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Title: NJ-Quinnipiac: Clinton 54% Sanders 40% Post by: Mr. Morden on May 19, 2016, 05:04:35 AM Quinnipiac poll of New Jersey, conducted May 10-16:
https://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=2348 Clinton 54% Sanders 40% Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Clinton 54% Sanders 40% Post by: Skye on May 19, 2016, 05:12:46 AM Hmmm, I thought Sanders would be under 40. Maybe this will end up like NY and PA.
Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Clinton 54% Sanders 40% Post by: Landslide Lyndon on May 19, 2016, 05:20:01 AM Hmmm, I thought Sanders would be under 40. Maybe this will end up like NY and PA. Quinnipiac always overestimates Sanders. A 60-40 result is the most plausible. Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Clinton 54% Sanders 40% Post by: Xing on May 19, 2016, 05:24:59 AM It'll probably be similar to NY, or maybe 59-41.
Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Clinton 54% Sanders 40% Post by: Fusionmunster on May 19, 2016, 07:38:48 AM Quinnipiac has been utter garbarge this primary cycle, statistically giving some of the worst polls. They have underestimated Hillary at every turn, its no surprise there doing it in one of her strongest states.
Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Clinton 54% Sanders 40% Post by: Beet on May 19, 2016, 08:04:43 AM Wow. If Sanders somehow wins New Jersey this election will be a mess.
Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Clinton 54% Sanders 40% Post by: HAnnA MArin County on May 19, 2016, 09:21:13 AM Wow. If Sanders somehow wins New Jersey this election will be a mess. He won't. It's not an 80+ percent white state. Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Clinton 54% Sanders 40% Post by: Angrie on May 19, 2016, 11:20:53 AM Wow. If Sanders somehow wins New Jersey this election will be a mess. He won't. It's not an 80+ percent white state. But Bernie does somewhat better with northern minority voters than with southern ones. Of course he will still lose, but it will be similar to PA and NY. Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Clinton 54% Sanders 40% Post by: Landslide Lyndon on May 19, 2016, 11:24:01 AM Wow. If Sanders somehow wins New Jersey this election will be a mess. He won't. It's not an 80+ percent white state. But Bernie does somewhat better with northern minority voters than with southern ones. Of course he will still lose, but it will be similar to PA and NY. With New Jersey it's not only a matter of minorities. The state is essentially a big suburb and affluent white suburbanites are another group where he does terribly. Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Clinton 54% Sanders 40% Post by: IceSpear on May 19, 2016, 07:47:47 PM Wow. If Sanders somehow wins New Jersey this election will be a mess. Trailing by 14 from a favorable pollster is not really a sign he could win it. It would make no difference in the delegate math anyway. NJ isn't entirely closed, so it's possible he does slightly better than in NY. He could also do slightly worse since it's even worse for him demographically. Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Clinton 54% Sanders 40% Post by: they don't love you like i love you on May 22, 2016, 08:55:53 AM Wow. If Sanders somehow wins New Jersey this election will be a mess. Why on Earth would this poll indicate to you that Sanders will win New Jersey? Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Clinton 54% Sanders 40% Post by: morgieb on May 22, 2016, 09:46:49 AM Wow. If Sanders somehow wins New Jersey this election will be a mess. Why on Earth would this poll indicate to you that Sanders will win New Jersey? Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Clinton 54% Sanders 40% Post by: they don't love you like i love you on May 22, 2016, 01:11:57 PM Wow. If Sanders somehow wins New Jersey this election will be a mess. Why on Earth would this poll indicate to you that Sanders will win New Jersey? Even for him it's a pretty bizarre reaction. It'd be like if a poll for the general election came out showing Hillary leading by 14 points against Trump and his response was "Wow. If Trump somehow wins New Jersey this is going to be a blowout." Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Clinton 54% Sanders 40% Post by: IceSpear on May 22, 2016, 05:06:54 PM Wow. If Sanders somehow wins New Jersey this election will be a mess. Why on Earth would this poll indicate to you that Sanders will win New Jersey? Even for him it's a pretty bizarre reaction. Not particularly. You must not have seen his predictions back in March. :P He had him tying in NY, winning PA/CA by 20, winning NJ by double digits, winning NM/PR by like 30 points... Title: NJ PrimD: Quinnipiac University: Clinton wit Large Lead in New Jersey Post by: ElectionAtlas on May 23, 2016, 07:44:43 PM New Poll: New Jersey President by Quinnipiac University on 2016-05-16 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016D/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=3420160516015)
Summary:
Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=2348) Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Clinton 54% Sanders 40% Post by: psychprofessor on June 08, 2016, 01:18:05 AM Quinn has been awful with Hillary this primary. Only up 14 in NJ when she won by double the amount.
I wonder if their GE polls, like the +7 in CT, are just as off? Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Clinton 54% Sanders 40% Post by: Gass3268 on June 08, 2016, 01:40:00 AM Quinn has been awful with Hillary this primary. Only up 14 in NJ when she won by double the amount. I wonder if their GE polls, like the +7 in CT, are just as off? To be fair, they nailed Sanders' number. Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Clinton 54% Sanders 40% Post by: psychprofessor on June 08, 2016, 01:57:21 AM Quinn has been awful with Hillary this primary. Only up 14 in NJ when she won by double the amount. I wonder if their GE polls, like the +7 in CT, are just as off? To be fair, they nailed Sanders' number. Not really, Hillary won 63-37. Something strange is occurring with Quinn and their underestimation of Hillary. Title: Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Clinton 54% Sanders 40% Post by: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on June 08, 2016, 02:11:54 AM Quinn has been awful with Hillary this primary. Only up 14 in NJ when she won by double the amount. I wonder if their GE polls, like the +7 in CT, are just as off? To be fair, they nailed Sanders' number. Not really, Hillary won 63-37. Something strange is occurring with Quinn and their underestimation of Hillary. This is why I've been ignoring QU since this season started. Their modelling about the electorate has been RUBBISH. |