Atlas Forum

Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls => Topic started by: Senator Cris on February 01, 2016, 08:15:08 am



Title: IA-Quinnipiac: R: Trump 31% Cruz 24% Rubio 17%; D: Sanders 49% Clinton 46%
Post by: Senator Cris on February 01, 2016, 08:15:08 am
Trump 31%
Cruz 24%
Rubio 17%
Carson 8%
Bush/Paul 4%
Huckabee 3%
Fiorina/Kasich 2%
Christie/Santorum 1%
Gilmore 0%

Sanders 49%
Clinton 46%
O'Malley 3%

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2320


Title: Re: IA-Quinnipiac: R: Trump 31% Cruz 24% Rubio 17%; D: Sanders 49% Clinton 46%
Post by: This account no longer in use. on February 01, 2016, 08:20:08 am
From last poll:

Rubio +4
Carson +1
Huckabee +1
Kasich +1
Fiorina +1
Santorum +1
Trump +0
Bush +0
Gilmore +0
Paul -1
Christie -2
Cruz -5

Clinton +1
Sanders 0
O'Malley -1


Title: Re: IA-Quinnipiac: R: Trump 31% Cruz 24% Rubio 17%; D: Sanders 49% Clinton 46%
Post by: #TheShadowyAbyss on February 01, 2016, 08:24:10 am
Lol Quinnipiac.


Title: Re: IA-Quinnipiac: R: Trump 31% Cruz 24% Rubio 17%; D: Sanders 49% Clinton 46%
Post by: Sorenroy on February 01, 2016, 08:27:19 am
Change from last poll/Month:
Candidate — Percentage (Change Poll/Month)

Republicans:
Trump — 31 (0/+3)
Cruz — 24 (-5/-3)
Rubio — 17 (+4/+3)
Carson — 8 (+1/-2)
Paul — 4 (-1/0)
Bush — 4 (0/-1)
Fiorina — 2 (+1/-1)
Kasich — 2 (+1/+1)
Huckabee — 3 (+1/+2)
Christie — 1 (-2/-2)
Santorum — 1 (+1/+1)
Gilmore — 0 (0*/0*)

Democrats:
Sanders — 49 (0/+9)
Clinton — 46 (+1/-5)
O'Malley — 3 (-1/-3)


Title: Re: IA-Quinnipiac: R: Trump 31% Cruz 24% Rubio 17%; D: Sanders 49% Clinton 46%
Post by: Mr. Morden on February 01, 2016, 08:30:43 am
On the Dem. side, more evidence that Clinton has become the high income, high education level candidate:

college degree:
Clinton 50%
Sanders 43%

no college degree:
Sanders 54%
Clinton 43%

income <$50k:
Sanders 58%
Clinton 38%

income >$100k:
Clinton 53%
Sanders 41%

Also, we still have a massive gender gap, and massive age gap:

men:
Sanders 63%
Clinton 32%

women:
Clinton 56%
Sanders 39%

under age 45:
Sanders 74%
Clinton 23%

over age 65:
Clinton 71%
Sanders 24%

On the GOP side, who leads among…?

Tea Party: Cruz
white Evangelicals: Cruz
very conservative: Cruz
somewhat conservative: Trump
moderate: Trump
men: Trump
women: Cruz
college degree: Rubio
no college degree: Trump
income <$50k: Trump
income $50-100k: Cruz/Trump tie
income >$100k: Trump
first time caucus attendee: Trump
have attended caucus before: Cruz
most important issue = economy: Trump
most important issue = terrorism: Cruz/Trump tie
most important issue = immigration: Trump
most important issue = federal deficit: Cruz

2nd choice:
Cruz 19%
Rubio 17%
Carson 12%
Trump 9%
Bush 5%
Christie 5%
Fiorina 5%
Paul 5%
Huckabee 4%

Are there any candidates you would definitely *not* support? (multiple responses allowed)

Trump 35%
Bush 21%
Cruz 15%
Kasich 13%
Christie 12%
Paul 10%
Fiorina 9%
Gilmore 9%
Rubio 9%
Santorum 9%
Carson 7%
Huckabee 7%


Title: Re: IA-Quinnipiac: R: Trump 31% Cruz 24% Rubio 17%; D: Sanders 49% Clinton 46%
Post by: ProgressiveCanadian on February 01, 2016, 08:32:32 am
Damn that age gap on the Democratic side...


Title: Re: IA-Quinnipiac: R: Trump 31% Cruz 24% Rubio 17%; D: Sanders 49% Clinton 46%
Post by: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on February 01, 2016, 08:33:21 am
QU has been a little off the median this season so far, this is their first test.


Title: Re: IA-Quinnipiac: R: Trump 31% Cruz 24% Rubio 17%; D: Sanders 49% Clinton 46%
Post by: Skye on February 01, 2016, 08:42:54 am
So... Rubiosurge is real?


Title: Re: IA-Quinnipiac: R: Trump 31% Cruz 24% Rubio 17%; D: Sanders 49% Clinton 46%
Post by: HillOfANight on February 01, 2016, 09:13:50 am

Seems like they either polled 17 year olds or 80 year olds.


Title: Re: IA-Quinnipiac: R: Trump 31% Cruz 24% Rubio 17%; D: Sanders 49% Clinton 46%
Post by: Sir Mohamed on February 01, 2016, 09:15:07 am

Yep, I wouldn't even rule a Rubio win out anymore.


Title: Re: IA-Quinnipiac: R: Trump 31% Cruz 24% Rubio 17%; D: Sanders 49% Clinton 46%
Post by: Tender Branson on February 01, 2016, 09:21:36 am
Damn ... that age gap.

If only the olds are turning out today, Sanders is not only fu**ed: He's sooo fu**ed.

So, young and middle-aged people of Iowa: Go caucus.


Title: Re: IA-Quinnipiac: R: Trump 31% Cruz 24% Rubio 17%; D: Sanders 49% Clinton 46%
Post by: Shadows on February 01, 2016, 09:49:51 am
It is proportioned to reflect the likely demographic. More new registrations should go to Sanders, a high turnout will almost certainly mean a Sanders victory, while a moderate to low turnout will be a Clinton victory.

With the cold & snow in Iowa, I think a young people surge in voting is more likely than an old people surge for Hillary.

*Fingers crossed*, waiting for the turnout