Talk Elections

http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_e6ef41f2113347feaedca7d88762c6f3.pdf

New Emerson poll out of New York:

Clinton-71
Sanders-23

"SO YOU'RE TELLING ME THERE'S A CHANCE!"

- TYT, r/sandersforpresent, etc.

So the GOP numbers are:

Trump 64
Cruz 12
Rubio 4
Kasich 1

Uhh... What? The sample size is tiny, but still.

No.

Also, when was this conducted? Things might have changed after Tuesday... :)

The 14th through the 16th

I kind of don't believe these numbers based off the sample size. They just look off to me.

Probably inflating the margins a bit, but Clinton and Trump will obviously win in a landslide here.

Bernie winning NY was always a pipe dream. It's a closed primary, and the only primaries in which he's won registered Democrats are Vermont and New Hampshire (in the latter by a slim margin.) She's going to completely crush it in NYC unlike in 08 when Obama gave her competition there, which will easily make up (and more) for whatever she loses Upstate. She's not going to crack 70, but I'd be pretty shocked if she fell below 60.

Clinton will definitely win New York, but this does seem too high. What CD's do you think Sanders will win? CD-21 seems like a certainty. Maybe CD-20, CD-23, and CD-24? 

NY doesn't have a Rahm Emanuel, right?

I think Teachout only got to 34% vs Andrew Cuomo.

I said god damn.

TYT has given up the ghost, but r/sandersforpresident will likely descend into ninja-delegate madness until the day of the convention.

Also, for old times sake:

#Clintonunder80

Dominating!

The same thing Reddit did for Ron Paul. Truly an awful site.

I wouldnt be surprised if the counties he wins (I assume he will win counties) would have been previously carried by Teachout.

lol, good times.

#2008redux
#DemshateHillary
#Hillarycollapsing
#Ready4Warren
#AnythingCanHappenInPolitics

it's all relatively mild until HA Goodman starts posting conspiracy theories ala Larry Johnson/No Quarter did about Obama in 08.

lol

If it was a poll of people I know in NY, then the two numbers would be reversed.

But anyways, Emerson has been known to have leads of like 30 points more than any other pollster.

This is a landline-only poll, according to Emerson's methodology statement.

So this is a poll of olds.

It also says Trump is at 64%.

TRUMP needs an overwhelming victory in New York to secure the nomination.

Didn't all those maps where Bernie wins rely on him winning New York?  Clinton could easily put up another 100-150 delegate gap here.  I've seen some Cruz maps that were the same way.

Obviously this is Clinton and Trump's actual home state, they'll both win in landslides.


Oh man, the good old days...

65-35 wouldn't surprise me on the Dem side, but this is crazy. Also, I doubt that Trump is that high. He might break 50, but not 60.

Bernie's campaign is over.

New Poll: New York President by Emerson College on 2016-03-16 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016D/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=3620160316223)

Summary:

Clinton:	71%
Sanders:	23%
Other:	2%
Undecided:	4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_e6ef41f2113347feaedca7d88762c6f3.pdf)

Clinton's not going to win by that much. I think she'll get around 60% of the vote, or maybe a bit more.

Just like Clinton's victory in South Carolina increased her margins on Super Tuesday by 15 points?

Might've helped in Massachusetts.

She was leading by a wide margin in Massachusetts polls that were conducted before South Carolina voted.

Any1 who doesn't bother to post ridiculous posts in here & goes and checks the details & methodology will realize this is a junk poll.

So how much is Bernie actually winning by?

Yea you seem very well informed and educated