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Title: NY-Monmouth Uni: Hillary+12 Post by: Tender Branson on April 11, 2016, 01:03:27 PM 51-39 Hillary/Bernie
http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/f0b0dbc3-0429-48fe-9e98-567137ad786d.pdf Title: Re: NY-Monmouth Uni: Hillary+12 Post by: Tender Branson on April 11, 2016, 01:12:43 PM A new Marist/NBC poll will also be out later today (for both races).
Title: Re: NY-Monmouth Uni: Hillary+12 Post by: #TheShadowyAbyss on April 11, 2016, 01:14:54 PM BERNIE WITHIN 15 POINTS, HE HAS A CHANCE TO CRUSH SHILLARY HARPY LADY
Title: Re: NY-Monmouth Uni: Hillary+12 Post by: swf541 on April 11, 2016, 01:15:59 PM A new Marist/NBC poll will also be out later today (for both races). Awesome! Title: Re: NY-Monmouth Uni: Hillary+12 Post by: The Other Castro on April 11, 2016, 01:20:33 PM A new Marist/NBC poll will also be out later today (for both races). They've been pretty good so far I think. Title: Re: NY-Monmouth Uni: Hillary+12 Post by: Mehmentum on April 11, 2016, 01:22:01 PM Whites: Sanders +2 (48-46)
Non-whites: Clinton +40 (62-22) Outside of the south, Clinton has generally held a +40 lead (70-30) with African Americans. This result suggest that either Clinton is outperforming this number with New York blacks, or her performance with Hispanics matches her Florida and Texas performance rather than Nevada and Illinois. Title: Re: NY-Monmouth Uni: Hillary+12 Post by: YPestis25 on April 11, 2016, 01:25:59 PM A new Marist/NBC poll will also be out later today (for both races). PPP was also doing a New York poll this weekend, but I'm not sure when they're releasing it. Title: Re: NY-Monmouth Uni: Hillary+12 Post by: Ebsy on April 11, 2016, 01:31:49 PM Very small sample size.
Title: Re: NY-Monmouth Uni: Hillary+12 Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on April 11, 2016, 01:34:34 PM Yep, this is going to be a single digit race folks, though Clinton should win.
Title: Re: NY-Monmouth Uni: Hillary+12 Post by: Eraserhead on April 11, 2016, 01:51:25 PM I hope this at least puts to bed the idea that this is going to look anything like Cuomo-Teachout in terms of the margin.
Title: NY PrimD: Monmouth University: Clinton with Lead in New York Post by: ElectionAtlas on April 11, 2016, 02:42:04 PM New Poll: New York President by Monmouth University on 2016-04-10 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016D/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=3620160410102)
Summary:
Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/f0b0dbc3-0429-48fe-9e98-567137ad786d.pdf) Title: Re: NY-Monmouth Uni: Hillary+12 Post by: psychprofessor on April 11, 2016, 02:42:59 PM The issue is he is only at 35% in Manhattan/Bronx - and I bet the percentage in the Bronx alone is much lower. This is going to be a huge delegate haul for Hillary in those CD's.
Title: Re: NY-Monmouth Uni: Hillary+12 Post by: Gass3268 on April 11, 2016, 02:48:05 PM The issue is he is only at 35% in Manhattan/Bronx - and I bet the percentage in the Bronx alone is much lower. This is going to be a huge delegate haul for Hillary in those CD's. I imagine that the Bronx is what is bringing that number down to 35%. Sanders is going to get destroyed there, while I wouldn't be shocked if Manhattan is his closest borough. Title: Re: NY-Monmouth Uni: Hillary+12 Post by: Xing on April 11, 2016, 02:55:58 PM Sanders may be able to keep Clinton to a 10-point win, at this rate, but he's not going to win.
Title: Re: NY-Monmouth Uni: Hillary+12 Post by: Eraserhead on April 11, 2016, 03:11:31 PM Interestingly, Bernie's support is more solid in this poll (65%-56%).
Title: Re: NY-Monmouth Uni: Hillary+12 Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on April 11, 2016, 03:14:13 PM The issue is he is only at 35% in Manhattan/Bronx - and I bet the percentage in the Bronx alone is much lower. This is going to be a huge delegate haul for Hillary in those CD's. I imagine that the Bronx is what is bringing that number down to 35%. Sanders is going to get destroyed there, while I wouldn't be shocked if Manhattan is his closest borough. Nah, I think the boroughs break as follows: Staten Island: 54-45 Sanders Brooklyn: 52-47 Clinton Manhattan: 55-44 Clinton Queens: 60-39 Clinton Bronx: 65-34 Clinton Title: Re: NY-Monmouth Uni: Hillary+12 Post by: Ebsy on April 11, 2016, 05:52:22 PM Brooklyn is going to go massively for Clinton.
Title: Re: NY-Monmouth Uni: Hillary+12 Post by: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on April 11, 2016, 06:05:33 PM Interestingly, Bernie's support is more solid in this poll (65%-56%). So this is another way in which this poll is different to the others, along with Sanders winning the white vote? Title: Re: NY-Monmouth Uni: Hillary+12 Post by: IceSpear on April 12, 2016, 05:52:59 PM I hope this at least puts to bed the idea that this is going to look anything like Cuomo-Teachout in terms of the margin. I've always thought it would be more like the 08 primary overall, but with massive regional swings. I have a strong feeling that the pollsters aren't screening well enough for this ultra restrictive closed primary, and that Hillary is going to outperform by at least a few points as a result. One of them even included independents! Title: Re: NY-Monmouth Uni: Hillary+12 Post by: IceSpear on April 19, 2016, 10:30:45 PM I hope this at least puts to bed the idea that this is going to look anything like Cuomo-Teachout in terms of the margin. I've always thought it would be more like the 08 primary overall, but with massive regional swings. I have a strong feeling that the pollsters aren't screening well enough for this ultra restrictive closed primary, and that Hillary is going to outperform by at least a few points as a result. One of them even included independents! I will now accept my accolades. :) |