Talk Elections

http://newsstand.clemson.edu/mediarelations/clinton-will-win-by-wide-margin-in-south-carolina-palmetto-poll-shows/

Clinton 64
Sanders 14

Feb 20 - 25, 650 polled, MoE +/- 3%.

It's a university poll. But consistent with Clinton being up 30-40% in other Southern states like Georgia and Texas. So.

University poll that has Sanders under 15%? REEEEEE, throw this in the trash.

I saw the title and thought that it meant Clinton was at 50% and I was like :O, but then I saw the poll, and now I'm like :D even though I agree it's probably trash.

JUNK JUNK JUNK

I wonder why University polls underestimate the losing candidate most of the time? Clinton is for sure probably at 64%, but Sanders at 14% is just such an embarrassing thing to publish.

This is gonna be a thrashing, but unfortunately it won't be anywhere near this big of one.

No polling expert ever said that university polls are worse than Non-university polls.

Well this is a trash poll but since it overestimates Clinton you couldn't help but to publish it.

I didn't publish this poll.

Uh... did the survey include any white people?

If this is anywhere close then Bernie is dead :(

If the current polls are accurate (which we'll find out soon enough), then Sanders is toast. He can't win the nomination if he's losing GA/SC by 50, and TX by more than 30. I can certainly live with Hillary as the nominee, but I'll want to take a break from this forum, considering how absolutely unbearable the Hillary hacks here will be, if the polls are right.

Notice:


So the result isn't ridiculous. But, as it's not meant to include all likely voters, I'm not sure why the aggregators are even including this one.

So this poll excludes anyone under 22 years old? The youth are like 80%+ Sanders voters...

Watch CNN point to this poll after SC saying "WOW Sanders outperformed the polls by 25 points!"

That'd be fantastic! Fingers crossed.

LOL. I could see them doing that. Luckily it's only a single poll and doesn't seem to be getting too much attention. If multiple polls were showing similar numbers I'd start to be a bit nervous about that.

They're excluded if they're indicated that they don't plan to vote in the primary. Otherwise they're included.

The exvlusion wuoted above sers forth two parameters--intention to vote AND voting history. Young voters by virtue of a ge have no voting history.

I read it as the poll includes 1) people who say they're likely to vote in this election and 2) have voted in the last two out of three statewide primaries. But yeah, the wording is pretty vague and it won't matter in 7 hours anyway.

New SC gold standard? lol

Heh.

VINDICATED!

See, Clinton got exactly what she was polling. She clearly has no momentum. (/s)

HER POLLS NEVER GO UP, ONLY DOWN!!11!!!!!

- Lawrence O'Donnell

Clemson is the HIGH ENERGY WINNER of this campaign!

This just goes to show that sometimes, those way out there polls that nobody believes sometimes do turn out to be correct.

Closest to the actual results by far.

LOL! :)

Junk poll I guess?

lol. This guy never fails to amuse me.

To be fair, no polling caught this except for this one. You can make an argument that the 40% or 50% margins in the recent Georgia and Texas polls could have been foreshadowing this, but still.

At least he outperformed it by 2 :/

This turned to be quite good.

Sanders outperformed the polls by nine points!

LOL

2.5%! #YUGE

And let's bump one of the best pollsters in the land too.

why are you bumping all of these threads

Sh*poster gonna sh*tpost.

This poll had 20%+ undecided/other. It wasn't a great poll, they just happened to get the margin right.