanders beats all Repubs; Clinton beats or ties all but Rubio
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on January 21, 2016, 03:01:17 AM
The same NH voters also told pollsters that they support Sununu & Ayotte. We have to be careful. NH along with NV & CO are D leaning battlegrounds, but they are still purple.


Title: Re: NH-CNN/WMUR/UNH: Sanders beats all Repubs; Clinton beats or ties all but Rubio
Post by: Sir Mohamed on January 21, 2016, 04:32:37 AM
LOL, I doubt that Sanders would so much better than Hillary.


Title: Re: NH-CNN/WMUR/UNH: Sanders beats all Repubs; Clinton beats or ties all but Rubio
Post by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on January 21, 2016, 04:37:51 AM
The live free or die state has made it clear who they prefer between a democratic socialist, a 3rd wayer, or a Republican.


Title: Re: NH-CNN/WMUR/UNH: Sanders beats all Repubs; Clinton beats or ties all but Rubio
Post by: HillOfANight on January 21, 2016, 08:36:32 AM
Rubio is not going to happen. About as useful as polling O'Malley.


Title: Re: NH-CNN/WMUR/UNH: Sanders beats all Repubs; Clinton beats or ties all but Rubio
Post by: Xing on January 21, 2016, 05:25:28 PM
Looks like Republicans can't handle all that elasticity :( B-b-but 20-year old Democratic election analysts and Debbie Wasserman-Schultz told me that NH is more competitive than PA. :(

Sanders is a great fit for NH while Clinton is pretty weak.

lol Her numbers in NH will look like Sanders' numbers soon... the state is unwinnable for ANY Republican.

Hillary's doing worse in NH than Sanders? But... muh sexist NH women!


Title: Re: NH-CNN/WMUR/UNH: Sanders beats all Repubs; Clinton beats or ties all but Rubio
Post by: ProgressiveCanadian on January 22, 2016, 11:44:59 PM
Hillary's doing worse in NH than Sanders? But... muh sexist NH women!

Haven't we learned not to trust NH polling? There's like zero chance that Clinton would do worse than Sanders in the general election in a feminist state like NH. Pretty much every Sanders supporter will vote for her in the general. My guess is that she would beat Trump by at least 15 and that Sanders would beat him by 9 or so.  

Since when can we not Trust NH polling? 2008 was almost a once in a life time upset i doubt it would happen again. Also polls in the general election have been more accurate.


Title: Re: NH-CNN/WMUR/UNH: Sanders beats all Repubs; Clinton beats or ties all but Rubio
Post by: pbrower2a on January 23, 2016, 03:06:46 PM
Looks like Republicans can't handle all that elasticity :( B-b-but 20-year old Democratic election analysts and Debbie Wasserman-Schultz told me that NH is more competitive than PA. :(

Sanders is a great fit for NH while Clinton is pretty weak.

lol Her numbers in NH will look like Sanders' numbers soon... the state is unwinnable for ANY Republican.

The most recent poll of Pennsylvania is about two months old, from when Hillary Clinton reeled from accusations of malfeasance and incompetence related to the private server and Benghazi. 


Title: Re: NH-CNN/WMUR/UNH: Sanders beats all Repubs; Clinton beats or ties all but Rubio
Post by: MT Treasurer on January 23, 2016, 03:09:46 PM
^PA is still more competitive than NH. This isn't 1992 or 2000 anymore.


Title: Re: NH-CNN/WMUR/UNH: Sanders beats all Repubs; Clinton beats or ties all but Rubio
Post by: pbrower2a on January 23, 2016, 09:36:49 PM
^PA is still more competitive than NH. This isn't 1992 or 2000 anymore.

In recent years Pennsylvania has tantalized Republicans only to swing away. But I might concede that New Hampshire is not as competitive as Pennsylvania if I see either

(1) Pennsylvania having new polls suggesting that Republicans have a strong chance of taking it while New Hampshire is close, or

(2) New Hampshire shows a margin significantly more than 10%for all Democrats against all Republicans, in which case New Hampshire is becoming indistinguishable from Vermont.