Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls => Topic started by: The Other Castro on January 25, 2016, 06:12:01 PM



Title: FOX NH/IA Dem Polls: Sanders up 22 in NH, Clinton up 6 in IA
Post by: The Other Castro on January 25, 2016, 06:12:01 PM
Iowa:
Clinton - 48% (-2)
Sanders - 42% (+6)
O'Malley - 3% (-2)

New Hampshire:
Sanders - 56% (+6)
Clinton - 34% (-3)
O'Malley - 3% (No change)

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2016/01/25/fox-news-poll-sanders-up-by-22-points-in-new-hampshire/
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2016/01/25/fox-news-poll-sanders-narrows-gap-in-iowa/


Title: Re: FOX NH/IA Dem Polls: Sanders up 22 in NH, Clinton up 6 in IA
Post by: This account no longer in use. on January 25, 2016, 06:15:18 PM
Any GOP numbers?


Title: Re: FOX NH/IA Dem Polls: Sanders up 22 in NH, Clinton up 6 in IA
Post by: / on January 25, 2016, 06:16:07 PM
Not the best numbers for Sanders, but at least he's improved with FOX since last time.


Title: Re: FOX NH/IA Dem Polls: Sanders up 22 in NH, Clinton up 6 in IA
Post by: / on January 25, 2016, 06:17:00 PM

They were released earlier.


Title: Re: FOX NH/IA Dem Polls: Sanders up 22 in NH, Clinton up 6 in IA
Post by: Boston Bread on January 25, 2016, 06:22:55 PM
Good numbers in NH, but Iowa is a must-win for Bernie. He can't allow any primary/caucus in a super-white northern state slip through to Clinton if he wants to win.


Title: Re: FOX NH/IA Dem Polls: Sanders up 22 in NH, Clinton up 6 in IA
Post by: Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck on January 25, 2016, 06:40:30 PM
Good numbers in NH, but Iowa is a must-win for Bernie. He can't allow any primary/caucus in a super-white northern state slip through to Clinton if he wants to win.

I really don't think he does anymore.  If he crushes Clinton in NH he'll have enough of the national spotlight to continue on and be viable.

That said, I think he's going to win Iowa by 4.


Title: Re: FOX NH/IA Dem Polls: Sanders up 22 in NH, Clinton up 6 in IA
Post by: Hatman 🍁 on January 25, 2016, 06:42:29 PM
JUNK POLL!


Title: Re: FOX NH/IA Dem Polls: Sanders up 22 in NH, Clinton up 6 in IA
Post by: Fusionmunster on January 25, 2016, 06:50:26 PM
Hillary needs to win Iowa. If she does, a loss in New Hampshire wont hurt as much and the bigger the margin, the easier it'll be to downplay. If Sanders was looking like he was a lock for New Hampshire anyway, expectations wont be that high.


Title: Re: FOX NH/IA Dem Polls: Sanders up 22 in NH, Clinton up 6 in IA
Post by: Eraserhead on January 25, 2016, 07:14:09 PM
Don't break my heart, Iowa.

New Hampshire looks like a done deal. Even if the polls are underestimating Clinton's support, she was never this far behind Obama in '08.


Title: Re: FOX NH/IA Dem Polls: Sanders up 22 in NH, Clinton up 6 in IA
Post by: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on January 25, 2016, 07:16:53 PM
This feels pretty close to where I think things are.


Title: Re: FOX NH/IA Dem Polls: Sanders up 22 in NH, Clinton up 6 in IA
Post by: Ebsy on January 25, 2016, 07:24:02 PM
Further indication that Clinton is going to win Iowa.


Title: Re: FOX NH/IA Dem Polls: Sanders up 22 in NH, Clinton up 6 in IA
Post by: ProgressiveCanadian on January 25, 2016, 07:54:11 PM
Further indication that Clinton is going to win Iowa.

This is one poll with momentum on bernies side...I wouldn't call the state yet.


Title: Re: FOX NH/IA Dem Polls: Sanders up 22 in NH, Clinton up 6 in IA
Post by: Joe Biden 2020 on January 25, 2016, 08:06:33 PM
Further indication that Clinton is going to win Iowa.

This is one poll with momentum on bernies side...I wouldn't call the state yet.

It's going to be a late night for sure next Monday.  I definitely wouldn't be expecting to go to bed before, say, 11 or 12 EST.


Title: Re: FOX NH/IA Dem Polls: Sanders up 22 in NH, Clinton up 6 in IA
Post by: HillOfANight on January 25, 2016, 08:17:28 PM
Hillary dominating women, 56-34. Bernie gets 51-39 of men. Bernie can't win with just 34% of women.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/IowaDemCaucusPollJan2016.pdf
KBUR/MonMouth got the same # on women just a few days ago.


Title: Re: FOX NH/IA Dem Polls: Sanders up 22 in NH, Clinton up 6 in IA
Post by: IceSpear on January 26, 2016, 02:21:24 AM
Good numbers in NH, but Iowa is a must-win for Bernie. He can't allow any primary/caucus in a super-white northern state slip through to Clinton if he wants to win.

I really don't think he does anymore.  If he crushes Clinton in NH he'll have enough of the national spotlight to continue on and be viable.

That said, I think he's going to win Iowa by 4.

IIRC, there was an analysis showing that Iowa should be the 4th most "Bernie friendly" state in the country based off demographics (I believe the top 3 were VT, NH, and ME.) He needs it.