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Title: IA PrimD: Iowa State University: Clinton up 2 in IA according to ISU Post by: Flake on January 25, 2016, 11:01:41 PM New Poll: Iowa President by Iowa State University on 2016-01-21 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016D/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=1920160121168)
Hillary: 47% (-2) Bernie: 45% (+17) O'Malley: 1% (-2) Undecided: 7% This is also with a sample that only had 3% of all respondents under 30 years of age. Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://whotv.com/2016/01/25/clinton-cruz-lead-among-iowa-caucusgoers-in-who-hd-iowa-state-university-poll/) Title: Re: IA PrimD: Iowa State University: Clinton up 2 in IA according to ISU Post by: Eraserhead on January 25, 2016, 11:40:47 PM Looks like a trash poll but that swing is hilarious.
How could they find Cruz with such a big lead? Title: Re: IA PrimD: Iowa State University: Clinton up 2 in IA according to ISU Post by: Ebsy on January 25, 2016, 11:41:49 PM Weird poll.
Title: Re: IA PrimD: Iowa State University: Clinton up 2 in IA according to ISU Post by: Mike Thick on January 25, 2016, 11:44:21 PM Rand at 6.9%? Junk poll... or a miracle in the making? #RandMentum #StandWithRand obviously kidding
Title: Re: IA PrimD: Iowa State University: Clinton up 2 in IA according to ISU Post by: This account no longer in use. on January 25, 2016, 11:45:46 PM Republicans:
Cruz 26% Trump 19% Carson 13% Rubio 12% Paul 7% Bush 4% Huckabee 4% Fiorina 1% Santorum <1% Christie <1% Kasich <1% Gilmore 0% Title: Re: IA PrimD: Iowa State University: Clinton up 2 in IA according to ISU Post by: Ronnie on January 25, 2016, 11:47:12 PM Call me crazy, but I would not be surprised to see Cruz win Iowa by a similar margin on caucus night. They might be on to something.
Title: Re: IA PrimD: Iowa State University: Clinton up 2 in IA according to ISU Post by: Eraserhead on January 25, 2016, 11:47:50 PM Rand at 6.9%? Junk poll... or a miracle in the making? #RandMentum #StandWithRand obviously kidding If he really surges in these final days, maybe he can come close to getting a third of the percentage that his old man did! Title: Re: IA PrimD: Iowa State University: Clinton up 2 in IA according to ISU Post by: Mr. Morden on January 25, 2016, 11:49:51 PM Poll was in the field from Jan. 5-22, so any recent momentum from any of the candidates is going to be washed out by the fact that it's being averaged with responses from early/mid-January.
Title: Re: IA PrimD: Iowa State University: Clinton up 2 in IA according to ISU Post by: Mike Thick on January 25, 2016, 11:51:12 PM Rand at 6.9%? Junk poll... or a miracle in the making? #RandMentum #StandWithRand obviously kidding If he really surges in these final days, maybe he can come close to getting a third of the percentage that his old man did! Well, at least he'd be better positioned for 2020, because that's all the hope I can hold on to :P Title: Re: IA PrimD: Iowa State University: Clinton up 2 in IA according to ISU Post by: Ebsy on January 25, 2016, 11:52:14 PM Poll was in the field from Jan. 5-22, so any recent momentum from any of the candidates is going to be washed out by the fact that it's being averaged with responses from early/mid-January. Title: Re: IA PrimD: Iowa State University: Clinton up 2 in IA according to ISU Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on January 25, 2016, 11:55:41 PM Poll was in the field from Jan. 5-22, so any recent momentum from any of the candidates is going to be washed out by the fact that it's being averaged with responses from early/mid-January. Title: Re: IA PrimD: Iowa State University: Clinton up 2 in IA according to ISU Post by: IceSpear on January 26, 2016, 02:16:18 AM Poll was in the field from Jan. 5-22 Junk poll! Title: Re: IA PrimD: Iowa State University: Clinton up 2 in IA according to ISU Post by: #TheShadowyAbyss on January 26, 2016, 04:14:17 AM According to FOX' criteria it counts IIRC
Title: Re: IA PrimD: Iowa State University: Clinton up 2 in IA according to ISU Post by: Cruzcrew on January 26, 2016, 06:09:08 AM The Rand numbers are probably the most accurate part of these polls
Title: Re: IA PrimD: Iowa State University: Clinton up 2 in IA according to ISU Post by: ProgressiveCanadian on January 26, 2016, 06:22:35 AM Sandersmentum!
Title: Re: IA PrimD: Iowa State University: Clinton up 2 in IA according to ISU Post by: bigedlb on January 26, 2016, 09:01:56 AM Poll was in the field from Jan. 5-22, so any recent momentum from any of the candidates is going to be washed out by the fact that it's being averaged with responses from early/mid-January. Title: Re: IA PrimD: Iowa State University: Clinton up 2 in IA according to ISU Post by: Phony Moderate on January 26, 2016, 09:11:34 AM Uni polls aren't always the greatest.
Title: Re: IA PrimD: Iowa State University: Clinton up 2 in IA according to ISU Post by: emailking on January 26, 2016, 11:05:15 AM Poll was in the field from Jan. 5-22, so any recent momentum from any of the candidates is going to be washed out by the fact that it's being averaged with responses from early/mid-January. Title: Re: IA PrimD: Iowa State University: Clinton up 2 in IA according to ISU Post by: bigedlb on January 26, 2016, 12:33:42 PM Poll was in the field from Jan. 5-22, so any recent momentum from any of the candidates is going to be washed out by the fact that it's being averaged with responses from early/mid-January. Title: Re: IA PrimD: Iowa State University: Clinton up 2 in IA according to ISU Post by: Likely Voter on January 26, 2016, 12:49:14 PM Paul has been showing up in 5th in a lot of IA polls in the last week, probably getting him into the debate. He is having a mini resurgence in Iowa.
Title: Re: IA PrimD: Iowa State University: Clinton up 2 in IA according to ISU Post by: This account no longer in use. on January 26, 2016, 01:04:47 PM The poll was conducted for 2.5 weeks. Please stop being so hackish. Title: Re: IA PrimD: Iowa State University: Clinton up 2 in IA according to ISU Post by: weixiaobao on January 27, 2016, 04:56:40 AM http://whotv.com/2016/01/25/clinton-cruz-lead-among-iowa-caucusgoers-in-who-hd-iowa-state-university-poll/
This one look different than a lot of polls. Clinton 47 Sanders 45 () "Jeb Bush (3.8 percent), Mike Huckabee (3.7 percent) and Carly Fiorina (1.1 percent). Rick Santorum, Chris Christie and John Kasich registered less than 1 percent" The new ISU/WHO-HD poll was compiled through phone interviews with 722 registered voters Jan. 5-22 And looking at the day, I guess this is why. Cruz was leading in early January. Title: Re: IA PrimD: Iowa State University: Clinton up 2 in IA according to ISU Post by: Mr. Morden on January 27, 2016, 05:09:59 AM Yeah, this poll was discussed in this thread:
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=227333.0 As noted in that thread, the time baseline is remarkably long. Title: Re: IA PrimD: Iowa State University: Clinton up 2 in IA according to ISU Post by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on January 27, 2016, 05:21:57 AM The Democratic side isn't too weird, though.
Title: Re: IA PrimD: Iowa State University: Clinton up 2 in IA according to ISU Post by: weixiaobao on January 27, 2016, 05:24:57 AM I guess you can delete the thread.
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