Talk Elections

http://www.bostonherald.com/sites/default/files/media/2016/05/30/FPU-BH-May25-28%20Report.pdf

Trump 44%
Clinton 44%
Undecided/Unsure 12%

405 LV,  May 25-28, MOE +/- 4.9%.

Nothing too shocking here given the state of the race at the moment. NH should be a rough tossup.

Both candidates are not well liked. Trump at 34/66. Clinton at 35/65.
Support is slightly firmer for Trump (78%) than Clinton (71%).
There is a significant gender gap. Men break 55/35/10 for Trump. Women go 54/32/14 for Clinton.

Why are people so crazy about NH? It's only worth 4 EV lol.

Yeah lol. Hillary should win by 10 or 12 points here.

Can someone explain why they feel Sanders supporters are sexist? Very few people care about gender when they vote

second poll out of NH showing a tight race, BUT this is a state wehre bernie is loved. I suspect there are a lot of bitter voters of his that are not helping clinton in the polls.

I guess they undersampled angry women in this poll.

Angry voters often refuse to participate in polls /s
Where does Indyrep get his angry women data from?

Considering how well Sanders did in New Hampshire, this is not exactly a surprisingly result when many of the undecideds are likely Sanders supporters.

President Al Gore agrees.

President Samuel Tilden also.

Clinton is a terrible fit for NH. It's Bernie country after all.

That's not the case. 3% of all Democrats are undecided. 15% of all Indys and 15% of all Republicans.
8% libs. 12% mods. 15% Conservatives.

It looks more like the #neverTrumps, which will likely come home.

I didn't say they were Democrats. Clinton is currently suffering with Democratic leaning independents who Sanders did very well with in the primary and that Obama won heavily in 2012 and 2008.

Notice the high number of undecideds, and the higher share of undecideds among women than among men (something which, of course, couldn't be possibly be random sampling variation/error...). Many of the undecideds may not be undecided between Trump and Hillary, but rather between one or the other and a third party, or not voting. I, for example, am undecided between Hillary, Stein, and some other sort of write-in. However, if polling shows things reasonably close on election day so that my vote could make a difference, I'll vote for Hillary.

Not true. See my signature and previous post.

That is sort of true as well. It is unbelievable how many polls get conducted in New Hampshire. There can be so many phone calls, both for polls and from the campaigns themselves, both in primary season and in the general election. After a while people stop answering.

They sure don't lean Democrat if Hillary is the Democrat. The idea that she's entitled to their votes is absurd.

NH has very little significance in the coming election. I am sure Trump won't even campaign there.

All Trump needs is Romney + FL, OH and PA. Those are the three states he will campaign heavily in. He will also campaign in MI for real and in NY for fun.

No need to campaign in NC, AZ or GA (lol!), cause if he needs to defend those three, he has already lost.

No need to campaign in small states, such as: NH, IA, NV, CO, cause they don't guarantee a thing. A win in any of them won't win Trump the election, while simultaneously losing any of the big three.

Trump might campaign in VA, cause its size is sort of on the fence of what constitutes a large enough state to invest in. I would advise him against it, but we'll see.

GO SEE A DOCTOR!!!

I that happened, Trump would be better off campaigning in Virginia, than trying for three small states out of three.

YOU SEE! HILLARY IS DOOMED! VOTE BERNIE!

There was a similar gender spread in the recent Austrian elections. Men voting for far-right candidates seems to be a problem in a lot of countries.

Just saying, TNVolunteer, nobody finds this funny, nobody finds this interesting, and at this point, it's literally all you post about. You've become a parody of yourself. Either stop being a fool, or stop posting.

What are you talking about? He hasn't even commented on this thread.

Yes; he is Elastic NH swing voter.

I didn't know he had multiple accounts

He doesn't. IndyRep is TNVolunteer.

- Somebody who has been to New Hampshire a grand total of zero times.

But I'm sure you'd know about the people of New Hampshire better than I do, right?

If I were Trump I'd downgrade Maine on the priority list and focus here - it certainly made a difference in 2000.

And what do YOU know about New Hampshire?  Did you grow up there?  Spend summers there?  Go to school there?  Do you have family or friends there?

Seriously, you have this REALLY REALLY REALLY weird obsession with NH.  It was funny and cute before, but now it's getting to be annoying and creepy.