Atlas Forum

Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls => Topic started by: yankeesfan on April 20, 2016, 11:25:14 am



Title: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
Post by: yankeesfan on April 20, 2016, 11:25:14 am
Clinton 45
Sanders 38
Undecided 17

Trump 55
Kasich 18
Cruz 15
Undecided 12

http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/delaware-polling/

Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 1,038 likely Republican Primary voters and 1,026 likely Democratic Primary voters.  The poll has a margin of error of 3.0% for Republicans and 3.1% for Democrats, all at the 95% confidence level.  The poll was conducted from April 17th through the 18th.  The total may not round to 100% because of rounding.  The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls (IVR technology), with the results weighted by relevant voting demographics.


Title: Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
Post by: Holmes on April 20, 2016, 11:27:39 am
Is this one 80% white on the Democratic side?


Title: Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
Post by: Landslide Lyndon on April 20, 2016, 11:28:20 am
LOL Gravis.


Title: Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
Post by: Lief 🐋 on April 20, 2016, 11:29:28 am
Well, they may very well have gotten Sanders' final percentage right lol


Title: Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
Post by: yankeesfan on April 20, 2016, 11:29:40 am
Is this one 80% white on the Democratic side?

It looks like it's 89% white for the whole sample.

http://www.chartgo.com/share.do?id=8e9c2907aa


Title: Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
Post by: Holmes on April 20, 2016, 11:32:45 am
Is this one 80% white on the Democratic side?

It looks like it's 89% white for the whole sample.

http://www.chartgo.com/share.do?id=8e9c2907aa

And still Clinton +7? Sad.


Title: Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
Post by: Landslide Lyndon on April 20, 2016, 11:35:30 am
Is this one 80% white on the Democratic side?

It looks like it's 89% white for the whole sample.

http://www.chartgo.com/share.do?id=8e9c2907aa

Not bad for a state that's 65% white.


Title: Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
Post by: Ebsy on April 20, 2016, 12:02:01 pm
2008 race breakdown:

(Image Link)


Title: Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
Post by: Ebsy on April 20, 2016, 12:07:24 pm
lmao I guess Gravis thinks that the primary will only be 10% black voters.


Title: Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
Post by: Deranged California Suburbanite on April 20, 2016, 12:32:00 pm
A Delaware poll? Cool!

It's from Gravis? Oh.

Here's hoping for an RI poll.


Title: Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
Post by: President Johnson on April 20, 2016, 12:43:30 pm
(Image Link)


Title: Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
Post by: Xing on April 20, 2016, 12:43:57 pm
Gravis is... well, Gravis.


Title: Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
Post by: Landslide Andy on April 20, 2016, 01:04:14 pm
Is Gravis seriously this daft? I will film myself drinking out of a toilet bowl and post it on the Atlas Forum if Delaware's primary electorate is only 10% black.


Title: Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
Post by: PaperKooper on April 20, 2016, 01:07:44 pm
Seems pretty accurate, at least on the Republican side.  Kasich is making a big push here, though. 


Title: Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
Post by: dspNY on April 20, 2016, 05:19:32 pm
5% African American? Did they forget that African Americans live in Delaware? This isn't Idaho

28% of Delaware's Democratic primary voters were African-American in 2008



Title: Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
Post by: Gass3268 on April 20, 2016, 06:11:44 pm
Seems pretty accurate, at least on the Republican side.  Kasich is making a big push here, though. 

18% is a big push?


Title: Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
Post by: DINGO Joe on April 20, 2016, 06:47:31 pm
Seems pretty accurate, at least on the Republican side.  Kasich is making a big push here, though. 

18% is a big push?

It is Kasich, so yeah.


Title: Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
Post by: PeteB on April 20, 2016, 07:46:56 pm
Seems pretty accurate, at least on the Republican side.  Kasich is making a big push here, though. 

18% is a big push?

It is Kasich, so yeah.

According to John Weaver the Kasich campaign has pretty much given up on DE:

Delaware

Delaware will award all 16 of its delegates if a candidate receives a plurality of the vote. We expect Trump to have a strong chance of finishing above 50% and would recommend spending resources on the other April 26th states.


Title: Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
Post by: PaperKooper on April 20, 2016, 08:36:13 pm
"Big push" probably wasn't the best choice of words.  Trump and Kasich are the only candidates with any presence in Delaware, and are probably about even in their (lack of) infrastructure.  From what I've heard, Mike Castle will be making phone calls for Kasich, although I believe that has been organized by his SuperPAC which could explain the divergence from his campaign.  Trump will be visiting on Friday.  Both Trump and Kasich have normal, volunteer canvassers/phonebanks.  I am unaware of any activities whatsoever by the Cruz campaign in Delaware.  The state convention is next weekend, so we'll see if there are any delegate selection shenanigans.  


Title: Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
Post by: DINGO Joe on April 20, 2016, 11:11:28 pm
Seems pretty accurate, at least on the Republican side.  Kasich is making a big push here, though. 

18% is a big push?

It is Kasich, so yeah.

According to John Weaver the Kasich campaign has pretty much given up on DE:

Delaware

Delaware will award all 16 of its delegates if a candidate receives a plurality of the vote. We expect Trump to have a strong chance of finishing above 50% and would recommend spending resources on the other April 26th states.


It's Kasich, so yeah.


Title: Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
Post by: Ronnie on April 20, 2016, 11:52:23 pm
On that note, does anyone else find it strange that Weaver is essentially commanding anti-Trump PACs to spend their money in a certain way?

https://mobile.twitter.com/NewsNetNews/status/722878120508805121/photo/1


Title: Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
Post by: Holmes on April 21, 2016, 01:35:05 am
That #NeverTrump memo is just sad. "Trump is at 49% in Connecticut, but Kasich can beat him in 4/5 districts!"


Title: Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
Post by: Gass3268 on April 21, 2016, 01:43:42 am
That #NeverTrump memo is just sad. "Trump is at 49% in Connecticut, but Kasich can beat him in 4/5 districts!"

MSNBC yesterday said that the Kasich people are PISSED at the #NeverTrump movement for not putting up the level of ad support in New York like they did for Cruz in Wisconsin.


Title: Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
Post by: Landslide Andy on April 21, 2016, 02:00:45 am
That #NeverTrump memo is just sad. "Trump is at 49% in Connecticut, but Kasich can beat him in 4/5 districts!"

MSNBC yesterday said that the Kasich people are PISSED at the #NeverTrump movement for not putting up the level of ad support in New York like they did for Cruz in Wisconsin.

Is he really surprised? Ever since Ohio, #NeverTrump has just been another version of #Cruz2016. They used Kasich for what he was worth then tossed him away.


Title: Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
Post by: sportydude on April 23, 2016, 09:13:16 am
Biden's blue blot on the map has finally vanished!!! 0:)