Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: Ebsy on April 21, 2016, 07:33:47 PM



Title: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: Ebsy on April 21, 2016, 07:33:47 PM
Clinton: 50
Trump: 31

Clinton: 48
Cruz: 34

Sanders: 58
Trump: 31

Sanders: 61
Cruz: 30

https://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/gsp2016_spring_preselect042116.pdf


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: Gass3268 on April 21, 2016, 07:42:51 PM
Safe D!


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: This account no longer in use. on April 21, 2016, 07:45:51 PM
TNVolunteer was right, I suppose.


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: Boston Bread on April 21, 2016, 07:50:38 PM
From R+14 in Clinton vs Kasich to D+31 in Sanders vs Cruz. That's an impressive crossover rate.


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: EliteLX on April 21, 2016, 08:02:08 PM
You can just HEAR the upcoming boasting post of my buddy TNVolunteer.


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: 100% pro-life no matter what on April 21, 2016, 08:05:07 PM
This same poll had Ayotte up 1.  That's probably good news for her that she's still up in a poll that has the presidential candidates possibly getting doubled!!

On another note, congratulations, TNVol!!!


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: Xing on April 21, 2016, 08:10:39 PM
Let's not give him accolades too soon. If his theories are all completely right, Clinton should be winning by much more than Sanders here...


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: Skye on April 21, 2016, 08:28:38 PM
Imagine NH actually votes to the left of, say, Maine or Connecticut? TNVol would never shut up.


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on April 21, 2016, 08:54:03 PM
Kasich: 50
Clinton: 36

Totally safe D!


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: Holmes on April 21, 2016, 09:03:29 PM

Well it is. Two people in these matchups have no shot at being nominated.


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: This account no longer in use. on April 21, 2016, 09:17:03 PM
Imagine NH actually votes to the left of, say, Maine or Connecticut? TNVol would never shut up.

Of course that'll happen. Connecticut State will be the swing state, you know.


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: IceSpear on April 21, 2016, 09:28:10 PM
From R+14 in Clinton vs Kasich to D+31 in Sanders vs Cruz. That's an impressive crossover rate.

One would say it's very elastic. ;)

UNH must be trolling our good Tennessee friend at this point.


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: IceSpear on April 21, 2016, 09:36:57 PM
Clinton vs. Trump:

Men: Clinton +2
Women: Clinton +34

....honestly, he may be on to something here.


Title: NH: University of New Hampshire: Trump sternly rebuked by angry NH women
Post by: IceSpear on April 21, 2016, 09:48:28 PM
New Poll: New Hampshire President by University of New Hampshire on 2016-04-17 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=3320160417065)

Summary: D: 50%, R: 31%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/gsp2016_spring_preselect042116.pdf)


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: Devils30 on April 21, 2016, 09:50:31 PM
If this is anywhere near the final result, Ayotte loses.


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: 100% pro-life no matter what on April 21, 2016, 09:51:11 PM
If this is anywhere near the final result, Ayotte loses.
The same poll somehow had Ayotte ahead


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: This account no longer in use. on April 21, 2016, 09:53:55 PM
If this is anywhere near the final result, Ayotte loses.
The same poll somehow had Ayotte ahead

So, should we conclude that this is a junk poll, or assume that it's because of the angry NH women?


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: Dr. Arch on April 21, 2016, 10:11:59 PM
I think TNVolunteer hasn't stopped dancing yet, and that is why he hasn't responded here still.


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: HAnnA MArin County on April 22, 2016, 03:22:26 AM

Well it is. Two people in these matchups have no shot at being nominated.

In "true progressive" jfern's fantasy world, any poll showing Hillary losing is a great thing.


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: Xing on April 22, 2016, 11:32:23 AM
No. All the "undecideds" in the Clinton vs. Trump/Cruz matchups are (male) Bernie supporters

[citation needed]


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: Obama-Biden Democrat on April 22, 2016, 02:47:28 PM

Kasich is such a soothing midwestern moderate!


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on April 22, 2016, 03:24:05 PM
The only state Kasich would do well in is Iowa because it is so close to OH.


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: Gass3268 on April 22, 2016, 04:19:19 PM
The only state Kasich would do well in is Iowa because it is so close to OH.

Ohio is like 300 miles away from Iowa.


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: Xing on April 22, 2016, 08:00:17 PM
The only state Kasich would do well in is Iowa because it is so close to OH.

Right, as opposed to Michigan, Pennsylvania, Indiana, Kentucky, West Virginia and Illinois, which are far from Ohio.


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: Landslide Lyndon on April 23, 2016, 04:51:38 AM


Jesy Christ       99
Clinton              1

Hillary is clearly unelectable.


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: Eraserhead on April 23, 2016, 06:59:17 AM
What are the Kasich-Sanders numbers?


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on April 24, 2016, 05:16:07 PM


Jesy Christ       99
Clinton              1

Hillary is clearly unelectable.

Not to mention that Kasich would lose NH by a bigger margin than Romney. I mean, Democrats are running a white woman this time and not a black male. Good ol' Granite State voters are going to like that.

Why would Kasich lose when he leads Hillary by 14?


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: pbrower2a on April 24, 2016, 05:41:44 PM


Jesy Christ       99
Clinton              1

Hillary is clearly unelectable.

Not to mention that Kasich would lose NH by a bigger margin than Romney. I mean, Democrats are running a white woman this time and not a black male. Good ol' Granite State voters are going to like that.

John Kasich has become a practical stand-in for "Generic Republican", who has gone deep into hibernation already.

Why would Kasich lose when he leads Hillary by 14?


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on April 24, 2016, 05:43:55 PM


Jesy Christ       99
Clinton              1

Hillary is clearly unelectable.

Not to mention that Kasich would lose NH by a bigger margin than Romney. I mean, Democrats are running a white woman this time and not a black male. Good ol' Granite State voters are going to like that.

John Kasich has become a practical stand-in for "Generic Republican", who has gone deep into hibernation already.

Why would Kasich lose when he leads Hillary by 14?

Down 14 points is certainly a lot of ground for Hillary to make up regardless of whether you think he's "Generic Republican".  Much better to be up 6 like Bernie is (50-44).


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: King on April 24, 2016, 11:23:06 PM
Well, it was fun arguing about NH for another cycle, folks!

Can't wait to discuss how the polls look great for the GOP and will be an easy pickup in Nov 2019!


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: Maxwell on April 25, 2016, 11:54:26 AM
Someone put Trump and Cruz in a body bag.


Title: Re: WMUR/UNH-NH: Clinton, Sanders lead Trump, Cruz by a lot
Post by: pbrower2a on April 25, 2016, 12:10:30 PM
Pennsylvania was much closer at this time in 2012 and 2008 (if one ignores Kasich).