Talk Elections

Marquette University General Election Poll (https://twitter.com/MULawPoll)

Clinton 47%
Trump 37%

Clinton 43%
Cruz 43%

Clinton 44%
Rubio 43%

Sanders 54%
Trump 34%

Sanders 53%
Cruz 35%

Sanders 53%
Rubio 35%

Full pdf to be released soon.

At what point do we start dismissing the Clinton/Rubio and Clinton/Cruz numbers as useless?

2 days ago

Trump is probably not winning Wisconsin

Hes gonna lose it by 5 points

When they concede or are mathematically eliminated.

After the election, when one of them (probably Rubio) has beaten Clinton.

Come on Donald, you can win this one.

Also, Sanders/everyone.

That is a low energy post if I ever saw one.

Sanders isnt Joe Biden, either, as we saw in NV. He's not going do that much  better than Clinton would in GE. Biden will keep it close too. We can all put to rest that this election is gonna be won handily by Dems. They are keeping it close enough to win at end.

If Sanders voters come to Hillary, she'll win this by an Obama 08 margin. Not buying the Trump in WI, MI thing at all yet. Maybe he gets a boost in southern Ohio and western PA.

Yeah...yeah.  All these general election polls.  There are so many undecideds that are people voting for the other candidates that are refusing to say they would vote for the same-party opposition.  There's no way there are actually 14% of the people in Wisconsin who don't know who they would vote for between Clinton and Cruz.

I'm pretty sure these undecideds aren't exactly flocking to Trump. Hillary just must demonstrate competent leadership skills, nothing spectacular. The bar is much lower vs Trump.

She should get about 85% or 95% of the Sanders supporters. The other 5% will probably vote for Vermin Supreme.

Wisconsin and Iowa seem like poor fits for Trump, Hillary should take both.

Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Michigan always pretend like they are going to be swing states, but in November go for the Democrats.

In 2000 and 2004 all three states were very close. Between unions and minorities, Michigan is probably gone for the  Reactionary Party.

If Trump's the nominee, forget Lean D, Likely D will be an appropriate rating.

People seem to think WI is more favorable to someone like Trump than it is. The polling/FB like maps pretty much show MN WI IA isn't his best place and don't expect the trends he might get in OH, western PA. 

What's it like to have a mind so utterly divorced from reality, Vosem?

At that I refer to the primaries, and not the general election.


You assume a collapse by the Democratic nominee and deny the possibility of a collapse by the Republican nominee. Either is similarly likely.

Just remember: wishful thinking and $2 will get you a $2 cup of coffee. $2 and more rational thought will get you the same $2 cup of coffee.