Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls => Topic started by: Landslide Lyndon on April 08, 2016, 06:46:44 PM



Title: PA- Muhlenberg College: TRUMP with a modest lead
Post by: Landslide Lyndon on April 08, 2016, 06:46:44 PM
http://www.mcall.com/news/local/elections/mc-muhlenberg-college-pa-primary-20160408-htmlstory.html (http://www.mcall.com/news/local/elections/mc-muhlenberg-college-pa-primary-20160408-htmlstory.html)

TRUMP       35
Cruz           28
Kasich        27


Title: Re: PA- Muhlenberg College: TRUMP with a modest lead
Post by: Mehmentum on April 08, 2016, 06:59:51 PM
Its interesting.  We're seeing some slight signs of vulnerability for Trump in a lot of these states now.


Title: Re: PA- Muhlenberg College: TRUMP with a modest lead
Post by: Mr. Morden on April 08, 2016, 07:12:23 PM
If Trump were the nominee, how would you vote in the general election? (asked of Republican primary voters)

Trump 65%
Clinton 13%
3rd party 12%
wouldn’t vote 7%
not sure 4%


Title: Re: PA- Muhlenberg College: TRUMP with a modest lead
Post by: Fargobison on April 08, 2016, 07:19:19 PM
Trump is vulnerable here but is there a machine that can consolidate the #NeverTrump vote like in WI?


Title: Re: PA- Muhlenberg College: TRUMP with a modest lead
Post by: #TheShadowyAbyss on April 08, 2016, 07:34:45 PM
Looks like a three way race with slight edge to Trump. Trump will most likely win the state due to the Kasich/Cruz vote splitting.


Title: Re: PA- Muhlenberg College: TRUMP with a modest lead
Post by: President Johnson on April 09, 2016, 10:01:29 AM
It's about the same than Noth Carolina. In the end, TRUMP will win. Maybe not in a landslide, but by a fairly comfortable margin


Title: Re: PA- Muhlenberg College: TRUMP with a modest lead
Post by: Wisconsin+17 on April 09, 2016, 10:27:54 AM
65 percent of pubbies voting for Trump? Ouch.


Title: PA PrimR: Muhlenberg College: Trump with Slight Lead in Pennsylvania
Post by: ElectionAtlas on April 09, 2016, 11:08:49 AM
New Poll: Pennsylvania President by Muhlenberg College on 2016-04-06 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016R/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=4220160406033)

Summary:
Trump:
35%
Cruz:
28%
Kasich:
27%
Other:
5%
Undecided:
5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/2797274/READ-Muhlenberg-College-PA-GOP-Primary-Poll.pdf)



Title: Re: PA- Muhlenberg College: TRUMP with a modest lead
Post by: Sprouts Farmers Market ✘ on April 09, 2016, 11:35:55 AM
That's obviously not good enough for Trump to win the nomination.

Why not? It's WTA, and he'd likely take most CDs. This is exactly the result I was expecting.


Title: Re: PA- Muhlenberg College: TRUMP with a modest lead
Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on April 09, 2016, 11:38:29 AM
That's obviously not good enough for Trump to win the nomination.

The 17 PA pledged delegates are WTA. Another 54 are elected as unbound by the voters (no delegate preferences are listed on the ballot). TRUMP does need 30 out of those 54 to vote for him according to the calculations I worked out to get him to 1237.


Title: Re: PA- Muhlenberg College: TRUMP with a modest lead
Post by: I spent the winter writing songs about getting better on April 09, 2016, 01:06:44 PM
Why does Landslide Lyndon who isn't even an "ironic" Trump supporter do that stupid writing Trump in all caps thing?


Title: Re: PA- Muhlenberg College: TRUMP with a modest lead
Post by: Sprouts Farmers Market ✘ on April 09, 2016, 03:59:43 PM
That's obviously not good enough for Trump to win the nomination.

The 17 PA pledged delegates are WTA. Another 54 are elected as unbound by the voters (no delegate preferences are listed on the ballot). TRUMP does need 30 out of those 54 to vote for him according to the calculations I worked out to get him to 1237.

That is extremely possible if they put in the effort to win CDs 6, 12, and 16. That might actually put them over 30. I told Roger to get on this!